Signal Validation

Trend Performance Index

United States equities with 4-8 positive trend weeks, a weekly close below fair value, positive Market Activity, positive 30-week SMA Rate of Change, and positive Relative Strength.

Latest week 10 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
439.22
Total Return
339.22%
CAGR
52.49% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+30.04%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.23 Sortino 3.80
Current Holdings
277
Transactions
4975 Avg 1418.5/yr · 118.2/mo · 27.3/wk
Exit Mix
2349 Stop 57.2% · Warning 42.4% · Other 0.4%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted performance model for the selected country’s equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, indicators, and Smart Money warning data.

01

Universe

Active equities from the selected country only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, and listings outside the selected market are excluded from each country index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s close when it has 4-8 positive trend signals, the close is below that week’s fair value, Market Activity, 30-week SMA 4-week Rate of Change, and Relative Strength are all above zero, and there is no Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning that week.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning or Reversal Danger Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • Positions that exit cannot re-enter during the same positive trend run; the trend signal must reset first.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

10 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
8
AMCX NASDAQ · AMC Networks Inc
9.92 4 signals · MA 47.92 · ROC 1.23% · RS 4.42
BFRI NASDAQ · Biofrontera Inc
1.10 4 signals · MA 27.55 · ROC 3.25% · RS 2.20
FIVN NASDAQ · Five9 Inc
25.42 6 signals · MA 41.60 · ROC 1.63% · RS 2.87
HPP NYSE · Hudson Pacific Properties Inc
15.18 4 signals · MA 86.04 · ROC 3.64% · RS 4.60
IFBD NASDAQ · Infobird Co Ltd
1.21 4 signals · MA 1.25 · ROC 1.78% · RS 2.44
S NYSE · SentinelOne Inc
17.88 6 signals · MA 36.44 · ROC 1.09% · RS 1.09
STFS NASDAQ · Star Fashion Culture Holdings Limited
18.29 8 signals · MA 81.08 · ROC 18.63% · RS 12.34
SXC NYSE · SunCoke Energy Inc
8.22 7 signals · MA 32.14 · ROC 3.23% · RS 1.72

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
16
ACDC NASDAQ · ProFrac Holding Corp.
4.92 20% entry drawdown · -23.36%
AMR NYSE · Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc
146.69 20% entry drawdown · -23.81%
CVAC NASDAQ · CureVac NV
4.66 Ticker inactive / final available close · 4.25%
GRCL NASDAQ · Gracell Biotechnologies Inc.
10.25 Ticker inactive / final available close · 93.76%
IPWR NASDAQ · Ideal Power Inc
4.57 20% entry drawdown · -25.08%
IRDM NASDAQ · Iridium Communications Inc
50.06 Reversal Risk Warning · 79.63%
KELYB NASDAQ · Kelly Services B Inc
23.95 Reversal Risk Warning · 89.47%
LAND NASDAQ · Gladstone Land Corporation
8.56 20% entry drawdown · -20.43%
LESL NASDAQ · Leslies Inc
6.24 20% entry drawdown · -34.93%
LVO NASDAQ · LiveOne Inc
5.23 20% entry drawdown · -24.64%
ODP NASDAQ · ODP Corp
28.00 Ticker inactive / final available close · 0.07%
PC NASDAQ · Premium Catering (Holdings) Limited
9.40 Ticker inactive / final available close · 0.00%
RLAY NASDAQ · Relay Therapeutics Inc
20.01 Reversal Risk Warning · 286.94%
TROX NYSE · Tronox Holdings PLC
6.14 20% entry drawdown · -20.79%
UNCY NASDAQ · Unicycive Therapeutics Inc
5.21 20% entry drawdown · -22.12%
XWEL NASDAQ · XWELL Inc.
0.95 20% entry drawdown · -25.57%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 241-270 of 277 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signals Activity ROC RS
SXC NYSE · SunCoke Energy Inc
10 Jul 20268.22
8.22
New Entry week
7
32.14
3.23%
1.72
TBI NYSE · TrueBlue Inc
19 Jun 20266.70
8.16
21.79%
4
99.02
5.15%
12.25
TDC NYSE · Teradata Corp
28 Nov 202528.64
33.74
17.81%
4
78.54
4.06%
5.35
TDW NYSE · Tidewater Inc
5 Sep 202557.73
73.37
27.09%
4
66.42
1.09%
2.53
TENX NASDAQ · Tenax Therapeutics Inc
10 Oct 20257.46
17.55
135.25%
4
48.64
1.85%
10.66
TFIN NYSE · Triumph Financial, Inc.
6 Feb 202668.34
78.44
14.78%
5
41.90
1.77%
4.66
TFX NYSE · Teleflex Incorporated
26 Jun 2026129.86
135.73
4.52%
8
45.87
2.25%
0.49
TGT NYSE · Target Corporation
13 Feb 2026114.68
135.14
17.84%
4
83.37
1.55%
9.48
TITN NASDAQ · Titan Machinery Inc
21 Mar 202517.05
18.27
7.19%
7
4.83
0.98%
0.97
TLX NASDAQ · Telix Pharmaceuticals Limited
3 Jul 202611.87
11.14
-6.15%
8
48.45
1.56%
4.35
TLYS NYSE · Tillys Inc
24 Apr 20263.99
4.12
3.26%
6
98.77
19.53%
92.90
TRSG NASDAQ · Tungray Technologies Inc Class A Ordinary Shares
26 Jun 20261.63
1.46
-10.44%
5
29.47
3.05%
2.84
TUSK NASDAQ · Mammoth Energy Services Inc
17 Apr 20262.71
2.80
3.32%
4
42.35
1.69%
2.67
TV NYSE · Grupo Televisa SAB ADR
4 Jul 20252.34
2.77
18.38%
4
89.27
2.34%
9.39
TXMD NASDAQ · TherapeuticsMD Inc
12 Dec 20251.75
2.00
14.29%
4
94.59
3.91%
28.71
TYGO NASDAQ · Tigo Energy Inc.
4 Jul 20251.28
2.06
60.94%
4
65.50
4.16%
3.04
UFI NYSE · Unifi Inc
26 Jun 20264.80
5.73
19.38%
7
62.80
2.94%
9.03
UIS NYSE · Unisys Corporation
26 Jun 20263.59
4.06
13.09%
5
82.65
5.63%
3.17
UNH NYSE · UnitedHealth Group Incorporated
12 Jun 2026406.23
424.62
4.53%
4
95.40
2.57%
15.61
UPS NYSE · United Parcel Service Inc
23 Jan 2026104.67
112.47
7.45%
5
87.14
1.44%
0.87
UTMD NASDAQ · Utah Medical Products Inc
6 Mar 202664.50
67.96
5.36%
4
97.07
2.31%
5.55
VAC NYSE · Marriot Vacations Worldwide
1 May 202672.06
98.31
36.42%
4
72.44
0.24%
0.69
VLN NYSE · Valens
12 Jun 20262.21
2.08
-5.88%
6
78.67
8.11%
2.03
VLRS NYSE · Volaris
17 Oct 20257.00
8.34
19.14%
6
71.67
2.34%
0.71
WAFU NASDAQ · Wah Fu Education Group Ltd
17 Oct 20251.88
1.56
-17.02%
4
77.42
0.81%
1.04
WATT NASDAQ · Energous Corporation
20 Mar 202618.04
17.99
-0.28%
4
97.98
7.58%
104.56
WEST NASDAQ · Westrock Coffee Company
5 Jun 20267.54
7.43
-1.46%
8
89.01
10.08%
20.93
WSC NASDAQ · Willscot Mobile Mini Holdings Corp A
5 Jun 202626.21
26.24
0.11%
5
85.43
2.98%
0.21
WYHG NASDAQ · Wing Yip Food Holdings Group Limited American Depositary Shares
3 Jul 20264.51
4.17
-7.54%
4
82.90
5.14%
9.36
XFOR NASDAQ · X4 Pharmaceuticals Inc
10 Apr 20264.10
4.41
7.56%
4
42.28
2.04%
12.07

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 3631-3660 of 4975
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
15 Dec 2023
Entry
SYNA NASDAQ · Synaptics Incorporated
117.91
Trend inclusion
-
8 signals MA 78.66 · ROC 4.20% · RS 0.42
15 Dec 2023
Entry
TWST NASDAQ · Twist Bioscience Corp
34.61
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 69.45 · ROC 10.69% · RS 42.82
15 Dec 2023
Exit
WGO NYSE · Winnebago Industries Inc
66.65
Reversal Risk Warning
25.54%
Entry 10 Mar 2023 53.09
15 Dec 2023
Exit
XRN NYSE · Chiron Real Estate Inc.
43.83
Reversal Risk Warning
5.03%
Entry 8 Dec 2023 41.73
15 Dec 2023
Exit
YETI NYSE · YETI Holdings Inc
51.41
Reversal Risk Warning
7.85%
Entry 15 Sep 2023 47.67
8 Dec 2023
Entry
ADAG NASDAQ · Adagene Inc
1.88
Trend inclusion
-
8 signals MA 29.02 · ROC 1.80% · RS 7.78
8 Dec 2023
Exit
AHG NASDAQ · Akso Health Group ADR
0.78
20% entry drawdown
-24.27%
Entry 22 Sep 2023 1.03
8 Dec 2023
Entry
AKA NYSE · AKA Brands Holding Corp
10.60
Trend inclusion
-
8 signals MA 96.37 · ROC 12.42% · RS 7.42
8 Dec 2023
Entry
ALXO NASDAQ · Alx Oncology Holdings
12.26
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 73.70 · ROC 7.02% · RS 43.97
8 Dec 2023
Entry
AVAH NASDAQ · Aveanna Healthcare Holdings Inc
2.62
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 89.30 · ROC 12.55% · RS 64.00
8 Dec 2023
Entry
BKU NYSE · BankUnited Inc
27.29
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 69.54 · ROC 5.31% · RS 4.90
8 Dec 2023
Exit
BLKB NASDAQ · Blackbaud Inc
85.86
Reversal Risk Warning
38.98%
Entry 27 Jan 2023 61.78
8 Dec 2023
Entry
CBAN NYSE · Colony Bankcorp Inc.
10.74
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 63.03 · ROC 2.59% · RS 0.53
8 Dec 2023
Entry
CPF NYSE · Central Pacific Financial Corp
17.28
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 55.84 · ROC 3.10% · RS 0.14
8 Dec 2023
Entry
CXDO NASDAQ · Crexendo Inc
3.18
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 88.20 · ROC 11.69% · RS 45.15
8 Dec 2023
Entry
DAVA NYSE · Endava Ltd
69.54
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 73.09 · ROC 2.99% · RS 1.99
8 Dec 2023
Exit
GLBS NASDAQ · Globus Maritime Ltd
2.81
Reversal Risk Warning
60.57%
Entry 20 Oct 2023 1.75
8 Dec 2023
Exit
LITS NASDAQ · Lite Strategy, Inc.
6.72
Reversal Risk Warning
23.19%
Entry 20 Oct 2023 5.46
8 Dec 2023
Entry
MKTW NASDAQ · Marketwise Inc
43.26
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 83.71 · ROC 10.83% · RS 26.19
8 Dec 2023
Entry
NMRK NASDAQ · Newmark Group Inc
8.47
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 70.85 · ROC 4.79% · RS 4.67
8 Dec 2023
Entry
USB NYSE · U.S. Bancorp
36.26
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 73.01 · ROC 3.05% · RS 0.49
8 Dec 2023
Entry
XP NASDAQ · Xp Inc
21.47
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 11.47 · ROC 5.85% · RS 9.44
8 Dec 2023
Entry
XRN NYSE · Chiron Real Estate Inc.
41.73
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 75.68 · ROC 2.06% · RS 4.74
1 Dec 2023
Entry
ARQ NASDAQ · Arq Inc
2.71
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 80.89 · ROC 4.91% · RS 6.57
1 Dec 2023
Entry
AUTL NASDAQ · Autolus Therapeutics Ltd
4.19
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 94.27 · ROC 12.02% · RS 44.98
1 Dec 2023
Exit
BNKK NASDAQ · Bonk, Inc.
169.75
Reversal Risk Warning
314.53%
Entry 1 Sep 2023 40.95
1 Dec 2023
Entry
BRNS NASDAQ · Barinthus Biotherapeutics plc
3.15
Trend inclusion
-
8 signals MA 22.62 · ROC 3.15% · RS 4.53
1 Dec 2023
Entry
FBK NYSE · FB Financial Corp
34.06
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 66.40 · ROC 2.22% · RS 1.29
1 Dec 2023
Entry
GRCL NASDAQ · Gracell Biotechnologies Inc.
5.29
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 67.56 · ROC 12.45% · RS 54.93
1 Dec 2023
Entry
INBK NASDAQ · First Internet Bancorp
22.28
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 39.24 · ROC 4.24% · RS 0.27