Signal Validation

Market Dynamics Performance Index

A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.

United States
Latest week 24 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
469.57
Total Return
369.57%
CAGR
54.68% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+33.24%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.60 Sortino 5.04
Current Holdings
1070
Transactions
10830 Avg 3054.5/yr · 254.5/mo · 58.7/wk
Exit Mix
4880 Stop 41.8% · Warning 57.6% · Other 0.5%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.

01

Universe

Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
  • Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
  • Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

24 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
22
ALC NYSE · Alcon AG
67.91 MD 0.00 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BIXI NASDAQ · Bitcoin Infrastructure Acquisition Corp Ltd. Class A Ordinary Shares
10.01 MD 1.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BUR NYSE · Burford Capital Ltd
4.14 MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CAG NYSE · Conagra Brands, Inc.
14.77 MD 0.57 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CJMB NASDAQ · Callan JMB Inc. Common Stock
2.55 MD 0.41 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
FMST NASDAQ · Foremost Lithium Resource & Technology Ltd. Common stock
1.65 MD 0.05 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GCL NASDAQ · GCL Global Holdings Ltd Ordinary Shares
0.51 MD 0.67 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
KNDI NASDAQ · Kandi Technologies Group Inc
0.65 MD 0.31 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LAFA NASDAQ · LaFayette Acquisition Corp. Ordinary Share
10.11 MD 0.90 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LVLU NASDAQ · Lulu's Fashion Lounge Holdings Inc
19.20 MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LW NYSE · Lamb Weston Holdings Inc
49.58 MD 1.48 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MAMO NASDAQ · Massimo Group Common Stock
0.98 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
NBP NASDAQ · NovaBridge Biosciences
1.77 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OFIX NASDAQ · Orthofix Medical Inc
11.25 MD 0.22 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OTIS NYSE · Otis Worldwide Corp
71.93 MD 0.05 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OTLY NASDAQ · Oatly Group AB ADR
13.37 MD 0.05 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PLNT NYSE · Planet Fitness Inc
53.48 MD 0.02 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PSN NYSE · Parsons Corp
58.73 MD 0.56 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SRFM NYSE · Surf Air Mobility Inc.
0.79 MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TDWD NASDAQ · Tailwind 2.0 Acquisition Corp. Class A Ordinary Shares
10.04 MD 0.93 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WSTN NASDAQ · Westin Acquisition Corp
10.13 MD 1.67 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WVVIP NASDAQ · Willamette Valley Vineyards Inc PR
2.78 MD 0.21 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
29
AMST NASDAQ · Amesite Operating Co
0.99 20% entry drawdown · -21.44%
ATER NASDAQ · Aterian Inc
0.40 20% entry drawdown · -70.94%
BARK NYSE · BARK, Inc.
8.51 20% entry drawdown · -22.14%
BZFD NASDAQ · BuzzFeed Inc
1.11 20% entry drawdown · -25.50%
BZH NYSE · Beazer Homes USA Inc
33.19 Reversal Risk Warning · 60.11%
COOK NYSE · Traeger Inc
61.26 20% entry drawdown · -22.75%
DAR NYSE · Darling Ingredients Inc
62.50 Reversal Risk Warning · 59.93%
DFSC NASDAQ · DEFSEC Technologies Inc.
1.51 20% entry drawdown · -35.19%
GEHC NASDAQ · GE HealthCare Technologies Inc.
60.58 20% entry drawdown · -20.22%
GOOS NYSE · Canada Goose Holdings Inc
8.89 20% entry drawdown · -24.47%
GTEC NASDAQ · Greenland Acquisition Corp
0.51 20% entry drawdown · -21.19%
LFCR NASDAQ · Lifecore Biomedical Inc.
4.33 20% entry drawdown · -21.84%
LFMD NASDAQ · LifeMD Inc
3.71 20% entry drawdown · -20.04%
LOCL NYSE · Local Bounti Corp
1.06 20% entry drawdown · -22.63%
NIXX NASDAQ · Nixxy, Inc.
0.85 20% entry drawdown · -35.80%
NKTX NASDAQ · Nkarta Inc
2.27 20% entry drawdown · -25.08%
PEW NYSE · GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc.
2.33 20% entry drawdown · -21.28%
PPSI NASDAQ · Pioneer Power Solutions Inc.
2.98 20% entry drawdown · -25.13%
RC NYSE · Ready Capital Corp
1.47 20% entry drawdown · -20.97%
REAX NASDAQ · Real Brokerage Inc
1.69 20% entry drawdown · -22.12%
SAFX NASDAQ · XCF Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock
0.41 20% entry drawdown · -25.36%
SEDG NASDAQ · SolarEdge Technologies Inc
42.60 20% entry drawdown · -31.02%
SGRP NASDAQ · SPAR Group Inc
0.38 20% entry drawdown · -46.99%
SRG NYSE · Seritage Growth Properties
2.31 20% entry drawdown · -22.22%
TOMZ NASDAQ · TOMI Environmental Solutions Inc
1.54 20% entry drawdown · -33.95%
UPST NASDAQ · Upstart Holdings Inc
26.93 20% entry drawdown · -20.30%
WETO NASDAQ · Webus International Limited Ordinary Shares
0.69 Price scale break · 37.71%
WRAP NASDAQ · Wrap Technologies Inc
1.70 20% entry drawdown · -30.89%
XELB NASDAQ · Xcel Brands Inc
1.23 20% entry drawdown · -21.15%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 481-510 of 1070 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signal MD ROC RS
IOVA NASDAQ · Iovance Biotherapeutics Inc
27 Feb 20263.86
4.99
29.27%
Buy
1.28
-
-
IP NYSE · International Paper
26 Jun 202638.76
42.16
8.77%
Buy
0.34
-
-
IPAR NASDAQ · Inter Parfums Inc
16 Jan 202688.44
122.55
38.57%
Buy
0.20
-
-
IPCX NASDAQ · Inflection Point Acquisition Corp. III Class A Ordinary Shares
16 Jan 202610.17
10.42
2.46%
Buy
0.17
-
-
IPEX NASDAQ · Inflection Point Acquisition Corp. V
10 Oct 202510.36
10.53
1.69%
Buy
1.45
-
-
IPHA NASDAQ · Innate Pharma
15 May 20262.02
1.78
-11.88%
Buy
0.04
-
-
IPM NASDAQ · Intelligent Protection Management Corp
1 May 20261.90
1.80
-5.26%
Buy
0.58
-
-
IPSC NASDAQ · Century Therapeutics Inc
26 Dec 20251.09
2.11
94.47%
Buy
1.51
-
-
IPWR NASDAQ · Ideal Power Inc
24 Apr 20264.50
3.98
-11.56%
Buy
0.23
-
-
IQ NASDAQ · iQIYI Inc
17 Jul 20261.19
1.22
2.52%
Buy
0.25
-
-
IRIX NASDAQ · IRIDEX Corporation
11 Jul 20251.01
0.89
-11.80%
Buy
0.18
-
-
IRWD NASDAQ · Ironwood Pharmaceuticals Inc
14 Nov 20253.14
3.71
18.15%
Buy
1.80
-
-
ITGR NYSE · Integer Holdings Corp
9 Jan 202684.31
98.62
16.97%
Buy
0.12
-
-
JACK NASDAQ · Jacktel AS
26 Jun 202613.81
14.55
5.36%
Buy
0.34
-
-
JAKK NASDAQ · JAKKS Pacific Inc
10 Oct 202517.03
24.50
43.90%
Buy
0.14
-
-
JBLU NASDAQ · JetBlue Airways Corp
18 Jul 20254.41
5.27
19.50%
Buy
0.09
-
-
JBSS NASDAQ · John B Sanfilippo & Son Inc
4 Jul 202562.49
81.19
29.93%
Buy
0.16
-
-
JCTC NASDAQ · Jewett-Cameron Trading Company Ltd.
1 May 20262.00
2.55
27.50%
Buy
0.66
-
-
JEF NYSE · Jefferies Financial Group Inc
22 May 202651.98
55.86
7.46%
Buy
0.24
-
-
JHX NYSE · James Hardie Industries PLC ADR
12 Dec 202520.62
26.54
28.71%
Buy
0.05
-
-
JILL NYSE · J.Jill Inc
26 Jun 202615.89
16.86
6.10%
Buy
0.40
-
-
JJSF NASDAQ · J & J Snack Foods Corp
26 Jun 202675.75
76.44
0.91%
Buy
0.23
-
-
JL NASDAQ · J-Long Group Limited
29 Nov 20243.13
6.00
91.69%
Buy
1.04
-
-
JMSB NASDAQ · John Marshall Bancorp Inc
30 May 202517.01
22.34
31.30%
Buy
0.09
-
-
JRVR NASDAQ · James River Group Holdings Ltd
18 Apr 20254.25
4.71
10.80%
Buy
0.11
-
-
JWEL NASDAQ · Jowell Global Ltd.
23 Aug 20241.36
1.79
31.72%
Buy
0.12
-
-
JYNT NASDAQ · The Joint Corp
16 Jan 20269.93
8.35
-15.91%
Buy
0.44
-
-
KBR NYSE · KBR Inc
26 Jun 202633.37
36.93
10.67%
Buy
0.03
-
-
KCHV NASDAQ · Kochav Defense Acquisition Corp. Class A Ordinary Shares
27 Feb 202610.22
10.40
1.76%
Buy
0.56
-
-
KD NYSE · Kyndryl Holdings Inc
22 May 202612.29
12.05
-1.95%
Buy
0.22
-
-

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 4441-4470 of 10830
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
1 Aug 2025
Entry
PRTA NASDAQ · Prothena Corporation plc
6.81
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.13
1 Aug 2025
Entry
RADX NASDAQ · Radiopharm Theranostics Limited American Depositary Shares
5.35
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 3.56
1 Aug 2025
Exit
RDZN NASDAQ · Roadzen Inc.
1.12
20% entry drawdown
-26.80%
Entry 25 Jul 2025 1.53
1 Aug 2025
Exit
REKR NASDAQ · Rekor Systems Inc
1.10
20% entry drawdown
-22.26%
Entry 6 Jun 2025 1.42
1 Aug 2025
Exit
RMD NYSE · ResMed Inc
276.46
Reversal Risk Warning
77.30%
Entry 1 Dec 2023 155.92
1 Aug 2025
Exit
SGML NASDAQ · Sigma Lithium Resources Corp
5.08
20% entry drawdown
-28.65%
Entry 25 Jul 2025 7.12
1 Aug 2025
Exit
SHFS NASDAQ · SHF Holdings Inc
2.70
20% entry drawdown
-20.08%
Entry 11 Jul 2025 3.38
1 Aug 2025
Entry
SNSE NASDAQ · Sensei Biotherapeutics Inc
10.33
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.86
1 Aug 2025
Entry
SRZN NASDAQ · Surrozen Inc
11.00
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.27
1 Aug 2025
Exit
STRS NASDAQ · Stratus Properties Inc
15.75
20% entry drawdown
-22.87%
Entry 16 May 2025 20.42
1 Aug 2025
Exit
SWVL NASDAQ · Swvl Holdings Corp
3.79
20% entry drawdown
-22.02%
Entry 30 May 2025 4.86
1 Aug 2025
Entry
TELO NASDAQ · Telomir Pharmaceuticals, Inc. Common Stock
1.76
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.01
1 Aug 2025
Exit
TLPH NASDAQ · Talphera Inc.
0.40
20% entry drawdown
-21.10%
Entry 6 Jun 2025 0.51
1 Aug 2025
Exit
TLSA NASDAQ · Tiziana Life Sciences Ltd
2.38
Reversal Risk Warning
219.46%
Entry 3 May 2024 0.75
1 Aug 2025
Entry
TOYO NASDAQ · TOYO Co., Ltd Ordinary Shares
6.10
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.07
1 Aug 2025
Exit
UNCY NASDAQ · Unicycive Therapeutics Inc
4.20
20% entry drawdown
-20.75%
Entry 22 Nov 2024 5.30
1 Aug 2025
Entry
VRME NASDAQ · VerifyMe Inc
1.21
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.72
1 Aug 2025
Exit
VST NYSE · Vistra Corp.
207.21
Reversal Risk Warning
242.18%
Entry 15 Mar 2024 60.56
1 Aug 2025
Exit
ZEO NASDAQ · Zeo Energy Corp.
2.46
20% entry drawdown
-20.39%
Entry 30 May 2025 3.09
25 Jul 2025
Exit
AB NYSE · AllianceBernstein Holding L.P.
39.38
Reversal Risk Warning
63.65%
Entry 8 Dec 2023 24.06
25 Jul 2025
Exit
ACEL NYSE · Accel Entertainment Inc
12.74
Reversal Risk Warning
22.38%
Entry 16 Feb 2024 10.41
25 Jul 2025
Exit
AIIO NASDAQ · Robo.ai Inc.
24.20
20% entry drawdown
-35.29%
Entry 16 May 2025 37.40
25 Jul 2025
Entry
ALAB NASDAQ · Astera Labs, Inc.
122.23
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.01
25 Jul 2025
Entry
ALB NYSE · Albemarle Corp
82.63
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.34
25 Jul 2025
Entry
AMD NASDAQ · Advanced Micro Devices Inc
166.47
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.65
25 Jul 2025
Entry
AMPH NASDAQ · Amphastar P
22.37
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.09
25 Jul 2025
Entry
ARTV NASDAQ · Artiva Biotherapeutics, Inc. Common Stock
3.60
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.85
25 Jul 2025
Exit
ATHE NASDAQ · Alterity Therapeutics Ltd
6.55
Reversal Risk Warning
204.65%
Entry 6 Dec 2024 2.15
25 Jul 2025
Entry
AVR NASDAQ · Anteris Technologies Global Corp. Common Stock
3.25
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.17
25 Jul 2025
Entry
BDX NYSE · Becton Dickinson and Company
142.21
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.10