Signal Validation

Market Dynamics Performance Index

A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.

United States
Latest week 3 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
487.74
Total Return
387.74%
CAGR
57.51% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+35.40%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.70 Sortino 5.25
Current Holdings
1105
Transactions
10675 Avg 3060.4/yr · 255.0/mo · 58.9/wk
Exit Mix
4785 Stop 41.3% · Warning 58.5% · Other 0.2%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.

01

Universe

Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
  • Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
  • Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

3 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
47
ABT NYSE · Abbott Laboratories
95.40 MD 0.06 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ACET NASDAQ · Adicet Bio Inc
9.00 MD 0.90 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
AKBA NASDAQ · Akebia Ther
1.24 MD 0.04 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ALDX NASDAQ · Aldeyra The
2.27 MD 0.20 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ALIT NYSE · Alight Inc
14.26 MD 0.88 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ANGI NASDAQ · ANGI Homeservices Inc
6.06 MD 0.09 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
AVXL NASDAQ · Anavex Life Sciences Corp
2.76 MD 0.10 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BARK NYSE · BARK, Inc.
10.93 MD 0.02 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BILL NYSE · Bill Com Holdings Inc
40.48 MD 0.02 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BTMD NASDAQ · biote Corp
2.17 MD 0.93 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BYRN NASDAQ · Byrna Technologies Inc
6.97 MD 0.51 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CIGI NASDAQ · Colliers International Group Inc Bats
98.51 MD 0.06 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CLRO NASDAQ · ClearOne Inc
6.48 MD 0.63 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CRAC NASDAQ · Crown Reserve Acquisition Corp. I Class A Ordinary Shares
10.12 MD 1.89 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
DEFT NASDAQ · DeFi Technologies Inc.
0.53 MD 0.47 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
DNMX NASDAQ · Dynamix Corporation III Class A Ordinary Shares
10.01 MD 1.48 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
DYAI NASDAQ · Dyadic International Inc
0.94 MD 0.21 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ELBM NASDAQ · Electra Battery Materials Corp
0.56 MD 0.28 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ESBA NYSE · Empire State Realty OP LP ES
5.64 MD 0.68 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
EVO NASDAQ · Evotec SE ADR
2.90 MD 0.20 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
EVTC NYSE · Evertec Inc
29.63 MD 0.27 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
FISK NYSE · Empire State Realty OP LP 250
5.61 MD 0.63 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
FOUR NYSE · Shift4 Payments Inc
51.35 MD 0.87 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GHI NYSE · Greystone Housing Impact Investors LP
5.96 MD 0.27 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GIS NYSE · General Mills Inc
37.57 MD 0.41 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
HELP NASDAQ · Cybin Inc. Common Stock
6.24 MD 0.51 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
INCR NASDAQ · InterCure Ltd.
1.09 MD 1.06 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
KNSL NYSE · Kinsale Capital Group Inc
354.85 MD 0.09 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LAB NASDAQ · Standard Biotools Inc
0.91 MD 0.26 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LZ NASDAQ · LegalZoom.com Inc
6.92 MD 0.38 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MRSH NYSE · Marsh & McLennan Companies, Inc.
178.54 MD 0.32 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MSTR NASDAQ · MicroStrategy Incorporated
100.77 MD 0.01 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
NKE NYSE · Nike Inc
44.09 MD 0.29 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OI NYSE · O-I Glass Inc
9.79 MD 0.11 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OWLT NYSE · Owlet Inc
5.76 MD 0.26 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OXBR NASDAQ · Oxbridge Re Holdings Ltd
1.28 MD 1.07 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PGY NASDAQ · Pagaya Technologies Ltd.
17.79 MD 1.04 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
REAX NASDAQ · Real Brokerage Inc
2.17 MD 0.08 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SLNG NASDAQ · Stabilis Solutions Inc
4.19 MD 0.43 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SRFM NYSE · Surf Air Mobility Inc.
1.04 MD 0.50 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TDWD NASDAQ · Tailwind 2.0 Acquisition Corp. Class A Ordinary Shares
10.06 MD 1.64 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
UTZ NYSE · Utz Brands Inc
8.27 MD 0.58 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WAY NASDAQ · Waystar Holding Corp. Common Stock
23.46 MD 0.10 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WING NASDAQ · Wingstop Inc
177.99 MD 0.22 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
YSG NYSE · Yatsen Holding
3.47 MD 1.35 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ZBH NYSE · Zimmer Biomet Holdings Inc
87.47 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ZS NASDAQ · Zscaler Inc
147.33 MD 0.40 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
22
ABCL NASDAQ · Abcellera Biologics Inc
8.11 Reversal Risk Warning · 137.83%
ABX NYSE · Abacus Global Management, Inc.
11.86 Reversal Risk Warning · 89.60%
AIRT NASDAQ · Air T Inc
28.87 Reversal Risk Warning · 60.30%
ALAR NASDAQ · Alarum Technologies Ltd.
6.35 20% entry drawdown · -34.06%
ALGT NASDAQ · Allegiant Travel Company
118.67 Reversal Risk Warning · 113.01%
ASTL NASDAQ · Algoma Steel Group Inc
3.77 20% entry drawdown · -20.46%
BGDE NASDAQ · Big Digital Energy, Inc.
7.45 20% entry drawdown · -30.18%
ENVX NASDAQ · Enovix Corp
5.36 20% entry drawdown · -20.83%
FA NASDAQ · First Advantage Corp
20.53 Reversal Risk Warning · 58.29%
GCBC NASDAQ · Greene County Bancorp Inc
34.66 Reversal Risk Warning · 41.97%
ILMN NASDAQ · Illumina Inc
188.68 Reversal Risk Warning · 117.05%
LFVN NASDAQ · Lifevantage Corporation
6.22 20% entry drawdown · -20.55%
MB NASDAQ · MasterBeef Group Ordinary Shares
4.51 20% entry drawdown · -26.31%
MOVE NASDAQ · Movano Inc
17.37 20% entry drawdown · -24.12%
NEUP NASDAQ · Neuphoria Therapeutics Inc
3.38 20% entry drawdown · -32.94%
OPTU NYSE · Optimum Communications, Inc.
1.16 20% entry drawdown · -30.12%
RDZN NASDAQ · Roadzen Inc.
1.34 20% entry drawdown · -25.56%
SMCI NASDAQ · Super Micro Computer Inc
27.22 20% entry drawdown · -23.04%
TTRX NASDAQ · Turn Therapeutics Inc. Common Stock
7.12 Reversal Risk Warning · 38.79%
USIO NASDAQ · Usio Inc
2.48 Reversal Risk Warning · 63.16%
VGAS NASDAQ · Verde Clean Fuels Inc.
1.00 20% entry drawdown · -34.21%
WXM NASDAQ · WF International Limited Ordinary Shares
4.29 20% entry drawdown · -23.38%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 301-330 of 1105 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signal MD ROC RS
DV NYSE · DoubleVerify Holdings Inc
1 May 202611.31
11.44
1.15%
Buy
0.91
-
-
DXCM NASDAQ · DexCom Inc
26 Dec 202567.57
71.25
5.45%
Buy
0.03
-
-
DXLG NASDAQ · Destination XL Group Inc
1 May 20260.62
0.66
5.70%
Buy
0.22
-
-
DYAI NASDAQ · Dyadic International Inc
3 Jul 20260.94
0.94
New Entry week
Buy
0.21
-
-
DYN NASDAQ · Dyne Therapeutics Inc
25 Jul 20259.95
23.07
131.86%
Buy
0.54
-
-
ECOR NASDAQ · Electrocore LLC
20 Feb 20266.25
8.77
40.32%
Buy
0.89
-
-
EDIT NASDAQ · Editas Medicine Inc
20 Mar 20262.34
3.65
55.98%
Buy
0.27
-
-
EDTK NASDAQ · Skillful Craftsman Education Tech
15 Dec 20230.94
0.99
5.52%
Buy
0.22
-
-
EDU NYSE · New Oriental Education & Technology
16 May 202547.52
47.03
-1.03%
Buy
0.21
-
-
EEFT NASDAQ · Euronet Worldwide Inc
20 Feb 202672.50
77.18
6.46%
Buy
0.39
-
-
EEX NYSE · Emerald Expositions Events Inc
9 Jan 20264.73
5.03
6.33%
Buy
0.17
-
-
EGHT NASDAQ · 8x8 Inc Common Stock
27 Jun 20251.86
1.83
-1.61%
Buy
0.09
-
-
EIC NYSE · Eagle Point Income Company Inc
1 May 20269.80
10.21
4.18%
Buy
0.09
-
-
EIX NYSE · Edison International
2 May 202551.76
75.66
46.16%
Buy
0.20
-
-
EL NYSE · Estee Lauder Companies Inc
30 May 202565.96
83.71
26.90%
Buy
0.12
-
-
ELBM NASDAQ · Electra Battery Materials Corp
3 Jul 20260.56
0.56
New Entry week
Buy
0.28
-
-
ELDN NASDAQ · Eledon Pharmaceuticals Inc
20 Feb 20262.19
3.95
80.37%
Buy
0.16
-
-
ELF NYSE · ELF Beauty Inc
26 Jun 202667.43
76.42
13.33%
Buy
0.13
-
-
ELS NYSE · Equity Lifestyle Properties Inc
19 Sep 202559.02
66.25
12.24%
Buy
0.25
-
-
ELUT NASDAQ · Elutia Inc.
9 Jan 20260.72
0.93
28.91%
Buy
0.29
-
-
ELV NYSE · Elevance Health Inc
3 Oct 2025345.12
417.89
21.09%
Buy
0.10
-
-
EMIS NASDAQ · Emisphere Technologies Inc
29 May 202610.13
10.18
0.49%
Buy
0.80
-
-
EMN NYSE · Eastman Chemical Company
14 Nov 202558.11
68.86
18.50%
Buy
0.09
-
-
ENGS NASDAQ · Energys Group Limited Ordinary Shares
26 Jun 20262.55
2.69
5.49%
Buy
1.79
-
-
ENOV NYSE · Enovis Corp
24 Apr 202624.10
22.50
-6.64%
Buy
0.36
-
-
ENR NYSE · Energizer Holdings Inc
12 Jun 202620.25
21.75
7.41%
Buy
0.26
-
-
ENTA NASDAQ · Enanta Pharmaceuticals Inc
6 Jun 20257.47
15.11
102.28%
Buy
0.43
-
-
EOLS NASDAQ · Evolus Inc
24 Apr 20265.30
6.90
30.19%
Buy
0.10
-
-
EPC NYSE · Edgewell Personal Care Co
16 Jan 202618.41
27.21
47.80%
Buy
0.23
-
-
EPSN NASDAQ · Epsilon Energy Ltd
30 Jan 20264.88
5.40
10.72%
Buy
0.48
-
-

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 301-330 of 10675
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
26 Jun 2026
Exit
WRLD NASDAQ · World Acceptance Corporation
213.77
Reversal Risk Warning
61.45%
Entry 22 Dec 2023 132.41
26 Jun 2026
Exit
WVVI NASDAQ · Willamette Valley Vineyards Inc
2.19
20% entry drawdown
-25.51%
Entry 8 May 2026 2.94
26 Jun 2026
Entry
YEXT NYSE · Yext Inc
4.44
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.37
26 Jun 2026
Entry
ZTEK NASDAQ · ZEN Graphene Solutions Ltd
0.49
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.04
19 Jun 2026
Entry
ABG NYSE · Asbury Automotive Group Inc
197.05
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.02
19 Jun 2026
Exit
ACLS NASDAQ · Axcelis Technologies Inc
187.53
Reversal Risk Warning
195.28%
Entry 6 Jun 2025 63.51
19 Jun 2026
Exit
ACMR NASDAQ · Acm Research Inc
109.87
Reversal Risk Warning
382.73%
Entry 7 Feb 2025 22.76
19 Jun 2026
Exit
ADBE NASDAQ · Adobe Systems Incorporated
195.16
20% entry drawdown
-21.18%
Entry 15 May 2026 247.60
19 Jun 2026
Exit
AEHR NASDAQ · Aehr Test Systems
115.30
Reversal Risk Warning
349.69%
Entry 30 Jan 2026 25.64
19 Jun 2026
Exit
AGX NYSE · Argan Inc
738.85
Reversal Risk Warning
294.17%
Entry 16 May 2025 187.44
19 Jun 2026
Exit
AIFF NASDAQ · Firefly Neuroscience, Inc.
1.37
20% entry drawdown
-22.16%
Entry 17 Apr 2026 1.76
19 Jun 2026
Exit
AIP NASDAQ · Arteris Inc
44.11
Reversal Risk Warning
301.73%
Entry 3 Oct 2025 10.98
19 Jun 2026
Exit
ALAB NASDAQ · Astera Labs, Inc.
417.07
Reversal Risk Warning
241.22%
Entry 25 Jul 2025 122.23
19 Jun 2026
Exit
ALGM NASDAQ · Allegro Microsystems Inc
59.00
Reversal Risk Warning
168.18%
Entry 13 Dec 2024 22.00
19 Jun 2026
Exit
ALIT NYSE · Alight Inc
11.38
20% entry drawdown
-27.20%
Entry 1 May 2026 15.64
19 Jun 2026
Exit
ALNT NASDAQ · Allient Inc.
95.85
Reversal Risk Warning
198.69%
Entry 16 May 2025 32.09
19 Jun 2026
Exit
ALOT NASDAQ · AstroNova Inc
28.57
Reversal Risk Warning
146.93%
Entry 10 Apr 2026 11.57
19 Jun 2026
Exit
AMAT NASDAQ · Applied Materials Inc
617.11
Reversal Risk Warning
204.01%
Entry 26 Sep 2025 202.99
19 Jun 2026
Exit
AMBQ NYSE · Ambiq Micro, Inc.
90.48
Reversal Risk Warning
160.30%
Entry 17 Apr 2026 34.76
19 Jun 2026
Exit
AMKR NASDAQ · Amkor Technology Inc
90.46
Reversal Risk Warning
221.15%
Entry 19 Sep 2025 28.17
19 Jun 2026
Exit
AMPG NASDAQ · Amplitech Group Inc
8.99
Reversal Risk Warning
78.37%
Entry 22 May 2026 5.04
19 Jun 2026
Entry
AMSF NASDAQ · AMERISAFE Inc
31.32
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.17
19 Jun 2026
Exit
AOSL NASDAQ · Alpha and Omega Semiconductor Ltd
48.04
Reversal Risk Warning
112.10%
Entry 13 Feb 2026 22.65
19 Jun 2026
Entry
APWC NASDAQ · Asia Pacific Wire & Cable Corp Ltd
1.99
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.39
19 Jun 2026
Exit
ARM NASDAQ · Arm Holdings plc American Depositary Shares
439.46
Reversal Risk Warning
252.87%
Entry 30 May 2025 124.54
19 Jun 2026
Exit
ATEN NYSE · A10 Network
33.26
Reversal Risk Warning
126.31%
Entry 3 May 2024 14.70
19 Jun 2026
Entry
ATHM NYSE · Autohome Inc
17.46
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.21
19 Jun 2026
Exit
ATRO NASDAQ · Astronics Corporation
80.56
Reversal Risk Warning
312.85%
Entry 7 Mar 2025 19.51
19 Jun 2026
Exit
AUPH NASDAQ · Aurinia Pharmaceuticals Inc
16.46
Reversal Risk Warning
143.49%
Entry 23 Aug 2024 6.76
19 Jun 2026
Exit
BAK NYSE · Braskem SA Class A
2.94
20% entry drawdown
-23.24%
Entry 13 Feb 2026 3.83