View US ETF Index View Market Dynamics

Signal Validation

Trend Performance Index

United States equities with 4-8 positive trend weeks, a weekly close below fair value, positive Market Activity, positive 30-week SMA Rate of Change, and positive Relative Strength.

Latest week 3 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
442.32
Total Return
342.32%
CAGR
53.15% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+31.04%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.25 Sortino 3.84
Current Holdings
285
Transactions
4953 Avg 1420.0/yr · 118.3/mo · 27.3/wk
Exit Mix
2334 Stop 57.2% · Warning 42.7% · Other 0.1%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted performance model for the selected country’s equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, indicators, and Smart Money warning data.

01

Universe

Active equities from the selected country only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, and listings outside the selected market are excluded from each country index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s close when it has 4-8 positive trend signals, the close is below that week’s fair value, Market Activity, 30-week SMA 4-week Rate of Change, and Relative Strength are all above zero, and there is no Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning that week.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning or Reversal Danger Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • Positions that exit cannot re-enter during the same positive trend run; the trend signal must reset first.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

3 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
12
AIRJ NASDAQ · AirJoule Technologies Corporation
4.84 5 signals · MA 76.39 · ROC 4.24% · RS 3.81
COOK NYSE · Traeger Inc
73.83 4 signals · MA 83.35 · ROC 9.24% · RS 22.03
EDIT NASDAQ · Editas Medicine Inc
3.65 8 signals · MA 23.20 · ROC 2.51% · RS 18.52
EPC NYSE · Edgewell Personal Care Co
27.21 4 signals · MA 81.29 · ROC 5.52% · RS 19.35
JXG NASDAQ · JX Luxventure Group Inc.
10.84 4 signals · MA 84.92 · ROC 12.88% · RS 8.46
MAN NYSE · ManpowerGroup Inc
38.79 4 signals · MA 92.33 · ROC 3.87% · RS 8.61
MRDN NASDAQ · Meridian Holdings Inc
13.57 5 signals · MA 82.73 · ROC 5.93% · RS 2.64
NWL NASDAQ · Newell Brands Inc
5.83 4 signals · MA 79.52 · ROC 6.86% · RS 15.74
QMCO NASDAQ · Quantum Corporation
10.16 5 signals · MA 99.53 · ROC 9.13% · RS 7.75
SABR NASDAQ · Sabre Corpo
2.09 7 signals · MA 78.18 · ROC 2.51% · RS 3.07
TLX NASDAQ · Telix Pharmaceuticals Limited
11.87 8 signals · MA 51.65 · ROC 1.56% · RS 4.35
WYHG NASDAQ · Wing Yip Food Holdings Group Limited American Depositary Shares
4.51 4 signals · MA 72.17 · ROC 5.14% · RS 9.36

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
4
ABX NYSE · Abacus Global Management, Inc.
11.86 Reversal Risk Warning · 49.75%
ENPH NASDAQ · Enphase Energy Inc
43.07 20% entry drawdown · -23.19%
HLLY NYSE · Holley Inc
2.40 20% entry drawdown · -21.82%
STI NASDAQ · Solidion Technology Inc.
7.85 20% entry drawdown · -36.39%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 151-180 of 285 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signals Activity ROC RS
LPL NYSE · LG Display Co Ltd
25 Jul 20253.83
3.59
-6.27%
4
46.76
1.56%
1.01
LPRO NASDAQ · Open Lending Corp
19 Jun 20263.11
3.11
0.00%
4
90.68
6.39%
36.31
LVO NASDAQ · LiveOne Inc
22 May 20266.94
5.66
-18.44%
4
45.47
3.16%
3.90
LXRX NASDAQ · Lexicon Pharmaceuticals Inc
15 Aug 20251.24
2.32
87.10%
6
86.78
7.03%
12.15
LYB NYSE · LyondellBasell Industries NV
17 Apr 202665.60
53.36
-18.65%
8
97.33
5.97%
12.09
MAN NYSE · ManpowerGroup Inc
3 Jul 202638.79
38.79
New Entry week
4
92.33
3.87%
8.61
MASS NASDAQ · 908 Devices Inc
2 May 20255.60
8.69
55.18%
4
99.11
6.19%
39.45
MCFT NASDAQ · MCBC Holdings Inc
22 Aug 202521.40
23.79
11.17%
6
32.34
1.17%
3.22
MEI NYSE · Methode Electronics Inc
29 May 202611.54
15.30
32.58%
4
93.32
7.34%
34.93
MGNX NASDAQ · MacroGenics Inc
27 Feb 20261.99
4.71
136.68%
4
13.14
1.69%
13.01
MKDW NASDAQ · MKDWELL Tech Inc. Ordinary Share
5 Jun 20268.49
11.80
38.99%
4
76.62
5.56%
24.70
MKTW NASDAQ · Marketwise Inc
9 May 202513.38
18.86
40.94%
5
70.14
2.01%
4.38
MLR NYSE · Miller Industries Inc
13 Mar 202643.48
49.01
12.73%
4
46.41
0.87%
0.91
MMI NYSE · Marcus & Millichap Inc
26 Jun 202631.41
31.86
1.43%
4
60.27
0.61%
1.43
MOH NYSE · Molina Healthcare Inc
12 Jun 2026200.28
229.87
14.77%
5
78.03
2.98%
3.17
MRDN NASDAQ · Meridian Holdings Inc
3 Jul 202613.57
13.57
New Entry week
5
82.73
5.93%
2.64
MRNA NASDAQ · Moderna Inc
30 Jan 202644.07
79.76
80.98%
4
86.83
7.09%
33.42
MRTN NASDAQ · Marten Transport Ltd
27 Feb 202613.47
17.46
29.58%
4
95.83
1.03%
1.72
MRVI NASDAQ · Maravai Lifesciences Holdings Inc
29 May 20264.80
6.04
25.83%
4
90.65
5.10%
25.04
MSGM NASDAQ · Motorsport Gaming Us LLC
9 May 20252.49
4.31
73.09%
4
69.38
12.42%
52.82
MTC NASDAQ · MMTEC Inc
28 Nov 20252.72
2.74
0.74%
4
91.58
20.03%
92.27
MTUS NYSE · Metallus, Inc
22 Aug 202516.60
17.50
5.42%
6
18.52
1.25%
3.02
MUR NYSE · Murphy Oil Corporation
3 Oct 202529.54
31.88
7.94%
4
67.37
1.24%
3.44
MX NYSE · MagnaChip Semiconductor
8 May 20264.53
4.12
-9.05%
4
90.75
4.68%
25.39
NAUT NASDAQ · Nautilus Biotechnology Inc
7 Nov 20251.51
1.73
14.57%
4
89.88
7.35%
13.67
NBR NYSE · Nabors Industries Ltd.
7 Nov 202551.55
77.86
51.04%
7
87.99
4.38%
7.62
NDLS NASDAQ · Noodles & Company
10 Apr 20268.10
14.49
79.00%
4
89.67
5.88%
22.21
NERV NASDAQ · Minerva Neurosciences Inc
10 Oct 20252.35
5.10
117.02%
8
10.24
3.56%
4.66
NKTX NASDAQ · Nkarta Inc
20 Mar 20262.14
3.22
50.47%
4
50.05
1.29%
3.12
NNBR NASDAQ · NN Inc
15 May 20262.22
3.49
57.21%
4
94.94
4.89%
0.87

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 1201-1230 of 4953
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
26 Sep 2025
Entry
CTNM NASDAQ · Contineum Therapeutics, Inc. Class A Common Stock
11.92
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 98.30 · ROC 10.17% · RS 10.55
26 Sep 2025
Entry
DLTH NASDAQ · Duluth Holdings Inc
3.54
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 94.79 · ROC 5.27% · RS 13.86
26 Sep 2025
Exit
EYE NASDAQ · National Vision Holdings Inc
28.54
Reversal Risk Warning
119.20%
Entry 21 Mar 2025 13.02
26 Sep 2025
Entry
FBRX NASDAQ · Forte Biosciences Inc
13.84
Trend inclusion
-
7 signals MA 48.78 · ROC 1.81% · RS 7.30
26 Sep 2025
Entry
FGI NASDAQ · FGI Industries Ltd
6.23
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 83.87 · ROC 4.88% · RS 37.11
26 Sep 2025
Entry
GRWG NASDAQ · GrowGeneration Corp
1.65
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 65.96 · ROC 3.28% · RS 1.39
26 Sep 2025
Entry
HOWL NASDAQ · Werewolf Therapeutics Inc
2.07
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 77.73 · ROC 2.51% · RS 26.14
26 Sep 2025
Entry
HWH NASDAQ · HWH International Inc
2.76
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 71.43 · ROC 17.30% · RS 7.54
26 Sep 2025
Exit
III NASDAQ · Information Services Group Inc
5.79
Reversal Risk Warning
76.16%
Entry 11 Apr 2025 3.29
26 Sep 2025
Entry
INNV NASDAQ · InnovAge Holding Corp
4.80
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 73.43 · ROC 4.27% · RS 3.43
26 Sep 2025
Entry
INTG NASDAQ · The Intergroup Corporation
18.42
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 96.35 · ROC 5.66% · RS 17.63
26 Sep 2025
Entry
LITB NYSE · LightInTheBox Holding Co Ltd ARD
1.91
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 85.81 · ROC 9.47% · RS 10.70
26 Sep 2025
Entry
LXEO NASDAQ · Lexeo Therapeutics, Inc. Common Stock
6.77
Trend inclusion
-
7 signals MA 73.57 · ROC 5.28% · RS 14.91
26 Sep 2025
Entry
MOV NYSE · Movado Group Inc
18.09
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 76.55 · ROC 0.94% · RS 0.20
26 Sep 2025
Entry
NRXP NASDAQ · NRX Pharmaceuticals Inc
2.95
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 10.67 · ROC 1.46% · RS 8.48
26 Sep 2025
Entry
ODP NASDAQ · ODP Corp
27.98
Trend inclusion
-
7 signals MA 90.18 · ROC 3.37% · RS 17.03
26 Sep 2025
Entry
OPAD NYSE · Offerpad Solutions Inc
45.10
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 34.63 · ROC 21.24% · RS 67.87
26 Sep 2025
Entry
ORBS NASDAQ · Eightco Holdings Inc.
11.49
Trend inclusion
-
7 signals MA 35.84 · ROC 85.53% · RS 369.43
26 Sep 2025
Entry
PLUG NASDAQ · Plug Power Inc
2.37
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 43.65 · ROC 1.63% · RS 21.30
26 Sep 2025
Entry
PRLD NASDAQ · Prelude Therapeutics Inc
1.50
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 73.33 · ROC 4.75% · RS 25.67
26 Sep 2025
Entry
PRSO NASDAQ · Peraso Inc
1.21
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 81.16 · ROC 5.17% · RS 2.35
26 Sep 2025
Entry
PSNYW NASDAQ · Polestar Automotive Holding UK PLC Class C-1 ADS (ADW)
8.64
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 63.56 · ROC 8.81% · RS 29.26
26 Sep 2025
Entry
RLAY NASDAQ · Relay Therapeutics Inc
5.17
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 82.55 · ROC 2.42% · RS 11.33
26 Sep 2025
Entry
SINT NASDAQ · SINTX Technologies Inc
4.54
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 10.34 · ROC 5.01% · RS 21.48
26 Sep 2025
Entry
SMHI NYSE · SEACOR Marine Holdings Inc
6.91
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 63.72 · ROC 0.75% · RS 0.35
26 Sep 2025
Entry
TACT NASDAQ · TransAct Technologies Incorporated
5.30
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 78.69 · ROC 1.92% · RS 13.78
26 Sep 2025
Entry
TE NYSE · T1 Energy Inc.
2.20
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 78.13 · ROC 1.88% · RS 23.26
26 Sep 2025
Entry
TNYA NASDAQ · Tenaya Therapeutics Inc
1.66
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 98.49 · ROC 6.33% · RS 19.30
26 Sep 2025
Entry
TORO NASDAQ · Toro Ltd
2.01
Trend inclusion
-
7 signals MA 26.55 · ROC 1.53% · RS 6.69
26 Sep 2025
Exit
UPXI NASDAQ · Upexi Inc.
5.22
20% entry drawdown
-22.80%
Entry 12 Sep 2025 6.76