View US ETF Index View Market Dynamics

Signal Validation

Trend Performance Index

United States equities with 4-8 positive trend weeks, a weekly close below fair value, positive Market Activity, positive 30-week SMA Rate of Change, and positive Relative Strength.

Latest week 17 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
434.12
Total Return
334.12%
CAGR
51.64% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+29.86%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.21 Sortino 3.76
Current Holdings
271
Transactions
5001 Avg 1418.2/yr · 118.2/mo · 27.3/wk
Exit Mix
2365 Stop 57.3% · Warning 42.3% · Other 0.4%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted performance model for the selected country’s equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, indicators, and Smart Money warning data.

01

Universe

Active equities from the selected country only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, and listings outside the selected market are excluded from each country index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s close when it has 4-8 positive trend signals, the close is below that week’s fair value, Market Activity, 30-week SMA 4-week Rate of Change, and Relative Strength are all above zero, and there is no Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning that week.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning or Reversal Danger Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • Positions that exit cannot re-enter during the same positive trend run; the trend signal must reset first.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

17 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
10
ACCO NYSE · Acco Brands Corporation
4.08 8 signals · MA 74.29 · ROC 2.23% · RS 3.33
BHVN NYSE · Biohaven Ltd.
15.44 4 signals · MA 87.92 · ROC 6.50% · RS 14.78
BOC NYSE · Boston Omaha Corp
14.14 4 signals · MA 88.83 · ROC 1.32% · RS 0.95
FATN NASDAQ · FatPipe, Inc. Common Stock
4.54 8 signals · MA 39.45 · ROC 12.74% · RS 2.11
HOG NYSE · Harley-Davidson Inc
26.58 8 signals · MA 56.36 · ROC 2.03% · RS 3.60
JHX NYSE · James Hardie Industries PLC ADR
25.82 4 signals · MA 74.43 · ROC 3.39% · RS 7.54
LGIH NASDAQ · LGI Homes
58.48 4 signals · MA 96.98 · ROC 3.50% · RS 2.72
TDOC NYSE · Teladoc Inc
9.43 4 signals · MA 91.36 · ROC 3.36% · RS 22.61
TMCI NASDAQ · Treace Medical Concepts Inc
4.30 5 signals · MA 93.79 · ROC 8.69% · RS 0.15
UPBD NASDAQ · Upbound Group Inc.
22.16 4 signals · MA 57.32 · ROC 2.83% · RS 2.64

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
12
AIRJ NASDAQ · AirJoule Technologies Corporation
3.74 20% entry drawdown · -22.65%
CE NYSE · Celanese Corporation
45.70 20% entry drawdown · -20.82%
FUN NYSE · Six Flags Entertainment Corporation
17.53 20% entry drawdown · -25.21%
GRDX NASDAQ · GridAI Technologies Corp.
3.82 20% entry drawdown · -29.26%
INV NASDAQ · Innventure, Inc.
3.37 20% entry drawdown · -42.39%
MX NYSE · MagnaChip Semiconductor
3.42 20% entry drawdown · -24.50%
NTLA NASDAQ · Intellia Therapeutics Inc
11.38 20% entry drawdown · -27.41%
PBF NYSE · PBF Energy Inc
62.75 Reversal Risk Warning · 133.59%
SG NYSE · Sweetgreen Inc
7.08 20% entry drawdown · -21.94%
SHEN NASDAQ · Shenandoah Telecommunications Co
11.38 20% entry drawdown · -24.83%
STFS NASDAQ · Star Fashion Culture Holdings Limited
9.14 20% entry drawdown · -50.03%
VLN NYSE · Valens
1.71 20% entry drawdown · -22.62%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 181-210 of 271 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signals Activity ROC RS
NXDT NYSE · NexPoint Strategic Opportunities Fund
27 Feb 20264.31
5.62
30.39%
4
99.32
1.64%
15.27
OABI NASDAQ · OmniAb Inc.
19 Jun 20262.34
2.12
-9.40%
4
96.28
6.61%
5.97
OGN NYSE · Organon & Co
22 May 202613.43
13.52
0.67%
4
96.66
6.19%
33.08
OLN NYSE · Olin Corporation
27 Feb 202624.98
21.99
-11.98%
4
39.93
3.06%
6.34
OMCL NASDAQ · Omnicell Inc
5 Dec 202540.50
45.87
13.27%
7
76.92
3.29%
1.65
ONL NYSE · Orion Office Reit Inc
22 May 20262.98
2.63
-11.73%
4
83.43
2.33%
10.69
OSUR NASDAQ · OraSure Technologies Inc
22 May 20263.61
3.87
7.20%
7
36.02
0.62%
3.43
OVID NASDAQ · Ovid Therapeutics Inc
12 Sep 20251.26
2.44
93.65%
4
98.62
15.63%
53.67
PALI NASDAQ · Palisade Bio Inc
24 Oct 20251.74
1.97
13.22%
4
68.18
16.90%
24.71
PAMT NASDAQ · PAMT CORP
26 Jun 202614.75
14.84
0.61%
4
95.50
5.97%
12.86
PII NYSE · Polaris Industries Inc
5 Sep 202557.31
73.20
27.72%
5
98.81
2.82%
4.05
PIII NASDAQ · P3 Health Partners Inc
19 Jun 202610.75
10.82
0.65%
4
48.73
13.67%
48.31
PKX NYSE · POSCO Holdings Inc
14 Nov 202553.84
50.80
-5.65%
4
23.98
2.46%
0.90
POWW NASDAQ · Ammo Inc
26 Dec 20251.83
2.26
23.50%
5
70.00
1.28%
3.33
PRKS NYSE · United Parks & Resorts Inc
19 Jun 202646.64
45.11
-3.28%
4
70.35
2.06%
0.67
PTEN NASDAQ · Patterson-UTI Energy Inc
16 Jan 20267.01
10.02
42.96%
7
32.04
1.63%
0.66
PUBM NASDAQ · Pubmatic Inc
29 May 202611.68
12.73
8.99%
5
93.54
3.77%
2.76
PVH NYSE · PVH Corp
22 May 202688.89
78.15
-12.08%
4
42.04
1.01%
4.36
PVL NYSE · Permianville Royalty Trust
13 Jun 20251.67
1.73
3.36%
4
51.22
1.41%
17.57
PXS NASDAQ · Pyxis Tankers Inc
13 Feb 20263.42
4.34
26.90%
6
57.16
1.67%
5.44
PYPD NASDAQ · PolyPid
18 Jul 20253.62
5.37
48.34%
4
45.45
2.13%
0.85
QMCO NASDAQ · Quantum Corporation
3 Jul 202610.16
10.63
4.63%
5
99.38
9.13%
7.75
RCI NYSE · Rogers Communications Inc
15 Aug 202533.98
34.66
2.00%
5
99.19
2.66%
3.12
RDNW NASDAQ · RideNow Group, Inc.
7 Nov 20254.40
5.94
35.00%
8
23.02
4.19%
6.01
REGN NASDAQ · Regeneron Pharmaceuticals Inc
21 Nov 2025753.90
676.69
-10.24%
6
88.39
2.81%
10.49
RHI NYSE · Robert Half International Inc
26 Jun 202632.76
41.80
27.59%
4
93.57
3.50%
4.61
RIG NYSE · Transocean Ltd
24 Oct 20253.90
5.14
31.79%
7
31.95
1.35%
6.69
RILYL NASDAQ · BRC Group Holdings, Inc.
6 Feb 202610.14
14.23
40.34%
4
79.81
21.07%
80.56
RIVN NASDAQ · Rivian Automotive Inc
30 May 202514.53
17.46
20.13%
4
79.65
5.19%
6.43
RJET NASDAQ · Republic Airways Holdings Inc
12 Sep 202520.55
17.21
-16.25%
4
61.34
0.56%
11.34

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 4141-4170 of 5001
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
7 Jul 2023
Entry
NRDY NYSE · Nerdy Inc
4.14
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 64.74 · ROC 8.77% · RS 30.31
7 Jul 2023
Exit
NXDR NYSE · NXDR
3.24
Reversal Risk Warning
7.28%
Entry 23 Jun 2023 3.02
7 Jul 2023
Entry
NYT NYSE · New York Times Company
38.63
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 19.30 · ROC 1.30% · RS 4.75
7 Jul 2023
Exit
OPK NASDAQ · Opko Health Inc
2.05
Reversal Risk Warning
-5.53%
Entry 30 Jun 2023 2.17
7 Jul 2023
Exit
OPRA NASDAQ · Opera Ltd
21.50
Reversal Risk Warning
355.25%
Entry 6 Jan 2023 4.72
7 Jul 2023
Exit
PPG NYSE · PPG Industries Inc
137.06
Reversal Risk Warning
15.29%
Entry 6 Jan 2023 118.89
7 Jul 2023
Exit
RGR NYSE · Sturm Ruger & Company Inc
49.88
Reversal Risk Warning
-6.13%
Entry 10 Mar 2023 53.13
7 Jul 2023
Entry
RKLB NASDAQ · Rocket Lab USA Inc.
5.73
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 53.37 · ROC 4.48% · RS 1.89
7 Jul 2023
Exit
SIBN NASDAQ · Si-Bone Inc
25.76
Reversal Risk Warning
32.24%
Entry 7 Apr 2023 19.48
7 Jul 2023
Exit
STEX NASDAQ · Streamex Corp
11.80
Reversal Risk Warning
12.38%
Entry 10 Mar 2023 10.50
7 Jul 2023
Exit
TACT NASDAQ · TransAct Technologies Incorporated
8.70
Reversal Risk Warning
39.20%
Entry 6 Jan 2023 6.25
7 Jul 2023
Exit
TNYA NASDAQ · Tenaya Therapeutics Inc
5.30
20% entry drawdown
-22.06%
Entry 5 May 2023 6.80
7 Jul 2023
Exit
TRAW NASDAQ · Traws Pharma Inc
27.50
Reversal Risk Warning
-6.78%
Entry 19 May 2023 29.50
7 Jul 2023
Exit
VLRS NYSE · Volaris
13.52
Reversal Risk Warning
17.46%
Entry 24 Feb 2023 11.51
7 Jul 2023
Exit
XFOR NASDAQ · X4 Pharmaceuticals Inc
57.90
Reversal Risk Warning
-10.65%
Entry 16 Jun 2023 64.80
7 Jul 2023
Entry
XP NASDAQ · Xp Inc
20.82
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 98.93 · ROC 5.40% · RS 13.07
7 Jul 2023
Exit
XRAY NASDAQ · Dentsply Sirona Inc
35.82
Reversal Risk Warning
0.95%
Entry 3 Mar 2023 35.48
7 Jul 2023
Exit
YEXT NYSE · Yext Inc
10.15
Reversal Risk Warning
63.45%
Entry 6 Jan 2023 6.21
7 Jul 2023
Exit
ZBH NYSE · Zimmer Biomet Holdings Inc
137.01
Reversal Risk Warning
12.46%
Entry 6 Jan 2023 121.83
7 Jul 2023
Exit
ZNTL NASDAQ · Zentalis Pharmaceuticals Llc
27.56
Reversal Risk Warning
-4.97%
Entry 23 Jun 2023 29.00
30 Jun 2023
Exit
ABUS NASDAQ · Arbutus Biopharma Corp
2.30
20% entry drawdown
-20.69%
Entry 3 Feb 2023 2.90
30 Jun 2023
Exit
ACHV NASDAQ · Achieve Life Sciences Inc
5.19
20% entry drawdown
-23.68%
Entry 31 Mar 2023 6.80
30 Jun 2023
Exit
AEYE NASDAQ · AudioEye Inc
4.89
20% entry drawdown
-24.88%
Entry 21 Apr 2023 6.51
30 Jun 2023
Exit
APYX NASDAQ · Apyx Medical Inc
5.03
20% entry drawdown
-25.26%
Entry 2 Jun 2023 6.73
30 Jun 2023
Entry
ATOS NASDAQ · Atossa Genetics Inc
18.90
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 83.28 · ROC 3.06% · RS 24.86
30 Jun 2023
Entry
AUR NASDAQ · Aurora Innovation Inc
2.94
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 86.99 · ROC 8.42% · RS 30.33
30 Jun 2023
Entry
BB NYSE · BlackBerry Ltd
5.53
Trend inclusion
-
7 signals MA 29.29 · ROC 0.61% · RS 3.26
30 Jun 2023
Entry
CDRO NASDAQ · Codere Online US Corp
3.60
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 48.61 · ROC 2.44% · RS 3.74
30 Jun 2023
Entry
COOK NYSE · Traeger Inc
212.50
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 66.13 · ROC 1.82% · RS 9.69
30 Jun 2023
Entry
CRCT NASDAQ · Cricut Inc
9.01
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 85.72 · ROC 8.88% · RS 17.75