Signal Validation

Trend Performance Index

United States equities with 4-8 positive trend weeks, a weekly close below fair value, positive Market Activity, positive 30-week SMA Rate of Change, and positive Relative Strength.

Latest week 3 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
442.32
Total Return
342.32%
CAGR
53.15% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+31.04%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.25 Sortino 3.84
Current Holdings
285
Transactions
4953 Avg 1420.0/yr · 118.3/mo · 27.3/wk
Exit Mix
2334 Stop 57.2% · Warning 42.7% · Other 0.1%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted performance model for the selected country’s equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, indicators, and Smart Money warning data.

01

Universe

Active equities from the selected country only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, and listings outside the selected market are excluded from each country index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s close when it has 4-8 positive trend signals, the close is below that week’s fair value, Market Activity, 30-week SMA 4-week Rate of Change, and Relative Strength are all above zero, and there is no Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning that week.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning or Reversal Danger Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • Positions that exit cannot re-enter during the same positive trend run; the trend signal must reset first.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

3 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
12
AIRJ NASDAQ · AirJoule Technologies Corporation
4.84 5 signals · MA 76.39 · ROC 4.24% · RS 3.81
COOK NYSE · Traeger Inc
73.83 4 signals · MA 83.35 · ROC 9.24% · RS 22.03
EDIT NASDAQ · Editas Medicine Inc
3.65 8 signals · MA 23.20 · ROC 2.51% · RS 18.52
EPC NYSE · Edgewell Personal Care Co
27.21 4 signals · MA 81.29 · ROC 5.52% · RS 19.35
JXG NASDAQ · JX Luxventure Group Inc.
10.84 4 signals · MA 84.92 · ROC 12.88% · RS 8.46
MAN NYSE · ManpowerGroup Inc
38.79 4 signals · MA 92.33 · ROC 3.87% · RS 8.61
MRDN NASDAQ · Meridian Holdings Inc
13.57 5 signals · MA 82.73 · ROC 5.93% · RS 2.64
NWL NASDAQ · Newell Brands Inc
5.83 4 signals · MA 79.52 · ROC 6.86% · RS 15.74
QMCO NASDAQ · Quantum Corporation
10.16 5 signals · MA 99.53 · ROC 9.13% · RS 7.75
SABR NASDAQ · Sabre Corpo
2.09 7 signals · MA 78.18 · ROC 2.51% · RS 3.07
TLX NASDAQ · Telix Pharmaceuticals Limited
11.87 8 signals · MA 51.65 · ROC 1.56% · RS 4.35
WYHG NASDAQ · Wing Yip Food Holdings Group Limited American Depositary Shares
4.51 4 signals · MA 72.17 · ROC 5.14% · RS 9.36

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
4
ABX NYSE · Abacus Global Management, Inc.
11.86 Reversal Risk Warning · 49.75%
ENPH NASDAQ · Enphase Energy Inc
43.07 20% entry drawdown · -23.19%
HLLY NYSE · Holley Inc
2.40 20% entry drawdown · -21.82%
STI NASDAQ · Solidion Technology Inc.
7.85 20% entry drawdown · -36.39%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 151-180 of 285 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signals Activity ROC RS
LPL NYSE · LG Display Co Ltd
25 Jul 20253.83
3.59
-6.27%
4
46.76
1.56%
1.01
LPRO NASDAQ · Open Lending Corp
19 Jun 20263.11
3.11
0.00%
4
90.68
6.39%
36.31
LVO NASDAQ · LiveOne Inc
22 May 20266.94
5.66
-18.44%
4
45.47
3.16%
3.90
LXRX NASDAQ · Lexicon Pharmaceuticals Inc
15 Aug 20251.24
2.32
87.10%
6
86.78
7.03%
12.15
LYB NYSE · LyondellBasell Industries NV
17 Apr 202665.60
53.36
-18.65%
8
97.33
5.97%
12.09
MAN NYSE · ManpowerGroup Inc
3 Jul 202638.79
38.79
New Entry week
4
92.33
3.87%
8.61
MASS NASDAQ · 908 Devices Inc
2 May 20255.60
8.69
55.18%
4
99.11
6.19%
39.45
MCFT NASDAQ · MCBC Holdings Inc
22 Aug 202521.40
23.79
11.17%
6
32.34
1.17%
3.22
MEI NYSE · Methode Electronics Inc
29 May 202611.54
15.30
32.58%
4
93.32
7.34%
34.93
MGNX NASDAQ · MacroGenics Inc
27 Feb 20261.99
4.71
136.68%
4
13.14
1.69%
13.01
MKDW NASDAQ · MKDWELL Tech Inc. Ordinary Share
5 Jun 20268.49
11.80
38.99%
4
76.62
5.56%
24.70
MKTW NASDAQ · Marketwise Inc
9 May 202513.38
18.86
40.94%
5
70.14
2.01%
4.38
MLR NYSE · Miller Industries Inc
13 Mar 202643.48
49.01
12.73%
4
46.41
0.87%
0.91
MMI NYSE · Marcus & Millichap Inc
26 Jun 202631.41
31.86
1.43%
4
60.27
0.61%
1.43
MOH NYSE · Molina Healthcare Inc
12 Jun 2026200.28
229.87
14.77%
5
78.03
2.98%
3.17
MRDN NASDAQ · Meridian Holdings Inc
3 Jul 202613.57
13.57
New Entry week
5
82.73
5.93%
2.64
MRNA NASDAQ · Moderna Inc
30 Jan 202644.07
79.76
80.98%
4
86.83
7.09%
33.42
MRTN NASDAQ · Marten Transport Ltd
27 Feb 202613.47
17.46
29.58%
4
95.83
1.03%
1.72
MRVI NASDAQ · Maravai Lifesciences Holdings Inc
29 May 20264.80
6.04
25.83%
4
90.65
5.10%
25.04
MSGM NASDAQ · Motorsport Gaming Us LLC
9 May 20252.49
4.31
73.09%
4
69.38
12.42%
52.82
MTC NASDAQ · MMTEC Inc
28 Nov 20252.72
2.74
0.74%
4
91.58
20.03%
92.27
MTUS NYSE · Metallus, Inc
22 Aug 202516.60
17.50
5.42%
6
18.52
1.25%
3.02
MUR NYSE · Murphy Oil Corporation
3 Oct 202529.54
31.88
7.94%
4
67.37
1.24%
3.44
MX NYSE · MagnaChip Semiconductor
8 May 20264.53
4.12
-9.05%
4
90.75
4.68%
25.39
NAUT NASDAQ · Nautilus Biotechnology Inc
7 Nov 20251.51
1.73
14.57%
4
89.88
7.35%
13.67
NBR NYSE · Nabors Industries Ltd.
7 Nov 202551.55
77.86
51.04%
7
87.99
4.38%
7.62
NDLS NASDAQ · Noodles & Company
10 Apr 20268.10
14.49
79.00%
4
89.67
5.88%
22.21
NERV NASDAQ · Minerva Neurosciences Inc
10 Oct 20252.35
5.10
117.02%
8
10.24
3.56%
4.66
NKTX NASDAQ · Nkarta Inc
20 Mar 20262.14
3.22
50.47%
4
50.05
1.29%
3.12
NNBR NASDAQ · NN Inc
15 May 20262.22
3.49
57.21%
4
94.94
4.89%
0.87

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 931-960 of 4953
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
14 Nov 2025
Exit
CRNC NASDAQ · Cerence Inc
8.36
20% entry drawdown
-25.82%
Entry 17 Oct 2025 11.27
14 Nov 2025
Entry
CTKB NASDAQ · Cytek Biosciences Inc
5.50
Trend inclusion
-
7 signals MA 79.06 · ROC 2.98% · RS 9.51
14 Nov 2025
Exit
FCEL NASDAQ · FuelCell Energy Inc
7.04
20% entry drawdown
-23.97%
Entry 10 Oct 2025 9.26
14 Nov 2025
Exit
GWH NYSE · ESS Tech Inc
2.76
20% entry drawdown
-37.84%
Entry 7 Nov 2025 4.44
14 Nov 2025
Entry
HLP NASDAQ · Hongli Group Inc. Ordinary Shares
1.60
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 92.42 · ROC 5.80% · RS 21.87
14 Nov 2025
Exit
IDXX NASDAQ · IDEXX Laboratories Inc
689.93
Reversal Risk Warning
54.08%
Entry 6 Jan 2023 447.77
14 Nov 2025
Exit
INTZ NASDAQ · Intrusion Inc
1.44
20% entry drawdown
-26.15%
Entry 19 Sep 2025 1.95
14 Nov 2025
Entry
IRWD NASDAQ · Ironwood Pharmaceuticals Inc
3.14
Trend inclusion
-
8 signals MA 98.96 · ROC 14.26% · RS 56.91
14 Nov 2025
Exit
KRRO NASDAQ · Korro Bio, Inc.
33.84
Price scale break
-11.16%
Entry 24 Oct 2025 38.09
14 Nov 2025
Exit
LOOP NASDAQ · Loop Industries Inc
1.14
20% entry drawdown
-30.06%
Entry 8 Aug 2025 1.63
14 Nov 2025
Exit
ONC NASDAQ · BeiGene, Ltd.
365.82
Reversal Risk Warning
90.75%
Entry 30 Aug 2024 191.78
14 Nov 2025
Exit
ORIO NASDAQ · Orion Digital Corp.
1.23
20% entry drawdown
-20.65%
Entry 1 Aug 2025 1.55
14 Nov 2025
Exit
PACB NASDAQ · Pacific Biosciences of California
1.61
20% entry drawdown
-20.30%
Entry 24 Oct 2025 2.02
14 Nov 2025
Entry
PKX NYSE · POSCO Holdings Inc
53.84
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 23.98 · ROC 2.46% · RS 0.90
14 Nov 2025
Exit
POLA NASDAQ · Polar Power Inc
2.93
20% entry drawdown
-30.40%
Entry 17 Oct 2025 4.21
14 Nov 2025
Exit
PRSO NASDAQ · Peraso Inc
0.90
20% entry drawdown
-25.69%
Entry 26 Sep 2025 1.21
14 Nov 2025
Entry
QNRX NASDAQ · Quoin Pharmaceuticals Ltd DRC
15.03
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 44.78 · ROC 8.32% · RS 14.14
14 Nov 2025
Exit
QUIK NASDAQ · QuickLogic Corporation
6.14
20% entry drawdown
-22.28%
Entry 31 Oct 2025 7.90
14 Nov 2025
Exit
RGR NYSE · Sturm Ruger & Company Inc
31.07
20% entry drawdown
-26.29%
Entry 31 Oct 2025 42.15
14 Nov 2025
Exit
RPID NASDAQ · Rapid Micro Biosystems Inc
4.21
Reversal Risk Warning
304.81%
Entry 15 Nov 2024 1.04
14 Nov 2025
Exit
RYM NASDAQ · RYTHM, Inc.
19.99
20% entry drawdown
-30.83%
Entry 22 Aug 2025 28.90
14 Nov 2025
Exit
SCOR NASDAQ · Comscore Inc
6.43
20% entry drawdown
-24.04%
Entry 3 Oct 2025 8.47
14 Nov 2025
Exit
SNSE NASDAQ · Sensei Biotherapeutics Inc
8.01
20% entry drawdown
-28.91%
Entry 10 Oct 2025 11.26
14 Nov 2025
Exit
SPPL NASDAQ · SIMPPLE LTD. Ordinary Shares
4.94
20% entry drawdown
-20.00%
Entry 17 Oct 2025 6.18
14 Nov 2025
Exit
SRFM NYSE · Surf Air Mobility Inc.
2.63
20% entry drawdown
-33.92%
Entry 5 Sep 2025 3.98
14 Nov 2025
Exit
TACT NASDAQ · TransAct Technologies Incorporated
4.20
20% entry drawdown
-20.75%
Entry 26 Sep 2025 5.30
14 Nov 2025
Exit
TRIB NASDAQ · Trinity Biotech plc
0.88
20% entry drawdown
-24.23%
Entry 5 Sep 2025 1.16
14 Nov 2025
Exit
TULP NASDAQ · Bloomia Holdings, Inc.
3.70
20% entry drawdown
-23.87%
Entry 27 Jun 2025 4.86
14 Nov 2025
Exit
VRM NASDAQ · Vroom, Inc. Common Stock
20.40
20% entry drawdown
-23.74%
Entry 21 Mar 2025 26.75
7 Nov 2025
Exit
ADXN NASDAQ · Addex Therapeutics Ltd
8.50
20% entry drawdown
-22.37%
Entry 17 Oct 2025 10.95