Universe
Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.
Signal Validation
Market Dynamics Performance Index
A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.
Index Value
483.76
Total Return
383.76%
CAGR
56.75%
Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+34.30%/yr
Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.67
Sortino 5.20
Current Holdings
1117
Transactions
10719
Avg 3056.2/yr ·
254.7/mo ·
58.8/wk
Exit Mix
4801
Stop 41.3% ·
Warning 58.4%
· Other 0.2%
Method
How The Index Works
The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.
Entry Rule
A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.
Exit Rule
A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.
Return Math
Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.
Assumptions
- This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
- Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
- Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
- New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
- Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
- Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
- Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
- Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.
Weekly Index
Cumulative Value
Latest Week
Positions In And Out
New Positions In
Entries at weekly close
AKTX
NASDAQ · Akari Therapeutics PLC
13.88
MD 1.03 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ALG
NYSE · Alamo Group Inc
161.48
MD 0.27 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ALXO
NASDAQ · Alx Oncology Holdings
2.13
MD 0.03 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
AOS
NYSE · Smith AO Corporation
60.44
MD 0.00 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ARAI
NASDAQ · Arrive AI Inc.
0.42
MD 0.40 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ATR
NYSE · AptarGroup Inc
125.53
MD 0.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BFAM
NYSE · Bright Horizons Family Solutions Inc
73.31
MD 0.11 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BUR
NYSE · Burford Capital Ltd
4.19
MD 0.14 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GIB
NYSE · CGI Inc
67.06
MD 0.07 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GLXG
NASDAQ · Galaxy Payroll Group Limited Ordinary Shares
1.46
MD 0.15 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
HAVA
NASDAQ · Harvard Ave Acquisition Corporation Class A Ordinary Share
10.12
MD 1.35 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
JLHL
NASDAQ · Julong Holding Limited Class A Ordinary Shares
11.73
MD 0.44 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LAFA
NASDAQ · LaFayette Acquisition Corp. Ordinary Share
10.11
MD 1.51 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MKC-V
NYSE · McCormick & Company Incorporated
50.81
MD 0.15 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MMTX
NASDAQ · Miluna Acquisition Corp Class A Ordinary Share
10.15
MD 2.50 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MNDO
NASDAQ · MIND CTI Ltd
1.06
MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PEW
NYSE · GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc.
2.96
MD 0.21 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
RPD
NASDAQ · Rapid7 Inc
11.17
MD 1.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SAFX
NASDAQ · XCF Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock
0.55
MD 0.24 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SKIN
NASDAQ · Beauty Health Co
0.91
MD 0.21 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SKYX
NASDAQ · SKYX Platforms Corp
1.27
MD 0.09 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
STIM
NASDAQ · Neuronetics Inc
1.76
MD 0.50 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TTEK
NASDAQ · Tetra Tech Inc
30.99
MD 0.06 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
USPH
NYSE · U.S. Physical Therapy, Inc.
72.54
MD 0.07 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
VRDN
NASDAQ · Viridian Therapeutics Inc
19.74
MD 0.12 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WRAP
NASDAQ · Wrap Technologies Inc
2.46
MD 0.26 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WVVI
NASDAQ · Willamette Valley Vineyards Inc
2.93
MD 1.08 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
XTLB
NASDAQ · XTL Biopharmaceuticals Ltd ADR
2.91
MD 0.77 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
Positions Out
Closed at weekly close
APWC
NASDAQ · Asia Pacific Wire & Cable Corp Ltd
1.53
20% entry drawdown · -23.12%
BIRD
NASDAQ · Allbirds Inc
3.13
20% entry drawdown · -33.15%
BLLN
NASDAQ · BillionToOne, Inc. Class A Common Stock
126.77
Reversal Risk Warning · 28.06%
BYRN
NASDAQ · Byrna Technologies Inc
3.87
20% entry drawdown · -44.55%
CE
NYSE · Celanese Corporation
46.92
20% entry drawdown · -20.19%
CHGG
NYSE · Chegg Inc
0.85
20% entry drawdown · -23.79%
CWH
NYSE · Camping World Holdings Inc
6.22
20% entry drawdown · -22.06%
GAME
NASDAQ · GameSquare Holdings Inc.
0.31
20% entry drawdown · -31.37%
GKOS
NYSE · Glaukos Corp
152.72
Reversal Risk Warning · 82.11%
JEM
NASDAQ · 707 Cayman Holdings Limited Ordinary Shares
0.54
20% entry drawdown · -64.86%
KELYB
NASDAQ · Kelly Services B Inc
23.95
Reversal Risk Warning · 75.74%
LVO
NASDAQ · LiveOne Inc
5.23
20% entry drawdown · -24.64%
NEWT
NASDAQ · NewtekOne, Inc.
14.78
Reversal Risk Warning · 52.99%
OMEX
NASDAQ · Odyssey Marine Exploration Inc
0.71
20% entry drawdown · -22.37%
TLPH
NASDAQ · Talphera Inc.
1.46
Reversal Risk Warning · 196.33%
WATT
NASDAQ · Energous Corporation
17.99
20% entry drawdown · -27.25%
Live Book
Current Holdings
Ticker
Entry
Last Close
Return
Signal
MD
ROC
RS
FIGX
NASDAQ · FIGX Capital Acquisition Corp. Class A Ordinary Share
10 Apr 202610.18
10.22
0.39%
Buy
1.00
-
-
FINV
NYSE · FinVolution Group
13 Feb 20265.21
4.54
-12.84%
Buy
0.09
-
-
FIP
NASDAQ · FTAI Infrastructure Inc.
19 Dec 20254.64
4.54
-2.17%
Buy
0.05
-
-
FISK
NYSE · Empire State Realty OP LP 250
3 Jul 20265.61
5.42
-3.39%
Buy
0.63
-
-
FIVN
NASDAQ · Five9 Inc
1 May 202622.24
25.42
14.30%
Buy
0.12
-
-
FIZZ
NASDAQ · National Beverage Corp
30 Jan 202634.08
33.82
-0.76%
Buy
0.18
-
-
FLG
NYSE · Flagstar Financial, Inc.
7 Feb 202512.25
15.09
23.17%
Buy
0.09
-
-
FLGT
NASDAQ · Fulgent Genetics Inc
14 Mar 202517.24
20.55
19.20%
Buy
0.07
-
-
FLL
NASDAQ · Full House Resorts Inc
3 Apr 20262.55
2.64
3.53%
Buy
0.36
-
-
FLO
NYSE · Flowers Foods Inc
12 Jun 20267.79
8.34
7.06%
Buy
0.07
-
-
FLOC
NYSE · Flowco Holdings Inc.
5 Dec 202517.88
20.82
16.47%
Buy
1.65
-
-
FLYW
NASDAQ · Flywire Corp
6 Jun 202510.50
17.62
67.81%
Buy
0.01
-
-
FND
NYSE · Floor & Decor Holdings Inc
26 Jun 202659.61
57.13
-4.16%
Buy
0.33
-
-
FNKO
NASDAQ · Funko Inc
8 May 20265.26
5.58
6.08%
Buy
0.09
-
-
FNWB
NASDAQ · First Northwest Bancorp
3 Oct 20257.90
11.05
39.87%
Buy
0.41
-
-
FOR
NYSE · Forestar Group Inc
4 Jul 202521.73
30.51
40.40%
Buy
0.70
-
-
FOUR
NYSE · Shift4 Payments Inc
3 Jul 202651.35
50.81
-1.05%
Buy
0.87
-
-
FRMI
NASDAQ · Fermi Inc.
15 May 20266.51
6.59
1.23%
Buy
0.34
-
-
FRPH
NASDAQ · Frp Holdings Ord
5 Jun 202623.54
23.98
1.87%
Buy
0.36
-
-
FRSH
NASDAQ · Freshworks Inc
29 May 20269.71
10.36
6.69%
Buy
0.99
-
-
FSK
NYSE · FS KKR Capital Corp
8 May 202610.41
10.80
3.73%
Buy
0.01
-
-
FSV
NASDAQ · FirstService Corp
12 Jun 2026143.05
143.44
0.27%
Buy
0.18
-
-
FTRE
NASDAQ · Fortrea Holdings Inc.
15 Aug 20258.04
17.76
120.90%
Buy
0.90
-
-
FUL
NYSE · H B Fuller Company
12 Jun 202663.63
55.91
-12.13%
Buy
0.17
-
-
FUN
NYSE · Six Flags Entertainment Corporation
10 Apr 202619.94
19.46
-2.41%
Buy
0.73
-
-
FVN
NASDAQ · Future Vision II Acquisition Corporation Ordinary shares
29 Aug 202510.48
11.00
4.97%
Buy
0.34
-
-
FWRG
NASDAQ · First Watch Restaurant Group Inc
19 Jun 202611.81
12.46
5.50%
Buy
0.08
-
-
GANX
NASDAQ · Gain Therapeutics Inc
13 Sep 20241.47
1.80
22.87%
Buy
0.13
-
-
GBLI
NASDAQ · Global Indemnity Group, LLC Class A Common Stock
9 Jan 202627.90
26.11
-6.43%
Buy
0.01
-
-
GCTS
NYSE · GCT Semiconductor Holding Inc
1 May 20261.59
2.46
54.72%
Buy
1.17
-
-
Ledger
Transaction History
Date
Action
Ticker
Price
Reason
Return
Qualifiers
15 May 2026
Entry
NXDR
NYSE · NXDR
2.03
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.30
15 May 2026
Entry
OGCP
NYSE · Empire State Realty OP LP
5.69
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.04
15 May 2026
Exit
OGI
NASDAQ · OrganiGram Holdings Inc
1.07
20% entry drawdown
-21.90%
Entry 23 May 2025
1.37
15 May 2026
Exit
OII
NYSE · Oceaneering International Inc
37.84
Reversal Risk Warning
76.66%
Entry 13 Jun 2025
21.42
15 May 2026
Exit
ONT
NYSE · Onterris
15.31
20% entry drawdown
-20.47%
Entry 23 May 2025
19.25
15 May 2026
Exit
ORMP
NASDAQ · Oramed Pharmaceuticals Inc
4.64
Reversal Risk Warning
108.20%
Entry 22 Dec 2023
2.23
15 May 2026
Exit
PAA
NASDAQ · Plains All American Pipeline LP
22.90
Reversal Risk Warning
80.26%
Entry 22 Sep 2023
12.70
15 May 2026
Exit
PAGP
NASDAQ · Plains GP Holdings LP
24.56
Reversal Risk Warning
74.03%
Entry 26 Jan 2024
14.11
15 May 2026
Entry
PAYX
NASDAQ · Paychex Inc
91.54
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.33
15 May 2026
Exit
PBA
NYSE · Pembina Pipeline Corp
48.46
Reversal Risk Warning
65.19%
Entry 1 Dec 2023
29.33
15 May 2026
Entry
PCTY
NASDAQ · Paylocity Holding Corporation
107.12
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.20
15 May 2026
Entry
PDCC
NYSE · Pearl Diver Credit Company Inc.
11.13
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.02
15 May 2026
Entry
PIII
NASDAQ · P3 Health Partners Inc
11.29
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.89
15 May 2026
Entry
PMCB
NASDAQ · PharmaCyte Biotech Inc
0.80
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.56
15 May 2026
Exit
PNRG
NASDAQ · PrimeEnergy Corporation
268.16
Reversal Risk Warning
103.74%
Entry 16 Aug 2024
131.62
15 May 2026
Entry
PPSI
NASDAQ · Pioneer Power Solutions Inc.
3.98
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.14
15 May 2026
Entry
PXLW
NASDAQ · Pixelworks Inc
6.83
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.72
15 May 2026
Exit
ROMA
NASDAQ · Roma Green Finance Limited Ordinary Shares
8.05
Reversal Risk Warning
183.45%
Entry 6 Mar 2026
2.84
15 May 2026
Entry
RZLV
NASDAQ · Rezolve AI Limited Ordinary Shares
2.55
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.03
15 May 2026
Exit
SDRL
NYSE · Seadrill Limited
52.70
Reversal Risk Warning
127.16%
Entry 30 May 2025
23.20
15 May 2026
Entry
SEDG
NASDAQ · SolarEdge Technologies Inc
61.76
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.67
15 May 2026
Exit
SEI
NYSE · Solaris Energy Infrastructure, Inc.
78.45
Reversal Risk Warning
328.80%
Entry 15 Nov 2024
18.30
15 May 2026
Entry
SIDU
NASDAQ · Sidus Space Inc
4.01
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.36
15 May 2026
Exit
SILC
NASDAQ · Silicom
48.08
Reversal Risk Warning
165.49%
Entry 30 Jan 2026
18.11
15 May 2026
Entry
SKK
NASDAQ · SKK Holdings Limited
4.77
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.39
15 May 2026
Exit
SKLZ
NYSE · Skillz Platform Inc
6.18
20% entry drawdown
-21.87%
Entry 24 Apr 2026
7.91
15 May 2026
Exit
SLP
NASDAQ · Simulations Plus Inc
13.34
20% entry drawdown
-20.02%
Entry 8 May 2026
16.68
15 May 2026
Exit
SOBO
NYSE · South Bow Corporation
36.76
Reversal Risk Warning
45.50%
Entry 13 Jun 2025
25.26
15 May 2026
Entry
SPMC
NYSE · Sound Point Meridian Capital, Inc.
10.76
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.30
15 May 2026
Exit
SST
NYSE · System1 Inc
3.02
20% entry drawdown
-22.56%
Entry 24 Apr 2026
3.90