Signal Validation

Market Dynamics Performance Index

A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.

United States
Latest week 3 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
487.74
Total Return
387.74%
CAGR
57.51% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+35.40%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.70 Sortino 5.25
Current Holdings
1105
Transactions
10675 Avg 3060.4/yr · 255.0/mo · 58.9/wk
Exit Mix
4785 Stop 41.3% · Warning 58.5% · Other 0.2%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.

01

Universe

Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
  • Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
  • Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

3 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
47
ABT NYSE · Abbott Laboratories
95.40 MD 0.06 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ACET NASDAQ · Adicet Bio Inc
9.00 MD 0.90 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
AKBA NASDAQ · Akebia Ther
1.24 MD 0.04 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ALDX NASDAQ · Aldeyra The
2.27 MD 0.20 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ALIT NYSE · Alight Inc
14.26 MD 0.88 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ANGI NASDAQ · ANGI Homeservices Inc
6.06 MD 0.09 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
AVXL NASDAQ · Anavex Life Sciences Corp
2.76 MD 0.10 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BARK NYSE · BARK, Inc.
10.93 MD 0.02 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BILL NYSE · Bill Com Holdings Inc
40.48 MD 0.02 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BTMD NASDAQ · biote Corp
2.17 MD 0.93 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BYRN NASDAQ · Byrna Technologies Inc
6.97 MD 0.51 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CIGI NASDAQ · Colliers International Group Inc Bats
98.51 MD 0.06 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CLRO NASDAQ · ClearOne Inc
6.48 MD 0.63 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CRAC NASDAQ · Crown Reserve Acquisition Corp. I Class A Ordinary Shares
10.12 MD 1.89 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
DEFT NASDAQ · DeFi Technologies Inc.
0.53 MD 0.47 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
DNMX NASDAQ · Dynamix Corporation III Class A Ordinary Shares
10.01 MD 1.48 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
DYAI NASDAQ · Dyadic International Inc
0.94 MD 0.21 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ELBM NASDAQ · Electra Battery Materials Corp
0.56 MD 0.28 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ESBA NYSE · Empire State Realty OP LP ES
5.64 MD 0.68 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
EVO NASDAQ · Evotec SE ADR
2.90 MD 0.20 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
EVTC NYSE · Evertec Inc
29.63 MD 0.27 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
FISK NYSE · Empire State Realty OP LP 250
5.61 MD 0.63 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
FOUR NYSE · Shift4 Payments Inc
51.35 MD 0.87 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GHI NYSE · Greystone Housing Impact Investors LP
5.96 MD 0.27 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GIS NYSE · General Mills Inc
37.57 MD 0.41 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
HELP NASDAQ · Cybin Inc. Common Stock
6.24 MD 0.51 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
INCR NASDAQ · InterCure Ltd.
1.09 MD 1.06 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
KNSL NYSE · Kinsale Capital Group Inc
354.85 MD 0.09 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LAB NASDAQ · Standard Biotools Inc
0.91 MD 0.26 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LZ NASDAQ · LegalZoom.com Inc
6.92 MD 0.38 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MRSH NYSE · Marsh & McLennan Companies, Inc.
178.54 MD 0.32 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MSTR NASDAQ · MicroStrategy Incorporated
100.77 MD 0.01 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
NKE NYSE · Nike Inc
44.09 MD 0.29 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OI NYSE · O-I Glass Inc
9.79 MD 0.11 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OWLT NYSE · Owlet Inc
5.76 MD 0.26 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OXBR NASDAQ · Oxbridge Re Holdings Ltd
1.28 MD 1.07 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PGY NASDAQ · Pagaya Technologies Ltd.
17.79 MD 1.04 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
REAX NASDAQ · Real Brokerage Inc
2.17 MD 0.08 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SLNG NASDAQ · Stabilis Solutions Inc
4.19 MD 0.43 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SRFM NYSE · Surf Air Mobility Inc.
1.04 MD 0.50 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TDWD NASDAQ · Tailwind 2.0 Acquisition Corp. Class A Ordinary Shares
10.06 MD 1.64 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
UTZ NYSE · Utz Brands Inc
8.27 MD 0.58 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WAY NASDAQ · Waystar Holding Corp. Common Stock
23.46 MD 0.10 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WING NASDAQ · Wingstop Inc
177.99 MD 0.22 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
YSG NYSE · Yatsen Holding
3.47 MD 1.35 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ZBH NYSE · Zimmer Biomet Holdings Inc
87.47 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ZS NASDAQ · Zscaler Inc
147.33 MD 0.40 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
22
ABCL NASDAQ · Abcellera Biologics Inc
8.11 Reversal Risk Warning · 137.83%
ABX NYSE · Abacus Global Management, Inc.
11.86 Reversal Risk Warning · 89.60%
AIRT NASDAQ · Air T Inc
28.87 Reversal Risk Warning · 60.30%
ALAR NASDAQ · Alarum Technologies Ltd.
6.35 20% entry drawdown · -34.06%
ALGT NASDAQ · Allegiant Travel Company
118.67 Reversal Risk Warning · 113.01%
ASTL NASDAQ · Algoma Steel Group Inc
3.77 20% entry drawdown · -20.46%
BGDE NASDAQ · Big Digital Energy, Inc.
7.45 20% entry drawdown · -30.18%
ENVX NASDAQ · Enovix Corp
5.36 20% entry drawdown · -20.83%
FA NASDAQ · First Advantage Corp
20.53 Reversal Risk Warning · 58.29%
GCBC NASDAQ · Greene County Bancorp Inc
34.66 Reversal Risk Warning · 41.97%
ILMN NASDAQ · Illumina Inc
188.68 Reversal Risk Warning · 117.05%
LFVN NASDAQ · Lifevantage Corporation
6.22 20% entry drawdown · -20.55%
MB NASDAQ · MasterBeef Group Ordinary Shares
4.51 20% entry drawdown · -26.31%
MOVE NASDAQ · Movano Inc
17.37 20% entry drawdown · -24.12%
NEUP NASDAQ · Neuphoria Therapeutics Inc
3.38 20% entry drawdown · -32.94%
OPTU NYSE · Optimum Communications, Inc.
1.16 20% entry drawdown · -30.12%
RDZN NASDAQ · Roadzen Inc.
1.34 20% entry drawdown · -25.56%
SMCI NASDAQ · Super Micro Computer Inc
27.22 20% entry drawdown · -23.04%
TTRX NASDAQ · Turn Therapeutics Inc. Common Stock
7.12 Reversal Risk Warning · 38.79%
USIO NASDAQ · Usio Inc
2.48 Reversal Risk Warning · 63.16%
VGAS NASDAQ · Verde Clean Fuels Inc.
1.00 20% entry drawdown · -34.21%
WXM NASDAQ · WF International Limited Ordinary Shares
4.29 20% entry drawdown · -23.38%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 31-60 of 1105 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signal MD ROC RS
AGPU NASDAQ · Axe Compute Inc.
24 Apr 20266.64
7.08
6.63%
Buy
0.93
-
-
AGYS NASDAQ · Agilysys Inc
22 May 202679.84
110.81
38.79%
Buy
0.09
-
-
AHCO NASDAQ · Adapthealth Corp
2 Feb 20247.47
10.76
44.04%
Buy
0.11
-
-
AI NYSE · C3 Ai Inc
8 May 20269.87
9.06
-8.21%
Buy
0.41
-
-
AIFU NASDAQ · Fanhua Inc.
15 May 202646.20
42.15
-8.77%
Buy
0.33
-
-
AIRJ NASDAQ · AirJoule Technologies Corporation
22 May 20264.37
4.84
10.64%
Buy
1.41
-
-
AIRS NASDAQ · Airsculpt Technologies Inc
27 Mar 20262.87
4.52
57.49%
Buy
0.43
-
-
AJG NYSE · Arthur J Gallagher & Co
5 Jun 2026216.14
252.44
16.79%
Buy
0.08
-
-
AKBA NASDAQ · Akebia Ther
3 Jul 20261.24
1.24
New Entry week
Buy
0.04
-
-
ALB NYSE · Albemarle Corp
25 Jul 202582.63
135.56
64.05%
Buy
1.34
-
-
ALDF NASDAQ · Aldel Financial II Inc. Class A Ordinary Shares
14 Nov 202510.57
10.72
1.42%
Buy
0.20
-
-
ALDX NASDAQ · Aldeyra The
3 Jul 20262.27
2.27
New Entry week
Buy
0.20
-
-
ALEC NASDAQ · Alector Inc
6 Jun 20251.49
2.06
38.26%
Buy
1.00
-
-
ALF NASDAQ · Centurion Acquisition Corp.
9 May 202510.42
10.89
4.51%
Buy
3.08
-
-
ALGN NASDAQ · Align Technology Inc
28 Nov 2025147.19
184.52
25.36%
Buy
0.56
-
-
ALIS NASDAQ · Calisa Acquisition Corp Ordinary shares
12 Jun 202610.13
10.18
0.54%
Buy
1.55
-
-
ALIT NYSE · Alight Inc
3 Jul 202614.26
14.26
New Entry week
Buy
0.88
-
-
ALK NYSE · Alaska Air Group Inc
12 Jun 202647.32
51.09
7.97%
Buy
0.14
-
-
ALKT NASDAQ · Alkami Technology Inc
8 May 202617.97
19.02
5.84%
Buy
0.18
-
-
ALLO NASDAQ · Allogene Therapeutics Inc
9 Jan 20261.71
2.08
21.64%
Buy
1.42
-
-
ALRM NASDAQ · Alarm.com Holdings Inc
8 May 202647.60
49.69
4.39%
Buy
0.16
-
-
ALTG NYSE · Alta Equipment Group Inc
23 Jan 20266.43
6.19
-3.73%
Buy
0.22
-
-
AMBR NASDAQ · Amber International Holding Limited
12 Dec 20251.56
1.43
-8.33%
Buy
0.00
-
-
AMCX NASDAQ · AMC Networks Inc
8 May 20268.80
10.26
16.59%
Buy
0.40
-
-
AMH NYSE · American Homes 4 Rent
1 May 202631.63
34.08
7.75%
Buy
0.30
-
-
AMLX NASDAQ · Amylyx Pharmaceuticals Inc
27 Jun 20256.33
18.27
188.63%
Buy
1.19
-
-
AMN NYSE · AMN Healthcare Services Inc
8 May 202628.97
34.75
19.95%
Buy
0.72
-
-
AMPH NASDAQ · Amphastar P
26 Jun 202621.78
19.64
-9.83%
Buy
0.46
-
-
AMPL NASDAQ · Amplitude Inc
22 May 20266.70
8.84
31.94%
Buy
0.34
-
-
AMPY NYSE · Amplify Energy Corp
13 Jun 20253.56
4.00
12.36%
Buy
0.03
-
-

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 451-480 of 10675
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
19 Jun 2026
Exit
VERX NASDAQ · Vertex
11.12
20% entry drawdown
-25.52%
Entry 8 May 2026 14.93
19 Jun 2026
Exit
VIRT NYSE · Virtu Financial, Inc.
63.07
Reversal Risk Warning
124.83%
Entry 19 Jul 2024 28.05
19 Jun 2026
Exit
VSH NYSE · Vishay Intertechnology Inc
64.90
Reversal Risk Warning
189.27%
Entry 10 Apr 2026 22.44
19 Jun 2026
Exit
WDC NASDAQ · Western Digital Corporation
746.23
Reversal Risk Warning
397.56%
Entry 31 Oct 2025 149.98
19 Jun 2026
Entry
WNC NYSE · Wabash National Corporation
11.29
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.10
19 Jun 2026
Exit
WSM NYSE · Williams-Sonoma Inc
226.92
Reversal Risk Warning
228.15%
Entry 1 Sep 2023 69.15
19 Jun 2026
Exit
WTS NYSE · Watts Water Technologies Inc
343.89
Reversal Risk Warning
79.19%
Entry 24 Nov 2023 191.91
19 Jun 2026
Exit
WULF NASDAQ · Terawulf Inc
28.98
Reversal Risk Warning
223.08%
Entry 15 Aug 2025 8.97
19 Jun 2026
Exit
WWD NASDAQ · Woodward Inc
430.08
Reversal Risk Warning
174.84%
Entry 5 Apr 2024 156.49
19 Jun 2026
Exit
WYFI NASDAQ · WhiteFiber, Inc. Ordinary Shares
38.49
Reversal Risk Warning
81.13%
Entry 8 May 2026 21.25
19 Jun 2026
Exit
XHR NYSE · Xenia Hotels & Resorts Inc
19.88
Reversal Risk Warning
78.26%
Entry 15 Sep 2023 11.15
19 Jun 2026
Exit
ZS NASDAQ · Zscaler Inc
124.85
20% entry drawdown
-22.48%
Entry 15 May 2026 161.05
19 Jun 2026
Exit
ZVRA NASDAQ · Zevra Therapeutics Inc.
12.90
Reversal Risk Warning
153.94%
Entry 8 Dec 2023 5.08
12 Jun 2026
Exit
AAMI NYSE · Acadian Asset Management Inc
78.54
Reversal Risk Warning
203.63%
Entry 26 Jul 2024 25.87
12 Jun 2026
Entry
ABM NYSE · ABM Industries Incorporated
45.63
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.32
12 Jun 2026
Exit
ACNB NASDAQ · ACNB Corporation
57.50
Reversal Risk Warning
62.94%
Entry 17 Nov 2023 35.29
12 Jun 2026
Exit
AIT NYSE · Applied Industrial Technologies
320.11
Reversal Risk Warning
99.23%
Entry 24 Nov 2023 160.67
12 Jun 2026
Entry
ALAR NASDAQ · Alarum Technologies Ltd.
9.63
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.39
12 Jun 2026
Entry
ALIS NASDAQ · Calisa Acquisition Corp Ordinary shares
10.13
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.55
12 Jun 2026
Entry
ALK NYSE · Alaska Air Group Inc
47.32
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.14
12 Jun 2026
Exit
ALRS NASDAQ · Alerus Financial Corp
30.09
Reversal Risk Warning
82.03%
Entry 14 Jul 2023 16.53
12 Jun 2026
Exit
ALX NYSE · Alexanders Inc
262.60
Reversal Risk Warning
79.81%
Entry 21 Jul 2023 146.04
12 Jun 2026
Exit
AMAL NASDAQ · Amalgamated Bank
44.65
Reversal Risk Warning
121.66%
Entry 17 Nov 2023 20.14
12 Jun 2026
Entry
AMST NASDAQ · Amesite Operating Co
1.26
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.28
12 Jun 2026
Entry
ANGH NASDAQ · Anghami De Inc
5.65
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.95
12 Jun 2026
Exit
APLE NYSE · Apple Hospitality REIT Inc
16.14
Reversal Risk Warning
43.10%
Entry 4 Jul 2025 11.28
12 Jun 2026
Exit
ARCB NASDAQ · ArcBest Corp
173.04
Reversal Risk Warning
153.02%
Entry 20 Jun 2025 68.39
12 Jun 2026
Exit
ARKO NASDAQ · Arko Corp
8.63
Reversal Risk Warning
100.18%
Entry 20 Jun 2025 4.31
12 Jun 2026
Exit
AROW NASDAQ · Arrow Financial Corporation
39.86
Reversal Risk Warning
119.05%
Entry 21 Jul 2023 18.20
12 Jun 2026
Exit
ARW NYSE · Arrow Electronics Inc
226.78
Reversal Risk Warning
96.94%
Entry 2 May 2025 115.15