Signal Validation

Trend Performance Index

United States equities with 4-8 positive trend weeks, a weekly close below fair value, positive Market Activity, positive 30-week SMA Rate of Change, and positive Relative Strength.

Latest week 3 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
442.32
Total Return
342.32%
CAGR
53.15% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+31.04%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.25 Sortino 3.84
Current Holdings
285
Transactions
4953 Avg 1420.0/yr · 118.3/mo · 27.3/wk
Exit Mix
2334 Stop 57.2% · Warning 42.7% · Other 0.1%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted performance model for the selected country’s equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, indicators, and Smart Money warning data.

01

Universe

Active equities from the selected country only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, and listings outside the selected market are excluded from each country index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s close when it has 4-8 positive trend signals, the close is below that week’s fair value, Market Activity, 30-week SMA 4-week Rate of Change, and Relative Strength are all above zero, and there is no Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning that week.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning or Reversal Danger Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • Positions that exit cannot re-enter during the same positive trend run; the trend signal must reset first.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

3 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
12
AIRJ NASDAQ · AirJoule Technologies Corporation
4.84 5 signals · MA 76.39 · ROC 4.24% · RS 3.81
COOK NYSE · Traeger Inc
73.83 4 signals · MA 83.35 · ROC 9.24% · RS 22.03
EDIT NASDAQ · Editas Medicine Inc
3.65 8 signals · MA 23.20 · ROC 2.51% · RS 18.52
EPC NYSE · Edgewell Personal Care Co
27.21 4 signals · MA 81.29 · ROC 5.52% · RS 19.35
JXG NASDAQ · JX Luxventure Group Inc.
10.84 4 signals · MA 84.92 · ROC 12.88% · RS 8.46
MAN NYSE · ManpowerGroup Inc
38.79 4 signals · MA 92.33 · ROC 3.87% · RS 8.61
MRDN NASDAQ · Meridian Holdings Inc
13.57 5 signals · MA 82.73 · ROC 5.93% · RS 2.64
NWL NASDAQ · Newell Brands Inc
5.83 4 signals · MA 79.52 · ROC 6.86% · RS 15.74
QMCO NASDAQ · Quantum Corporation
10.16 5 signals · MA 99.53 · ROC 9.13% · RS 7.75
SABR NASDAQ · Sabre Corpo
2.09 7 signals · MA 78.18 · ROC 2.51% · RS 3.07
TLX NASDAQ · Telix Pharmaceuticals Limited
11.87 8 signals · MA 51.65 · ROC 1.56% · RS 4.35
WYHG NASDAQ · Wing Yip Food Holdings Group Limited American Depositary Shares
4.51 4 signals · MA 72.17 · ROC 5.14% · RS 9.36

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
4
ABX NYSE · Abacus Global Management, Inc.
11.86 Reversal Risk Warning · 49.75%
ENPH NASDAQ · Enphase Energy Inc
43.07 20% entry drawdown · -23.19%
HLLY NYSE · Holley Inc
2.40 20% entry drawdown · -21.82%
STI NASDAQ · Solidion Technology Inc.
7.85 20% entry drawdown · -36.39%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 151-180 of 285 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signals Activity ROC RS
LPL NYSE · LG Display Co Ltd
25 Jul 20253.83
3.59
-6.27%
4
46.76
1.56%
1.01
LPRO NASDAQ · Open Lending Corp
19 Jun 20263.11
3.11
0.00%
4
90.68
6.39%
36.31
LVO NASDAQ · LiveOne Inc
22 May 20266.94
5.66
-18.44%
4
45.47
3.16%
3.90
LXRX NASDAQ · Lexicon Pharmaceuticals Inc
15 Aug 20251.24
2.32
87.10%
6
86.78
7.03%
12.15
LYB NYSE · LyondellBasell Industries NV
17 Apr 202665.60
53.36
-18.65%
8
97.33
5.97%
12.09
MAN NYSE · ManpowerGroup Inc
3 Jul 202638.79
38.79
0.00%
4
92.33
3.87%
8.61
MASS NASDAQ · 908 Devices Inc
2 May 20255.60
8.69
55.18%
4
99.11
6.19%
39.45
MCFT NASDAQ · MCBC Holdings Inc
22 Aug 202521.40
23.79
11.17%
6
32.34
1.17%
3.22
MEI NYSE · Methode Electronics Inc
29 May 202611.54
15.30
32.58%
4
93.32
7.34%
34.93
MGNX NASDAQ · MacroGenics Inc
27 Feb 20261.99
4.71
136.68%
4
13.14
1.69%
13.01
MKDW NASDAQ · MKDWELL Tech Inc. Ordinary Share
5 Jun 20268.49
11.80
38.99%
4
76.62
5.56%
24.70
MKTW NASDAQ · Marketwise Inc
9 May 202513.38
18.86
40.94%
5
70.14
2.01%
4.38
MLR NYSE · Miller Industries Inc
13 Mar 202643.48
49.01
12.73%
4
46.41
0.87%
0.91
MMI NYSE · Marcus & Millichap Inc
26 Jun 202631.41
31.86
1.43%
4
60.27
0.61%
1.43
MOH NYSE · Molina Healthcare Inc
12 Jun 2026200.28
229.87
14.77%
5
78.03
2.98%
3.17
MRDN NASDAQ · Meridian Holdings Inc
3 Jul 202613.57
13.57
0.00%
5
82.73
5.93%
2.64
MRNA NASDAQ · Moderna Inc
30 Jan 202644.07
79.76
80.98%
4
86.83
7.09%
33.42
MRTN NASDAQ · Marten Transport Ltd
27 Feb 202613.47
17.46
29.58%
4
95.83
1.03%
1.72
MRVI NASDAQ · Maravai Lifesciences Holdings Inc
29 May 20264.80
6.04
25.83%
4
90.65
5.10%
25.04
MSGM NASDAQ · Motorsport Gaming Us LLC
9 May 20252.49
4.31
73.09%
4
69.38
12.42%
52.82
MTC NASDAQ · MMTEC Inc
28 Nov 20252.72
2.74
0.74%
4
91.58
20.03%
92.27
MTUS NYSE · Metallus, Inc
22 Aug 202516.60
17.50
5.42%
6
18.52
1.25%
3.02
MUR NYSE · Murphy Oil Corporation
3 Oct 202529.54
31.88
7.94%
4
67.37
1.24%
3.44
MX NYSE · MagnaChip Semiconductor
8 May 20264.53
4.12
-9.05%
4
90.75
4.68%
25.39
NAUT NASDAQ · Nautilus Biotechnology Inc
7 Nov 20251.51
1.73
14.57%
4
89.88
7.35%
13.67
NBR NYSE · Nabors Industries Ltd.
7 Nov 202551.55
77.86
51.04%
7
87.99
4.38%
7.62
NDLS NASDAQ · Noodles & Company
10 Apr 20268.10
14.49
79.00%
4
89.67
5.88%
22.21
NERV NASDAQ · Minerva Neurosciences Inc
10 Oct 20252.35
5.10
117.02%
8
10.24
3.56%
4.66
NKTX NASDAQ · Nkarta Inc
20 Mar 20262.14
3.22
50.47%
4
50.05
1.29%
3.12
NNBR NASDAQ · NN Inc
15 May 20262.22
3.49
57.21%
4
94.94
4.89%
0.87

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 271-300 of 4953
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
15 May 2026
Exit
IVVD NASDAQ · Invivyd Inc.
1.21
20% entry drawdown
-23.66%
Entry 7 Nov 2025 1.59
15 May 2026
Entry
KZIA NASDAQ · Kazia Therapeutics Ltd ADR
13.16
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 94.60 · ROC 10.82% · RS 35.61
15 May 2026
Exit
LRMR NASDAQ · Larimar Therapeutics Inc
3.58
20% entry drawdown
-21.15%
Entry 24 Apr 2026 4.54
15 May 2026
Exit
LXEO NASDAQ · Lexeo Therapeutics, Inc. Common Stock
5.09
20% entry drawdown
-24.82%
Entry 26 Sep 2025 6.77
15 May 2026
Exit
NBTX NASDAQ · Nanobiotix
51.50
Reversal Risk Warning
1052.13%
Entry 20 Jun 2025 4.47
15 May 2026
Entry
NNBR NASDAQ · NN Inc
2.22
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 94.94 · ROC 4.89% · RS 0.87
15 May 2026
Exit
NUS NYSE · Nu Skin Enterprises Inc
6.06
20% entry drawdown
-30.14%
Entry 4 Jul 2025 8.67
15 May 2026
Exit
OKUR NASDAQ · OnKure Therapeutics, Inc.
3.16
20% entry drawdown
-26.34%
Entry 3 Apr 2026 4.29
15 May 2026
Exit
ORMP NASDAQ · Oramed Pharmaceuticals Inc
4.64
Reversal Risk Warning
92.06%
Entry 21 Nov 2025 2.42
15 May 2026
Exit
PRTS NASDAQ · CarParts.Com Inc
6.83
20% entry drawdown
-29.74%
Entry 24 Apr 2026 9.72
15 May 2026
Exit
QXO NYSE · QXO, Inc.
16.33
20% entry drawdown
-29.03%
Entry 6 Feb 2026 23.01
15 May 2026
Entry
RXO NYSE · RXO Inc.
18.69
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 94.71 · ROC 3.17% · RS 6.91
15 May 2026
Entry
SAIH NASDAQ · SAIHEAT Limited
11.74
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 87.09 · ROC 2.75% · RS 18.60
15 May 2026
Exit
SAM NYSE · Boston Beer Company Inc
174.73
20% entry drawdown
-24.52%
Entry 13 Mar 2026 231.50
15 May 2026
Exit
SCYX NASDAQ · Scynexis Inc
5.92
20% entry drawdown
-25.28%
Entry 1 May 2026 7.92
15 May 2026
Exit
SILC NASDAQ · Silicom
48.08
Reversal Risk Warning
165.05%
Entry 20 Mar 2026 18.14
15 May 2026
Exit
ST NYSE · Sensata Technologies Holding NV
48.50
Reversal Risk Warning
46.46%
Entry 22 Aug 2025 33.11
15 May 2026
Exit
UA NYSE · Under Armour Inc C
4.99
20% entry drawdown
-22.15%
Entry 6 Mar 2026 6.41
15 May 2026
Exit
UAA NYSE · Under Armour Inc A
5.12
20% entry drawdown
-22.31%
Entry 6 Mar 2026 6.59
8 May 2026
Exit
ADM NYSE · Archer-Daniels-Midland Company
77.14
Reversal Risk Warning
37.62%
Entry 8 Aug 2025 56.06
8 May 2026
Entry
AMN NYSE · AMN Healthcare Services Inc
28.97
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 67.09 · ROC 2.62% · RS 32.60
8 May 2026
Entry
AMWL NYSE · American Well Corp
7.97
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 41.83 · ROC 0.86% · RS 16.91
8 May 2026
Exit
ATRC NASDAQ · AtriCure Inc
26.28
20% entry drawdown
-21.58%
Entry 1 Nov 2024 33.51
8 May 2026
Exit
AVNW NASDAQ · Aviat Networks Inc
15.81
20% entry drawdown
-33.96%
Entry 27 Jun 2025 23.94
8 May 2026
Exit
BCAT NYSE · BlackRock Capital Allocation Trust
15.02
Reversal Risk Warning
81.66%
Entry 24 Feb 2023 8.27
8 May 2026
Exit
BIO-B NYSE · Bio-Rad Laboratories Inc
255.54
20% entry drawdown
-20.42%
Entry 24 Oct 2025 321.12
8 May 2026
Exit
CELH NASDAQ · Celsius Holdings Inc
32.29
20% entry drawdown
-20.47%
Entry 6 Jun 2025 40.60
8 May 2026
Exit
CLB NYSE · Core Laboratories NV
13.12
20% entry drawdown
-21.94%
Entry 5 Dec 2025 16.81
8 May 2026
Exit
CSTM NYSE · Constellium Nv
33.88
Reversal Risk Warning
132.69%
Entry 4 Jul 2025 14.56
8 May 2026
Exit
CXDO NASDAQ · Crexendo Inc
9.36
Reversal Risk Warning
194.34%
Entry 8 Dec 2023 3.18