Signal Validation

Market Dynamics Performance Index

A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.

United States
Latest week 17 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
479.75
Total Return
379.75%
CAGR
56.00% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+34.22%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.65 Sortino 5.16
Current Holdings
1081
Transactions
10781 Avg 3057.2/yr · 254.8/mo · 58.8/wk
Exit Mix
4850 Stop 41.5% · Warning 58.0% · Other 0.5%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.

01

Universe

Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
  • Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
  • Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

17 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
18
ADBE NASDAQ · Adobe Systems Incorporated
237.25 MD 0.17 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BL NASDAQ · Blackline Inc
30.29 MD 0.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BLKB NASDAQ · Blackbaud Inc
32.40 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CDNL NASDAQ · Cardinal Infrastructure Group Inc. Class A Common Stock
71.23 MD 1.59 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CURV NYSE · Torrid Holdings Inc
2.33 MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
DFIN NYSE · Donnelley Financial Solutions Inc
49.95 MD 0.06 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
EXPO NASDAQ · Exponent Inc
62.88 MD 0.09 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
FIS NYSE · Fidelity National Information Services Inc
41.91 MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
HCKT NASDAQ · The Hackett Group Inc
10.34 MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ICFI NASDAQ · ICF International Inc
78.86 MD 0.80 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LAW NYSE · CS Disco LLC
4.05 MD 0.26 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
NRDS NASDAQ · Nerdwallet Inc
9.26 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ONT NYSE · Onterris
20.93 MD 0.36 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OPRX NASDAQ · OPTIMIZERx Corp
6.69 MD 0.86 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PODD NASDAQ · Insulet Corporation
164.06 MD 0.42 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
RCEL NASDAQ · Avita Medical Ltd
5.10 MD 0.39 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
UPWK NASDAQ · Upwork Inc
9.06 MD 0.10 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
XRAY NASDAQ · Dentsply Sirona Inc
14.05 MD 0.72 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
35
ACB NASDAQ · Aurora Cannabis Inc
2.63 20% entry drawdown · -20.78%
AIFU NASDAQ · Fanhua Inc.
34.52 20% entry drawdown · -25.28%
AKTX NASDAQ · Akari Therapeutics PLC
11.01 20% entry drawdown · -20.68%
ALDX NASDAQ · Aldeyra The
1.69 20% entry drawdown · -25.55%
ARCT NASDAQ · Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings Inc
6.05 20% entry drawdown · -26.49%
AWRE NASDAQ · Aware Inc
1.11 20% entry drawdown · -26.97%
BEEM NASDAQ · Beam Global
1.03 20% entry drawdown · -24.82%
BNAI NASDAQ · Brand Engagement Network Inc
11.62 20% entry drawdown · -29.49%
BTBT NASDAQ · Bit Digital Inc
1.40 20% entry drawdown · -29.65%
EIX NYSE · Edison International
77.63 Reversal Risk Warning · 49.97%
EVGO NASDAQ · Evgo Inc
1.68 20% entry drawdown · -20.94%
EVO NASDAQ · Evotec SE ADR
1.96 20% entry drawdown · -27.94%
GENK NASDAQ · GEN Restaurant Group, Inc. Class A Common Stock
1.77 20% entry drawdown · -24.36%
GLXG NASDAQ · Galaxy Payroll Group Limited Ordinary Shares
1.05 20% entry drawdown · -28.08%
HUBG NASDAQ · Hub Group Inc
51.22 Reversal Risk Warning · 45.11%
INV NASDAQ · Innventure, Inc.
3.37 20% entry drawdown · -27.37%
JLHL NASDAQ · Julong Holding Limited Class A Ordinary Shares
9.35 20% entry drawdown · -20.29%
LEDS NASDAQ · SemiLEDS Corporation
3.01 Reversal Risk Warning · 67.22%
LONA NASDAQ · LeonaBio, Inc.
7.22 20% entry drawdown · -27.22%
MTEX NASDAQ · Mannatech Incorporated
4.25 20% entry drawdown · -21.59%
OABI NASDAQ · OmniAb Inc.
2.12 20% entry drawdown · -20.00%
OCCI NASDAQ · OFS Credit Company Inc
2.27 20% entry drawdown · -23.83%
PBF NYSE · PBF Energy Inc
62.75 Reversal Risk Warning · 219.84%
PLUG NASDAQ · Plug Power Inc
2.17 20% entry drawdown · -20.80%
PMCB NASDAQ · PharmaCyte Biotech Inc
0.63 20% entry drawdown · -21.31%
PMEC NASDAQ · Primech Holdings Ltd. Ordinary Shares
0.52 20% entry drawdown · -28.59%
QFIN NASDAQ · 360 Finance Inc
12.73 20% entry drawdown · -20.83%
RPT NYSE · Rithm Property Trust Inc.
10.89 20% entry drawdown · -27.03%
RXRX NASDAQ · Recursion Pharmaceuticals Inc
2.95 20% entry drawdown · -22.50%
SNPS NASDAQ · Synopsys Inc
384.28 20% entry drawdown · -25.60%
SORA NASDAQ · Top Win International Limited
1.73 20% entry drawdown · -23.18%
VERU NASDAQ · Veru Inc
2.38 20% entry drawdown · -30.00%
WING NASDAQ · Wingstop Inc
142.33 20% entry drawdown · -20.03%
WW NASDAQ · WW International, Inc. Common Stock
14.57 20% entry drawdown · -21.46%
ZSQR NASDAQ · Z Squared Inc.
5.06 20% entry drawdown · -45.47%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 391-420 of 1081 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signal MD ROC RS
GIB NYSE · CGI Inc
10 Jul 202667.06
68.12
1.58%
Buy
0.07
-
-
GIC NYSE · Global Industrial Co
2 May 202524.76
34.45
39.15%
Buy
0.64
-
-
GIS NYSE · General Mills Inc
3 Jul 202636.95
37.97
2.77%
Buy
0.29
-
-
GIW NASDAQ · Giginternational1 Inc
13 Feb 202610.00
10.09
0.85%
Buy
0.20
-
-
GLBE NASDAQ · Global-E Online Ltd
18 Jul 202533.45
38.12
13.96%
Buy
0.08
-
-
GMAB NASDAQ · Genmab AS
24 Jan 202521.13
28.72
35.92%
Buy
0.12
-
-
GNSS NASDAQ · Genasys Inc
18 Jul 20251.98
1.72
-13.13%
Buy
0.33
-
-
GNTA NASDAQ · Genenta Science SpA ADR
29 May 20261.03
1.55
50.49%
Buy
0.70
-
-
GNTX NASDAQ · Gentex Corporation
4 Jul 202522.67
24.35
7.40%
Buy
0.35
-
-
GO NASDAQ · Grocery Outlet Holding Corp
12 Jun 20269.58
9.44
-1.46%
Buy
0.83
-
-
GOOS NYSE · Canada Goose Holdings Inc
23 May 202511.77
9.81
-16.65%
Buy
0.04
-
-
GPAT NASDAQ · GP-Act III Acquisition Corp. Class A Ordinary Share
18 Apr 202510.34
11.01
6.48%
Buy
1.46
-
-
GPC NYSE · Genuine Parts Co
26 Jun 2026116.02
124.82
7.58%
Buy
0.31
-
-
GPK NYSE · Graphic Packaging Holding Company
22 May 202610.07
10.82
7.46%
Buy
0.30
-
-
GPN NYSE · Global Payments Inc
22 May 202672.99
77.82
6.62%
Buy
0.22
-
-
GPRE NASDAQ · Green Plains Renewable Energy Inc
20 Jun 20255.67
19.23
239.15%
Buy
0.81
-
-
GRAB NASDAQ · Grab Holdings Ltd
26 Jun 20263.55
3.57
0.56%
Buy
0.18
-
-
GREE NASDAQ · Greenidge Generation Holdings Inc
15 May 20261.47
1.71
16.33%
Buy
0.20
-
-
GRFS NASDAQ · Grifols SA ADR
31 May 20247.04
7.27
3.22%
Buy
0.01
-
-
GRNT NYSE · Granite Ridge Resources Inc
20 Feb 20265.00
4.67
-6.52%
Buy
0.30
-
-
GROV NYSE · Grove Collaborative Holdings, Inc.
3 Apr 20261.27
1.08
-14.96%
Buy
0.25
-
-
GRPN NASDAQ · Groupon Inc
24 Apr 202614.67
27.83
89.71%
Buy
0.23
-
-
GRVY NASDAQ · Gravity Co Ltd
18 Apr 202558.50
61.98
5.95%
Buy
0.16
-
-
GRWG NASDAQ · GrowGeneration Corp
8 May 20261.42
1.43
0.70%
Buy
0.31
-
-
GSBD NYSE · Goldman Sachs BDC Inc
20 Jun 20259.76
8.83
-9.49%
Buy
0.17
-
-
GSHD NASDAQ · Goosehead Insurance Inc
26 Jun 202646.87
54.28
15.81%
Buy
0.52
-
-
GSM NASDAQ · Ferroglobe PLC
14 Mar 20253.96
3.35
-15.43%
Buy
0.03
-
-
GSRF NASDAQ · GSR IV Acquisition Corp. Class A ordinary share
15 May 202610.13
10.17
0.39%
Buy
1.76
-
-
GTEC NASDAQ · Greenland Acquisition Corp
5 Jun 20260.65
0.57
-11.82%
Buy
0.16
-
-
GTERA NASDAQ · Globa Terra Acquisition Corporation Class A Ordinary Shares
20 Mar 202610.26
10.35
0.93%
Buy
2.66
-
-

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 3151-3180 of 10781
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
26 Dec 2025
Entry
AAOI NASDAQ · Applied Opt
37.17
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.09
26 Dec 2025
Exit
ALGS NASDAQ · Aligos Therapeutics Inc
10.11
20% entry drawdown
-23.96%
Entry 12 Dec 2025 13.30
26 Dec 2025
Entry
AOUT NASDAQ · American Outdoor Brands Inc
8.28
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.41
26 Dec 2025
Exit
ASPC NASDAQ · A SPAC III Acquisition Corp. Class A Ordinary Shares
24.01
Reversal Risk Warning
73.86%
Entry 19 Dec 2025 13.81
26 Dec 2025
Exit
BAC NYSE · Bank of America Corp
55.16
Reversal Risk Warning
99.78%
Entry 24 Nov 2023 27.61
26 Dec 2025
Exit
BAYA NASDAQ · Bayview Acquisition Corp Class A Ordinary Shares
11.75
Reversal Risk Warning
9.30%
Entry 17 Jan 2025 10.75
26 Dec 2025
Exit
BCS NYSE · Barclays PLC ADR
25.44
Reversal Risk Warning
208.62%
Entry 1 Mar 2024 8.24
26 Dec 2025
Exit
CAPS NASDAQ · Capstone Holding Corp. Common Stock
0.70
20% entry drawdown
-22.90%
Entry 28 Nov 2025 0.91
26 Dec 2025
Entry
CAVA NYSE · CAVA Group, Inc.
60.15
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.07
26 Dec 2025
Entry
CMG NYSE · Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc
37.81
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.16
26 Dec 2025
Entry
CMTL NASDAQ · Comtech Telecommunications Corp
4.73
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.33
26 Dec 2025
Exit
CVRX NASDAQ · CVRx Inc
7.42
20% entry drawdown
-25.43%
Entry 17 Oct 2025 9.95
26 Dec 2025
Exit
DTIL NASDAQ · Precision BioSciences Inc
4.23
20% entry drawdown
-22.24%
Entry 3 Oct 2025 5.44
26 Dec 2025
Entry
DXCM NASDAQ · DexCom Inc
67.57
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.03
26 Dec 2025
Entry
EMA NYSE · Emera Incorporated
48.12
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.34
26 Dec 2025
Entry
FLL NASDAQ · Full House Resorts Inc
2.69
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.17
26 Dec 2025
Entry
FLNT NASDAQ · Fluent Inc
2.53
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.16
26 Dec 2025
Exit
FORTY NASDAQ · Formula Systems 1985 Ltd ADR
173.69
Reversal Risk Warning
198.30%
Entry 26 Jan 2024 58.23
26 Dec 2025
Entry
GLSI NASDAQ · Greenwich Lifesciences Inc
20.69
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.63
26 Dec 2025
Exit
GROV NYSE · Grove Collaborative Holdings, Inc.
1.18
20% entry drawdown
-20.27%
Entry 18 Jul 2025 1.48
26 Dec 2025
Entry
HCAT NASDAQ · Health Catalyst Inc
2.42
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.18
26 Dec 2025
Exit
INV NASDAQ · Innventure, Inc.
4.26
20% entry drawdown
-25.91%
Entry 28 Nov 2025 5.75
26 Dec 2025
Entry
IPSC NASDAQ · Century Therapeutics Inc
1.09
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.51
26 Dec 2025
Exit
JLL NYSE · Jones Lang LaSalle Incorporated
346.96
Reversal Risk Warning
88.98%
Entry 15 Dec 2023 183.60
26 Dec 2025
Entry
LION NYSE · Lionsgate Studios Holding Corp. (to be renamed Lionsgate Studios Corp.)
9.31
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.76
26 Dec 2025
Entry
OLPX NASDAQ · Olaplex Holdings Inc
1.35
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.38
26 Dec 2025
Exit
OMER NASDAQ · Omeros Corporation
15.71
Reversal Risk Warning
453.17%
Entry 15 Dec 2023 2.84
26 Dec 2025
Exit
OWLT NYSE · Owlet Inc
15.53
Reversal Risk Warning
152.11%
Entry 6 Jun 2025 6.16
26 Dec 2025
Entry
PAMT NASDAQ · PAMT CORP
12.54
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.23
26 Dec 2025
Exit
PCSC NASDAQ · Perceptive Capital Solutions Corp Class A Ordinary Shares
13.27
Reversal Risk Warning
22.98%
Entry 14 Nov 2025 10.79