View US Trend Index

Signal Validation

Market Dynamics Performance Index

A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.

United States
Latest week 31 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
470.81
Total Return
370.81%
CAGR
54.44% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+32.75%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.59 Sortino 5.03
Current Holdings
1067
Transactions
10881 Avg 3052.4/yr · 254.4/mo · 58.7/wk
Exit Mix
4907 Stop 42.0% · Warning 57.4% · Other 0.6%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.

01

Universe

Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
  • Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
  • Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

31 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
25
BR NYSE · Broadridge Financial Solutions Inc
153.95 MD 0.49 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BZFD NASDAQ · BuzzFeed Inc
1.19 MD 0.22 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CMCO NASDAQ · Columbus McKinnon Corporation
19.17 MD 0.48 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CNET NASDAQ · ZW Data Action Technologies Inc
1.60 MD 1.12 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CRM NYSE · Salesforce.com Inc
184.02 MD 0.35 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
DPZ NASDAQ · Domino's Pizza Inc Common Stock
347.44 MD 0.32 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
DXC NYSE · DXC Technology Co
11.24 MD 0.02 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
EFOR NYSE · Everforth, Inc.
28.44 MD 0.09 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GEHC NASDAQ · GE HealthCare Technologies Inc.
68.02 MD 0.24 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GOGO NASDAQ · Gogo Inc
4.18 MD 0.11 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
HLNE NASDAQ · Hamilton Lane Inc
88.91 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
HUBS NYSE · HubSpot Inc
237.36 MD 1.24 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
HURN NASDAQ · Huron Consulting Group Inc
151.77 MD 0.52 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
INFY NYSE · Infosys Ltd ADR
12.03 MD 0.30 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
INTA NASDAQ · Intapp Inc
32.69 MD 1.29 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LVWR NYSE · LiveWire Group Inc.
1.81 MD 0.42 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
NICE NASDAQ · Nice Ltd ADR
98.79 MD 0.36 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PEW NYSE · GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc.
2.48 MD 0.20 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PTC NASDAQ · PTC Inc
137.20 MD 0.02 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SGRP NASDAQ · SPAR Group Inc
0.60 MD 0.30 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SPOK NASDAQ · Spok Holdings Inc
10.90 MD 0.50 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TAP NYSE · Molson Coors Brewing Co Class B
41.56 MD 0.07 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TME NYSE · Tencent Music Entertainment Group
9.45 MD 0.50 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TRI NASDAQ · Thomson Reuters Corporation Common Shares
98.13 MD 1.47 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WK NYSE · Workiva Inc
59.80 MD 0.70 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
29
ACDC NASDAQ · ProFrac Holding Corp.
4.04 20% entry drawdown · -20.00%
ADXN NASDAQ · Addex Therapeutics Ltd
5.20 20% entry drawdown · -23.64%
AVD NYSE · American Vanguard Corporation
2.39 20% entry drawdown · -24.37%
BLDR NYSE · Builders FirstSource Inc
66.44 20% entry drawdown · -25.47%
CJMB NASDAQ · Callan JMB Inc. Common Stock
1.35 20% entry drawdown · -47.06%
CLRO NASDAQ · ClearOne Inc
4.08 20% entry drawdown · -37.04%
CUPR NASDAQ · Cuprina Holdings (Cayman) Limited Class A Ordinary Shares
2.92 20% entry drawdown · -26.45%
DBX NASDAQ · Dropbox Inc
32.56 Reversal Risk Warning · 12.66%
DFH NYSE · Dream Finders Homes Inc
12.79 20% entry drawdown · -25.64%
EVH NYSE · Evolent Health Inc
3.09 20% entry drawdown · -35.63%
JMSB NASDAQ · John Marshall Bancorp Inc
23.20 Reversal Risk Warning · 36.35%
KFFB NASDAQ · Kentucky First Federal Bancorp
5.48 Reversal Risk Warning · 113.87%
KPTI NASDAQ · Karyopharm Therapeutics Inc
1.92 20% entry drawdown · -67.57%
KRRO NASDAQ · Korro Bio, Inc.
10.37 20% entry drawdown · -20.17%
LKQ NASDAQ · LKQ Corporation
22.45 20% entry drawdown · -23.71%
MRDN NASDAQ · Meridian Holdings Inc
11.27 20% entry drawdown · -21.33%
MYGN NASDAQ · Myriad Genetics Inc
2.86 20% entry drawdown · -51.36%
NAUT NASDAQ · Nautilus Biotechnology Inc
0.98 20% entry drawdown · -26.54%
NXL NASDAQ · Nexalin Technology Inc.
0.34 20% entry drawdown · -29.80%
OI NYSE · O-I Glass Inc
7.15 20% entry drawdown · -26.97%
PDCC NYSE · Pearl Diver Credit Company Inc.
8.60 20% entry drawdown · -22.67%
PSN NYSE · Parsons Corp
44.21 20% entry drawdown · -21.46%
RADX NASDAQ · Radiopharm Theranostics Limited American Depositary Shares
3.15 20% entry drawdown · -28.89%
SILO NASDAQ · Silo Pharma Inc
4.19 20% entry drawdown · -23.78%
SKIN NASDAQ · Beauty Health Co
0.69 20% entry drawdown · -24.64%
TULP NASDAQ · Bloomia Holdings, Inc.
3.27 20% entry drawdown · -20.82%
TZOO NASDAQ · Travelzoo
7.23 20% entry drawdown · -25.46%
WHD NYSE · Cactus Inc
65.01 Reversal Risk Warning · 52.94%
XHLD NASDAQ · TEN Holdings, Inc. Common Stock
1.00 20% entry drawdown · -52.04%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 331-360 of 1067 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signal MD ROC RS
FATE NASDAQ · Fate Therapeutics Inc
22 May 20262.25
2.45
8.89%
Buy
1.61
-
-
FATN NASDAQ · FatPipe, Inc. Common Stock
27 Mar 20262.33
6.08
160.94%
Buy
0.33
-
-
FBIN NYSE · Fortune Brands Innovations Inc.
26 Jun 202645.96
49.26
7.18%
Buy
0.28
-
-
FC NYSE · Franklin Covey Company
3 Apr 202623.32
21.45
-8.02%
Buy
0.00
-
-
FCEL NASDAQ · FuelCell Energy Inc
1 May 202613.31
21.61
62.36%
Buy
0.44
-
-
FDMT NASDAQ · 4D Molecular Therapeutics Inc
10 Apr 20269.81
10.18
3.77%
Buy
0.25
-
-
FDS NYSE · FactSet Research Systems Inc
24 Apr 2026223.07
263.20
17.99%
Buy
0.10
-
-
FF NYSE · FutureFuel Corp
13 Feb 20263.70
4.95
33.75%
Buy
0.21
-
-
FG NYSE · F&G Annuities & Life Inc.
1 May 202627.86
28.57
2.54%
Buy
0.21
-
-
FGBI NASDAQ · First Guaranty Bancshares, Inc.
16 Jan 20268.02
9.59
19.54%
Buy
0.01
-
-
FGMC NASDAQ · FG Merger II Corp. Common stock
17 Oct 202510.04
8.30
-17.33%
Buy
0.28
-
-
FICO NYSE · Fair Isaac Corporation
29 May 20261250.59
1122.97
-10.20%
Buy
0.03
-
-
FIG NYSE · Figma, Inc.
8 May 202620.66
24.32
17.72%
Buy
1.41
-
-
FIGX NASDAQ · FIGX Capital Acquisition Corp. Class A Ordinary Share
10 Apr 202610.18
10.27
0.83%
Buy
1.00
-
-
FINV NYSE · FinVolution Group
13 Feb 20265.21
4.85
-6.89%
Buy
0.09
-
-
FIP NASDAQ · FTAI Infrastructure Inc.
19 Dec 20254.64
3.73
-19.63%
Buy
0.05
-
-
FIS NYSE · Fidelity National Information Services Inc
17 Jul 202641.91
44.77
6.82%
Buy
0.19
-
-
FISK NYSE · Empire State Realty OP LP 250
3 Jul 20265.61
5.10
-9.18%
Buy
0.63
-
-
FIVN NASDAQ · Five9 Inc
1 May 202622.24
27.51
23.70%
Buy
0.12
-
-
FIZZ NASDAQ · National Beverage Corp
30 Jan 202634.08
31.64
-7.16%
Buy
0.18
-
-
FLG NYSE · Flagstar Financial, Inc.
7 Feb 202512.25
14.22
16.07%
Buy
0.09
-
-
FLGT NASDAQ · Fulgent Genetics Inc
14 Mar 202517.24
16.55
-4.00%
Buy
0.07
-
-
FLL NASDAQ · Full House Resorts Inc
3 Apr 20262.55
2.21
-13.33%
Buy
0.36
-
-
FLO NYSE · Flowers Foods Inc
12 Jun 20267.79
7.02
-9.88%
Buy
0.07
-
-
FLOC NYSE · Flowco Holdings Inc.
5 Dec 202517.88
20.45
14.40%
Buy
1.65
-
-
FLYW NASDAQ · Flywire Corp
6 Jun 202510.50
16.01
52.48%
Buy
0.01
-
-
FND NYSE · Floor & Decor Holdings Inc
26 Jun 202659.61
57.57
-3.42%
Buy
0.33
-
-
FNKO NASDAQ · Funko Inc
8 May 20265.26
5.83
10.84%
Buy
0.09
-
-
FNWB NASDAQ · First Northwest Bancorp
3 Oct 20257.90
11.46
45.06%
Buy
0.41
-
-
FOR NYSE · Forestar Group Inc
4 Jul 202521.73
28.15
29.54%
Buy
0.70
-
-

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 10171-10200 of 10881
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
29 Sep 2023
Entry
SKM NYSE · SK Telecom Co Ltd ADR
19.14
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.74
29 Sep 2023
Entry
SPH NYSE · Suburban Propane Partners LP
13.32
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.75
29 Sep 2023
Exit
TSAT NASDAQ · Telesat Corp
14.30
20% entry drawdown
-23.41%
Entry 25 Aug 2023 18.67
22 Sep 2023
Entry
ARLP NASDAQ · Alliance Resource Partners LP
15.96
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.21
22 Sep 2023
Exit
BBIO NASDAQ · BridgeBio Pharma Inc
27.27
20% entry drawdown
-20.10%
Entry 21 Jul 2023 34.13
22 Sep 2023
Entry
CRNX NASDAQ · Crinetics Pharmaceuticals Inc
28.82
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.31
22 Sep 2023
Exit
DHC NASDAQ · Diversified Healthcare Trust
2.17
20% entry drawdown
-21.05%
Entry 11 Aug 2023 2.75
22 Sep 2023
Entry
FNWD NASDAQ · Finward Bancorp
21.34
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.50
22 Sep 2023
Entry
GLBS NASDAQ · Globus Maritime Ltd
1.49
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.45
22 Sep 2023
Entry
IGIC NASDAQ · International General Insurance Holdings Ltd
10.31
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.54
22 Sep 2023
Exit
KOSS NASDAQ · Koss Corporation
2.97
20% entry drawdown
-28.26%
Entry 4 Aug 2023 4.14
22 Sep 2023
Entry
MDV NYSE · Modiv Inc
11.16
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.22
22 Sep 2023
Exit
NRIM NASDAQ · Northrim BanCorp Inc
8.82
20% entry drawdown
-20.39%
Entry 4 Aug 2023 11.08
22 Sep 2023
Entry
PAA NASDAQ · Plains All American Pipeline LP
12.70
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.04
22 Sep 2023
Entry
PKE NYSE · Park Aerospace Corp
14.34
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.09
22 Sep 2023
Exit
PRTH NASDAQ · Priority Technology Holdings Inc
3.20
20% entry drawdown
-22.71%
Entry 21 Jul 2023 4.14
22 Sep 2023
Entry
RNR NYSE · Renaissancere Holdings Ltd
199.35
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.18
22 Sep 2023
Entry
SBRA NASDAQ · Sabra Healthcare REIT Inc
11.48
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.77
22 Sep 2023
Entry
SKWD NASDAQ · Skyward Specialty Insurance Group, Inc. Common Stock
28.47
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.07
22 Sep 2023
Entry
SND NASDAQ · Smart Sand Inc
2.07
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.63
22 Sep 2023
Exit
SOFI NASDAQ · SoFi Technologies Inc.
7.54
20% entry drawdown
-20.04%
Entry 21 Jul 2023 9.43
22 Sep 2023
Exit
TDAY NYSE · USA TODAY Co., Inc.
2.44
20% entry drawdown
-24.22%
Entry 4 Aug 2023 3.22
22 Sep 2023
Exit
TLS NASDAQ · Telos Corp
1.93
20% entry drawdown
-21.22%
Entry 28 Jul 2023 2.45
22 Sep 2023
Entry
VIRC NASDAQ · Virco Manufacturing Corporation
6.20
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.53
15 Sep 2023
Entry
ABM NYSE · ABM Industries Incorporated
38.16
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.07
15 Sep 2023
Exit
ABSI NASDAQ · Absci Corp
1.54
20% entry drawdown
-23.00%
Entry 14 Jul 2023 2.00
15 Sep 2023
Entry
ADT NYSE · ADT Inc
5.63
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.41
15 Sep 2023
Entry
AFGE NYSE · American Financial Group, Inc.
15.05
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.16
15 Sep 2023
Entry
AMZN NASDAQ · Amazon.com Inc
140.39
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.06
15 Sep 2023
Exit
ASML NASDAQ · ASML Holding NV ADR
580.34
20% entry drawdown
-20.69%
Entry 14 Jul 2023 731.71