Signal Validation

Market Dynamics Performance Index

A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.

United States
Latest week 10 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
483.76
Total Return
383.76%
CAGR
56.75% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+34.30%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.67 Sortino 5.20
Current Holdings
1117
Transactions
10719 Avg 3056.2/yr · 254.7/mo · 58.8/wk
Exit Mix
4801 Stop 41.3% · Warning 58.4% · Other 0.2%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.

01

Universe

Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
  • Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
  • Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

10 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
28
AKTX NASDAQ · Akari Therapeutics PLC
13.88 MD 1.03 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ALG NYSE · Alamo Group Inc
161.48 MD 0.27 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ALXO NASDAQ · Alx Oncology Holdings
2.13 MD 0.03 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
AOS NYSE · Smith AO Corporation
60.44 MD 0.00 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ARAI NASDAQ · Arrive AI Inc.
0.42 MD 0.40 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ATR NYSE · AptarGroup Inc
125.53 MD 0.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BFAM NYSE · Bright Horizons Family Solutions Inc
73.31 MD 0.11 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BUR NYSE · Burford Capital Ltd
4.19 MD 0.14 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GIB NYSE · CGI Inc
67.06 MD 0.07 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GLXG NASDAQ · Galaxy Payroll Group Limited Ordinary Shares
1.46 MD 0.15 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
HAVA NASDAQ · Harvard Ave Acquisition Corporation Class A Ordinary Share
10.12 MD 1.35 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
JLHL NASDAQ · Julong Holding Limited Class A Ordinary Shares
11.73 MD 0.44 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LAFA NASDAQ · LaFayette Acquisition Corp. Ordinary Share
10.11 MD 1.51 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MKC-V NYSE · McCormick & Company Incorporated
50.81 MD 0.15 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MMTX NASDAQ · Miluna Acquisition Corp Class A Ordinary Share
10.15 MD 2.50 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MNDO NASDAQ · MIND CTI Ltd
1.06 MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PEW NYSE · GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc.
2.96 MD 0.21 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
RPD NASDAQ · Rapid7 Inc
11.17 MD 1.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SAFX NASDAQ · XCF Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock
0.55 MD 0.24 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SKIN NASDAQ · Beauty Health Co
0.91 MD 0.21 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SKYX NASDAQ · SKYX Platforms Corp
1.27 MD 0.09 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
STIM NASDAQ · Neuronetics Inc
1.76 MD 0.50 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TTEK NASDAQ · Tetra Tech Inc
30.99 MD 0.06 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
USPH NYSE · U.S. Physical Therapy, Inc.
72.54 MD 0.07 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
VRDN NASDAQ · Viridian Therapeutics Inc
19.74 MD 0.12 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WRAP NASDAQ · Wrap Technologies Inc
2.46 MD 0.26 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WVVI NASDAQ · Willamette Valley Vineyards Inc
2.93 MD 1.08 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
XTLB NASDAQ · XTL Biopharmaceuticals Ltd ADR
2.91 MD 0.77 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
16
APWC NASDAQ · Asia Pacific Wire & Cable Corp Ltd
1.53 20% entry drawdown · -23.12%
BIRD NASDAQ · Allbirds Inc
3.13 20% entry drawdown · -33.15%
BLLN NASDAQ · BillionToOne, Inc. Class A Common Stock
126.77 Reversal Risk Warning · 28.06%
BYRN NASDAQ · Byrna Technologies Inc
3.87 20% entry drawdown · -44.55%
CE NYSE · Celanese Corporation
46.92 20% entry drawdown · -20.19%
CHGG NYSE · Chegg Inc
0.85 20% entry drawdown · -23.79%
CWH NYSE · Camping World Holdings Inc
6.22 20% entry drawdown · -22.06%
GAME NASDAQ · GameSquare Holdings Inc.
0.31 20% entry drawdown · -31.37%
GKOS NYSE · Glaukos Corp
152.72 Reversal Risk Warning · 82.11%
JEM NASDAQ · 707 Cayman Holdings Limited Ordinary Shares
0.54 20% entry drawdown · -64.86%
KELYB NASDAQ · Kelly Services B Inc
23.95 Reversal Risk Warning · 75.74%
LVO NASDAQ · LiveOne Inc
5.23 20% entry drawdown · -24.64%
NEWT NASDAQ · NewtekOne, Inc.
14.78 Reversal Risk Warning · 52.99%
OMEX NASDAQ · Odyssey Marine Exploration Inc
0.71 20% entry drawdown · -22.37%
TLPH NASDAQ · Talphera Inc.
1.46 Reversal Risk Warning · 196.33%
WATT NASDAQ · Energous Corporation
17.99 20% entry drawdown · -27.25%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 391-420 of 1117 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signal MD ROC RS
GDDY NYSE · Godaddy Inc
26 Jun 202684.55
88.92
5.17%
Buy
0.66
-
-
GDOT NYSE · Green Dot Corporation
9 May 202510.94
13.32
21.76%
Buy
0.16
-
-
GDRX NASDAQ · Goodrx Holdings Inc
1 May 20262.55
2.95
15.69%
Buy
0.65
-
-
GDTC NASDAQ · CytoMed Therapeutics Limited Ordinary Shares
15 May 20261.16
1.03
-11.21%
Buy
0.39
-
-
GECC NASDAQ · Great Elm Capital Corp
8 May 20265.60
5.25
-6.24%
Buy
0.00
-
-
GEHC NASDAQ · GE HealthCare Technologies Inc.
4 Jul 202575.93
64.70
-14.79%
Buy
0.18
-
-
GELS NASDAQ · Gelteq Limited Ordinary Shares
26 Jun 20260.62
0.53
-15.32%
Buy
0.25
-
-
GEMI NASDAQ · Gemini Space Station, Inc. Class A Common Stock
1 May 20264.72
4.31
-8.69%
Buy
0.07
-
-
GENI NYSE · Genius Sports Ltd
22 May 20265.35
6.19
15.70%
Buy
0.04
-
-
GENK NASDAQ · GEN Restaurant Group, Inc. Class A Common Stock
8 May 20262.34
1.94
-17.09%
Buy
0.28
-
-
GFR NYSE · Greenfire Resources Ltd.
22 Aug 20254.85
5.57
14.85%
Buy
0.48
-
-
GGRP NASDAQ · The Glimpse Group, Inc.
19 Jun 20260.83
0.77
-7.33%
Buy
0.96
-
-
GHI NYSE · Greystone Housing Impact Investors LP
3 Jul 20265.96
5.38
-9.73%
Buy
0.27
-
-
GIB NYSE · CGI Inc
10 Jul 202667.06
67.06
New Entry week
Buy
0.07
-
-
GIC NYSE · Global Industrial Co
2 May 202524.76
33.46
35.15%
Buy
0.64
-
-
GIS NYSE · General Mills Inc
3 Jul 202636.95
36.22
-1.97%
Buy
0.29
-
-
GIW NASDAQ · Giginternational1 Inc
13 Feb 202610.00
10.11
1.10%
Buy
0.20
-
-
GLBE NASDAQ · Global-E Online Ltd
18 Jul 202533.45
38.48
15.04%
Buy
0.08
-
-
GLXG NASDAQ · Galaxy Payroll Group Limited Ordinary Shares
10 Jul 20261.46
1.46
New Entry week
Buy
0.15
-
-
GMAB NASDAQ · Genmab AS
24 Jan 202521.13
29.00
37.25%
Buy
0.12
-
-
GNSS NASDAQ · Genasys Inc
18 Jul 20251.98
1.81
-8.59%
Buy
0.33
-
-
GNTA NASDAQ · Genenta Science SpA ADR
29 May 20261.03
1.50
45.63%
Buy
0.70
-
-
GNTX NASDAQ · Gentex Corporation
4 Jul 202522.67
24.20
6.74%
Buy
0.35
-
-
GO NASDAQ · Grocery Outlet Holding Corp
12 Jun 20269.58
9.98
4.18%
Buy
0.84
-
-
GOOS NYSE · Canada Goose Holdings Inc
23 May 202511.77
9.66
-17.93%
Buy
0.04
-
-
GPAT NASDAQ · GP-Act III Acquisition Corp. Class A Ordinary Share
18 Apr 202510.34
11.11
7.45%
Buy
1.46
-
-
GPC NYSE · Genuine Parts Co
26 Jun 2026116.02
125.62
8.27%
Buy
0.31
-
-
GPK NYSE · Graphic Packaging Holding Company
22 May 202610.07
10.28
2.10%
Buy
0.30
-
-
GPN NYSE · Global Payments Inc
22 May 202672.99
76.04
4.18%
Buy
0.22
-
-
GPRE NASDAQ · Green Plains Renewable Energy Inc
20 Jun 20255.67
16.89
197.88%
Buy
0.81
-
-

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 751-780 of 10719
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
12 Jun 2026
Exit
UNM NYSE · Unum Group
92.73
Reversal Risk Warning
94.65%
Entry 8 Mar 2024 47.64
12 Jun 2026
Exit
UNTY NASDAQ · Unity Bancorp Inc
56.63
Reversal Risk Warning
124.17%
Entry 21 Jul 2023 25.26
12 Jun 2026
Exit
UVSP NASDAQ · Univest Corporation Pennsylvania
42.58
Reversal Risk Warning
126.46%
Entry 8 Dec 2023 18.80
12 Jun 2026
Exit
VECO NASDAQ · Veeco Instruments Inc
77.48
Reversal Risk Warning
171.38%
Entry 19 Sep 2025 28.55
12 Jun 2026
Exit
VEEA NASDAQ · Veea Inc.
0.35
20% entry drawdown
-30.63%
Entry 28 Nov 2025 0.51
12 Jun 2026
Exit
VLY NASDAQ · Valley National Bancorp
14.52
Reversal Risk Warning
97.15%
Entry 19 Jul 2024 7.36
12 Jun 2026
Exit
VMI NYSE · Valmont Industries Inc
546.07
Reversal Risk Warning
125.36%
Entry 3 May 2024 242.31
12 Jun 2026
Exit
VPG NYSE · Vishay Precision Group Inc
139.52
Reversal Risk Warning
257.65%
Entry 5 Dec 2025 39.01
12 Jun 2026
Entry
VRSK NASDAQ · Verisk Analytics Inc
183.29
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.23
12 Jun 2026
Exit
VVX NYSE · V2X Inc
90.81
Reversal Risk Warning
107.71%
Entry 22 Mar 2024 43.72
12 Jun 2026
Exit
WAFD NASDAQ · WaFd, Inc.
37.07
Reversal Risk Warning
42.49%
Entry 1 Dec 2023 26.02
12 Jun 2026
Exit
WBI NYSE · WaterBridge Infrastructure LLC
32.44
Reversal Risk Warning
23.64%
Entry 10 Apr 2026 26.24
12 Jun 2026
Exit
WEYS NASDAQ · Weyco Group Inc
37.00
Reversal Risk Warning
68.38%
Entry 3 Nov 2023 21.97
12 Jun 2026
Entry
WIT NYSE · Wipro Limited ADR
2.20
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.20
12 Jun 2026
Exit
WSBF NASDAQ · Waterstone Financial Inc
19.45
Reversal Risk Warning
74.68%
Entry 1 Dec 2023 11.13
12 Jun 2026
Exit
WSFS NASDAQ · WSFS Financial Corporation
75.24
Reversal Risk Warning
88.76%
Entry 1 Dec 2023 39.86
12 Jun 2026
Entry
WW NASDAQ · WW International, Inc. Common Stock
18.55
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.10
12 Jun 2026
Entry
YEXT NYSE · Yext Inc
4.06
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.01
12 Jun 2026
Exit
YXT NASDAQ · YXT.COM GROUP HOLDING LIMITED American Depository Shares
0.42
20% entry drawdown
-23.88%
Entry 29 May 2026 0.55
12 Jun 2026
Exit
ZOOZ NASDAQ · ZOOZ Power Ltd. Ordinary Shares
5.35
20% entry drawdown
-20.39%
Entry 17 Apr 2026 6.72
5 Jun 2026
Exit
ACET NASDAQ · Adicet Bio Inc
7.26
20% entry drawdown
-22.02%
Entry 29 May 2026 9.31
5 Jun 2026
Entry
AJG NYSE · Arthur J Gallagher & Co
216.14
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.09
5 Jun 2026
Exit
ALXO NASDAQ · Alx Oncology Holdings
1.54
20% entry drawdown
-24.88%
Entry 6 Feb 2026 2.05
5 Jun 2026
Exit
AMG NYSE · Affiliated Managers Group, Inc.
335.49
Reversal Risk Warning
115.32%
Entry 9 Feb 2024 155.81
5 Jun 2026
Entry
APOG NASDAQ · Apogee Enterprises Inc
37.01
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.04
5 Jun 2026
Entry
APPN NASDAQ · Appian Corp
24.73
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.08
5 Jun 2026
Exit
ATOS NASDAQ · Atossa Genetics Inc
4.47
20% entry drawdown
-20.18%
Entry 8 May 2026 5.60
5 Jun 2026
Exit
AVBH NASDAQ · Avidbank Holdings, Inc. Common stock
31.17
Reversal Risk Warning
61.92%
Entry 21 Jul 2023 19.25
5 Jun 2026
Entry
AXTA NYSE · Axalta Coating Systems Ltd
32.18
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.00
5 Jun 2026
Exit
BAND NASDAQ · Bandwidth Inc
72.20
Reversal Risk Warning
213.78%
Entry 17 Apr 2026 23.01