Signal Validation

Market Dynamics Performance Index

A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.

United States
Latest week 17 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
479.75
Total Return
379.75%
CAGR
56.00% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+34.22%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.65 Sortino 5.16
Current Holdings
1081
Transactions
10781 Avg 3057.2/yr · 254.8/mo · 58.8/wk
Exit Mix
4850 Stop 41.5% · Warning 58.0% · Other 0.5%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.

01

Universe

Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
  • Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
  • Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

17 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
18
ADBE NASDAQ · Adobe Systems Incorporated
237.25 MD 0.17 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BL NASDAQ · Blackline Inc
30.29 MD 0.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BLKB NASDAQ · Blackbaud Inc
32.40 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CDNL NASDAQ · Cardinal Infrastructure Group Inc. Class A Common Stock
71.23 MD 1.59 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CURV NYSE · Torrid Holdings Inc
2.33 MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
DFIN NYSE · Donnelley Financial Solutions Inc
49.95 MD 0.06 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
EXPO NASDAQ · Exponent Inc
62.88 MD 0.09 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
FIS NYSE · Fidelity National Information Services Inc
41.91 MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
HCKT NASDAQ · The Hackett Group Inc
10.34 MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ICFI NASDAQ · ICF International Inc
78.86 MD 0.80 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LAW NYSE · CS Disco LLC
4.05 MD 0.26 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
NRDS NASDAQ · Nerdwallet Inc
9.26 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ONT NYSE · Onterris
20.93 MD 0.36 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OPRX NASDAQ · OPTIMIZERx Corp
6.69 MD 0.86 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PODD NASDAQ · Insulet Corporation
164.06 MD 0.42 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
RCEL NASDAQ · Avita Medical Ltd
5.10 MD 0.39 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
UPWK NASDAQ · Upwork Inc
9.06 MD 0.10 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
XRAY NASDAQ · Dentsply Sirona Inc
14.05 MD 0.72 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
35
ACB NASDAQ · Aurora Cannabis Inc
2.63 20% entry drawdown · -20.78%
AIFU NASDAQ · Fanhua Inc.
34.52 20% entry drawdown · -25.28%
AKTX NASDAQ · Akari Therapeutics PLC
11.01 20% entry drawdown · -20.68%
ALDX NASDAQ · Aldeyra The
1.69 20% entry drawdown · -25.55%
ARCT NASDAQ · Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings Inc
6.05 20% entry drawdown · -26.49%
AWRE NASDAQ · Aware Inc
1.11 20% entry drawdown · -26.97%
BEEM NASDAQ · Beam Global
1.03 20% entry drawdown · -24.82%
BNAI NASDAQ · Brand Engagement Network Inc
11.62 20% entry drawdown · -29.49%
BTBT NASDAQ · Bit Digital Inc
1.40 20% entry drawdown · -29.65%
EIX NYSE · Edison International
77.63 Reversal Risk Warning · 49.97%
EVGO NASDAQ · Evgo Inc
1.68 20% entry drawdown · -20.94%
EVO NASDAQ · Evotec SE ADR
1.96 20% entry drawdown · -27.94%
GENK NASDAQ · GEN Restaurant Group, Inc. Class A Common Stock
1.77 20% entry drawdown · -24.36%
GLXG NASDAQ · Galaxy Payroll Group Limited Ordinary Shares
1.05 20% entry drawdown · -28.08%
HUBG NASDAQ · Hub Group Inc
51.22 Reversal Risk Warning · 45.11%
INV NASDAQ · Innventure, Inc.
3.37 20% entry drawdown · -27.37%
JLHL NASDAQ · Julong Holding Limited Class A Ordinary Shares
9.35 20% entry drawdown · -20.29%
LEDS NASDAQ · SemiLEDS Corporation
3.01 Reversal Risk Warning · 67.22%
LONA NASDAQ · LeonaBio, Inc.
7.22 20% entry drawdown · -27.22%
MTEX NASDAQ · Mannatech Incorporated
4.25 20% entry drawdown · -21.59%
OABI NASDAQ · OmniAb Inc.
2.12 20% entry drawdown · -20.00%
OCCI NASDAQ · OFS Credit Company Inc
2.27 20% entry drawdown · -23.83%
PBF NYSE · PBF Energy Inc
62.75 Reversal Risk Warning · 219.84%
PLUG NASDAQ · Plug Power Inc
2.17 20% entry drawdown · -20.80%
PMCB NASDAQ · PharmaCyte Biotech Inc
0.63 20% entry drawdown · -21.31%
PMEC NASDAQ · Primech Holdings Ltd. Ordinary Shares
0.52 20% entry drawdown · -28.59%
QFIN NASDAQ · 360 Finance Inc
12.73 20% entry drawdown · -20.83%
RPT NYSE · Rithm Property Trust Inc.
10.89 20% entry drawdown · -27.03%
RXRX NASDAQ · Recursion Pharmaceuticals Inc
2.95 20% entry drawdown · -22.50%
SNPS NASDAQ · Synopsys Inc
384.28 20% entry drawdown · -25.60%
SORA NASDAQ · Top Win International Limited
1.73 20% entry drawdown · -23.18%
VERU NASDAQ · Veru Inc
2.38 20% entry drawdown · -30.00%
WING NASDAQ · Wingstop Inc
142.33 20% entry drawdown · -20.03%
WW NASDAQ · WW International, Inc. Common Stock
14.57 20% entry drawdown · -21.46%
ZSQR NASDAQ · Z Squared Inc.
5.06 20% entry drawdown · -45.47%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 31-60 of 1081 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signal MD ROC RS
AGYS NASDAQ · Agilysys Inc
22 May 202679.84
106.68
33.62%
Buy
0.09
-
-
AHCO NASDAQ · Adapthealth Corp
2 Feb 20247.47
10.96
46.72%
Buy
0.11
-
-
AI NYSE · C3 Ai Inc
8 May 20269.87
8.82
-10.64%
Buy
0.41
-
-
AIRJ NASDAQ · AirJoule Technologies Corporation
22 May 20264.37
3.74
-14.42%
Buy
1.41
-
-
AIRS NASDAQ · Airsculpt Technologies Inc
27 Mar 20262.87
4.45
55.05%
Buy
0.43
-
-
AJG NYSE · Arthur J Gallagher & Co
5 Jun 2026216.14
253.90
17.47%
Buy
0.09
-
-
AKBA NASDAQ · Akebia Ther
3 Jul 20261.24
1.34
8.06%
Buy
0.04
-
-
ALB NYSE · Albemarle Corp
25 Jul 202582.63
120.78
46.16%
Buy
1.34
-
-
ALDF NASDAQ · Aldel Financial II Inc. Class A Ordinary Shares
14 Nov 202510.57
10.70
1.23%
Buy
0.20
-
-
ALEC NASDAQ · Alector Inc
6 Jun 20251.49
1.50
0.67%
Buy
1.00
-
-
ALF NASDAQ · Centurion Acquisition Corp.
9 May 202510.42
10.88
4.41%
Buy
3.08
-
-
ALG NYSE · Alamo Group Inc
10 Jul 2026161.15
162.43
0.79%
Buy
0.25
-
-
ALGN NASDAQ · Align Technology Inc
28 Nov 2025147.19
176.76
20.09%
Buy
0.56
-
-
ALIS NASDAQ · Calisa Acquisition Corp Ordinary shares
12 Jun 202610.13
10.16
0.37%
Buy
1.59
-
-
ALIT NYSE · Alight Inc
3 Jul 202614.26
21.74
52.45%
Buy
0.89
-
-
ALK NYSE · Alaska Air Group Inc
12 Jun 202647.32
45.51
-3.83%
Buy
0.14
-
-
ALKT NASDAQ · Alkami Technology Inc
8 May 202617.97
17.91
-0.33%
Buy
0.18
-
-
ALLO NASDAQ · Allogene Therapeutics Inc
9 Jan 20261.71
1.79
4.68%
Buy
1.42
-
-
ALRM NASDAQ · Alarm.com Holdings Inc
8 May 202647.60
53.20
11.76%
Buy
0.16
-
-
ALTG NYSE · Alta Equipment Group Inc
23 Jan 20266.43
6.38
-0.78%
Buy
0.22
-
-
ALXO NASDAQ · Alx Oncology Holdings
10 Jul 20262.13
2.10
-1.18%
Buy
0.02
-
-
AMBR NASDAQ · Amber International Holding Limited
12 Dec 20251.56
1.41
-9.62%
Buy
0.00
-
-
AMCX NASDAQ · AMC Networks Inc
8 May 20268.80
10.49
19.20%
Buy
0.40
-
-
AMH NYSE · American Homes 4 Rent
1 May 202631.63
34.07
7.71%
Buy
0.30
-
-
AMLX NASDAQ · Amylyx Pharmaceuticals Inc
27 Jun 20256.33
17.75
180.41%
Buy
1.19
-
-
AMN NYSE · AMN Healthcare Services Inc
8 May 202628.97
35.00
20.81%
Buy
0.72
-
-
AMPH NASDAQ · Amphastar P
26 Jun 202621.78
19.75
-9.34%
Buy
0.46
-
-
AMPL NASDAQ · Amplitude Inc
22 May 20266.70
9.60
43.28%
Buy
0.34
-
-
AMPY NYSE · Amplify Energy Corp
13 Jun 20253.56
3.94
10.67%
Buy
0.03
-
-
AMR NYSE · Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc
19 Sep 2025166.10
143.80
-13.43%
Buy
1.61
-
-

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 3661-3690 of 10781
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
24 Oct 2025
Exit
GEOS NASDAQ · Geospace Technologies Corporation
25.92
Reversal Risk Warning
125.59%
Entry 20 Jun 2025 11.49
24 Oct 2025
Entry
GNLX NASDAQ · Genelux Corporation Common Stock
7.82
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.94
24 Oct 2025
Exit
GTLS NYSE · Chart Industries Inc
199.47
Reversal Risk Warning
38.32%
Entry 13 Jun 2025 144.21
24 Oct 2025
Exit
GURE NASDAQ · Gulf Resources, Inc. (NV) Common Stock
5.26
20% entry drawdown
-20.29%
Entry 17 Jan 2025 6.60
24 Oct 2025
Exit
HCI NYSE · HCI Group Inc
204.88
Reversal Risk Warning
180.69%
Entry 10 Nov 2023 72.99
24 Oct 2025
Exit
IBM NYSE · International Business Machines
301.83
Reversal Risk Warning
112.65%
Entry 17 Nov 2023 141.94
24 Oct 2025
Exit
IZM NASDAQ · ICZOOM Group Inc. Class A Ordinary Shares
1.97
20% entry drawdown
-21.83%
Entry 16 May 2025 2.52
24 Oct 2025
Exit
MEDP NASDAQ · Medpace Holdings Inc
605.20
Reversal Risk Warning
102.00%
Entry 15 Dec 2023 299.60
24 Oct 2025
Exit
MMM NYSE · 3M Company
166.16
Reversal Risk Warning
102.73%
Entry 8 Dec 2023 81.96
24 Oct 2025
Exit
MTDR NYSE · Matador Resources Company
38.40
20% entry drawdown
-22.97%
Entry 20 Jun 2025 49.85
24 Oct 2025
Entry
NMRA NASDAQ · Neumora Therapeutics, Inc.
2.63
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.73
24 Oct 2025
Entry
NOA NYSE · North American Construction Group Ltd
14.96
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.03
24 Oct 2025
Exit
NRG NYSE · NRG Energy Inc.
168.87
Reversal Risk Warning
208.49%
Entry 1 Mar 2024 54.74
24 Oct 2025
Exit
OPRX NASDAQ · OPTIMIZERx Corp
21.68
Reversal Risk Warning
179.02%
Entry 14 Mar 2025 7.77
24 Oct 2025
Entry
OPTX NASDAQ · Syntec Optics Holdings Inc.
2.83
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.33
24 Oct 2025
Exit
OPXS NASDAQ · Optex Systems Holdings, Inc. Common Stock
17.04
Reversal Risk Warning
184.71%
Entry 22 Dec 2023 5.99
24 Oct 2025
Exit
P NYSE · Everpure, Inc.
93.79
Reversal Risk Warning
147.34%
Entry 14 Jul 2023 37.92
24 Oct 2025
Exit
PEGA NASDAQ · Pegasystems Inc
66.19
Reversal Risk Warning
154.55%
Entry 24 Nov 2023 26.00
24 Oct 2025
Exit
PI NASDAQ · Impinj Inc
235.83
Reversal Risk Warning
88.59%
Entry 16 May 2025 125.05
24 Oct 2025
Exit
PLUG NASDAQ · Plug Power Inc
2.95
20% entry drawdown
-22.57%
Entry 3 Oct 2025 3.81
24 Oct 2025
Entry
PRLD NASDAQ · Prelude Therapeutics Inc
1.62
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 2.01
24 Oct 2025
Entry
PTEN NASDAQ · Patterson-UTI Energy Inc
6.41
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.68
24 Oct 2025
Entry
PUMP NYSE · ProPetro Holding Corp
6.31
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.42
24 Oct 2025
Exit
RUN NASDAQ · Sunrun Inc
20.85
Reversal Risk Warning
178.37%
Entry 30 May 2025 7.49
24 Oct 2025
Entry
RVTY NYSE · Revvity Inc.
98.75
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.22
24 Oct 2025
Entry
SABS NASDAQ · SAB Biotherapeutics Inc
3.03
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.14
24 Oct 2025
Exit
SHOP NASDAQ · Shopify Inc
172.95
Reversal Risk Warning
131.99%
Entry 16 Aug 2024 74.55
24 Oct 2025
Exit
STI NASDAQ · Solidion Technology Inc.
14.62
20% entry drawdown
-30.94%
Entry 17 Oct 2025 21.17
24 Oct 2025
Exit
SUPN NASDAQ · Supernus Pharmaceuticals Inc
52.83
Reversal Risk Warning
93.87%
Entry 15 Dec 2023 27.25
24 Oct 2025
Exit
TAC NYSE · TransAlta Corp
17.09
Reversal Risk Warning
119.74%
Entry 2 Aug 2024 7.78