Signal Validation

Trend Performance Index

United States equities with 4-8 positive trend weeks, a weekly close below fair value, positive Market Activity, positive 30-week SMA Rate of Change, and positive Relative Strength.

Latest week 10 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
437.28
Total Return
337.28%
CAGR
52.30% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+29.85%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.23 Sortino 3.79
Current Holdings
283
Transactions
4969 Avg 1416.8/yr · 118.1/mo · 27.2/wk
Exit Mix
2343 Stop 57.3% · Warning 42.6% · Other 0.1%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted performance model for the selected country’s equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, indicators, and Smart Money warning data.

01

Universe

Active equities from the selected country only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, and listings outside the selected market are excluded from each country index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s close when it has 4-8 positive trend signals, the close is below that week’s fair value, Market Activity, 30-week SMA 4-week Rate of Change, and Relative Strength are all above zero, and there is no Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning that week.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning or Reversal Danger Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • Positions that exit cannot re-enter during the same positive trend run; the trend signal must reset first.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

10 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
8
AMCX NASDAQ · AMC Networks Inc
9.92 4 signals · MA 47.92 · ROC 1.23% · RS 4.42
BFRI NASDAQ · Biofrontera Inc
1.10 4 signals · MA 27.02 · ROC 3.25% · RS 2.20
FIVN NASDAQ · Five9 Inc
25.42 6 signals · MA 41.93 · ROC 1.63% · RS 2.87
HPP NYSE · Hudson Pacific Properties Inc
15.18 4 signals · MA 83.69 · ROC 3.64% · RS 4.60
IFBD NASDAQ · Infobird Co Ltd
1.21 4 signals · MA 0.63 · ROC 1.78% · RS 2.44
S NYSE · SentinelOne Inc
17.88 6 signals · MA 36.82 · ROC 1.09% · RS 1.09
STFS NASDAQ · Star Fashion Culture Holdings Limited
18.29 8 signals · MA 81.90 · ROC 18.63% · RS 12.34
SXC NYSE · SunCoke Energy Inc
8.22 7 signals · MA 32.21 · ROC 3.23% · RS 1.72

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
10
ACDC NASDAQ · ProFrac Holding Corp.
4.92 20% entry drawdown · -23.36%
AMR NYSE · Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc
146.69 20% entry drawdown · -23.81%
IPWR NASDAQ · Ideal Power Inc
4.57 20% entry drawdown · -25.08%
KELYB NASDAQ · Kelly Services B Inc
23.95 Reversal Risk Warning · 89.47%
LAND NASDAQ · Gladstone Land Corporation
8.56 20% entry drawdown · -20.43%
LESL NASDAQ · Leslies Inc
6.24 20% entry drawdown · -34.93%
LVO NASDAQ · LiveOne Inc
5.23 20% entry drawdown · -24.64%
TROX NYSE · Tronox Holdings PLC
6.14 20% entry drawdown · -20.79%
UNCY NASDAQ · Unicycive Therapeutics Inc
5.21 20% entry drawdown · -22.12%
XWEL NASDAQ · XWELL Inc.
0.95 20% entry drawdown · -25.57%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 181-210 of 283 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signals Activity ROC RS
NSIT NASDAQ · Insight Enterprises Inc
26 Jun 2026119.49
119.81
0.27%
4
96.82
3.95%
4.16
NTIC NASDAQ · Northern Technologies
13 Feb 20269.03
8.15
-9.75%
6
75.65
1.72%
0.35
NTLA NASDAQ · Intellia Therapeutics Inc
19 Jun 202615.67
14.22
-9.29%
6
12.58
4.59%
0.14
NVCR NASDAQ · Novocure Ltd
29 May 202617.04
16.30
-4.34%
4
89.74
4.42%
2.66
NVST NYSE · Envista Holdings Corp
29 Aug 202521.18
25.91
22.33%
4
45.07
0.61%
0.69
NWL NASDAQ · Newell Brands Inc
3 Jul 20265.83
5.17
-11.32%
4
79.82
6.86%
15.74
NXDT NYSE · NexPoint Strategic Opportunities Fund
27 Feb 20264.31
5.20
20.65%
4
99.32
1.64%
15.27
OABI NASDAQ · OmniAb Inc.
19 Jun 20262.34
2.29
-2.14%
4
96.28
6.61%
5.97
ODP NASDAQ · ODP Corp
26 Sep 202527.98
28.00
0.07%
7
90.18
3.37%
17.03
OGN NYSE · Organon & Co
22 May 202613.43
13.52
0.67%
4
96.66
6.19%
33.08
OLN NYSE · Olin Corporation
27 Feb 202624.98
20.68
-17.22%
4
39.93
3.06%
6.34
OMCL NASDAQ · Omnicell Inc
5 Dec 202540.50
44.92
10.93%
7
76.92
3.29%
1.65
ONL NYSE · Orion Office Reit Inc
22 May 20262.98
2.75
-7.70%
4
83.43
2.33%
10.69
OSUR NASDAQ · OraSure Technologies Inc
22 May 20263.61
4.30
18.98%
7
36.02
0.62%
3.43
OVID NASDAQ · Ovid Therapeutics Inc
12 Sep 20251.26
2.52
100.00%
4
98.62
15.63%
53.67
PALI NASDAQ · Palisade Bio Inc
24 Oct 20251.74
1.96
12.64%
4
68.18
16.90%
24.71
PAMT NASDAQ · PAMT CORP
26 Jun 202614.75
14.10
-4.41%
4
95.50
5.97%
12.86
PBF NYSE · PBF Energy Inc
12 Sep 202526.86
53.18
97.96%
4
58.30
0.22%
1.30
PC NASDAQ · Premium Catering (Holdings) Limited
7 Nov 20259.40
9.40
0.00%
4
62.62
2.28%
7.68
PII NYSE · Polaris Industries Inc
5 Sep 202557.31
67.40
17.60%
5
98.81
2.82%
4.05
PIII NASDAQ · P3 Health Partners Inc
19 Jun 202610.75
9.80
-8.84%
4
39.07
13.67%
48.31
PKX NYSE · POSCO Holdings Inc
14 Nov 202553.84
52.28
-2.90%
4
23.98
2.46%
0.90
POWI NASDAQ · Power Integrations Inc
27 Mar 202649.37
72.07
45.97%
5
49.87
0.73%
9.69
POWW NASDAQ · Ammo Inc
26 Dec 20251.83
2.48
35.52%
5
70.00
1.28%
3.33
PRKS NYSE · United Parks & Resorts Inc
19 Jun 202646.64
46.87
0.49%
4
70.35
2.06%
0.67
PTEN NASDAQ · Patterson-UTI Energy Inc
16 Jan 20267.01
9.39
33.97%
7
32.04
1.63%
0.66
PUBM NASDAQ · Pubmatic Inc
29 May 202611.68
13.55
16.01%
5
93.54
3.77%
2.76
PVH NYSE · PVH Corp
22 May 202688.89
79.37
-10.71%
4
42.04
1.01%
4.36
PVL NYSE · Permianville Royalty Trust
13 Jun 20251.67
1.67
-0.23%
4
51.22
1.41%
17.57
PXS NASDAQ · Pyxis Tankers Inc
13 Feb 20263.42
4.17
21.93%
6
57.16
1.67%
5.44

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 2491-2520 of 4969
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
18 Oct 2024
Entry
HUT NASDAQ · Hut 8 Corp. Common Stock
14.47
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 8.93 · ROC 5.55% · RS 19.09
18 Oct 2024
Entry
ILMN NASDAQ · Illumina Inc
146.07
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 62.97 · ROC 1.03% · RS 6.30
18 Oct 2024
Entry
JD NASDAQ · JD.com Inc Adr
37.48
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 92.32 · ROC 8.68% · RS 27.78
18 Oct 2024
Entry
LOVE NASDAQ · The Lovesac Company
29.93
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 34.99 · ROC 2.79% · RS 12.13
18 Oct 2024
Entry
MNPR NASDAQ · Monopar Therapeutics Inc
5.50
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 83.80 · ROC 6.97% · RS 58.24
18 Oct 2024
Exit
NTRP NASDAQ · NextTrip Inc
2.40
20% entry drawdown
-20.00%
Entry 2 Aug 2024 3.00
18 Oct 2024
Exit
NVAX NASDAQ · Novavax Inc
10.18
20% entry drawdown
-27.29%
Entry 21 Jun 2024 14.00
18 Oct 2024
Entry
PTON NASDAQ · Peloton Interactive Inc
5.84
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 47.60 · ROC 2.13% · RS 14.36
18 Oct 2024
Entry
RCON NASDAQ · Recon Technology Ltd
3.47
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 86.71 · ROC 3.36% · RS 3.62
18 Oct 2024
Entry
SBAC NASDAQ · SBA Communications Corp
238.27
Trend inclusion
-
8 signals MA 65.69 · ROC 1.63% · RS 0.16
18 Oct 2024
Entry
SFST NASDAQ · Southern First Bancshares Inc
36.47
Trend inclusion
-
7 signals MA 52.77 · ROC 1.33% · RS 2.12
18 Oct 2024
Exit
TKLF NASDAQ · Yoshitsu Co Ltd ADR
4.39
20% entry drawdown
-26.94%
Entry 27 Sep 2024 6.00
18 Oct 2024
Exit
TRUP NASDAQ · Trupanion Inc
54.84
Reversal Risk Warning
43.19%
Entry 9 Aug 2024 38.30
18 Oct 2024
Entry
UAA NYSE · Under Armour Inc A
9.36
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 70.82 · ROC 1.77% · RS 7.07
18 Oct 2024
Entry
UIS NYSE · Unisys Corporation
6.89
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 63.79 · ROC 3.06% · RS 14.40
18 Oct 2024
Entry
VLY NASDAQ · Valley National Bancorp
8.72
Trend inclusion
-
8 signals MA 72.83 · ROC 2.68% · RS 0.98
18 Oct 2024
Exit
WLYB NYSE · John Wiley & Sons B
47.57
Reversal Risk Warning
29.99%
Entry 12 Apr 2024 36.59
18 Oct 2024
Entry
WRBY NYSE · Warby Parker Inc
16.55
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 27.82 · ROC 3.40% · RS 3.09
11 Oct 2024
Exit
AIRG NASDAQ · Airgain Inc
9.29
Reversal Risk Warning
70.46%
Entry 29 Mar 2024 5.45
11 Oct 2024
Exit
AKTX NASDAQ · Akari Therapeutics PLC
108.00
20% entry drawdown
-25.21%
Entry 9 Aug 2024 144.40
11 Oct 2024
Exit
ATEX NASDAQ · Anterix Inc
31.50
20% entry drawdown
-21.78%
Entry 26 Jul 2024 40.27
11 Oct 2024
Entry
ATYR NASDAQ · aTyr Pharma, Inc.
2.23
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 13.72 · ROC 0.54% · RS 18.20
11 Oct 2024
Entry
BNTX NASDAQ · BioNTech SE
120.52
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 76.76 · ROC 3.88% · RS 11.10
11 Oct 2024
Exit
CCOI NASDAQ · Cogent Communications Group Inc
74.39
Reversal Risk Warning
44.09%
Entry 10 Mar 2023 51.63
11 Oct 2024
Entry
CEVA NASDAQ · CEVA Inc
25.26
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 44.02 · ROC 0.72% · RS 4.14
11 Oct 2024
Entry
DTCX NASDAQ · Datacentrex, Inc.
6.27
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 54.96 · ROC 1.92% · RS 5.05
11 Oct 2024
Entry
ELBM NASDAQ · Electra Battery Materials Corp
2.48
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 65.90 · ROC 2.78% · RS 16.15
11 Oct 2024
Entry
ERII NASDAQ · Energy Recovery Inc
18.65
Trend inclusion
-
8 signals MA 57.85 · ROC 2.19% · RS 2.62
11 Oct 2024
Entry
GEVO NASDAQ · Gevo Inc
2.06
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 96.63 · ROC 17.06% · RS 98.97
11 Oct 2024
Entry
HOUR NASDAQ · Hour Loop Inc
1.50
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 90.59 · ROC 1.86% · RS 5.42