Signal Validation

Market Dynamics Performance Index

A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.

United States
Latest week 10 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
483.76
Total Return
383.76%
CAGR
56.75% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+34.30%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.67 Sortino 5.20
Current Holdings
1122
Transactions
10714 Avg 3054.8/yr · 254.6/mo · 58.7/wk
Exit Mix
4796 Stop 41.3% · Warning 58.4% · Other 0.3%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.

01

Universe

Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
  • Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
  • Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

10 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
28
AKTX NASDAQ · Akari Therapeutics PLC
13.88 MD 1.03 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ALG NYSE · Alamo Group Inc
161.48 MD 0.27 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ALXO NASDAQ · Alx Oncology Holdings
2.13 MD 0.03 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
AOS NYSE · Smith AO Corporation
60.44 MD 0.00 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ARAI NASDAQ · Arrive AI Inc.
0.42 MD 0.40 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ATR NYSE · AptarGroup Inc
125.53 MD 0.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BFAM NYSE · Bright Horizons Family Solutions Inc
73.31 MD 0.11 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BUR NYSE · Burford Capital Ltd
4.19 MD 0.14 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GIB NYSE · CGI Inc
67.06 MD 0.07 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GLXG NASDAQ · Galaxy Payroll Group Limited Ordinary Shares
1.46 MD 0.15 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
HAVA NASDAQ · Harvard Ave Acquisition Corporation Class A Ordinary Share
10.12 MD 1.35 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
JLHL NASDAQ · Julong Holding Limited Class A Ordinary Shares
11.73 MD 0.44 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LAFA NASDAQ · LaFayette Acquisition Corp. Ordinary Share
10.11 MD 1.51 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MKC-V NYSE · McCormick & Company Incorporated
50.81 MD 0.15 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MMTX NASDAQ · Miluna Acquisition Corp Class A Ordinary Share
10.15 MD 2.50 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MNDO NASDAQ · MIND CTI Ltd
1.06 MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PEW NYSE · GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc.
2.96 MD 0.21 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
RPD NASDAQ · Rapid7 Inc
11.17 MD 1.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SAFX NASDAQ · XCF Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock
0.55 MD 0.24 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SKIN NASDAQ · Beauty Health Co
0.91 MD 0.21 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SKYX NASDAQ · SKYX Platforms Corp
1.27 MD 0.09 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
STIM NASDAQ · Neuronetics Inc
1.76 MD 0.50 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TTEK NASDAQ · Tetra Tech Inc
30.99 MD 0.06 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
USPH NYSE · U.S. Physical Therapy, Inc.
72.54 MD 0.07 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
VRDN NASDAQ · Viridian Therapeutics Inc
19.74 MD 0.12 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WRAP NASDAQ · Wrap Technologies Inc
2.46 MD 0.26 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WVVI NASDAQ · Willamette Valley Vineyards Inc
2.93 MD 1.08 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
XTLB NASDAQ · XTL Biopharmaceuticals Ltd ADR
2.91 MD 0.77 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
11
APWC NASDAQ · Asia Pacific Wire & Cable Corp Ltd
1.53 20% entry drawdown · -23.12%
BIRD NASDAQ · Allbirds Inc
3.13 20% entry drawdown · -33.15%
BYRN NASDAQ · Byrna Technologies Inc
3.87 20% entry drawdown · -44.55%
CE NYSE · Celanese Corporation
46.92 20% entry drawdown · -20.19%
CHGG NYSE · Chegg Inc
0.85 20% entry drawdown · -23.79%
CWH NYSE · Camping World Holdings Inc
6.22 20% entry drawdown · -22.06%
GAME NASDAQ · GameSquare Holdings Inc.
0.31 20% entry drawdown · -31.37%
JEM NASDAQ · 707 Cayman Holdings Limited Ordinary Shares
0.54 20% entry drawdown · -64.86%
LVO NASDAQ · LiveOne Inc
5.23 20% entry drawdown · -24.64%
OMEX NASDAQ · Odyssey Marine Exploration Inc
0.71 20% entry drawdown · -22.37%
WATT NASDAQ · Energous Corporation
17.99 20% entry drawdown · -27.25%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 331-360 of 1122 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signal MD ROC RS
EOLS NASDAQ · Evolus Inc
24 Apr 20265.30
6.61
24.72%
Buy
0.10
-
-
EPC NYSE · Edgewell Personal Care Co
16 Jan 202618.41
26.48
43.83%
Buy
0.23
-
-
EPSN NASDAQ · Epsilon Energy Ltd
30 Jan 20264.88
5.22
7.03%
Buy
0.48
-
-
ERIE NASDAQ · Erie Indemnity Company
26 Jun 2026237.36
251.81
6.09%
Buy
0.37
-
-
ESBA NYSE · Empire State Realty OP LP ES
3 Jul 20265.64
5.48
-2.84%
Buy
0.68
-
-
ESRT NYSE · Empire State Realty Trust Inc
22 May 20265.54
5.43
-2.05%
Buy
0.26
-
-
ESTC NYSE · Elastic NV
22 May 202654.81
60.24
9.91%
Buy
0.08
-
-
ETD NYSE · Ethan Allen Interiors Inc
19 Jun 202621.17
21.73
2.65%
Buy
0.25
-
-
ETSY NYSE · Etsy, Inc.
30 May 202555.35
81.05
46.43%
Buy
0.17
-
-
EVGO NASDAQ · Evgo Inc
5 Jun 20262.13
1.81
-14.82%
Buy
0.12
-
-
EVH NYSE · Evolent Health Inc
12 Jun 20264.80
5.88
22.50%
Buy
1.27
-
-
EVO NASDAQ · Evotec SE ADR
3 Jul 20262.90
2.79
-3.97%
Buy
0.20
-
-
EVTC NYSE · Evertec Inc
3 Jul 202629.63
29.25
-1.28%
Buy
0.27
-
-
EXFY NASDAQ · Expensify Inc
19 Jun 20261.56
1.89
21.15%
Buy
1.20
-
-
EXLS NASDAQ · ExlService Holdings Inc
22 May 202629.51
27.30
-7.49%
Buy
0.35
-
-
EYPT NASDAQ · Eyepoint Pharmaceuticals Inc
30 May 20257.24
14.72
103.31%
Buy
0.74
-
-
FACT NASDAQ · FACT II Acquisition Corp. Class A Ordinary Shares
1 Aug 202510.29
10.63
3.30%
Buy
1.02
-
-
FATE NASDAQ · Fate Therapeutics Inc
22 May 20262.25
3.10
37.78%
Buy
1.61
-
-
FATN NASDAQ · FatPipe, Inc. Common Stock
27 Mar 20262.33
5.35
129.61%
Buy
0.33
-
-
FBIN NYSE · Fortune Brands Innovations Inc.
26 Jun 202645.96
51.61
12.29%
Buy
0.28
-
-
FBIO NASDAQ · Fortress Biotech Inc
26 Jun 20262.76
3.30
19.57%
Buy
0.22
-
-
FC NYSE · Franklin Covey Company
3 Apr 202623.32
20.97
-10.08%
Buy
0.00
-
-
FCEL NASDAQ · FuelCell Energy Inc
1 May 202613.31
21.03
58.00%
Buy
0.44
-
-
FDMT NASDAQ · 4D Molecular Therapeutics Inc
10 Apr 20269.81
12.31
25.48%
Buy
0.25
-
-
FDS NYSE · FactSet Research Systems Inc
24 Apr 2026223.07
247.11
10.78%
Buy
0.10
-
-
FF NYSE · FutureFuel Corp
13 Feb 20263.70
4.64
25.38%
Buy
0.21
-
-
FG NYSE · F&G Annuities & Life Inc.
1 May 202627.86
29.67
6.49%
Buy
0.21
-
-
FGBI NASDAQ · First Guaranty Bancshares, Inc.
16 Jan 20268.02
9.94
23.90%
Buy
0.01
-
-
FGMC NASDAQ · FG Merger II Corp. Common stock
17 Oct 202510.04
9.81
-2.29%
Buy
0.28
-
-
FICO NYSE · Fair Isaac Corporation
29 May 20261250.59
1250.90
0.02%
Buy
0.03
-
-

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 241-270 of 10714
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
26 Jun 2026
Exit
LARK NASDAQ · Landmark Bancorp Inc
32.00
Reversal Risk Warning
101.12%
Entry 1 Dec 2023 15.91
26 Jun 2026
Exit
LCNB NASDAQ · LCNB Corporation
18.52
Reversal Risk Warning
40.92%
Entry 8 Dec 2023 13.14
26 Jun 2026
Entry
LEN NYSE · Lennar Corporation
92.97
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.37
26 Jun 2026
Entry
LEN-B NYSE · Lennar Corporation
91.35
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.40
26 Jun 2026
Exit
LFST NASDAQ · Lifestance Health Group Inc
10.28
Reversal Risk Warning
87.59%
Entry 29 Aug 2025 5.48
26 Jun 2026
Exit
LGND NASDAQ · Ligand Pharmaceuticals Incorporated
303.59
Reversal Risk Warning
297.11%
Entry 26 Jan 2024 76.45
26 Jun 2026
Exit
LILA NASDAQ · Liberty Latin America Ltd
7.13
Reversal Risk Warning
77.89%
Entry 4 Jul 2025 4.01
26 Jun 2026
Exit
LILAK NASDAQ · Liberty Latin America Ltd Class C
7.07
Reversal Risk Warning
87.36%
Entry 27 Jun 2025 3.77
26 Jun 2026
Exit
LIND NASDAQ · Lindblad Expeditions Holdings Inc
29.57
Reversal Risk Warning
254.13%
Entry 8 Dec 2023 8.35
26 Jun 2026
Exit
LION NYSE · Lionsgate Studios Holding Corp. (to be renamed Lionsgate Studios Corp.)
16.40
Reversal Risk Warning
76.15%
Entry 26 Dec 2025 9.31
26 Jun 2026
Exit
LLY NYSE · Eli Lilly and Company
1208.12
Reversal Risk Warning
133.59%
Entry 11 Aug 2023 517.21
26 Jun 2026
Entry
LNN NYSE · Lindsay Corporation
124.85
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.34
26 Jun 2026
Entry
LOCL NYSE · Local Bounti Corp
1.37
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.21
26 Jun 2026
Exit
LQDA NASDAQ · Liquidia Technologies Inc
78.17
Reversal Risk Warning
444.36%
Entry 24 Jan 2025 14.36
26 Jun 2026
Exit
LSH NASDAQ · Lakeside Holding Limited Common Stock
0.48
20% entry drawdown
-22.04%
Entry 8 May 2026 0.62
26 Jun 2026
Exit
LTH NYSE · Life Time Group Holdings Inc
41.01
Reversal Risk Warning
164.24%
Entry 29 Mar 2024 15.52
26 Jun 2026
Exit
MAMA NASDAQ · Mama's Creations Inc.
19.94
Reversal Risk Warning
319.79%
Entry 5 Jan 2024 4.75
26 Jun 2026
Exit
MBX NASDAQ · MBX Biosciences, Inc. Common Stock
52.31
Reversal Risk Warning
335.92%
Entry 2 May 2025 12.00
26 Jun 2026
Entry
MDXG NASDAQ · MiMedx Group Inc
3.93
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.42
26 Jun 2026
Entry
MENS NASDAQ · Jyong Biotech Ltd. Ordinary Shares
1.88
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.22
26 Jun 2026
Exit
MGTX NASDAQ · MeiraGTx Holdings PLC
12.11
Reversal Risk Warning
186.29%
Entry 16 Aug 2024 4.23
26 Jun 2026
Exit
MIRM NASDAQ · Mirum Pharmaceuticals Inc
123.77
Reversal Risk Warning
262.01%
Entry 28 Jun 2024 34.19
26 Jun 2026
Exit
MITK NASDAQ · Mitek Systems Inc
19.29
Reversal Risk Warning
104.13%
Entry 23 May 2025 9.45
26 Jun 2026
Entry
MMSI NASDAQ · Merit Medical Systems Inc
71.73
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.48
26 Jun 2026
Exit
MNY NASDAQ · MoneyHero Limited Class A Ordinary Shares
0.83
20% entry drawdown
-22.43%
Entry 4 Jul 2025 1.07
26 Jun 2026
Exit
MSGE NYSE · Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp
80.30
Reversal Risk Warning
118.15%
Entry 9 Feb 2024 36.81
26 Jun 2026
Exit
MYE NYSE · Myers Industries Inc
32.14
Reversal Risk Warning
176.45%
Entry 23 May 2025 11.63
26 Jun 2026
Entry
MYSE NASDAQ · Myseum, Inc.
2.47
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.07
26 Jun 2026
Exit
NESR NASDAQ · National Energy Services Reunited Corp Ordinary Shares
28.24
Reversal Risk Warning
226.47%
Entry 22 Aug 2025 8.65
26 Jun 2026
Entry
NIXX NASDAQ · Nixxy, Inc.
1.32
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.57