View US ETF Index View Market Dynamics

Signal Validation

Trend Performance Index

United States equities with 4-8 positive trend weeks, a weekly close below fair value, positive Market Activity, positive 30-week SMA Rate of Change, and positive Relative Strength.

Latest week 17 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
434.12
Total Return
334.12%
CAGR
51.64% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+29.86%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.21 Sortino 3.76
Current Holdings
271
Transactions
5001 Avg 1418.2/yr · 118.2/mo · 27.3/wk
Exit Mix
2365 Stop 57.3% · Warning 42.3% · Other 0.4%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted performance model for the selected country’s equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, indicators, and Smart Money warning data.

01

Universe

Active equities from the selected country only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, and listings outside the selected market are excluded from each country index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s close when it has 4-8 positive trend signals, the close is below that week’s fair value, Market Activity, 30-week SMA 4-week Rate of Change, and Relative Strength are all above zero, and there is no Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning that week.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning or Reversal Danger Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • Positions that exit cannot re-enter during the same positive trend run; the trend signal must reset first.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

17 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
10
ACCO NYSE · Acco Brands Corporation
4.08 8 signals · MA 74.29 · ROC 2.23% · RS 3.33
BHVN NYSE · Biohaven Ltd.
15.44 4 signals · MA 87.92 · ROC 6.50% · RS 14.78
BOC NYSE · Boston Omaha Corp
14.14 4 signals · MA 88.83 · ROC 1.32% · RS 0.95
FATN NASDAQ · FatPipe, Inc. Common Stock
4.54 8 signals · MA 39.45 · ROC 12.74% · RS 2.11
HOG NYSE · Harley-Davidson Inc
26.58 8 signals · MA 56.36 · ROC 2.03% · RS 3.60
JHX NYSE · James Hardie Industries PLC ADR
25.82 4 signals · MA 74.43 · ROC 3.39% · RS 7.54
LGIH NASDAQ · LGI Homes
58.48 4 signals · MA 96.98 · ROC 3.50% · RS 2.72
TDOC NYSE · Teladoc Inc
9.43 4 signals · MA 91.36 · ROC 3.36% · RS 22.61
TMCI NASDAQ · Treace Medical Concepts Inc
4.30 5 signals · MA 93.79 · ROC 8.69% · RS 0.15
UPBD NASDAQ · Upbound Group Inc.
22.16 4 signals · MA 57.32 · ROC 2.83% · RS 2.64

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
12
AIRJ NASDAQ · AirJoule Technologies Corporation
3.74 20% entry drawdown · -22.65%
CE NYSE · Celanese Corporation
45.70 20% entry drawdown · -20.82%
FUN NYSE · Six Flags Entertainment Corporation
17.53 20% entry drawdown · -25.21%
GRDX NASDAQ · GridAI Technologies Corp.
3.82 20% entry drawdown · -29.26%
INV NASDAQ · Innventure, Inc.
3.37 20% entry drawdown · -42.39%
MX NYSE · MagnaChip Semiconductor
3.42 20% entry drawdown · -24.50%
NTLA NASDAQ · Intellia Therapeutics Inc
11.38 20% entry drawdown · -27.41%
PBF NYSE · PBF Energy Inc
62.75 Reversal Risk Warning · 133.59%
SG NYSE · Sweetgreen Inc
7.08 20% entry drawdown · -21.94%
SHEN NASDAQ · Shenandoah Telecommunications Co
11.38 20% entry drawdown · -24.83%
STFS NASDAQ · Star Fashion Culture Holdings Limited
9.14 20% entry drawdown · -50.03%
VLN NYSE · Valens
1.71 20% entry drawdown · -22.62%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 151-180 of 271 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signals Activity ROC RS
MASS NASDAQ · 908 Devices Inc
2 May 20255.60
7.35
31.25%
4
99.11
6.19%
39.45
MCFT NASDAQ · MCBC Holdings Inc
22 Aug 202521.40
24.98
16.73%
6
32.34
1.17%
3.22
MEI NYSE · Methode Electronics Inc
29 May 202611.54
14.99
29.90%
4
93.32
7.34%
34.93
MGNX NASDAQ · MacroGenics Inc
27 Feb 20261.99
4.49
125.63%
4
13.14
1.69%
13.01
MKDW NASDAQ · MKDWELL Tech Inc. Ordinary Share
5 Jun 20268.49
11.16
31.45%
4
76.53
5.56%
24.70
MKTW NASDAQ · Marketwise Inc
9 May 202513.38
20.11
50.28%
5
70.14
2.01%
4.38
MLR NYSE · Miller Industries Inc
13 Mar 202643.48
49.64
14.18%
4
46.41
0.87%
0.91
MMI NYSE · Marcus & Millichap Inc
26 Jun 202631.41
31.20
-0.67%
4
60.27
0.61%
1.43
MOH NYSE · Molina Healthcare Inc
12 Jun 2026200.28
225.37
12.53%
5
77.74
2.98%
3.17
MRDN NASDAQ · Meridian Holdings Inc
3 Jul 202613.57
13.52
-0.37%
5
82.73
5.93%
2.64
MRNA NASDAQ · Moderna Inc
30 Jan 202644.07
61.82
40.28%
4
86.83
7.09%
33.42
MRTN NASDAQ · Marten Transport Ltd
27 Feb 202613.47
17.65
30.99%
4
95.83
1.03%
1.72
MRVI NASDAQ · Maravai Lifesciences Holdings Inc
29 May 20264.80
7.24
50.83%
4
90.65
5.10%
25.04
MSGM NASDAQ · Motorsport Gaming Us LLC
9 May 20252.49
4.64
86.35%
4
69.38
12.42%
52.82
MTC NASDAQ · MMTEC Inc
28 Nov 20252.72
2.51
-7.72%
4
91.58
20.03%
92.27
MTUS NYSE · Metallus, Inc
22 Aug 202516.60
19.38
16.75%
6
18.52
1.25%
3.02
MUR NYSE · Murphy Oil Corporation
3 Oct 202529.54
36.83
24.70%
4
67.37
1.24%
3.44
NAUT NASDAQ · Nautilus Biotechnology Inc
7 Nov 20251.51
1.74
15.23%
4
89.88
7.35%
13.67
NBR NYSE · Nabors Industries Ltd.
7 Nov 202551.55
83.89
62.74%
7
87.99
4.38%
7.62
NDLS NASDAQ · Noodles & Company
10 Apr 20268.10
11.11
37.25%
4
89.67
5.88%
22.21
NERV NASDAQ · Minerva Neurosciences Inc
10 Oct 20252.35
4.27
81.70%
8
10.24
3.56%
4.66
NKTX NASDAQ · Nkarta Inc
20 Mar 20262.14
2.60
21.50%
4
50.05
1.29%
3.12
NNBR NASDAQ · NN Inc
15 May 20262.22
3.18
43.24%
4
94.94
4.89%
0.87
NRC NASDAQ · National Research Corp
22 May 202618.93
21.78
15.03%
8
82.86
5.64%
0.52
NRT NYSE · North European Oil Royalty Trust
6 Jun 20254.45
7.73
73.65%
5
38.40
0.92%
4.51
NSIT NASDAQ · Insight Enterprises Inc
26 Jun 2026119.49
115.33
-3.49%
4
96.74
3.95%
4.16
NTIC NASDAQ · Northern Technologies
13 Feb 20269.03
8.09
-10.41%
6
75.65
1.72%
0.35
NVCR NASDAQ · Novocure Ltd
29 May 202617.04
15.92
-6.57%
4
89.74
4.42%
2.66
NVST NYSE · Envista Holdings Corp
29 Aug 202521.18
26.74
26.25%
4
45.07
0.61%
0.69
NWL NASDAQ · Newell Brands Inc
3 Jul 20265.83
5.23
-10.29%
4
82.25
6.86%
15.74

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 4741-4770 of 5001
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
17 Feb 2023
Entry
ITGR NYSE · Integer Holdings Corp
76.24
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 48.20 · ROC 0.69% · RS 5.08
17 Feb 2023
Entry
JANX NASDAQ · Janux Therapeutics Inc
17.66
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 85.29 · ROC 4.90% · RS 21.18
17 Feb 2023
Entry
KN NYSE · Knowles Cor
17.53
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 66.22 · ROC 0.13% · RS 0.13
17 Feb 2023
Entry
LGIH NASDAQ · LGI Homes
114.29
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 94.09 · ROC 2.32% · RS 14.75
17 Feb 2023
Entry
MCO NYSE · Moodys Corporation
292.67
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 66.94 · ROC 1.46% · RS 0.68
17 Feb 2023
Entry
MTW NYSE · Manitowoc Company Inc
14.36
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 94.71 · ROC 4.47% · RS 23.94
17 Feb 2023
Entry
NMAI NYSE · Nuveen Multi-Asset Income Fund
8.39
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 91.23 · ROC 1.11% · RS 0.98
17 Feb 2023
Entry
PPTA NASDAQ · Perpetua Resources Corp
3.29
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 68.30 · ROC 2.90% · RS 8.20
17 Feb 2023
Entry
STEP NASDAQ · Stepstone Group Inc
26.06
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 35.20 · ROC 2.03% · RS 3.30
17 Feb 2023
Entry
TEO NYSE · Telecom Argentina SA ADR
5.25
Trend inclusion
-
7 signals MA 72.33 · ROC 4.95% · RS 12.06
17 Feb 2023
Entry
TPC NYSE · Tutor Perini Corporation
8.95
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 47.26 · ROC 0.39% · RS 4.61
17 Feb 2023
Entry
TUYA NYSE · Tuya Inc ADR
2.33
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 83.12 · ROC 3.66% · RS 17.60
17 Feb 2023
Entry
TXG NASDAQ · 10X Genomics Inc
51.61
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 93.86 · ROC 2.02% · RS 16.31
17 Feb 2023
Entry
UHT NYSE · Universal Health Realty Income Trust
44.68
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 94.20 · ROC 1.25% · RS 8.60
17 Feb 2023
Exit
VNET NASDAQ · VNET Group Inc DRC
4.53
20% entry drawdown
-27.05%
Entry 3 Feb 2023 6.21
17 Feb 2023
Entry
VSCO NYSE · Victoria's Secret & Co
41.53
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 19.99 · ROC 4.44% · RS 1.31
17 Feb 2023
Entry
XYF NYSE · X Financial Class A
2.73
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 57.36 · ROC 4.97% · RS 21.77
17 Feb 2023
Entry
ZH NYSE · Zhihu Inc ADR
10.26
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 48.10 · ROC 0.81% · RS 5.15
10 Feb 2023
Entry
AAL NASDAQ · American Airlines Group
16.28
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 85.37 · ROC 2.56% · RS 8.22
10 Feb 2023
Entry
AGX NYSE · Argan Inc
37.42
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 29.47 · ROC 1.09% · RS 5.55
10 Feb 2023
Entry
AMRN NASDAQ · Amarin Corporation PLC
38.40
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 91.30 · ROC 2.88% · RS 9.22
10 Feb 2023
Entry
ARIS NYSE · Aris Mining Corporation
3.20
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 77.80 · ROC 3.37% · RS 0.60
10 Feb 2023
Entry
AVNS NYSE · Avanos Medical Inc
30.10
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 89.74 · ROC 1.68% · RS 6.90
10 Feb 2023
Entry
BEKE NYSE · Ke Holdings Inc
17.87
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 92.94 · ROC 1.85% · RS 22.83
10 Feb 2023
Entry
BYRN NASDAQ · Byrna Technologies Inc
9.59
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 62.13 · ROC 2.09% · RS 18.41
10 Feb 2023
Entry
BYSI NASDAQ · BeyondSpring Inc
2.23
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 99.12 · ROC 9.38% · RS 41.94
10 Feb 2023
Entry
CBRL NASDAQ · Cracker Barrel Old Country Store
95.03
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 54.82 · ROC 3.44% · RS 4.72
10 Feb 2023
Entry
CNXC NASDAQ · Concentrix Corporation
134.89
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 91.36 · ROC 1.04% · RS 3.73
10 Feb 2023
Entry
CRL NYSE · Charles River Laboratories
245.44
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 63.46 · ROC 1.34% · RS 2.12
10 Feb 2023
Exit
EEIQ NASDAQ · Elite Education Group International Ltd
26.07
20% entry drawdown
-23.55%
Entry 20 Jan 2023 34.10