Signal Validation

Trend Performance Index

United States equities with 4-8 positive trend weeks, a weekly close below fair value, positive Market Activity, positive 30-week SMA Rate of Change, and positive Relative Strength.

Latest week 3 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
442.32
Total Return
342.32%
CAGR
53.15% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+31.04%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.25 Sortino 3.84
Current Holdings
285
Transactions
4953 Avg 1420.0/yr · 118.3/mo · 27.3/wk
Exit Mix
2334 Stop 57.2% · Warning 42.7% · Other 0.1%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted performance model for the selected country’s equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, indicators, and Smart Money warning data.

01

Universe

Active equities from the selected country only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, and listings outside the selected market are excluded from each country index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s close when it has 4-8 positive trend signals, the close is below that week’s fair value, Market Activity, 30-week SMA 4-week Rate of Change, and Relative Strength are all above zero, and there is no Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning that week.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning or Reversal Danger Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • Positions that exit cannot re-enter during the same positive trend run; the trend signal must reset first.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

3 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
12
AIRJ NASDAQ · AirJoule Technologies Corporation
4.84 5 signals · MA 76.39 · ROC 4.24% · RS 3.81
COOK NYSE · Traeger Inc
73.83 4 signals · MA 83.35 · ROC 9.24% · RS 22.03
EDIT NASDAQ · Editas Medicine Inc
3.65 8 signals · MA 23.20 · ROC 2.51% · RS 18.52
EPC NYSE · Edgewell Personal Care Co
27.21 4 signals · MA 81.29 · ROC 5.52% · RS 19.35
JXG NASDAQ · JX Luxventure Group Inc.
10.84 4 signals · MA 84.92 · ROC 12.88% · RS 8.46
MAN NYSE · ManpowerGroup Inc
38.79 4 signals · MA 92.33 · ROC 3.87% · RS 8.61
MRDN NASDAQ · Meridian Holdings Inc
13.57 5 signals · MA 82.73 · ROC 5.93% · RS 2.64
NWL NASDAQ · Newell Brands Inc
5.83 4 signals · MA 79.52 · ROC 6.86% · RS 15.74
QMCO NASDAQ · Quantum Corporation
10.16 5 signals · MA 99.53 · ROC 9.13% · RS 7.75
SABR NASDAQ · Sabre Corpo
2.09 7 signals · MA 78.18 · ROC 2.51% · RS 3.07
TLX NASDAQ · Telix Pharmaceuticals Limited
11.87 8 signals · MA 51.65 · ROC 1.56% · RS 4.35
WYHG NASDAQ · Wing Yip Food Holdings Group Limited American Depositary Shares
4.51 4 signals · MA 72.17 · ROC 5.14% · RS 9.36

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
4
ABX NYSE · Abacus Global Management, Inc.
11.86 Reversal Risk Warning · 49.75%
ENPH NASDAQ · Enphase Energy Inc
43.07 20% entry drawdown · -23.19%
HLLY NYSE · Holley Inc
2.40 20% entry drawdown · -21.82%
STI NASDAQ · Solidion Technology Inc.
7.85 20% entry drawdown · -36.39%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 151-180 of 285 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signals Activity ROC RS
LPL NYSE · LG Display Co Ltd
25 Jul 20253.83
3.59
-6.27%
4
46.76
1.56%
1.01
LPRO NASDAQ · Open Lending Corp
19 Jun 20263.11
3.11
0.00%
4
90.68
6.39%
36.31
LVO NASDAQ · LiveOne Inc
22 May 20266.94
5.66
-18.44%
4
45.47
3.16%
3.90
LXRX NASDAQ · Lexicon Pharmaceuticals Inc
15 Aug 20251.24
2.32
87.10%
6
86.78
7.03%
12.15
LYB NYSE · LyondellBasell Industries NV
17 Apr 202665.60
53.36
-18.65%
8
97.33
5.97%
12.09
MAN NYSE · ManpowerGroup Inc
3 Jul 202638.79
38.79
New Entry week
4
92.33
3.87%
8.61
MASS NASDAQ · 908 Devices Inc
2 May 20255.60
8.69
55.18%
4
99.11
6.19%
39.45
MCFT NASDAQ · MCBC Holdings Inc
22 Aug 202521.40
23.79
11.17%
6
32.34
1.17%
3.22
MEI NYSE · Methode Electronics Inc
29 May 202611.54
15.30
32.58%
4
93.32
7.34%
34.93
MGNX NASDAQ · MacroGenics Inc
27 Feb 20261.99
4.71
136.68%
4
13.14
1.69%
13.01
MKDW NASDAQ · MKDWELL Tech Inc. Ordinary Share
5 Jun 20268.49
11.80
38.99%
4
76.62
5.56%
24.70
MKTW NASDAQ · Marketwise Inc
9 May 202513.38
18.86
40.94%
5
70.14
2.01%
4.38
MLR NYSE · Miller Industries Inc
13 Mar 202643.48
49.01
12.73%
4
46.41
0.87%
0.91
MMI NYSE · Marcus & Millichap Inc
26 Jun 202631.41
31.86
1.43%
4
60.27
0.61%
1.43
MOH NYSE · Molina Healthcare Inc
12 Jun 2026200.28
229.87
14.77%
5
78.03
2.98%
3.17
MRDN NASDAQ · Meridian Holdings Inc
3 Jul 202613.57
13.57
New Entry week
5
82.73
5.93%
2.64
MRNA NASDAQ · Moderna Inc
30 Jan 202644.07
79.76
80.98%
4
86.83
7.09%
33.42
MRTN NASDAQ · Marten Transport Ltd
27 Feb 202613.47
17.46
29.58%
4
95.83
1.03%
1.72
MRVI NASDAQ · Maravai Lifesciences Holdings Inc
29 May 20264.80
6.04
25.83%
4
90.65
5.10%
25.04
MSGM NASDAQ · Motorsport Gaming Us LLC
9 May 20252.49
4.31
73.09%
4
69.38
12.42%
52.82
MTC NASDAQ · MMTEC Inc
28 Nov 20252.72
2.74
0.74%
4
91.58
20.03%
92.27
MTUS NYSE · Metallus, Inc
22 Aug 202516.60
17.50
5.42%
6
18.52
1.25%
3.02
MUR NYSE · Murphy Oil Corporation
3 Oct 202529.54
31.88
7.94%
4
67.37
1.24%
3.44
MX NYSE · MagnaChip Semiconductor
8 May 20264.53
4.12
-9.05%
4
90.75
4.68%
25.39
NAUT NASDAQ · Nautilus Biotechnology Inc
7 Nov 20251.51
1.73
14.57%
4
89.88
7.35%
13.67
NBR NYSE · Nabors Industries Ltd.
7 Nov 202551.55
77.86
51.04%
7
87.99
4.38%
7.62
NDLS NASDAQ · Noodles & Company
10 Apr 20268.10
14.49
79.00%
4
89.67
5.88%
22.21
NERV NASDAQ · Minerva Neurosciences Inc
10 Oct 20252.35
5.10
117.02%
8
10.24
3.56%
4.66
NKTX NASDAQ · Nkarta Inc
20 Mar 20262.14
3.22
50.47%
4
50.05
1.29%
3.12
NNBR NASDAQ · NN Inc
15 May 20262.22
3.49
57.21%
4
94.94
4.89%
0.87

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 1141-1170 of 4953
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
10 Oct 2025
Exit
NTGR NASDAQ · NETGEAR Inc
35.18
Reversal Risk Warning
116.76%
Entry 30 Aug 2024 16.23
10 Oct 2025
Exit
OPAD NYSE · Offerpad Solutions Inc
28.80
20% entry drawdown
-36.14%
Entry 26 Sep 2025 45.10
10 Oct 2025
Entry
OPTX NASDAQ · Syntec Optics Holdings Inc.
1.90
Trend inclusion
-
7 signals MA 14.19 · ROC 2.81% · RS 4.83
10 Oct 2025
Exit
PKX NYSE · POSCO Holdings Inc
44.78
20% entry drawdown
-21.80%
Entry 11 Jul 2025 57.27
10 Oct 2025
Exit
PLUR NASDAQ · Pluri Inc.
4.39
20% entry drawdown
-22.80%
Entry 22 Aug 2025 5.68
10 Oct 2025
Exit
PSNYW NASDAQ · Polestar Automotive Holding UK PLC Class C-1 ADS (ADW)
6.30
20% entry drawdown
-27.08%
Entry 26 Sep 2025 8.64
10 Oct 2025
Exit
SES NYSE · SES AI Corp
3.02
Reversal Risk Warning
91.14%
Entry 19 Sep 2025 1.58
10 Oct 2025
Entry
SILC NASDAQ · Silicom
17.81
Trend inclusion
-
8 signals MA 59.76 · ROC 1.40% · RS 1.87
10 Oct 2025
Entry
SNDX NASDAQ · Syndax Pharmaceuticals Inc
16.06
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 47.94 · ROC 1.01% · RS 3.38
10 Oct 2025
Entry
SNSE NASDAQ · Sensei Biotherapeutics Inc
11.26
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 50.68 · ROC 0.94% · RS 12.96
10 Oct 2025
Entry
STTK NASDAQ · Shattuck Labs Inc
1.84
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 96.18 · ROC 11.77% · RS 39.24
10 Oct 2025
Entry
TENX NASDAQ · Tenax Therapeutics Inc
7.46
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 48.64 · ROC 1.85% · RS 10.66
10 Oct 2025
Exit
UAMY NYSE · United States Antimony Corporation
12.21
Reversal Risk Warning
3387.57%
Entry 26 Jul 2024 0.35
10 Oct 2025
Entry
YJ NASDAQ · Yunji Inc
2.04
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 30.16 · ROC 0.76% · RS 1.50
3 Oct 2025
Entry
ALXO NASDAQ · Alx Oncology Holdings
2.18
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 98.59 · ROC 9.52% · RS 81.95
3 Oct 2025
Entry
ANRO NYSE · Alto Neuroscience, Inc.
6.89
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 54.23 · ROC 6.53% · RS 61.20
3 Oct 2025
Exit
APP NASDAQ · Applovin Corp
682.76
Reversal Risk Warning
2651.95%
Entry 2 Jun 2023 24.81
3 Oct 2025
Entry
CCSI NASDAQ · Consensus Cloud Solutions Inc
27.81
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 89.91 · ROC 1.29% · RS 0.71
3 Oct 2025
Entry
CLNE NASDAQ · Clean Energy Fuels Corp
2.73
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 79.19 · ROC 1.41% · RS 0.04
3 Oct 2025
Entry
CNET NASDAQ · ZW Data Action Technologies Inc
2.55
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 88.22 · ROC 5.81% · RS 34.46
3 Oct 2025
Entry
CRBP NASDAQ · Corbus Pharmaceuticals Holding
14.83
Trend inclusion
-
8 signals MA 71.85 · ROC 7.22% · RS 21.77
3 Oct 2025
Entry
DNA NYSE · Ginkgo Bioworks Holdings
16.14
Trend inclusion
-
8 signals MA 45.33 · ROC 2.72% · RS 47.96
3 Oct 2025
Entry
ERAS NASDAQ · Erasca Inc
2.42
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 62.86 · ROC 4.67% · RS 12.03
3 Oct 2025
Entry
EVAX NASDAQ · Evaxion Biotech AS
5.43
Trend inclusion
-
8 signals MA 66.65 · ROC 9.86% · RS 11.40
3 Oct 2025
Entry
FLNC NASDAQ · Fluence Energy Inc
13.79
Trend inclusion
-
7 signals MA 75.43 · ROC 9.42% · RS 13.08
3 Oct 2025
Entry
GGRP NASDAQ · The Glimpse Group, Inc.
1.74
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 55.68 · ROC 1.76% · RS 7.23
3 Oct 2025
Exit
GRMN NYSE · Garmin Ltd
253.85
Reversal Risk Warning
181.05%
Entry 17 Mar 2023 90.32
3 Oct 2025
Entry
IQ NASDAQ · iQIYI Inc
2.47
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 76.02 · ROC 1.81% · RS 0.50
3 Oct 2025
Exit
LENZ NASDAQ · LENZ Therapeutics Inc
48.74
Reversal Risk Warning
185.82%
Entry 1 Mar 2024 17.05
3 Oct 2025
Entry
LRMR NASDAQ · Larimar Therapeutics Inc
4.87
Trend inclusion
-
8 signals MA 86.66 · ROC 6.36% · RS 6.13