View US Trend Index

Signal Validation

Market Dynamics Performance Index

A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.

United States
Latest week 24 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
469.57
Total Return
369.57%
CAGR
54.68% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+33.24%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.60 Sortino 5.04
Current Holdings
1070
Transactions
10830 Avg 3054.5/yr · 254.5/mo · 58.7/wk
Exit Mix
4880 Stop 41.8% · Warning 57.6% · Other 0.5%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.

01

Universe

Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
  • Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
  • Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

24 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
22
ALC NYSE · Alcon AG
67.91 MD 0.00 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BIXI NASDAQ · Bitcoin Infrastructure Acquisition Corp Ltd. Class A Ordinary Shares
10.01 MD 1.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BUR NYSE · Burford Capital Ltd
4.14 MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CAG NYSE · Conagra Brands, Inc.
14.77 MD 0.57 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CJMB NASDAQ · Callan JMB Inc. Common Stock
2.55 MD 0.41 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
FMST NASDAQ · Foremost Lithium Resource & Technology Ltd. Common stock
1.65 MD 0.05 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GCL NASDAQ · GCL Global Holdings Ltd Ordinary Shares
0.51 MD 0.67 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
KNDI NASDAQ · Kandi Technologies Group Inc
0.65 MD 0.31 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LAFA NASDAQ · LaFayette Acquisition Corp. Ordinary Share
10.11 MD 0.90 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LVLU NASDAQ · Lulu's Fashion Lounge Holdings Inc
19.20 MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LW NYSE · Lamb Weston Holdings Inc
49.58 MD 1.48 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MAMO NASDAQ · Massimo Group Common Stock
0.98 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
NBP NASDAQ · NovaBridge Biosciences
1.77 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OFIX NASDAQ · Orthofix Medical Inc
11.25 MD 0.22 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OTIS NYSE · Otis Worldwide Corp
71.93 MD 0.05 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OTLY NASDAQ · Oatly Group AB ADR
13.37 MD 0.05 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PLNT NYSE · Planet Fitness Inc
53.48 MD 0.02 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PSN NYSE · Parsons Corp
58.73 MD 0.56 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SRFM NYSE · Surf Air Mobility Inc.
0.79 MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TDWD NASDAQ · Tailwind 2.0 Acquisition Corp. Class A Ordinary Shares
10.04 MD 0.93 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WSTN NASDAQ · Westin Acquisition Corp
10.13 MD 1.67 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WVVIP NASDAQ · Willamette Valley Vineyards Inc PR
2.78 MD 0.21 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
29
AMST NASDAQ · Amesite Operating Co
0.99 20% entry drawdown · -21.44%
ATER NASDAQ · Aterian Inc
0.40 20% entry drawdown · -70.94%
BARK NYSE · BARK, Inc.
8.51 20% entry drawdown · -22.14%
BZFD NASDAQ · BuzzFeed Inc
1.11 20% entry drawdown · -25.50%
BZH NYSE · Beazer Homes USA Inc
33.19 Reversal Risk Warning · 60.11%
COOK NYSE · Traeger Inc
61.26 20% entry drawdown · -22.75%
DAR NYSE · Darling Ingredients Inc
62.50 Reversal Risk Warning · 59.93%
DFSC NASDAQ · DEFSEC Technologies Inc.
1.51 20% entry drawdown · -35.19%
GEHC NASDAQ · GE HealthCare Technologies Inc.
60.58 20% entry drawdown · -20.22%
GOOS NYSE · Canada Goose Holdings Inc
8.89 20% entry drawdown · -24.47%
GTEC NASDAQ · Greenland Acquisition Corp
0.51 20% entry drawdown · -21.19%
LFCR NASDAQ · Lifecore Biomedical Inc.
4.33 20% entry drawdown · -21.84%
LFMD NASDAQ · LifeMD Inc
3.71 20% entry drawdown · -20.04%
LOCL NYSE · Local Bounti Corp
1.06 20% entry drawdown · -22.63%
NIXX NASDAQ · Nixxy, Inc.
0.85 20% entry drawdown · -35.80%
NKTX NASDAQ · Nkarta Inc
2.27 20% entry drawdown · -25.08%
PEW NYSE · GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc.
2.33 20% entry drawdown · -21.28%
PPSI NASDAQ · Pioneer Power Solutions Inc.
2.98 20% entry drawdown · -25.13%
RC NYSE · Ready Capital Corp
1.47 20% entry drawdown · -20.97%
REAX NASDAQ · Real Brokerage Inc
1.69 20% entry drawdown · -22.12%
SAFX NASDAQ · XCF Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock
0.41 20% entry drawdown · -25.36%
SEDG NASDAQ · SolarEdge Technologies Inc
42.60 20% entry drawdown · -31.02%
SGRP NASDAQ · SPAR Group Inc
0.38 20% entry drawdown · -46.99%
SRG NYSE · Seritage Growth Properties
2.31 20% entry drawdown · -22.22%
TOMZ NASDAQ · TOMI Environmental Solutions Inc
1.54 20% entry drawdown · -33.95%
UPST NASDAQ · Upstart Holdings Inc
26.93 20% entry drawdown · -20.30%
WETO NASDAQ · Webus International Limited Ordinary Shares
0.69 Price scale break · 37.71%
WRAP NASDAQ · Wrap Technologies Inc
1.70 20% entry drawdown · -30.89%
XELB NASDAQ · Xcel Brands Inc
1.23 20% entry drawdown · -21.15%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 271-300 of 1070 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signal MD ROC RS
DIN NYSE · Dine Brands Global Inc
30 May 202522.82
34.09
49.39%
Buy
0.10
-
-
DKNG NASDAQ · DraftKings Inc
15 May 202625.00
23.01
-7.96%
Buy
0.25
-
-
DLHC NASDAQ · DLH Holdings Corp
23 May 20255.04
5.09
0.99%
Buy
0.06
-
-
DLO NASDAQ · Dlocal Ltd
30 Aug 20248.38
14.49
73.00%
Buy
0.16
-
-
DLTH NASDAQ · Duluth Holdings Inc
20 Jun 20252.02
4.20
107.92%
Buy
0.39
-
-
DLTR NASDAQ · Dollar Tree Inc
6 Dec 202471.87
120.45
67.59%
Buy
0.30
-
-
DMAA NASDAQ · Drugs Made In America Acquisition Corp. Ordinary Shares
21 Nov 202510.35
10.70
3.38%
Buy
0.21
-
-
DMLP NASDAQ · Dorchester Minerals LP
16 Jan 202622.11
27.79
25.71%
Buy
0.02
-
-
DNLI NASDAQ · Denali Therapeutics Inc
13 Jun 202514.55
23.11
58.83%
Buy
0.20
-
-
DNMX NASDAQ · Dynamix Corporation III Class A Ordinary Shares
3 Jul 202610.01
10.01
0.00%
Buy
1.45
-
-
DNUT NASDAQ · Krispy Kreme Inc
11 Jul 20253.33
3.15
-5.41%
Buy
0.12
-
-
DOCU NASDAQ · DocuSign Inc
8 May 202647.90
50.44
5.30%
Buy
0.02
-
-
DOW NYSE · Dow Inc
16 Jan 202626.98
29.84
10.60%
Buy
1.59
-
-
DRVN NASDAQ · Driven Brands Holdings Inc
22 May 202613.77
13.61
-1.16%
Buy
0.06
-
-
DSGR NASDAQ · Distribution Solutions Group Inc
12 Jun 202627.72
34.51
24.49%
Buy
0.15
-
-
DSGX NASDAQ · Descartes Systems Group Inc
1 May 202673.13
68.18
-6.77%
Buy
0.22
-
-
DSX NYSE · Diana Shipping Inc.
13 Jun 20251.64
2.25
37.42%
Buy
0.24
-
-
DT NYSE · Dynatrace Holdings LLC
1 May 202637.61
41.62
10.66%
Buy
0.07
-
-
DTIL NASDAQ · Precision BioSciences Inc
20 Mar 20266.52
7.29
11.81%
Buy
0.48
-
-
DUOL NASDAQ · Duolingo Inc
19 Jun 2026125.56
122.24
-2.64%
Buy
1.06
-
-
DV NYSE · DoubleVerify Holdings Inc
1 May 202611.31
10.56
-6.63%
Buy
0.91
-
-
DXCM NASDAQ · DexCom Inc
26 Dec 202567.57
71.54
5.88%
Buy
0.03
-
-
DXLG NASDAQ · Destination XL Group Inc
1 May 20260.62
0.63
1.03%
Buy
0.22
-
-
DYAI NASDAQ · Dyadic International Inc
3 Jul 20260.94
1.19
26.53%
Buy
0.23
-
-
DYN NASDAQ · Dyne Therapeutics Inc
25 Jul 20259.95
24.44
145.63%
Buy
0.54
-
-
ECOR NASDAQ · Electrocore LLC
20 Feb 20266.25
6.19
-0.96%
Buy
0.89
-
-
EDIT NASDAQ · Editas Medicine Inc
20 Mar 20262.34
2.60
11.11%
Buy
0.27
-
-
EDTK NASDAQ · Skillful Craftsman Education Tech
15 Dec 20230.94
0.95
1.27%
Buy
0.22
-
-
EDU NYSE · New Oriental Education & Technology
16 May 202547.52
49.24
3.62%
Buy
0.21
-
-
EEFT NASDAQ · Euronet Worldwide Inc
20 Feb 202672.50
79.31
9.39%
Buy
0.39
-
-

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 6061-6090 of 10830
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
21 Feb 2025
Entry
LPL NYSE · LG Display Co Ltd
3.49
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.15
21 Feb 2025
Entry
MRX NASDAQ · Marex Group plc Ordinary Shares
36.19
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 2.30
21 Feb 2025
Exit
MYRG NASDAQ · MYR Group Inc
120.50
20% entry drawdown
-23.69%
Entry 29 Nov 2024 157.90
21 Feb 2025
Exit
NERV NASDAQ · Minerva Neurosciences Inc
1.82
20% entry drawdown
-21.21%
Entry 31 Jan 2025 2.31
21 Feb 2025
Entry
NUE NYSE · Nucor Corp
132.61
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.18
21 Feb 2025
Exit
ONT NYSE · Onterris
17.74
20% entry drawdown
-21.61%
Entry 17 Jan 2025 22.63
21 Feb 2025
Exit
RAND NASDAQ · Rand Capital Corp
24.19
Reversal Risk Warning
146.76%
Entry 10 May 2024 9.81
21 Feb 2025
Exit
RDZN NASDAQ · Roadzen Inc.
1.09
20% entry drawdown
-21.01%
Entry 14 Feb 2025 1.38
21 Feb 2025
Exit
SAP NYSE · SAP SE ADR
275.84
Reversal Risk Warning
85.83%
Entry 24 Nov 2023 148.44
21 Feb 2025
Entry
STM NYSE · STMicroelectronics NV ADR
27.15
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.78
21 Feb 2025
Exit
TUYA NYSE · Tuya Inc ADR
3.89
Reversal Risk Warning
120.65%
Entry 4 Oct 2024 1.76
21 Feb 2025
Entry
TV NYSE · Grupo Televisa SAB ADR
1.85
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.21
21 Feb 2025
Exit
TXG NASDAQ · 10X Genomics Inc
10.90
20% entry drawdown
-27.72%
Entry 17 Jan 2025 15.08
21 Feb 2025
Entry
ULS NYSE · UL Solutions Inc.
52.43
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.06
21 Feb 2025
Exit
VNET NASDAQ · VNET Group Inc DRC
14.59
Reversal Risk Warning
268.43%
Entry 27 Sep 2024 3.96
21 Feb 2025
Entry
YI NASDAQ · 111 Inc
8.36
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.23
14 Feb 2025
Exit
ABT NYSE · Abbott Laboratories
127.39
Reversal Risk Warning
27.71%
Entry 1 Dec 2023 99.75
14 Feb 2025
Exit
AIOT NASDAQ · PowerFleet, Inc.
8.10
Reversal Risk Warning
243.95%
Entry 24 Nov 2023 2.36
14 Feb 2025
Exit
ALAB NASDAQ · Astera Labs, Inc.
87.85
20% entry drawdown
-27.03%
Entry 6 Dec 2024 120.40
14 Feb 2025
Entry
AQN NYSE · Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp
4.57
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.63
14 Feb 2025
Exit
AUR NASDAQ · Aurora Innovation Inc
10.19
Reversal Risk Warning
175.41%
Entry 12 Jul 2024 3.70
14 Feb 2025
Entry
BAK NYSE · Braskem SA Class A
4.60
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.06
14 Feb 2025
Entry
BBD NYSE · Banco Bradesco SA ADR
1.95
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.20
14 Feb 2025
Exit
BBDC NYSE · Barings BDC Inc
8.46
Reversal Risk Warning
43.00%
Entry 4 Aug 2023 5.92
14 Feb 2025
Entry
BCDA NASDAQ · Biocardia Inc
2.84
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.27
14 Feb 2025
Exit
BYRN NASDAQ · Byrna Technologies Inc
32.80
Reversal Risk Warning
443.05%
Entry 1 Dec 2023 6.04
14 Feb 2025
Entry
CCIX NASDAQ · Churchill Capital Corp IX
10.50
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.40
14 Feb 2025
Exit
COSM NASDAQ · Cosmos Health Inc.
0.62
20% entry drawdown
-20.97%
Entry 24 Jan 2025 0.78
14 Feb 2025
Entry
CVGI NASDAQ · Commercial Vehicle Group Inc
2.06
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.47
14 Feb 2025
Exit
CVLT NASDAQ · CommVault Systems Inc
184.91
Reversal Risk Warning
131.37%
Entry 22 Dec 2023 79.92