Signal Validation

Market Dynamics Performance Index

A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.

United States
Latest week 24 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
469.45
Total Return
369.45%
CAGR
54.67% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+33.23%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.60 Sortino 5.04
Current Holdings
1071
Transactions
10827 Avg 3053.7/yr · 254.5/mo · 58.7/wk
Exit Mix
4878 Stop 41.8% · Warning 57.6% · Other 0.6%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.

01

Universe

Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
  • Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
  • Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

24 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
20
ALC NYSE · Alcon AG
67.91 MD 0.00 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BIXI NASDAQ · Bitcoin Infrastructure Acquisition Corp Ltd. Class A Ordinary Shares
10.01 MD 1.17 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BUR NYSE · Burford Capital Ltd
4.14 MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CAG NYSE · Conagra Brands, Inc.
14.60 MD 0.51 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CJMB NASDAQ · Callan JMB Inc. Common Stock
2.55 MD 0.44 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GCL NASDAQ · GCL Global Holdings Ltd Ordinary Shares
0.51 MD 0.69 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
KNDI NASDAQ · Kandi Technologies Group Inc
0.65 MD 0.31 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LAFA NASDAQ · LaFayette Acquisition Corp. Ordinary Share
10.11 MD 0.90 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LVLU NASDAQ · Lulu's Fashion Lounge Holdings Inc
19.20 MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LW NYSE · Lamb Weston Holdings Inc
49.58 MD 1.48 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MAMO NASDAQ · Massimo Group Common Stock
0.98 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
NBP NASDAQ · NovaBridge Biosciences
1.77 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
NXL NASDAQ · Nexalin Technology Inc.
0.48 MD 1.00 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OFIX NASDAQ · Orthofix Medical Inc
11.25 MD 0.22 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OTIS NYSE · Otis Worldwide Corp
71.93 MD 0.05 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OTLY NASDAQ · Oatly Group AB ADR
13.37 MD 0.06 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PLNT NYSE · Planet Fitness Inc
53.48 MD 0.02 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TDWD NASDAQ · Tailwind 2.0 Acquisition Corp. Class A Ordinary Shares
10.04 MD 0.88 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WSTN NASDAQ · Westin Acquisition Corp
10.13 MD 1.79 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WVVIP NASDAQ · Willamette Valley Vineyards Inc PR
2.78 MD 0.21 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
30
AMST NASDAQ · Amesite Operating Co
0.99 20% entry drawdown · -21.44%
ATER NASDAQ · Aterian Inc
0.40 20% entry drawdown · -70.94%
BARK NYSE · BARK, Inc.
8.51 20% entry drawdown · -22.14%
BZFD NASDAQ · BuzzFeed Inc
1.11 20% entry drawdown · -25.50%
BZH NYSE · Beazer Homes USA Inc
33.19 Reversal Risk Warning · 60.11%
DFSC NASDAQ · DEFSEC Technologies Inc.
1.51 20% entry drawdown · -35.19%
GEHC NASDAQ · GE HealthCare Technologies Inc.
60.58 20% entry drawdown · -20.22%
GOOS NYSE · Canada Goose Holdings Inc
8.89 20% entry drawdown · -24.47%
GTEC NASDAQ · Greenland Acquisition Corp
0.51 20% entry drawdown · -21.19%
LFCR NASDAQ · Lifecore Biomedical Inc.
4.33 20% entry drawdown · -21.84%
LFMD NASDAQ · LifeMD Inc
3.71 20% entry drawdown · -20.04%
LOCL NYSE · Local Bounti Corp
1.06 20% entry drawdown · -22.63%
NIXX NASDAQ · Nixxy, Inc.
0.85 20% entry drawdown · -35.80%
NKTX NASDAQ · Nkarta Inc
2.27 20% entry drawdown · -25.08%
NXGL NASDAQ · Nexgel Inc
0.44 20% entry drawdown · -22.25%
PEW NYSE · GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc.
2.33 20% entry drawdown · -21.28%
PPSI NASDAQ · Pioneer Power Solutions Inc.
2.98 20% entry drawdown · -25.13%
RC NYSE · Ready Capital Corp
1.47 20% entry drawdown · -20.97%
REAX NASDAQ · Real Brokerage Inc
1.69 20% entry drawdown · -22.12%
SAFX NASDAQ · XCF Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock
0.41 20% entry drawdown · -25.36%
SEDG NASDAQ · SolarEdge Technologies Inc
42.60 20% entry drawdown · -31.02%
SEGG NASDAQ · Lottery.com Inc.
0.63 20% entry drawdown · -24.97%
SGRP NASDAQ · SPAR Group Inc
0.38 20% entry drawdown · -46.99%
SRG NYSE · Seritage Growth Properties
2.31 20% entry drawdown · -22.22%
SUIG NASDAQ · SUI Group Holdings Limited
0.99 20% entry drawdown · -20.16%
TOMZ NASDAQ · TOMI Environmental Solutions Inc
1.54 20% entry drawdown · -33.95%
UPST NASDAQ · Upstart Holdings Inc
26.93 20% entry drawdown · -20.30%
WETO NASDAQ · Webus International Limited Ordinary Shares
0.69 Price scale break · 37.71%
WRAP NASDAQ · Wrap Technologies Inc
1.70 20% entry drawdown · -30.89%
XELB NASDAQ · Xcel Brands Inc
1.23 20% entry drawdown · -21.15%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 361-390 of 1071 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signal MD ROC RS
FNWB NASDAQ · First Northwest Bancorp
3 Oct 20257.90
11.95
51.27%
Buy
0.41
-
-
FOR NYSE · Forestar Group Inc
4 Jul 202521.73
28.32
30.33%
Buy
0.70
-
-
FOUR NYSE · Shift4 Payments Inc
3 Jul 202651.35
48.35
-5.84%
Buy
0.87
-
-
FRMI NASDAQ · Fermi Inc.
15 May 20266.51
7.40
13.67%
Buy
0.34
-
-
FRPH NASDAQ · Frp Holdings Ord
5 Jun 202623.54
23.42
-0.51%
Buy
0.36
-
-
FRSH NASDAQ · Freshworks Inc
29 May 20269.71
10.27
5.77%
Buy
0.99
-
-
FSK NYSE · FS KKR Capital Corp
8 May 202610.41
10.63
2.09%
Buy
0.01
-
-
FSV NASDAQ · FirstService Corp
12 Jun 2026143.05
137.46
-3.91%
Buy
0.18
-
-
FTRE NASDAQ · Fortrea Holdings Inc.
15 Aug 20258.04
19.52
142.79%
Buy
0.90
-
-
FUL NYSE · H B Fuller Company
12 Jun 202663.63
55.45
-12.85%
Buy
0.17
-
-
FUN NYSE · Six Flags Entertainment Corporation
10 Apr 202619.94
17.37
-12.89%
Buy
0.73
-
-
FVN NASDAQ · Future Vision II Acquisition Corporation Ordinary shares
29 Aug 202510.48
11.00
4.97%
Buy
0.34
-
-
FWRG NASDAQ · First Watch Restaurant Group Inc
19 Jun 202611.81
12.12
2.62%
Buy
0.08
-
-
GANX NASDAQ · Gain Therapeutics Inc
13 Sep 20241.47
1.75
19.45%
Buy
0.13
-
-
GBLI NASDAQ · Global Indemnity Group, LLC Class A Common Stock
9 Jan 202627.90
27.00
-3.24%
Buy
0.01
-
-
GCL NASDAQ · GCL Global Holdings Ltd Ordinary Shares
24 Jul 20260.51
0.51
New Entry week
Buy
0.69
-
-
GCTS NYSE · GCT Semiconductor Holding Inc
1 May 20261.59
1.95
22.64%
Buy
1.17
-
-
GDDY NYSE · Godaddy Inc
26 Jun 202684.55
93.16
10.18%
Buy
0.67
-
-
GDOT NYSE · Green Dot Corporation
9 May 202510.94
13.28
21.39%
Buy
0.16
-
-
GDRX NASDAQ · Goodrx Holdings Inc
1 May 20262.55
2.96
16.08%
Buy
0.65
-
-
GDTC NASDAQ · CytoMed Therapeutics Limited Ordinary Shares
15 May 20261.16
0.99
-14.66%
Buy
0.39
-
-
GECC NASDAQ · Great Elm Capital Corp
8 May 20265.60
5.22
-6.78%
Buy
0.00
-
-
GELS NASDAQ · Gelteq Limited Ordinary Shares
26 Jun 20260.62
0.70
13.03%
Buy
0.27
-
-
GEMI NASDAQ · Gemini Space Station, Inc. Class A Common Stock
1 May 20264.72
4.29
-9.11%
Buy
0.07
-
-
GENI NYSE · Genius Sports Ltd
22 May 20265.35
6.48
21.12%
Buy
0.04
-
-
GFR NYSE · Greenfire Resources Ltd.
22 Aug 20254.85
6.51
34.23%
Buy
0.48
-
-
GGRP NASDAQ · The Glimpse Group, Inc.
3 Jul 20260.82
0.88
6.22%
Buy
0.91
-
-
GHI NYSE · Greystone Housing Impact Investors LP
3 Jul 20265.96
5.12
-14.09%
Buy
0.27
-
-
GIB NYSE · CGI Inc
10 Jul 202667.06
66.43
-0.94%
Buy
0.07
-
-
GIC NYSE · Global Industrial Co
2 May 202524.76
35.12
41.86%
Buy
0.64
-
-

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 8791-8820 of 10827
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
26 Jan 2024
Entry
MPT NYSE · Medical Properties Trust, Inc.
2.67
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.04
26 Jan 2024
Entry
MUFG NYSE · Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group Inc ADR
8.66
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.20
26 Jan 2024
Entry
NCTY NASDAQ · The9 Ltd ADR
5.75
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.25
26 Jan 2024
Entry
NIU NASDAQ · Niu Technologies
1.93
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.07
26 Jan 2024
Exit
NRDS NASDAQ · Nerdwallet Inc
16.09
Reversal Risk Warning
78.38%
Entry 18 Aug 2023 9.02
26 Jan 2024
Exit
NXDR NYSE · NXDR
1.54
20% entry drawdown
-21.43%
Entry 22 Dec 2023 1.96
26 Jan 2024
Entry
OCS NASDAQ · Oculis Holding AG Ordinary shares
13.25
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.79
26 Jan 2024
Entry
PAGP NASDAQ · Plains GP Holdings LP
14.11
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.28
26 Jan 2024
Entry
PMVP NASDAQ · Pmv Pharmaceuticals Inc
1.70
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.08
26 Jan 2024
Entry
RDCM NASDAQ · Radcom Ltd
9.52
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.87
26 Jan 2024
Entry
RUM NASDAQ · Rumble Inc.
6.04
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.33
26 Jan 2024
Exit
SKYE NASDAQ · Skye Bioscience, Inc. Common Stock
2.33
20% entry drawdown
-21.45%
Entry 22 Dec 2023 2.96
26 Jan 2024
Entry
SLDP NASDAQ · Solid Power Inc
1.46
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.56
26 Jan 2024
Entry
SPRY NASDAQ · ARS Pharmaceuticals, Inc
6.29
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.78
26 Jan 2024
Entry
SPXC NYSE · SPX Corp
103.28
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.04
26 Jan 2024
Entry
UFCS NASDAQ · United Fire Group Inc
21.40
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.48
26 Jan 2024
Exit
USGO NASDAQ · U.S. GoldMining Inc. Common stock
5.81
20% entry drawdown
-22.90%
Entry 22 Dec 2023 7.54
26 Jan 2024
Entry
VIVO NASDAQ · VivoPower PLC
1.29
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.27
26 Jan 2024
Entry
WMK NYSE · Weis Markets Inc
58.56
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.51
19 Jan 2024
Entry
AMD NASDAQ · Advanced Micro Devices Inc
174.23
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.35
19 Jan 2024
Entry
APEI NASDAQ · American Public Education Inc
12.08
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.73
19 Jan 2024
Exit
APLD NASDAQ · Applied Digital Corporation
4.86
20% entry drawdown
-32.41%
Entry 22 Dec 2023 7.19
19 Jan 2024
Entry
AVAL NYSE · Grupo Aval
2.37
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.33
19 Jan 2024
Exit
BMR NASDAQ · Beamr Imaging Ltd. Ordinary Share
1.45
20% entry drawdown
-24.08%
Entry 5 Jan 2024 1.91
19 Jan 2024
Exit
BTCS NASDAQ · BTCS Inc
1.56
20% entry drawdown
-28.18%
Entry 5 Jan 2024 2.18
19 Jan 2024
Exit
BZFD NASDAQ · BuzzFeed Inc
0.85
20% entry drawdown
-27.47%
Entry 1 Dec 2023 1.17
19 Jan 2024
Exit
CAPR NASDAQ · Capricor Therapeutics Inc
4.03
20% entry drawdown
-25.78%
Entry 5 Jan 2024 5.43
19 Jan 2024
Entry
CLPT NASDAQ · Clearpoint Neuro Inc
7.51
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.43
19 Jan 2024
Entry
DSP NASDAQ · Viant Technology Inc
8.39
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.93
19 Jan 2024
Entry
ESTA NASDAQ · Establishment Labs Holdings Inc
36.30
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.31