View US Trend Index

Signal Validation

Market Dynamics Performance Index

A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.

Market United States

Latest week 17 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00

Index Value

479.75

Total Return

379.75%

CAGR

56.00% Annualized from first index week

Edge vs Market

+34.22%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR

Risk Adjusted

Sharpe 2.65 Sortino 5.16

Current Holdings

1081

Transactions

10781 Avg 3057.2/yr · 254.8/mo · 58.8/wk

Exit Mix

4850 Stop 41.5% · Warning 58.0% · Other 0.5%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.

Universe

Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions

This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

17 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close

ADBE NASDAQ · Adobe Systems Incorporated

237.25 MD 0.17 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

BL NASDAQ · Blackline Inc

30.29 MD 0.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

BLKB NASDAQ · Blackbaud Inc

32.40 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

CDNL NASDAQ · Cardinal Infrastructure Group Inc. Class A Common Stock

71.23 MD 1.59 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

CURV NYSE · Torrid Holdings Inc

2.33 MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

DFIN NYSE · Donnelley Financial Solutions Inc

49.95 MD 0.06 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

EXPO NASDAQ · Exponent Inc

62.88 MD 0.09 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

FIS NYSE · Fidelity National Information Services Inc

41.91 MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

HCKT NASDAQ · The Hackett Group Inc

10.34 MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

ICFI NASDAQ · ICF International Inc

78.86 MD 0.80 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

LAW NYSE · CS Disco LLC

4.05 MD 0.26 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

NRDS NASDAQ · Nerdwallet Inc

9.26 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

ONT NYSE · Onterris

20.93 MD 0.36 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

OPRX NASDAQ · OPTIMIZERx Corp

6.69 MD 0.86 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

PODD NASDAQ · Insulet Corporation

164.06 MD 0.42 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

RCEL NASDAQ · Avita Medical Ltd

5.10 MD 0.39 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

UPWK NASDAQ · Upwork Inc

9.06 MD 0.10 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

XRAY NASDAQ · Dentsply Sirona Inc

14.05 MD 0.72 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close

ACB NASDAQ · Aurora Cannabis Inc

2.63 20% entry drawdown · -20.78%

AIFU NASDAQ · Fanhua Inc.

34.52 20% entry drawdown · -25.28%

AKTX NASDAQ · Akari Therapeutics PLC

11.01 20% entry drawdown · -20.68%

ALDX NASDAQ · Aldeyra The

1.69 20% entry drawdown · -25.55%

ARCT NASDAQ · Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings Inc

6.05 20% entry drawdown · -26.49%

AWRE NASDAQ · Aware Inc

1.11 20% entry drawdown · -26.97%

BEEM NASDAQ · Beam Global

1.03 20% entry drawdown · -24.82%

BNAI NASDAQ · Brand Engagement Network Inc

11.62 20% entry drawdown · -29.49%

BTBT NASDAQ · Bit Digital Inc

1.40 20% entry drawdown · -29.65%

EIX NYSE · Edison International

77.63 Reversal Risk Warning · 49.97%

EVGO NASDAQ · Evgo Inc

1.68 20% entry drawdown · -20.94%

EVO NASDAQ · Evotec SE ADR

1.96 20% entry drawdown · -27.94%

GENK NASDAQ · GEN Restaurant Group, Inc. Class A Common Stock

1.77 20% entry drawdown · -24.36%

GLXG NASDAQ · Galaxy Payroll Group Limited Ordinary Shares

1.05 20% entry drawdown · -28.08%

HUBG NASDAQ · Hub Group Inc

51.22 Reversal Risk Warning · 45.11%

INV NASDAQ · Innventure, Inc.

3.37 20% entry drawdown · -27.37%

JLHL NASDAQ · Julong Holding Limited Class A Ordinary Shares

9.35 20% entry drawdown · -20.29%

LEDS NASDAQ · SemiLEDS Corporation

3.01 Reversal Risk Warning · 67.22%

LONA NASDAQ · LeonaBio, Inc.

7.22 20% entry drawdown · -27.22%

MTEX NASDAQ · Mannatech Incorporated

4.25 20% entry drawdown · -21.59%

OABI NASDAQ · OmniAb Inc.

2.12 20% entry drawdown · -20.00%

OCCI NASDAQ · OFS Credit Company Inc

2.27 20% entry drawdown · -23.83%

PBF NYSE · PBF Energy Inc

62.75 Reversal Risk Warning · 219.84%

PLUG NASDAQ · Plug Power Inc

2.17 20% entry drawdown · -20.80%

PMCB NASDAQ · PharmaCyte Biotech Inc

0.63 20% entry drawdown · -21.31%

PMEC NASDAQ · Primech Holdings Ltd. Ordinary Shares

0.52 20% entry drawdown · -28.59%

QFIN NASDAQ · 360 Finance Inc

12.73 20% entry drawdown · -20.83%

RPT NYSE · Rithm Property Trust Inc.

10.89 20% entry drawdown · -27.03%

RXRX NASDAQ · Recursion Pharmaceuticals Inc

2.95 20% entry drawdown · -22.50%

SNPS NASDAQ · Synopsys Inc

384.28 20% entry drawdown · -25.60%

SORA NASDAQ · Top Win International Limited

1.73 20% entry drawdown · -23.18%

VERU NASDAQ · Veru Inc

2.38 20% entry drawdown · -30.00%

WING NASDAQ · Wingstop Inc

142.33 20% entry drawdown · -20.03%

WW NASDAQ · WW International, Inc. Common Stock

14.57 20% entry drawdown · -21.46%

ZSQR NASDAQ · Z Squared Inc.

5.06 20% entry drawdown · -45.47%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 301-330 of 1081 open

Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signal MD ROC RS

EDU NYSE · New Oriental Education & Technology

16 May 202547.52

49.15

3.43%

Buy

0.21

EEFT NASDAQ · Euronet Worldwide Inc

20 Feb 202672.50

81.34

12.19%

Buy

0.39

EEX NYSE · Emerald Expositions Events Inc

9 Jan 20264.73

5.04

6.54%

Buy

0.17

EGHT NASDAQ · 8x8 Inc Common Stock

27 Jun 20251.86

1.88

1.08%

Buy

0.09

EIC NYSE · Eagle Point Income Company Inc

1 May 20269.80

9.89

0.92%

Buy

0.09

EL NYSE · Estee Lauder Companies Inc

30 May 202565.96

82.13

24.51%

Buy

0.12

ELDN NASDAQ · Eledon Pharmaceuticals Inc

20 Feb 20262.19

4.07

85.84%

Buy

0.16

ELF NYSE · ELF Beauty Inc

26 Jun 202667.43

73.69

9.28%

Buy

0.13

ELS NYSE · Equity Lifestyle Properties Inc

19 Sep 202559.02

65.75

11.40%

Buy

0.25

ELUT NASDAQ · Elutia Inc.

9 Jan 20260.72

0.95

31.40%

Buy

0.29

ELV NYSE · Elevance Health Inc

3 Oct 2025345.12

373.11

8.11%

Buy

0.10

EMIS NASDAQ · Emisphere Technologies Inc

29 May 202610.13

10.18

0.49%

Buy

0.80

EMN NYSE · Eastman Chemical Company

14 Nov 202558.11

68.60

18.06%

Buy

0.09

ENGS NASDAQ · Energys Group Limited Ordinary Shares

26 Jun 20262.55

2.57

0.78%

Buy

2.08

ENOV NYSE · Enovis Corp

24 Apr 202624.10

27.07

12.32%

Buy

0.36

ENR NYSE · Energizer Holdings Inc

12 Jun 202620.25

20.23

-0.10%

Buy

0.26

ENTA NASDAQ · Enanta Pharmaceuticals Inc

6 Jun 20257.47

13.74

83.94%

Buy

0.43

EOLS NASDAQ · Evolus Inc

24 Apr 20265.30

5.73

8.11%

Buy

0.10

EPC NYSE · Edgewell Personal Care Co

16 Jan 202618.41

29.66

61.10%

Buy

0.23

EPSN NASDAQ · Epsilon Energy Ltd

30 Jan 20264.88

5.52

13.18%

Buy

0.48

ERIE NASDAQ · Erie Indemnity Company

3 Jul 2026257.78

227.31

-11.82%

Buy

0.77

ESBA NYSE · Empire State Realty OP LP ES

3 Jul 20265.64

5.45

-3.37%

Buy

0.68

ESRT NYSE · Empire State Realty Trust Inc

22 May 20265.54

5.77

4.09%

Buy

0.26

ESTC NYSE · Elastic NV

22 May 202654.81

61.59

12.37%

Buy

0.08

ETD NYSE · Ethan Allen Interiors Inc

19 Jun 202621.17

22.78

7.61%

Buy

0.25

ETSY NYSE · Etsy, Inc.

30 May 202555.35

84.10

51.94%

Buy

0.17

EVH NYSE · Evolent Health Inc

12 Jun 20264.80

5.81

21.04%

Buy

1.29

EVTC NYSE · Evertec Inc

3 Jul 202629.63

30.27

2.16%

Buy

0.27

EXFY NASDAQ · Expensify Inc

19 Jun 20261.56

1.83

17.31%

Buy

1.20

EXLS NASDAQ · ExlService Holdings Inc

22 May 202629.51

28.16

-4.57%

Buy

0.35

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 4681-4710 of 10781

Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers

4 Jul 2025

Entry

PHUN NASDAQ · Phunware Inc

3.36

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.77

4 Jul 2025

Entry

PLAB NASDAQ · Photronics Inc

20.26

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.18

4 Jul 2025

Exit

PRA NYSE · ProAssurance Corporation

23.63

Reversal Risk Warning

92.90%

Entry 22 Mar 2024 12.25

4 Jul 2025

Entry

PVH NYSE · PVH Corp

72.31

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.22

4 Jul 2025

Entry

PXLW NASDAQ · Pixelworks Inc

7.22

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.11

4 Jul 2025

Exit

RDN NYSE · Radian Group Inc

35.73

Reversal Risk Warning

52.44%

Entry 14 Jul 2023 23.44

4 Jul 2025

Entry

RELL NASDAQ · Richardson Electronics Ltd

10.01

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.00

4 Jul 2025

Entry

RLJ NYSE · RLJ Lodging Trust

7.13

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.05

4 Jul 2025

Entry

RMCF NASDAQ · Rocky Mountain Chocolate Factory

1.57

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.80

4 Jul 2025

Entry

RMCO NASDAQ · Royalty Management Holding Corporation

1.59

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.19

4 Jul 2025

Entry

RPT NYSE · Rithm Property Trust Inc.

14.92

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.03

4 Jul 2025

Exit

SAH NYSE · Sonic Automotive Inc

85.68

Reversal Risk Warning

73.34%

Entry 17 Nov 2023 49.43

4 Jul 2025

Exit

SAR NYSE · Saratoga Investment Corp

21.50

Reversal Risk Warning

17.35%

Entry 8 Dec 2023 18.32

4 Jul 2025

Entry

SATS NASDAQ · EchoStar Corporation

31.36

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.25

4 Jul 2025

Entry

SCNX NASDAQ · Scienture Holdings, Inc.

1.45

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.55

4 Jul 2025

Entry

SEPN NASDAQ · Septerna, Inc. Common Stock

11.37

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.75

4 Jul 2025

Entry

SERA NASDAQ · Sera Prognostics Inc

2.49

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.28

4 Jul 2025

Exit

SEZL NASDAQ · Sezzle Inc.

182.16

Reversal Risk Warning

279.74%

Entry 25 Apr 2025 47.97

4 Jul 2025

Entry

SHLS NASDAQ · Shoals Technologies Group Inc

5.98

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.02

4 Jul 2025

Entry

SIRI NASDAQ · Sirius XM Holding Inc

23.18

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.57

4 Jul 2025

Entry

SMRT NYSE · SmartRent Inc

1.11

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.68

4 Jul 2025

Exit

SNT NASDAQ · Senstar Technologies Ltd

5.04

Reversal Risk Warning

200.00%

Entry 14 Jun 2024 1.68

4 Jul 2025

Entry

SOHU NASDAQ · Sohu.Com Inc

13.78

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.29

4 Jul 2025

Exit

SPOK NASDAQ · Spok Holdings Inc

16.18

Reversal Risk Warning

39.32%

Entry 15 Sep 2023 11.62

4 Jul 2025

Entry

SWK NYSE · Stanley Black & Decker Inc

67.98

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.13

4 Jul 2025

Entry

TCRX NASDAQ · Tscan Therapeutics Inc

1.51

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.01

4 Jul 2025

Exit

TDG NYSE · Transdigm Group Incorporated

1424.71

Reversal Risk Warning

67.84%

Entry 17 Nov 2023 848.87

4 Jul 2025

Entry

TKR NYSE · Timken Company

75.50

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.55

4 Jul 2025

Exit

UAMY NYSE · United States Antimony Corporation

2.22

20% entry drawdown

-20.43%

Entry 11 Apr 2025 2.79

4 Jul 2025

Exit

UBER NYSE · Uber Technologies Inc

93.63

Reversal Risk Warning

109.23%

Entry 14 Jul 2023 44.75