Universe
Active equities from the selected country only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, and listings outside the selected market are excluded from each country index.
Signal Validation
Trend Performance Index
United States equities with 4-8 positive trend weeks, a weekly close below fair value, positive Market Activity, positive 30-week SMA Rate of Change, and positive Relative Strength.
Index Value
437.28
Total Return
337.28%
CAGR
52.30%
Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+29.85%/yr
Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.23
Sortino 3.79
Current Holdings
283
Transactions
4969
Avg 1416.8/yr ·
118.1/mo ·
27.2/wk
Exit Mix
2343
Stop 57.3% ·
Warning 42.6%
· Other 0.1%
Method
How The Index Works
The index is a weekly, equal-weighted performance model for the selected country’s equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, indicators, and Smart Money warning data.
Entry Rule
A stock enters at that week’s close when it has 4-8 positive trend signals, the close is below that week’s fair value, Market Activity, 30-week SMA 4-week Rate of Change, and Relative Strength are all above zero, and there is no Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning that week.
Exit Rule
A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning or Reversal Danger Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.
Return Math
Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.
Assumptions
- Positions that exit cannot re-enter during the same positive trend run; the trend signal must reset first.
- New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
- Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
- Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
- Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.
Weekly Index
Cumulative Value
Latest Week
Positions In And Out
New Positions In
Entries at weekly close
AMCX
NASDAQ · AMC Networks Inc
9.92
4 signals · MA 47.92 · ROC 1.23% · RS 4.42
BFRI
NASDAQ · Biofrontera Inc
1.10
4 signals · MA 27.02 · ROC 3.25% · RS 2.20
FIVN
NASDAQ · Five9 Inc
25.42
6 signals · MA 41.93 · ROC 1.63% · RS 2.87
HPP
NYSE · Hudson Pacific Properties Inc
15.18
4 signals · MA 83.69 · ROC 3.64% · RS 4.60
IFBD
NASDAQ · Infobird Co Ltd
1.21
4 signals · MA 0.63 · ROC 1.78% · RS 2.44
S
NYSE · SentinelOne Inc
17.88
6 signals · MA 36.82 · ROC 1.09% · RS 1.09
STFS
NASDAQ · Star Fashion Culture Holdings Limited
18.29
8 signals · MA 81.90 · ROC 18.63% · RS 12.34
SXC
NYSE · SunCoke Energy Inc
8.22
7 signals · MA 32.21 · ROC 3.23% · RS 1.72
Positions Out
Closed at weekly close
ACDC
NASDAQ · ProFrac Holding Corp.
4.92
20% entry drawdown · -23.36%
AMR
NYSE · Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc
146.69
20% entry drawdown · -23.81%
IPWR
NASDAQ · Ideal Power Inc
4.57
20% entry drawdown · -25.08%
KELYB
NASDAQ · Kelly Services B Inc
23.95
Reversal Risk Warning · 89.47%
LAND
NASDAQ · Gladstone Land Corporation
8.56
20% entry drawdown · -20.43%
LESL
NASDAQ · Leslies Inc
6.24
20% entry drawdown · -34.93%
LVO
NASDAQ · LiveOne Inc
5.23
20% entry drawdown · -24.64%
TROX
NYSE · Tronox Holdings PLC
6.14
20% entry drawdown · -20.79%
UNCY
NASDAQ · Unicycive Therapeutics Inc
5.21
20% entry drawdown · -22.12%
XWEL
NASDAQ · XWELL Inc.
0.95
20% entry drawdown · -25.57%
Live Book
Current Holdings
Ticker
Entry
Last Close
Return
Signals
Activity
ROC
RS
LPRO
NASDAQ · Open Lending Corp
19 Jun 20263.11
3.12
0.32%
4
89.96
6.39%
36.31
LXRX
NASDAQ · Lexicon Pharmaceuticals Inc
15 Aug 20251.24
2.22
79.03%
6
86.78
7.03%
12.15
LYB
NYSE · LyondellBasell Industries NV
17 Apr 202665.60
56.35
-14.10%
8
97.33
5.97%
12.09
MAN
NYSE · ManpowerGroup Inc
3 Jul 202638.79
38.71
-0.21%
4
92.24
3.87%
8.61
MASS
NASDAQ · 908 Devices Inc
2 May 20255.60
8.10
44.64%
4
99.11
6.19%
39.45
MCFT
NASDAQ · MCBC Holdings Inc
22 Aug 202521.40
24.15
12.85%
6
32.34
1.17%
3.22
MEI
NYSE · Methode Electronics Inc
29 May 202611.54
15.80
36.92%
4
93.32
7.34%
34.93
MGNX
NASDAQ · MacroGenics Inc
27 Feb 20261.99
4.33
117.59%
4
13.14
1.69%
13.01
MKDW
NASDAQ · MKDWELL Tech Inc. Ordinary Share
5 Jun 20268.49
11.70
37.81%
4
76.53
5.56%
24.70
MKTW
NASDAQ · Marketwise Inc
9 May 202513.38
20.16
50.65%
5
70.14
2.01%
4.38
MLR
NYSE · Miller Industries Inc
13 Mar 202643.48
48.99
12.68%
4
46.41
0.87%
0.91
MMI
NYSE · Marcus & Millichap Inc
26 Jun 202631.41
30.68
-2.32%
4
60.27
0.61%
1.43
MOH
NYSE · Molina Healthcare Inc
12 Jun 2026200.28
233.31
16.49%
5
78.00
2.98%
3.17
MRDN
NASDAQ · Meridian Holdings Inc
3 Jul 202613.57
14.08
3.76%
5
82.73
5.93%
2.64
MRNA
NASDAQ · Moderna Inc
30 Jan 202644.07
68.27
54.91%
4
86.83
7.09%
33.42
MRTN
NASDAQ · Marten Transport Ltd
27 Feb 202613.47
17.15
27.28%
4
95.83
1.03%
1.72
MRVI
NASDAQ · Maravai Lifesciences Holdings Inc
29 May 20264.80
6.09
26.88%
4
90.65
5.10%
25.04
MSGM
NASDAQ · Motorsport Gaming Us LLC
9 May 20252.49
4.61
85.14%
4
69.38
12.42%
52.82
MTC
NASDAQ · MMTEC Inc
28 Nov 20252.72
2.44
-10.29%
4
91.58
20.03%
92.27
MTUS
NYSE · Metallus, Inc
22 Aug 202516.60
19.06
14.82%
6
18.52
1.25%
3.02
MUR
NYSE · Murphy Oil Corporation
3 Oct 202529.54
33.75
14.27%
4
67.37
1.24%
3.44
MX
NYSE · MagnaChip Semiconductor
8 May 20264.53
4.02
-11.26%
4
90.75
4.68%
25.39
NAUT
NASDAQ · Nautilus Biotechnology Inc
7 Nov 20251.51
1.89
25.17%
4
89.88
7.35%
13.67
NBR
NYSE · Nabors Industries Ltd.
7 Nov 202551.55
82.09
59.24%
7
87.99
4.38%
7.62
NDLS
NASDAQ · Noodles & Company
10 Apr 20268.10
12.53
54.79%
4
89.67
5.88%
22.21
NERV
NASDAQ · Minerva Neurosciences Inc
10 Oct 20252.35
4.72
100.85%
8
10.24
3.56%
4.66
NKTX
NASDAQ · Nkarta Inc
20 Mar 20262.14
2.97
38.79%
4
50.05
1.29%
3.12
NNBR
NASDAQ · NN Inc
15 May 20262.22
3.48
56.76%
4
94.94
4.89%
0.87
NRC
NASDAQ · National Research Corp
22 May 202618.93
21.65
14.34%
8
82.86
5.64%
0.52
NRT
NYSE · North European Oil Royalty Trust
6 Jun 20254.45
7.31
64.21%
5
38.40
0.92%
4.51
Ledger
Transaction History
Date
Action
Ticker
Price
Reason
Return
Qualifiers
5 Jul 2024
Exit
TIL
NASDAQ · Instil Bio Inc.
9.89
20% entry drawdown
-20.31%
Entry 15 Mar 2024
12.41
28 Jun 2024
Exit
ALAR
NASDAQ · Alarum Technologies Ltd.
41.71
Reversal Risk Warning
977.78%
Entry 8 Sep 2023
3.87
28 Jun 2024
Exit
BLIN
NASDAQ · Bridgeline Digital Inc
0.92
20% entry drawdown
-20.69%
Entry 29 Mar 2024
1.16
28 Jun 2024
Entry
DOYU
NASDAQ · DouYu International Holdings
1.51
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals
MA 36.32 · ROC 2.88% · RS 1.48
28 Jun 2024
Entry
FTK
NYSE · Flotek Industries Inc
4.91
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals
MA 80.22 · ROC 3.28% · RS 6.71
28 Jun 2024
Exit
HTCO
NASDAQ · Caravelle International Group
14.15
20% entry drawdown
-21.42%
Entry 10 May 2024
18.00
28 Jun 2024
Exit
INDP
NASDAQ · Indaptus Therapeutics Inc
59.36
20% entry drawdown
-20.00%
Entry 7 Jun 2024
74.20
28 Jun 2024
Entry
LMFA
NASDAQ · LM Funding America Inc
4.05
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals
MA 43.89 · ROC 13.35% · RS 7.00
28 Jun 2024
Entry
NCTY
NASDAQ · The9 Ltd ADR
8.73
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals
MA 85.97 · ROC 2.12% · RS 5.33
28 Jun 2024
Exit
RENT
NASDAQ · Rent the Runway Inc
17.57
20% entry drawdown
-24.33%
Entry 7 Jun 2024
23.22
28 Jun 2024
Entry
TISI
NYSE · Team Inc
8.88
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals
MA 85.89 · ROC 2.94% · RS 0.80
28 Jun 2024
Exit
TLPH
NASDAQ · Talphera Inc.
0.89
20% entry drawdown
-20.89%
Entry 8 Mar 2024
1.13
28 Jun 2024
Exit
TSHA
NASDAQ · Taysha Gene Therapies Inc
2.24
20% entry drawdown
-27.51%
Entry 17 May 2024
3.09
21 Jun 2024
Exit
ABSI
NASDAQ · Absci Corp
3.02
20% entry drawdown
-24.31%
Entry 12 Jan 2024
3.99
21 Jun 2024
Entry
AOSL
NASDAQ · Alpha and Omega Semiconductor Ltd
32.49
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals
MA 58.51 · ROC 4.15% · RS 1.94
21 Jun 2024
Exit
AVIR
NASDAQ · Atea Pharmaceuticals Inc
3.44
20% entry drawdown
-22.70%
Entry 1 Mar 2024
4.45
21 Jun 2024
Entry
BILI
NASDAQ · Bilibili Inc
18.14
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals
MA 55.45 · ROC 1.23% · RS 14.55
21 Jun 2024
Exit
CCO
NYSE · Clear Channel Outdoor Holdings Inc
1.33
20% entry drawdown
-20.36%
Entry 12 Jan 2024
1.67
21 Jun 2024
Entry
COCP
NASDAQ · Cocrystal Pharma Inc
2.66
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals
MA 97.09 · ROC 6.08% · RS 13.90
21 Jun 2024
Exit
EVLV
NASDAQ · Evolv Technologies Holdings Inc
2.24
20% entry drawdown
-21.13%
Entry 17 Feb 2023
2.84
21 Jun 2024
Entry
FNKO
NASDAQ · Funko Inc
10.22
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals
MA 91.28 · ROC 4.49% · RS 15.63
21 Jun 2024
Exit
GEG
NASDAQ · Great Elm Group Inc
1.74
20% entry drawdown
-20.37%
Entry 17 Feb 2023
2.19
21 Jun 2024
Entry
GME
NYSE · GameStop Corp.
23.93
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals
MA 98.38 · ROC 11.90% · RS 22.34
21 Jun 2024
Entry
GPRK
NYSE · GeoPark Ltd
9.65
Trend inclusion
-
7 signals
MA 64.31 · ROC 1.84% · RS 0.16
21 Jun 2024
Exit
LTRN
NASDAQ · Lantern Pharma Inc
4.15
20% entry drawdown
-35.05%
Entry 12 Apr 2024
6.39
21 Jun 2024
Entry
MOGU
NYSE · MOGU Inc
2.83
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals
MA 49.57 · ROC 4.40% · RS 17.19
21 Jun 2024
Entry
NVAX
NASDAQ · Novavax Inc
14.00
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals
MA 98.68 · ROC 21.66% · RS 66.22
21 Jun 2024
Exit
PSTV
NASDAQ · Plus Therapeutics Inc
45.00
20% entry drawdown
-23.40%
Entry 7 Jun 2024
58.75
21 Jun 2024
Exit
QTEX
NASDAQ · QTREX Quantum Ltd.
1.34
20% entry drawdown
-25.56%
Entry 19 Apr 2024
1.80
21 Jun 2024
Exit
RVLV
NYSE · Revolve Group LLC
15.44
20% entry drawdown
-25.01%
Entry 8 Mar 2024
20.59