Signal Validation

Market Dynamics Performance Index

A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.

United States
Latest week 10 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
484.55
Total Return
384.55%
CAGR
56.82% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+34.37%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.68 Sortino 5.21
Current Holdings
1108
Transactions
10720 Avg 3056.5/yr · 254.7/mo · 58.8/wk
Exit Mix
4806 Stop 41.2% · Warning 58.2% · Other 0.5%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.

01

Universe

Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
  • Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
  • Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

10 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
29
ABT NYSE · Abbott Laboratories
93.27 MD 0.37 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
AKTX NASDAQ · Akari Therapeutics PLC
13.88 MD 1.04 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ALG NYSE · Alamo Group Inc
161.15 MD 0.25 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ALXO NASDAQ · Alx Oncology Holdings
2.13 MD 0.02 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
AOS NYSE · Smith AO Corporation
60.44 MD 0.00 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ATR NYSE · AptarGroup Inc
125.53 MD 0.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BBOT NASDAQ · BridgeBio Oncology Therapeutics, Inc.
8.32 MD 0.00 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BFAM NYSE · Bright Horizons Family Solutions Inc
73.31 MD 0.11 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GIB NYSE · CGI Inc
67.06 MD 0.07 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GLXG NASDAQ · Galaxy Payroll Group Limited Ordinary Shares
1.46 MD 0.15 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
HAVA NASDAQ · Harvard Ave Acquisition Corporation Class A Ordinary Share
10.12 MD 1.40 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
JLHL NASDAQ · Julong Holding Limited Class A Ordinary Shares
11.73 MD 0.37 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LZ NASDAQ · LegalZoom.com Inc
7.25 MD 0.71 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MKC-V NYSE · McCormick & Company Incorporated
50.81 MD 0.15 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MMTX NASDAQ · Miluna Acquisition Corp Class A Ordinary Share
10.15 MD 2.48 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MNDO NASDAQ · MIND CTI Ltd
1.06 MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PEW NYSE · GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc.
2.96 MD 0.21 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
Q NYSE · Qnity Electronics, Inc
143.80 MD 0.79 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
RPD NASDAQ · Rapid7 Inc
11.17 MD 1.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SAFX NASDAQ · XCF Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock
0.55 MD 0.24 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SKIN NASDAQ · Beauty Health Co
0.91 MD 0.21 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SKYX NASDAQ · SKYX Platforms Corp
1.27 MD 0.09 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
STIM NASDAQ · Neuronetics Inc
1.76 MD 0.50 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TTEK NASDAQ · Tetra Tech Inc
30.99 MD 0.06 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
USPH NYSE · U.S. Physical Therapy, Inc.
72.54 MD 0.07 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
VRDN NASDAQ · Viridian Therapeutics Inc
19.74 MD 0.12 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WRAP NASDAQ · Wrap Technologies Inc
2.46 MD 0.26 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WVVI NASDAQ · Willamette Valley Vineyards Inc
2.93 MD 1.08 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
XTLB NASDAQ · XTL Biopharmaceuticals Ltd ADR
2.91 MD 0.77 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
37
APWC NASDAQ · Asia Pacific Wire & Cable Corp Ltd
1.53 20% entry drawdown · -23.12%
BCDA NASDAQ · Biocardia Inc
0.91 20% entry drawdown · -23.77%
BIRD NASDAQ · Allbirds Inc
3.13 20% entry drawdown · -33.15%
BLLN NASDAQ · BillionToOne, Inc. Class A Common Stock
126.77 Reversal Risk Warning · 28.06%
BLZE NASDAQ · Backblaze Inc
17.60 Reversal Risk Warning · 135.29%
BMAC NYSE · Black Mountain Acquisition Corp
10.60 Ticker inactive / final available close · 0.00%
BYRN NASDAQ · Byrna Technologies Inc
3.87 20% entry drawdown · -44.55%
CE NYSE · Celanese Corporation
46.92 20% entry drawdown · -20.19%
CHGG NYSE · Chegg Inc
0.85 20% entry drawdown · -23.79%
CLYM NASDAQ · Climb Bio Inc
14.00 Reversal Risk Warning · 227.10%
CVAC NASDAQ · CureVac NV
4.66 Ticker inactive / final available close · 47.47%
CWH NYSE · Camping World Holdings Inc
6.22 20% entry drawdown · -22.06%
DENN NASDAQ · Dennys Corp
6.25 Ticker inactive / final available close · 51.33%
DWSN NASDAQ · Dawson Geophysical Company
7.57 Reversal Risk Warning · 394.77%
EWTX NASDAQ · Edgewise Therapeutics Inc
45.41 Reversal Risk Warning · 315.08%
GAME NASDAQ · GameSquare Holdings Inc.
0.31 20% entry drawdown · -31.37%
GKOS NYSE · Glaukos Corp
152.72 Reversal Risk Warning · 82.11%
GRCL NASDAQ · Gracell Biotechnologies Inc.
10.25 Ticker inactive / final available close · 107.49%
IRDM NASDAQ · Iridium Communications Inc
50.06 Reversal Risk Warning · 118.07%
KELYB NASDAQ · Kelly Services B Inc
23.95 Reversal Risk Warning · 75.74%
LVO NASDAQ · LiveOne Inc
5.23 20% entry drawdown · -24.64%
MBX NASDAQ · MBX Biosciences, Inc. Common Stock
61.05 Reversal Risk Warning · 408.75%
MPLT NASDAQ · MapLight Therapeutics, Inc. Common Stock
39.32 Reversal Risk Warning · 36.43%
ODP NASDAQ · ODP Corp
28.00 Ticker inactive / final available close · 57.57%
OMEX NASDAQ · Odyssey Marine Exploration Inc
0.71 20% entry drawdown · -22.37%
PC NASDAQ · Premium Catering (Holdings) Limited
9.40 Ticker inactive / final available close · 41.10%
PTRN NASDAQ · Pattern Group Inc. Series A Common Stock
28.95 Reversal Risk Warning · 81.85%
RCM NASDAQ · R1 RCM Inc
14.31 Ticker inactive / final available close · 28.92%
RLAY NASDAQ · Relay Therapeutics Inc
20.01 Reversal Risk Warning · 566.83%
ROSS NYSE · Ross Acquisition II Corp
11.08 Ticker inactive / final available close · 3.84%
SBFG NASDAQ · SB Financial Group Inc
26.27 Reversal Risk Warning · 94.76%
SLRN NASDAQ · ACELYRIN, INC. Common Stock
2.27 Ticker inactive / final available close · -11.67%
THRD NASDAQ · Third Harmonic Bio Inc.
5.38 Ticker inactive / final available close · 4.06%
TLPH NASDAQ · Talphera Inc.
1.46 Reversal Risk Warning · 196.33%
TTRX NASDAQ · Turn Therapeutics Inc. Common Stock
9.44 Reversal Risk Warning · 84.02%
WATT NASDAQ · Energous Corporation
17.99 20% entry drawdown · -27.25%
WKC NYSE · World Kinect Corporation
35.32 Reversal Risk Warning · 71.05%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 511-540 of 1108 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signal MD ROC RS
JCTC NASDAQ · Jewett-Cameron Trading Company Ltd.
1 May 20262.00
2.52
26.00%
Buy
0.66
-
-
JEF NYSE · Jefferies Financial Group Inc
22 May 202651.98
52.09
0.21%
Buy
0.24
-
-
JHX NYSE · James Hardie Industries PLC ADR
12 Dec 202520.62
24.79
20.22%
Buy
0.05
-
-
JILL NYSE · J.Jill Inc
26 Jun 202615.89
16.29
2.52%
Buy
0.40
-
-
JJSF NASDAQ · J & J Snack Foods Corp
26 Jun 202675.75
76.49
0.98%
Buy
0.23
-
-
JL NASDAQ · J-Long Group Limited
29 Nov 20243.13
5.94
89.78%
Buy
1.04
-
-
JLHL NASDAQ · Julong Holding Limited Class A Ordinary Shares
10 Jul 202611.73
11.73
New Entry week
Buy
0.37
-
-
JMSB NASDAQ · John Marshall Bancorp Inc
30 May 202517.01
21.84
28.36%
Buy
0.09
-
-
JRVR NASDAQ · James River Group Holdings Ltd
18 Apr 20254.25
4.56
7.27%
Buy
0.11
-
-
JWEL NASDAQ · Jowell Global Ltd.
23 Aug 20241.36
2.01
47.54%
Buy
0.12
-
-
JYNT NASDAQ · The Joint Corp
16 Jan 20269.93
8.99
-9.47%
Buy
0.44
-
-
KBR NYSE · KBR Inc
26 Jun 202633.37
35.47
6.29%
Buy
0.03
-
-
KCHV NASDAQ · Kochav Defense Acquisition Corp. Class A Ordinary Shares
27 Feb 202610.22
10.36
1.37%
Buy
0.56
-
-
KD NYSE · Kyndryl Holdings Inc
22 May 202612.29
11.97
-2.60%
Buy
0.22
-
-
KDP NASDAQ · Keurig Dr Pepper Inc
1 May 202628.89
31.67
9.62%
Buy
0.12
-
-
KELYA NASDAQ · Kelly Services A Inc
8 May 20269.79
13.55
38.35%
Buy
0.13
-
-
KFFB NASDAQ · Kentucky First Federal Bancorp
15 Nov 20242.56
5.00
95.31%
Buy
0.23
-
-
KFII NASDAQ · K&F Growth Acquisition Corp. II Class A Ordinary shares
10 Oct 202510.25
10.57
3.12%
Buy
0.01
-
-
KFRC NYSE · Kforce Inc.
21 Nov 202528.80
54.63
89.69%
Buy
0.14
-
-
KGEI NASDAQ · Kolibri Global Energy Inc. Common stock
20 Feb 20263.94
4.88
23.86%
Buy
0.88
-
-
KHC NASDAQ · Kraft Heinz Co
27 Mar 202621.66
24.85
14.75%
Buy
0.02
-
-
KIDS NASDAQ · Orthopediatrics Corp
12 Dec 202517.60
20.33
15.51%
Buy
0.06
-
-
KLRS NASDAQ · Kalaris Therapeutics, Inc.
8 Aug 20252.67
4.44
66.29%
Buy
0.16
-
-
KLTR NASDAQ · Kaltura Inc
15 May 20261.46
1.28
-12.33%
Buy
0.20
-
-
KMB NASDAQ · Kimberly-Clark Corporation
13 Feb 2026106.71
112.41
5.34%
Buy
0.25
-
-
KMPR NYSE · Kemper Corporation
26 Jun 202626.81
29.43
9.77%
Buy
0.04
-
-
KMX NYSE · CarMax Inc
9 Jan 202645.23
53.49
18.26%
Buy
0.25
-
-
KNF NYSE · Knife River Corporation
19 Dec 202573.46
81.09
10.39%
Buy
0.32
-
-
KNTK NYSE · Kinetik Holdings Inc
16 Jan 202637.27
48.32
29.66%
Buy
0.20
-
-
KOP NYSE · Koppers Holdings Inc
23 May 202529.88
47.56
59.17%
Buy
0.41
-
-

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 2971-3000 of 10720
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
16 Jan 2026
Entry
ZBAO NASDAQ · Zhibao Technology Inc. Class A Ordinary Shares
0.95
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.06
16 Jan 2026
Entry
ZBIO NASDAQ · Zenas BioPharma, Inc. Common Stock
20.16
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.19
16 Jan 2026
Exit
ZNTL NASDAQ · Zentalis Pharmaceuticals Llc
2.96
20% entry drawdown
-20.86%
Entry 9 Jan 2026 3.74
9 Jan 2026
Entry
AAUC NYSE · Allied Gold Corporation
25.12
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.68
9 Jan 2026
Exit
AFL NYSE · Aflac Incorporated
108.09
Reversal Risk Warning
42.84%
Entry 13 Oct 2023 75.67
9 Jan 2026
Exit
AGNC NASDAQ · AGNC Investment Corp.
10.80
Reversal Risk Warning
59.45%
Entry 15 Dec 2023 6.77
9 Jan 2026
Entry
ALLO NASDAQ · Allogene Therapeutics Inc
1.71
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.42
9 Jan 2026
Entry
ASIX NYSE · AdvanSix Inc
18.20
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.14
9 Jan 2026
Exit
AURA NASDAQ · Aura Biosciences Inc
5.09
20% entry drawdown
-20.72%
Entry 13 Jun 2025 6.42
9 Jan 2026
Exit
BANC NYSE · Banc of California, Inc.
19.81
Reversal Risk Warning
67.96%
Entry 21 Jul 2023 11.79
9 Jan 2026
Exit
BCO NYSE · Brinks Company
126.37
Reversal Risk Warning
78.04%
Entry 4 Aug 2023 70.98
9 Jan 2026
Exit
CAE NYSE · CAE Inc.
33.03
Reversal Risk Warning
78.64%
Entry 27 Sep 2024 18.49
9 Jan 2026
Entry
CAL NYSE · Caleres Inc
13.73
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.42
9 Jan 2026
Entry
CBT NYSE · Cabot Corporation
72.01
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.01
9 Jan 2026
Entry
CENTA NASDAQ · Central Garden & Pet Company A
29.68
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.06
9 Jan 2026
Entry
CHD NYSE · Church & Dwight Company Inc
85.24
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.02
9 Jan 2026
Entry
CMCO NASDAQ · Columbus McKinnon Corporation
19.53
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.65
9 Jan 2026
Exit
COMP NYSE · Compass Inc
12.84
Reversal Risk Warning
267.91%
Entry 22 Dec 2023 3.49
9 Jan 2026
Exit
CUBI NYSE · Customers Bancorp, Inc.
78.02
Reversal Risk Warning
119.07%
Entry 14 Jul 2023 35.61
9 Jan 2026
Exit
CVCO NASDAQ · Cavco Industries Inc
667.70
Reversal Risk Warning
129.06%
Entry 1 Dec 2023 291.49
9 Jan 2026
Exit
CX NYSE · Cemex SAB de CV ADR
12.36
Reversal Risk Warning
82.69%
Entry 16 May 2025 6.77
9 Jan 2026
Entry
DAR NYSE · Darling Ingredients Inc
39.08
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.76
9 Jan 2026
Exit
DWTX NASDAQ · Dogwood Therapeutics, Inc.
2.85
20% entry drawdown
-41.24%
Entry 1 Aug 2025 4.85
9 Jan 2026
Entry
EEX NYSE · Emerald Expositions Events Inc
4.73
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.17
9 Jan 2026
Exit
ELME NYSE · Elme Communities
2.95
Reversal Risk Warning
40.62%
Entry 15 Dec 2023 2.10
9 Jan 2026
Entry
ELUT NASDAQ · Elutia Inc.
0.72
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.29
9 Jan 2026
Entry
ERAS NASDAQ · Erasca Inc
6.76
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 2.17
9 Jan 2026
Exit
EVR NYSE · Evercore Partners Inc
367.05
Reversal Risk Warning
129.99%
Entry 15 Dec 2023 159.59
9 Jan 2026
Exit
EXPD NYSE · Expeditors International of Washington, Inc.
158.09
Reversal Risk Warning
35.54%
Entry 1 Dec 2023 116.64
9 Jan 2026
Entry
FBIO NASDAQ · Fortress Biotech Inc
4.30
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.54