Signal Validation

Market Dynamics Performance Index

A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.

United States
Latest week 24 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
469.57
Total Return
369.57%
CAGR
54.68% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+33.24%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.60 Sortino 5.04
Current Holdings
1070
Transactions
10830 Avg 3054.5/yr · 254.5/mo · 58.7/wk
Exit Mix
4880 Stop 41.8% · Warning 57.6% · Other 0.5%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.

01

Universe

Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
  • Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
  • Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

24 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
22
ALC NYSE · Alcon AG
67.91 MD 0.00 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BIXI NASDAQ · Bitcoin Infrastructure Acquisition Corp Ltd. Class A Ordinary Shares
10.01 MD 1.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BUR NYSE · Burford Capital Ltd
4.14 MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CAG NYSE · Conagra Brands, Inc.
14.77 MD 0.57 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CJMB NASDAQ · Callan JMB Inc. Common Stock
2.55 MD 0.41 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
FMST NASDAQ · Foremost Lithium Resource & Technology Ltd. Common stock
1.65 MD 0.05 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GCL NASDAQ · GCL Global Holdings Ltd Ordinary Shares
0.51 MD 0.67 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
KNDI NASDAQ · Kandi Technologies Group Inc
0.65 MD 0.31 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LAFA NASDAQ · LaFayette Acquisition Corp. Ordinary Share
10.11 MD 0.90 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LVLU NASDAQ · Lulu's Fashion Lounge Holdings Inc
19.20 MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LW NYSE · Lamb Weston Holdings Inc
49.58 MD 1.48 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MAMO NASDAQ · Massimo Group Common Stock
0.98 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
NBP NASDAQ · NovaBridge Biosciences
1.77 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OFIX NASDAQ · Orthofix Medical Inc
11.25 MD 0.22 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OTIS NYSE · Otis Worldwide Corp
71.93 MD 0.05 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OTLY NASDAQ · Oatly Group AB ADR
13.37 MD 0.05 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PLNT NYSE · Planet Fitness Inc
53.48 MD 0.02 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PSN NYSE · Parsons Corp
58.73 MD 0.56 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SRFM NYSE · Surf Air Mobility Inc.
0.79 MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TDWD NASDAQ · Tailwind 2.0 Acquisition Corp. Class A Ordinary Shares
10.04 MD 0.93 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WSTN NASDAQ · Westin Acquisition Corp
10.13 MD 1.67 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WVVIP NASDAQ · Willamette Valley Vineyards Inc PR
2.78 MD 0.21 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
29
AMST NASDAQ · Amesite Operating Co
0.99 20% entry drawdown · -21.44%
ATER NASDAQ · Aterian Inc
0.40 20% entry drawdown · -70.94%
BARK NYSE · BARK, Inc.
8.51 20% entry drawdown · -22.14%
BZFD NASDAQ · BuzzFeed Inc
1.11 20% entry drawdown · -25.50%
BZH NYSE · Beazer Homes USA Inc
33.19 Reversal Risk Warning · 60.11%
COOK NYSE · Traeger Inc
61.26 20% entry drawdown · -22.75%
DAR NYSE · Darling Ingredients Inc
62.50 Reversal Risk Warning · 59.93%
DFSC NASDAQ · DEFSEC Technologies Inc.
1.51 20% entry drawdown · -35.19%
GEHC NASDAQ · GE HealthCare Technologies Inc.
60.58 20% entry drawdown · -20.22%
GOOS NYSE · Canada Goose Holdings Inc
8.89 20% entry drawdown · -24.47%
GTEC NASDAQ · Greenland Acquisition Corp
0.51 20% entry drawdown · -21.19%
LFCR NASDAQ · Lifecore Biomedical Inc.
4.33 20% entry drawdown · -21.84%
LFMD NASDAQ · LifeMD Inc
3.71 20% entry drawdown · -20.04%
LOCL NYSE · Local Bounti Corp
1.06 20% entry drawdown · -22.63%
NIXX NASDAQ · Nixxy, Inc.
0.85 20% entry drawdown · -35.80%
NKTX NASDAQ · Nkarta Inc
2.27 20% entry drawdown · -25.08%
PEW NYSE · GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc.
2.33 20% entry drawdown · -21.28%
PPSI NASDAQ · Pioneer Power Solutions Inc.
2.98 20% entry drawdown · -25.13%
RC NYSE · Ready Capital Corp
1.47 20% entry drawdown · -20.97%
REAX NASDAQ · Real Brokerage Inc
1.69 20% entry drawdown · -22.12%
SAFX NASDAQ · XCF Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock
0.41 20% entry drawdown · -25.36%
SEDG NASDAQ · SolarEdge Technologies Inc
42.60 20% entry drawdown · -31.02%
SGRP NASDAQ · SPAR Group Inc
0.38 20% entry drawdown · -46.99%
SRG NYSE · Seritage Growth Properties
2.31 20% entry drawdown · -22.22%
TOMZ NASDAQ · TOMI Environmental Solutions Inc
1.54 20% entry drawdown · -33.95%
UPST NASDAQ · Upstart Holdings Inc
26.93 20% entry drawdown · -20.30%
WETO NASDAQ · Webus International Limited Ordinary Shares
0.69 Price scale break · 37.71%
WRAP NASDAQ · Wrap Technologies Inc
1.70 20% entry drawdown · -30.89%
XELB NASDAQ · Xcel Brands Inc
1.23 20% entry drawdown · -21.15%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 451-480 of 1070 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signal MD ROC RS
HY NYSE · Hyster-Yale Materials Handling Inc
16 Jan 202633.16
33.10
-0.19%
Buy
0.07
-
-
HYNE NASDAQ · Hoyne Bancorp, Inc. Common Stock
26 Jun 202616.76
16.60
-0.95%
Buy
1.50
-
-
HYPR NASDAQ · Hyperfine Inc
18 Jul 20250.92
0.95
3.67%
Buy
0.56
-
-
IART NASDAQ · Integra LifeSciences Holdings
8 May 202613.92
19.79
42.17%
Buy
0.55
-
-
ICFI NASDAQ · ICF International Inc
17 Jul 202678.86
79.52
0.84%
Buy
0.80
-
-
ICLR NASDAQ · ICON PLC
22 May 2026116.78
165.76
41.94%
Buy
0.20
-
-
IDYA NASDAQ · Ideaya Biosciences Inc
23 May 202518.82
35.40
88.10%
Buy
0.82
-
-
IEP NASDAQ · Icahn Enterprises LP
24 Apr 20267.64
7.69
0.66%
Buy
1.23
-
-
IFF NYSE · International Flavors & Fragrances Inc
14 Nov 202564.75
75.94
17.28%
Buy
0.34
-
-
IFRX NASDAQ · InflaRx N.V.
17 Apr 20261.59
1.74
9.43%
Buy
0.31
-
-
IHS NYSE · IHS Holding Ltd
6 Dec 20243.29
8.23
150.15%
Buy
0.26
-
-
IIPR NYSE · Innovative Industrial Properties Inc
4 Jul 202550.92
61.48
20.73%
Buy
0.82
-
-
ILAG NASDAQ · Intelligent Living Application Group Inc
19 Jun 20263.08
3.45
12.06%
Buy
0.63
-
-
IMCR NASDAQ · Immunocore Holdings Ltd
10 Jan 202530.40
35.00
15.13%
Buy
0.69
-
-
IMMR NASDAQ · Immersion Corporation
12 Dec 20256.75
6.52
-3.46%
Buy
0.13
-
-
IMRN NASDAQ · Immuron Ltd ADR
3 Apr 20260.80
1.11
38.58%
Buy
0.14
-
-
IMRX NASDAQ · Immuneering Corp
6 Jun 20252.13
4.32
102.82%
Buy
0.42
-
-
IMTX NASDAQ · Immatics NV
2 May 20255.23
9.08
73.61%
Buy
0.31
-
-
IMUX NASDAQ · Immunic Inc
13 Feb 20269.13
13.39
46.66%
Buy
0.33
-
-
IMVT NASDAQ · Immunovant Inc
31 Oct 202524.68
39.41
59.68%
Buy
1.39
-
-
IMXI NASDAQ · International Money Express Inc
15 Aug 202514.42
13.03
-9.64%
Buy
0.32
-
-
INBK NASDAQ · First Internet Bancorp
2 Jan 202620.37
26.45
29.85%
Buy
0.23
-
-
INCR NASDAQ · InterCure Ltd.
3 Jul 20261.09
0.97
-11.38%
Buy
1.06
-
-
INR NYSE · Infinity Natural Resources, Inc.
21 Nov 202512.62
13.20
4.60%
Buy
0.05
-
-
INSE NASDAQ · Inspired Entertainment Inc
29 May 20267.70
6.64
-13.77%
Buy
0.03
-
-
INVH NYSE · Invitation Homes Inc
24 Apr 202626.86
29.78
10.87%
Buy
0.40
-
-
INVZ NASDAQ · Innoviz Technologies
3 Jul 20260.69
0.61
-11.68%
Buy
0.47
-
-
IONR NASDAQ · ioneer Ltd American Depositary Shares
15 Aug 20253.34
3.21
-3.89%
Buy
0.56
-
-
IOSP NASDAQ · Innospec Inc
22 May 202679.58
84.76
6.51%
Buy
0.11
-
-
IOTR NASDAQ · iOThree Limited Ordinary Shares
27 Mar 20262.23
3.18
42.60%
Buy
0.09
-
-

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 5071-5100 of 10830
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
6 Jun 2025
Entry
AMTX NASDAQ · Aemetis Inc
1.95
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.65
6 Jun 2025
Entry
ANF NYSE · Abercrombie & Fitch Company
82.99
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.22
6 Jun 2025
Entry
ANNX NASDAQ · Annexon Inc
2.60
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.46
6 Jun 2025
Entry
ANVS NYSE · Annovis Bio Inc
3.21
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.02
6 Jun 2025
Entry
APLD NASDAQ · Applied Digital Corporation
13.86
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.33
6 Jun 2025
Entry
APTV NYSE · Aptiv PLC
66.64
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.17
6 Jun 2025
Exit
ARBB NASDAQ · ARB IOT Group Limited Ordinary Shares
5.78
20% entry drawdown
-28.71%
Entry 3 Jan 2025 8.11
6 Jun 2025
Entry
ATRA NASDAQ · Atara Biotherapeutics Inc
9.23
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.53
6 Jun 2025
Entry
AVBP NASDAQ · ArriVent BioPharma, Inc. Common Stock
23.52
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.21
6 Jun 2025
Exit
AXS NYSE · AXIS Capital Holdings Ltd
105.10
Reversal Risk Warning
84.93%
Entry 26 Jan 2024 56.83
6 Jun 2025
Entry
BAER NASDAQ · Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. Common Stock
1.87
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.30
6 Jun 2025
Entry
BC NYSE · Brunswick Corporation
54.91
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.29
6 Jun 2025
Entry
BCAL NASDAQ · Southern California Bancorp Common Stock
14.61
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.05
6 Jun 2025
Entry
BCAX NASDAQ · Bicara Therapeutics Inc. Common Stock
11.50
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.42
6 Jun 2025
Entry
BWLP NYSE · BW LPG Limited
9.56
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.28
6 Jun 2025
Entry
CAMT NASDAQ · Camtek Ltd
73.49
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.00
6 Jun 2025
Entry
CCO NYSE · Clear Channel Outdoor Holdings Inc
1.14
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.18
6 Jun 2025
Entry
CE NYSE · Celanese Corporation
55.33
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.05
6 Jun 2025
Exit
CGNT NASDAQ · Cognyte Software Ltd
11.22
Reversal Risk Warning
69.74%
Entry 15 Dec 2023 6.61
6 Jun 2025
Entry
CHGG NYSE · Chegg Inc
1.63
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.06
6 Jun 2025
Exit
CHWY NYSE · Chewy Inc
48.21
Reversal Risk Warning
127.30%
Entry 31 May 2024 21.21
6 Jun 2025
Entry
CIM NYSE · Chimera Investment Corporation
12.07
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.32
6 Jun 2025
Entry
CLS NYSE · Celestica Inc.
120.73
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.10
6 Jun 2025
Entry
CSIQ NASDAQ · Canadian Solar Inc
11.24
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.83
6 Jun 2025
Entry
CSTM NYSE · Constellium Nv
12.94
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.31
6 Jun 2025
Entry
CVV NASDAQ · CVD Equipment Corporation
3.13
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.21
6 Jun 2025
Entry
CYRX NASDAQ · Cryoport Inc
7.00
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.78
6 Jun 2025
Entry
DAIO NASDAQ · Data I/O Corporation
2.76
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.10
6 Jun 2025
Entry
DBI NYSE · Designer Brands Inc
3.70
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.11
6 Jun 2025
Entry
EAF NYSE · GrafTech International Ltd
11.60
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.17