NYSE · EQUITY · ENHANCED MARKET DYNAMICS

FLG

Flagstar Financial, Inc.

US · Financial Services · Banks - Regional

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EMD SCORE29/100

CURRENT COMPLETED-WEEK READ

Defensive

The latest completed-week readings are broadly cautious. Conditions are cautious and have weakened over the latest four completed weeks.

Deterioration67% directional agreement89/100 evidence quality6/6 sources available

Completed week: 9 Oct 2026
Latest close: USD 11.32
Evidence: 156 weeks

Four-week EMD change-19.2 pts

signed chart scale −100 to +100

Four-week price-14.1%

completed closing prices

Current directional run8 weeks

on the same side of EMD zero

Recent consistency5/13

recent readings above zero

COMPLETED-WEEK OVERVIEW

Price and market conditions over time

1 supportive · 5 cautious

Enhanced Market Dynamics and the price cycle156 completed weeks · bars use the left EMD axis; price uses the right axis.

20 Oct 2023–9 Oct 2026

Constructive EMDCautious EMDCompleted-week priceUp-cycle confirmationDown-cycle confirmation

Confirmation markers describe price-zone departures within this saved history. Earlier markers can change as the history changes; they are not a record of signals available in real time.

Cycle position 23%Current EMD -41.64-week EMD change -19.2Full saved history price range USD 8.44–32.21

View chart values · 156 observations

Week	Close · USD	EMD −100 to +100	Score /100	Agreement %	Coverage %
2023-10-20	29.17	-18.66	41	50	83
2023-10-27	26.77	-31.22	34	60	83
2023-11-03	28.51	-18.58	41	20	83
2023-11-10	27.33	-26.32	37	50	100
2023-11-17	27.27	-29.98	35	60	100
2023-11-24	26.95	-27.74	36	50	100
2023-12-01	29.15	-13.7	43	0	100
2023-12-08	28.62	-21.18	39	20	100
2023-12-15	32.21	5.11	53	20	100
2023-12-22	29.62	-19.1	40	33	100
2023-12-29	30.06	-14.85	43	20	100
2024-01-05	30.74	-4.27	48	20	100
2024-01-12	29.39	-31.23	34	67	100
2024-01-19	29.30	-16.57	42	20	100
2024-01-26	30.62	-5.27	47	20	100
2024-02-02	17.75	-50.31	25	67	100
2024-02-09	14.40	-38.42	31	60	100
2024-02-16	14.56	-43.61	28	60	100
2024-02-23	13.43	-54.53	23	67	100
2024-03-01	10.55	-59.4	20	67	100
2024-03-08	10.16	-40.51	30	33	100
2024-03-15	11.59	-35.11	32	33	100
2024-03-22	10.52	-52.85	24	67	100
2024-03-29	9.57	-53.77	23	67	100
2024-04-05	9.27	-52.14	24	67	100
2024-04-12	8.44	-62.98	19	100	100
2024-04-19	8.76	-56.85	22	100	100
2024-04-26	8.82	-58.3	21	100	100
2024-05-03	10.49	-31.7	34	50	100
2024-05-10	10.25	-46.21	27	100	100
2024-05-17	10.96	-39.11	30	100	100
2024-05-24	9.89	-38.29	31	100	100
2024-05-31	9.77	-40.68	30	100	100
2024-06-07	9.30	-43.29	28	100	100
2024-06-14	9.09	-48.2	26	100	100
2024-06-21	9.12	-43.51	28	100	100
2024-06-28	9.60	-16.44	42	33	100
2024-07-05	9.98	-20.38	40	33	100
2024-07-12	10.94	-14.65	43	33	100
2024-07-19	11.11	-12.29	44	0	100
2024-07-26	11.15	-10.57	45	20	100
2024-08-02	9.84	-22.04	39	0	100
2024-08-09	9.29	-34.55	33	60	100
2024-08-16	10.97	-12.36	44	0	100
2024-08-23	11.22	-2.46	49	60	100
2024-08-30	10.77	-0.28	50	20	100
2024-09-06	10.75	9.36	55	60	100
2024-09-13	10.54	15.22	58	67	100
2024-09-20	11.38	22.71	61	60	100
2024-09-27	11.40	29.03	65	67	100
2024-10-04	10.84	18.2	59	60	100
2024-10-11	11.71	30.78	65	67	100
2024-10-18	12.11	28.46	64	60	100
2024-10-25	10.49	1.97	51	20	100
2024-11-01	10.33	9.69	55	60	100
2024-11-08	10.98	16.36	58	60	100
2024-11-15	10.60	-0.6	50	0	100
2024-11-22	11.63	25.86	63	67	100
2024-11-29	11.90	20.64	60	33	100
2024-12-06	11.38	12.64	56	33	100
2024-12-13	10.88	8.81	54	33	100
2024-12-20	9.01	-32.17	34	33	100
2024-12-27	8.99	-28.76	36	60	100
2025-01-03	9.51	-25.45	37	33	100
2025-01-10	8.84	-41.97	29	67	100
2025-01-17	9.39	-26.06	37	20	100
2025-01-24	9.46	-24.33	38	20	100
2025-01-31	11.77	24.84	62	67	100
2025-02-07	12.25	32.71	66	100	100
2025-02-14	13.16	56.06	78	100	100
2025-02-21	12.14	42.27	71	67	100
2025-02-28	11.94	39.24	70	67	100
2025-03-07	11.46	36.29	68	100	100
2025-03-14	11.81	53.81	77	100	100
2025-03-21	12.09	56.88	78	100	100
2025-03-28	11.55	41.08	71	67	100
2025-04-04	10.40	22.98	61	50	100
2025-04-11	9.90	-5.0	47	20	100
2025-04-18	10.40	7.94	54	50	100
2025-04-25	11.68	37.1	69	100	100
2025-05-02	12.00	50.81	75	100	100
2025-05-09	11.95	41.98	71	67	100
2025-05-16	12.57	61.1	81	100	100
2025-05-23	11.77	40.22	70	100	100
2025-05-30	11.47	22.28	61	60	100
2025-06-06	11.72	35.75	68	100	100
2025-06-13	11.01	0.66	50	20	100
2025-06-20	11.53	22.24	61	50	100
2025-06-27	10.78	-3.96	48	20	100
2025-07-04	11.14	9.29	55	33	100
2025-07-11	11.24	11.11	56	20	100
2025-07-18	11.72	27.28	64	60	100
2025-07-25	11.36	7.52	54	20	100
2025-08-01	11.17	-7.13	46	50	100
2025-08-08	11.52	5.3	53	20	100
2025-08-15	11.90	8.1	54	50	100
2025-08-22	12.59	33.42	67	100	100
2025-08-29	12.78	36.37	68	100	100
2025-09-05	12.94	54.94	77	100	100
2025-09-12	12.64	47.86	74	100	100
2025-09-19	12.16	24.84	62	33	100
2025-09-26	11.55	10.04	55	20	100
2025-10-03	11.99	24.81	62	67	100
2025-10-10	11.35	-0.08	50	20	100
2025-10-17	11.25	-13.41	43	50	100
2025-10-24	12.08	21.02	61	33	100
2025-10-31	11.39	-13.06	43	60	100
2025-11-07	10.86	-23.59	38	60	100
2025-11-14	11.13	-13.27	43	20	100
2025-11-21	11.32	-13.47	43	33	100
2025-11-28	12.21	3.35	52	20	100
2025-12-05	12.68	13.54	57	60	100
2025-12-12	12.85	33.43	67	100	100
2025-12-19	13.37	49.49	75	100	100
2025-12-26	12.75	27.99	64	33	100
2026-01-02	12.53	27.68	64	60	100
2026-01-09	13.02	44.64	72	100	100
2026-01-16	12.88	32.29	66	60	100
2026-01-23	12.89	33.07	67	60	100
2026-01-30	13.20	46.85	73	100	100
2026-02-06	14.25	71.71	86	100	100
2026-02-13	14.16	68.97	84	100	100
2026-02-20	13.92	65.31	83	100	100
2026-02-27	12.67	22.71	61	33	100
2026-03-06	12.59	22.34	61	50	100
2026-03-13	12.19	7.01	54	20	100
2026-03-20	12.27	5.41	53	20	100
2026-03-27	13.04	34.2	67	67	100
2026-04-03	13.47	41.53	71	67	100
2026-04-10	14.03	50.22	75	100	100
2026-04-17	14.64	58.32	79	100	100
2026-04-24	14.02	38.78	69	67	100
2026-05-01	13.93	43.05	72	100	100
2026-05-08	14.27	45.68	73	100	100
2026-05-15	13.22	8.64	54	0	100
2026-05-22	13.84	32.76	66	100	100
2026-05-29	14.05	31.25	66	100	100
2026-06-05	14.02	36.79	68	100	100
2026-06-12	14.94	64.34	82	100	100
2026-06-19	14.65	45.65	73	67	100
2026-06-26	15.28	75.91	88	100	100
2026-07-03	14.59	43.39	72	67	100
2026-07-10	15.09	59.57	80	100	100
2026-07-17	14.90	44.45	72	67	100
2026-07-24	13.85	15.95	58	50	100
2026-07-31	14.21	35.65	68	100	100
2026-08-07	13.94	4.87	52	0	100
2026-08-14	14.24	15.77	58	33	100
2026-08-21	13.46	-12.86	44	33	100
2026-08-28	13.44	-14.3	43	50	100
2026-09-04	13.52	-7.55	46	20	100
2026-09-11	13.18	-22.42	39	67	100
2026-09-18	12.55	-32.43	34	67	100
2026-09-25	12.37	-34.75	33	67	100
2026-10-02	11.70	-38.16	31	67	100
2026-10-09	11.32	-41.64	29	67	100

SIX SOURCES · LAST 26 OBSERVATIONS

Is support broadening or thinning?

Green is supportive, rose is cautious.
Grey means the reading is unavailable.

Reading	17 Apr	24 Apr	1 May	8 May	15 May	22 May	29 May	5 Jun	12 Jun	19 Jun	26 Jun	3 Jul	10 Jul	17 Jul	24 Jul	31 Jul	7 Aug	14 Aug	21 Aug	28 Aug	4 Sep	11 Sep	18 Sep	25 Sep	2 Oct	9 Oct
Trend	99	95	94	96	76	89	91	89	97	94	98	91	96	93	71	79	71	78	20	20	22	15	6	5	1	1
Momentum	89	80	72	65	44	60	72	68	92	85	87	77	71	68	50	61	51	62	56	51	54	42	40	35	30	26
Underlying pressure	58	67	70	71	62	53	51	52	68	79	88	89	88	85	71	63	46	35	31	26	24	22	21	20	20	20
Price & volume	60	33	46	57	35	63	46	57	71	37	80	34	64	40	30	65	33	58	33	44	60	43	32	38	42	38
Relative strength	80	64	59	60	30	45	46	56	77	67	86	64	71	72	45	50	30	37	24	23	25	20	11	8	4	2
Modeled Trend	88	89	88	88	88	88	88	88	88	89	89	89	89	89	89	90	89	89	88	87	86	84	82	79	77	75

Each cell is a finished component score from 0–100. Components can disagree even when the combined reading stays positive.

STRONGEST CURRENT SOURCE

Modeled Trend

75/100

LEAST SUPPORTIVE SOURCE

Trend

1/100

WHAT WOULD CHANGE THE READ?

Three paths to keep in view

Conditional research scenarios.
No assumed price target or timing.

Continuation

Price and evidence stay together

Further price weakness alongside cautious trend, pressure and relative strength would support the current defensive read.

Change of direction

Repair needs follow-through

Improving EMD while price still falls is an early observation. A turn in price and broader agreement would strengthen a repair case.

Cycle context

A range extreme is a location

An upper zone can persist during a strong advance; a lower zone can persist during a decline. Use departures, EMD direction and the related price charts together.

EARLIER COMPARABLE READINGS

What followed similar conditions?

Same ticker · similar score and direction of change.
Returns exclude costs and dividends.

4 WEEKS LATER+4.3%

Median price return · 5 non-overlapping examples

Observed range: -14.1% to +16.8%
Positive returns: 60%
All-period comparison: +1.0% median

13 WEEKS LATER+31.3%

Median price return · 3 non-overlapping examples

Observed range: +10.2% to +34.3%
Positive returns: 100%
All-period comparison: -3.4% median

How these comparisons are selected

Earlier observations must have the same constructive/fading/repair/deterioration condition, a score within ten points of today’s score and at least the same component coverage. The first 30 observations are omitted for warm-up; examples are spaced by the forward horizon to avoid overlap. Gapped return windows are excluded. The all-period comparison uses the same available history and spacing, without matching the current state. These are reconstructed observations, not a point-in-time strategy backtest or a forecast.

RECENT CYCLE HISTORY

How the current reading developed

24 Jul 2026Down-cycle confirmedUSD 13.85

15 May 2026Down-cycle confirmedUSD 13.22

27 Feb 2026Down-cycle confirmedUSD 12.67

12 Dec 2025Upper cycle zone confirmedUSD 12.85

31 Jan 2025Up-cycle confirmedUSD 11.77

5 Jul 2024Up-cycle confirmedUSD 9.98

3 May 2024Up-cycle confirmedUSD 10.49

12 Apr 2024Lower cycle zone confirmedUSD 8.44

THE FULL PRICE CYCLE

Follow the journey from one zone to the other

Cycle states use trailing completed-week observations.

Lower zone

Price establishes residence near the bottom of its long-cycle range. Improving EMD separates early repair from continued deterioration.

Upward journey

Price leaves the lower zone while EMD confirms improving participation. The objective is the broader move toward the upper zone, not a short weekly trade.

Upper zone

Price establishes residence near the top of its long-cycle range. A high range position can persist. Watch EMD for exhaustion and loss of support before interpreting it as a turn.

Downward journey

Price leaves the upper zone while EMD weakens. The reverse cycle remains active until lower-zone residence is confirmed again.

CURRENT READINGS