Universe
Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.
Signal Validation
Market Dynamics Performance Index
A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.
Index Value
479.75
Total Return
379.75%
CAGR
56.00%
Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+34.22%/yr
Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.65
Sortino 5.16
Current Holdings
1081
Transactions
10781
Avg 3057.2/yr ·
254.8/mo ·
58.8/wk
Exit Mix
4850
Stop 41.5% ·
Warning 58.0%
· Other 0.5%
Method
How The Index Works
The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.
Entry Rule
A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.
Exit Rule
A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.
Return Math
Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.
Assumptions
- This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
- Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
- Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
- New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
- Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
- Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
- Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
- Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.
Weekly Index
Cumulative Value
Latest Week
Positions In And Out
New Positions In
Entries at weekly close
ADBE
NASDAQ · Adobe Systems Incorporated
237.25
MD 0.17 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BL
NASDAQ · Blackline Inc
30.29
MD 0.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BLKB
NASDAQ · Blackbaud Inc
32.40
MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CDNL
NASDAQ · Cardinal Infrastructure Group Inc. Class A Common Stock
71.23
MD 1.59 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CURV
NYSE · Torrid Holdings Inc
2.33
MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
DFIN
NYSE · Donnelley Financial Solutions Inc
49.95
MD 0.06 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
EXPO
NASDAQ · Exponent Inc
62.88
MD 0.09 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
FIS
NYSE · Fidelity National Information Services Inc
41.91
MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
HCKT
NASDAQ · The Hackett Group Inc
10.34
MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ICFI
NASDAQ · ICF International Inc
78.86
MD 0.80 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LAW
NYSE · CS Disco LLC
4.05
MD 0.26 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
NRDS
NASDAQ · Nerdwallet Inc
9.26
MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ONT
NYSE · Onterris
20.93
MD 0.36 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OPRX
NASDAQ · OPTIMIZERx Corp
6.69
MD 0.86 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PODD
NASDAQ · Insulet Corporation
164.06
MD 0.42 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
RCEL
NASDAQ · Avita Medical Ltd
5.10
MD 0.39 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
UPWK
NASDAQ · Upwork Inc
9.06
MD 0.10 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
XRAY
NASDAQ · Dentsply Sirona Inc
14.05
MD 0.72 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
Positions Out
Closed at weekly close
ACB
NASDAQ · Aurora Cannabis Inc
2.63
20% entry drawdown · -20.78%
AIFU
NASDAQ · Fanhua Inc.
34.52
20% entry drawdown · -25.28%
AKTX
NASDAQ · Akari Therapeutics PLC
11.01
20% entry drawdown · -20.68%
ALDX
NASDAQ · Aldeyra The
1.69
20% entry drawdown · -25.55%
ARCT
NASDAQ · Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings Inc
6.05
20% entry drawdown · -26.49%
AWRE
NASDAQ · Aware Inc
1.11
20% entry drawdown · -26.97%
BEEM
NASDAQ · Beam Global
1.03
20% entry drawdown · -24.82%
BNAI
NASDAQ · Brand Engagement Network Inc
11.62
20% entry drawdown · -29.49%
BTBT
NASDAQ · Bit Digital Inc
1.40
20% entry drawdown · -29.65%
EIX
NYSE · Edison International
77.63
Reversal Risk Warning · 49.97%
EVGO
NASDAQ · Evgo Inc
1.68
20% entry drawdown · -20.94%
EVO
NASDAQ · Evotec SE ADR
1.96
20% entry drawdown · -27.94%
GENK
NASDAQ · GEN Restaurant Group, Inc. Class A Common Stock
1.77
20% entry drawdown · -24.36%
GLXG
NASDAQ · Galaxy Payroll Group Limited Ordinary Shares
1.05
20% entry drawdown · -28.08%
HUBG
NASDAQ · Hub Group Inc
51.22
Reversal Risk Warning · 45.11%
INV
NASDAQ · Innventure, Inc.
3.37
20% entry drawdown · -27.37%
JLHL
NASDAQ · Julong Holding Limited Class A Ordinary Shares
9.35
20% entry drawdown · -20.29%
LEDS
NASDAQ · SemiLEDS Corporation
3.01
Reversal Risk Warning · 67.22%
LONA
NASDAQ · LeonaBio, Inc.
7.22
20% entry drawdown · -27.22%
MTEX
NASDAQ · Mannatech Incorporated
4.25
20% entry drawdown · -21.59%
OABI
NASDAQ · OmniAb Inc.
2.12
20% entry drawdown · -20.00%
OCCI
NASDAQ · OFS Credit Company Inc
2.27
20% entry drawdown · -23.83%
PBF
NYSE · PBF Energy Inc
62.75
Reversal Risk Warning · 219.84%
PLUG
NASDAQ · Plug Power Inc
2.17
20% entry drawdown · -20.80%
PMCB
NASDAQ · PharmaCyte Biotech Inc
0.63
20% entry drawdown · -21.31%
PMEC
NASDAQ · Primech Holdings Ltd. Ordinary Shares
0.52
20% entry drawdown · -28.59%
QFIN
NASDAQ · 360 Finance Inc
12.73
20% entry drawdown · -20.83%
RPT
NYSE · Rithm Property Trust Inc.
10.89
20% entry drawdown · -27.03%
RXRX
NASDAQ · Recursion Pharmaceuticals Inc
2.95
20% entry drawdown · -22.50%
SNPS
NASDAQ · Synopsys Inc
384.28
20% entry drawdown · -25.60%
SORA
NASDAQ · Top Win International Limited
1.73
20% entry drawdown · -23.18%
VERU
NASDAQ · Veru Inc
2.38
20% entry drawdown · -30.00%
WING
NASDAQ · Wingstop Inc
142.33
20% entry drawdown · -20.03%
WW
NASDAQ · WW International, Inc. Common Stock
14.57
20% entry drawdown · -21.46%
ZSQR
NASDAQ · Z Squared Inc.
5.06
20% entry drawdown · -45.47%
Live Book
Current Holdings
Ticker
Entry
Last Close
Return
Signal
MD
ROC
RS
DFSC
NASDAQ · DEFSEC Technologies Inc.
6 Mar 20262.33
1.87
-19.74%
Buy
0.09
-
-
DHR
NYSE · Danaher Corporation
26 Jun 2026196.19
203.83
3.89%
Buy
0.16
-
-
DIN
NYSE · Dine Brands Global Inc
30 May 202522.82
35.91
57.37%
Buy
0.10
-
-
DKNG
NASDAQ · DraftKings Inc
15 May 202625.00
24.94
-0.24%
Buy
0.25
-
-
DLHC
NASDAQ · DLH Holdings Corp
23 May 20255.04
5.50
9.13%
Buy
0.06
-
-
DLO
NASDAQ · Dlocal Ltd
30 Aug 20248.38
14.48
72.88%
Buy
0.16
-
-
DLTH
NASDAQ · Duluth Holdings Inc
20 Jun 20252.02
4.27
111.39%
Buy
0.39
-
-
DLTR
NASDAQ · Dollar Tree Inc
6 Dec 202471.87
125.94
75.23%
Buy
0.30
-
-
DMAA
NASDAQ · Drugs Made In America Acquisition Corp. Ordinary Shares
21 Nov 202510.35
10.67
3.09%
Buy
0.21
-
-
DMLP
NASDAQ · Dorchester Minerals LP
16 Jan 202622.11
27.25
23.27%
Buy
0.02
-
-
DNLI
NASDAQ · Denali Therapeutics Inc
13 Jun 202514.55
23.29
60.07%
Buy
0.20
-
-
DNMX
NASDAQ · Dynamix Corporation III Class A Ordinary Shares
3 Jul 202610.01
10.01
0.00%
Buy
1.46
-
-
DNUT
NASDAQ · Krispy Kreme Inc
11 Jul 20253.33
3.30
-0.90%
Buy
0.12
-
-
DOCU
NASDAQ · DocuSign Inc
8 May 202647.90
52.74
10.10%
Buy
0.02
-
-
DOW
NYSE · Dow Inc
16 Jan 202626.98
29.92
10.90%
Buy
1.59
-
-
DRVN
NASDAQ · Driven Brands Holdings Inc
22 May 202613.77
15.22
10.53%
Buy
0.06
-
-
DSGR
NASDAQ · Distribution Solutions Group Inc
12 Jun 202627.72
34.50
24.46%
Buy
0.15
-
-
DSGX
NASDAQ · Descartes Systems Group Inc
1 May 202673.13
74.16
1.41%
Buy
0.22
-
-
DSX
NYSE · Diana Shipping Inc.
13 Jun 20251.64
2.05
25.20%
Buy
0.24
-
-
DT
NYSE · Dynatrace Holdings LLC
1 May 202637.61
44.41
18.08%
Buy
0.07
-
-
DTIL
NASDAQ · Precision BioSciences Inc
20 Mar 20266.52
7.87
20.71%
Buy
0.48
-
-
DUOL
NASDAQ · Duolingo Inc
19 Jun 2026125.56
133.85
6.60%
Buy
1.06
-
-
DV
NYSE · DoubleVerify Holdings Inc
1 May 202611.31
11.42
0.97%
Buy
0.91
-
-
DXCM
NASDAQ · DexCom Inc
26 Dec 202567.57
76.65
13.44%
Buy
0.03
-
-
DXLG
NASDAQ · Destination XL Group Inc
1 May 20260.62
0.64
2.53%
Buy
0.22
-
-
DYAI
NASDAQ · Dyadic International Inc
3 Jul 20260.94
1.26
33.97%
Buy
0.22
-
-
DYN
NASDAQ · Dyne Therapeutics Inc
25 Jul 20259.95
23.74
138.59%
Buy
0.54
-
-
ECOR
NASDAQ · Electrocore LLC
20 Feb 20266.25
5.88
-5.92%
Buy
0.89
-
-
EDIT
NASDAQ · Editas Medicine Inc
20 Mar 20262.34
2.98
27.35%
Buy
0.27
-
-
EDTK
NASDAQ · Skillful Craftsman Education Tech
15 Dec 20230.94
0.94
0.20%
Buy
0.22
-
-
Ledger
Transaction History
Date
Action
Ticker
Price
Reason
Return
Qualifiers
19 Dec 2025
Exit
RHLD
NYSE · Resolute Holdings Management, Inc.
217.61
Reversal Risk Warning
25.01%
Entry 7 Nov 2025
174.08
19 Dec 2025
Entry
SARO
NYSE · StandardAero, Inc.
28.66
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.15
19 Dec 2025
Entry
SCL
NYSE · Stepan Company
46.82
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.41
19 Dec 2025
Exit
SCNI
NASDAQ · Scinai Immunotherapeutics Ltd
0.79
20% entry drawdown
-34.17%
Entry 12 Dec 2025
1.20
19 Dec 2025
Exit
TC
NASDAQ · TuanChe ADR
9.91
20% entry drawdown
-31.66%
Entry 10 Oct 2025
14.50
19 Dec 2025
Exit
TCI
NYSE · Transcontinental Realty Investors
58.15
Reversal Risk Warning
102.83%
Entry 7 Mar 2025
28.67
19 Dec 2025
Exit
TCMD
NASDAQ · Tactile Systems Technology Inc
28.92
Reversal Risk Warning
105.69%
Entry 19 Sep 2025
14.06
19 Dec 2025
Exit
TKO
NYSE · TKO Group Holdings, Inc.
211.78
Reversal Risk Warning
105.15%
Entry 17 May 2024
103.23
19 Dec 2025
Entry
TLYS
NYSE · Tillys Inc
1.85
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.08
19 Dec 2025
Entry
TWI
NYSE · Titan International Inc
7.85
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.14
19 Dec 2025
Exit
VERA
NASDAQ · Vera Therapeutics Inc
51.22
Reversal Risk Warning
233.03%
Entry 29 Dec 2023
15.38
19 Dec 2025
Entry
WSBK
NASDAQ · Winchester Bancorp, Inc. Common Stock
10.44
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.99
19 Dec 2025
Entry
WYHG
NASDAQ · Wing Yip Food Holdings Group Limited American Depositary Shares
3.04
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.10
12 Dec 2025
Exit
AFRI
NASDAQ · Forafric Global PLC Ordinary Shares
11.00
Reversal Risk Warning
19.57%
Entry 22 Aug 2025
9.20
12 Dec 2025
Entry
ALGS
NASDAQ · Aligos Therapeutics Inc
13.30
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.08
12 Dec 2025
Entry
AMBR
NASDAQ · Amber International Holding Limited
1.56
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.00
12 Dec 2025
Entry
ARBB
NASDAQ · ARB IOT Group Limited Ordinary Shares
7.24
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.33
12 Dec 2025
Entry
ASTL
NASDAQ · Algoma Steel Group Inc
4.53
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.15
12 Dec 2025
Entry
AUTL
NASDAQ · Autolus Therapeutics Ltd
1.61
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.09
12 Dec 2025
Exit
BBIO
NASDAQ · BridgeBio Pharma Inc
75.15
Reversal Risk Warning
177.41%
Entry 29 Nov 2024
27.09
12 Dec 2025
Exit
BCML
NASDAQ · BayCom Corp
32.14
Reversal Risk Warning
74.48%
Entry 28 Jul 2023
18.42
12 Dec 2025
Exit
BHRB
NASDAQ · Burke & Herbert Financial Services Corp. Common Stock
68.12
Reversal Risk Warning
49.95%
Entry 1 Dec 2023
45.43
12 Dec 2025
Exit
BLNK
NASDAQ · Blink Charging Co
0.78
20% entry drawdown
-33.99%
Entry 29 Aug 2025
1.18
12 Dec 2025
Exit
BXMT
NYSE · Blackstone Mortgage Trust Inc
19.48
Reversal Risk Warning
17.47%
Entry 19 Jul 2024
16.58
12 Dec 2025
Exit
COF
NYSE · Capital One Financial Corporation
235.91
Reversal Risk Warning
115.01%
Entry 1 Dec 2023
109.72
12 Dec 2025
Exit
CRH
NYSE · CRH PLC ADR
125.46
Reversal Risk Warning
105.24%
Entry 1 Dec 2023
61.13
12 Dec 2025
Exit
CRON
NASDAQ · Cronos Group Inc
3.27
Reversal Risk Warning
65.99%
Entry 1 Sep 2023
1.97
12 Dec 2025
Exit
CVNA
NYSE · Carvana Co
91.14
Reversal Risk Warning
274.52%
Entry 3 May 2024
24.33
12 Dec 2025
Exit
DMAC
NASDAQ · DiaMedica Therapeutics Inc
9.39
Reversal Risk Warning
170.61%
Entry 12 Jul 2024
3.47
12 Dec 2025
Exit
FBK
NYSE · FB Financial Corp
58.58
Reversal Risk Warning
88.85%
Entry 21 Jul 2023
31.02