Signal Validation

Market Dynamics Performance Index

A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.

United States
Latest week 10 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
483.76
Total Return
383.76%
CAGR
56.75% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+34.30%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.67 Sortino 5.20
Current Holdings
1117
Transactions
10719 Avg 3056.2/yr · 254.7/mo · 58.8/wk
Exit Mix
4801 Stop 41.3% · Warning 58.4% · Other 0.2%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.

01

Universe

Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
  • Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
  • Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

10 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
28
AKTX NASDAQ · Akari Therapeutics PLC
13.88 MD 1.03 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ALG NYSE · Alamo Group Inc
161.48 MD 0.27 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ALXO NASDAQ · Alx Oncology Holdings
2.13 MD 0.03 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
AOS NYSE · Smith AO Corporation
60.44 MD 0.00 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ARAI NASDAQ · Arrive AI Inc.
0.42 MD 0.40 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ATR NYSE · AptarGroup Inc
125.53 MD 0.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BFAM NYSE · Bright Horizons Family Solutions Inc
73.31 MD 0.11 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BUR NYSE · Burford Capital Ltd
4.19 MD 0.14 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GIB NYSE · CGI Inc
67.06 MD 0.07 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GLXG NASDAQ · Galaxy Payroll Group Limited Ordinary Shares
1.46 MD 0.15 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
HAVA NASDAQ · Harvard Ave Acquisition Corporation Class A Ordinary Share
10.12 MD 1.35 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
JLHL NASDAQ · Julong Holding Limited Class A Ordinary Shares
11.73 MD 0.44 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LAFA NASDAQ · LaFayette Acquisition Corp. Ordinary Share
10.11 MD 1.51 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MKC-V NYSE · McCormick & Company Incorporated
50.81 MD 0.15 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MMTX NASDAQ · Miluna Acquisition Corp Class A Ordinary Share
10.15 MD 2.50 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MNDO NASDAQ · MIND CTI Ltd
1.06 MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PEW NYSE · GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc.
2.96 MD 0.21 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
RPD NASDAQ · Rapid7 Inc
11.17 MD 1.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SAFX NASDAQ · XCF Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock
0.55 MD 0.24 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SKIN NASDAQ · Beauty Health Co
0.91 MD 0.21 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SKYX NASDAQ · SKYX Platforms Corp
1.27 MD 0.09 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
STIM NASDAQ · Neuronetics Inc
1.76 MD 0.50 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TTEK NASDAQ · Tetra Tech Inc
30.99 MD 0.06 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
USPH NYSE · U.S. Physical Therapy, Inc.
72.54 MD 0.07 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
VRDN NASDAQ · Viridian Therapeutics Inc
19.74 MD 0.12 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WRAP NASDAQ · Wrap Technologies Inc
2.46 MD 0.26 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WVVI NASDAQ · Willamette Valley Vineyards Inc
2.93 MD 1.08 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
XTLB NASDAQ · XTL Biopharmaceuticals Ltd ADR
2.91 MD 0.77 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
16
APWC NASDAQ · Asia Pacific Wire & Cable Corp Ltd
1.53 20% entry drawdown · -23.12%
BIRD NASDAQ · Allbirds Inc
3.13 20% entry drawdown · -33.15%
BLLN NASDAQ · BillionToOne, Inc. Class A Common Stock
126.77 Reversal Risk Warning · 28.06%
BYRN NASDAQ · Byrna Technologies Inc
3.87 20% entry drawdown · -44.55%
CE NYSE · Celanese Corporation
46.92 20% entry drawdown · -20.19%
CHGG NYSE · Chegg Inc
0.85 20% entry drawdown · -23.79%
CWH NYSE · Camping World Holdings Inc
6.22 20% entry drawdown · -22.06%
GAME NASDAQ · GameSquare Holdings Inc.
0.31 20% entry drawdown · -31.37%
GKOS NYSE · Glaukos Corp
152.72 Reversal Risk Warning · 82.11%
JEM NASDAQ · 707 Cayman Holdings Limited Ordinary Shares
0.54 20% entry drawdown · -64.86%
KELYB NASDAQ · Kelly Services B Inc
23.95 Reversal Risk Warning · 75.74%
LVO NASDAQ · LiveOne Inc
5.23 20% entry drawdown · -24.64%
NEWT NASDAQ · NewtekOne, Inc.
14.78 Reversal Risk Warning · 52.99%
OMEX NASDAQ · Odyssey Marine Exploration Inc
0.71 20% entry drawdown · -22.37%
TLPH NASDAQ · Talphera Inc.
1.46 Reversal Risk Warning · 196.33%
WATT NASDAQ · Energous Corporation
17.99 20% entry drawdown · -27.25%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 31-60 of 1117 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signal MD ROC RS
AGPU NASDAQ · Axe Compute Inc.
24 Apr 20266.64
7.36
10.84%
Buy
0.93
-
-
AGYS NASDAQ · Agilysys Inc
22 May 202679.84
108.98
36.50%
Buy
0.09
-
-
AHCO NASDAQ · Adapthealth Corp
2 Feb 20247.47
10.22
36.81%
Buy
0.11
-
-
AI NYSE · C3 Ai Inc
8 May 20269.87
8.95
-9.32%
Buy
0.41
-
-
AIFU NASDAQ · Fanhua Inc.
15 May 202646.20
36.99
-19.94%
Buy
0.33
-
-
AIRJ NASDAQ · AirJoule Technologies Corporation
22 May 20264.37
4.30
-1.60%
Buy
1.41
-
-
AIRS NASDAQ · Airsculpt Technologies Inc
27 Mar 20262.87
4.33
50.87%
Buy
0.43
-
-
AJG NYSE · Arthur J Gallagher & Co
5 Jun 2026216.14
253.09
17.10%
Buy
0.09
-
-
AKBA NASDAQ · Akebia Ther
3 Jul 20261.24
1.40
12.90%
Buy
0.04
-
-
AKTX NASDAQ · Akari Therapeutics PLC
10 Jul 202613.88
13.88
New Entry week
Buy
1.03
-
-
ALB NYSE · Albemarle Corp
25 Jul 202582.63
126.05
52.54%
Buy
1.34
-
-
ALDF NASDAQ · Aldel Financial II Inc. Class A Ordinary Shares
14 Nov 202510.57
10.73
1.51%
Buy
0.20
-
-
ALDX NASDAQ · Aldeyra The
3 Jul 20262.27
2.07
-8.81%
Buy
0.20
-
-
ALEC NASDAQ · Alector Inc
6 Jun 20251.49
1.61
8.05%
Buy
1.00
-
-
ALF NASDAQ · Centurion Acquisition Corp.
9 May 202510.42
10.89
4.51%
Buy
3.08
-
-
ALG NYSE · Alamo Group Inc
10 Jul 2026161.48
161.48
New Entry week
Buy
0.27
-
-
ALGN NASDAQ · Align Technology Inc
28 Nov 2025147.19
179.45
21.92%
Buy
0.56
-
-
ALIS NASDAQ · Calisa Acquisition Corp Ordinary shares
12 Jun 202610.13
10.17
0.44%
Buy
1.57
-
-
ALIT NYSE · Alight Inc
3 Jul 202614.26
19.62
37.59%
Buy
0.89
-
-
ALK NYSE · Alaska Air Group Inc
12 Jun 202647.32
49.42
4.44%
Buy
0.14
-
-
ALKT NASDAQ · Alkami Technology Inc
8 May 202617.97
17.35
-3.45%
Buy
0.18
-
-
ALLO NASDAQ · Allogene Therapeutics Inc
9 Jan 20261.71
2.00
16.96%
Buy
1.42
-
-
ALRM NASDAQ · Alarm.com Holdings Inc
8 May 202647.60
51.50
8.19%
Buy
0.16
-
-
ALTG NYSE · Alta Equipment Group Inc
23 Jan 20266.43
6.62
2.95%
Buy
0.22
-
-
ALXO NASDAQ · Alx Oncology Holdings
10 Jul 20262.13
2.13
New Entry week
Buy
0.03
-
-
AMBR NASDAQ · Amber International Holding Limited
12 Dec 20251.56
1.41
-9.62%
Buy
0.00
-
-
AMCX NASDAQ · AMC Networks Inc
8 May 20268.80
9.92
12.73%
Buy
0.40
-
-
AMH NYSE · American Homes 4 Rent
1 May 202631.63
33.27
5.18%
Buy
0.30
-
-
AMLX NASDAQ · Amylyx Pharmaceuticals Inc
27 Jun 20256.33
17.77
180.73%
Buy
1.19
-
-
AMN NYSE · AMN Healthcare Services Inc
8 May 202628.97
32.37
11.74%
Buy
0.72
-
-

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 2041-2070 of 10719
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
27 Mar 2026
Exit
VAL NYSE · Valaris Ltd
102.24
Reversal Risk Warning
181.81%
Entry 23 May 2025 36.28
27 Mar 2026
Entry
VIRC NASDAQ · Virco Manufacturing Corporation
6.20
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.24
27 Mar 2026
Exit
VLO NYSE · Valero Energy Corporation
253.06
Reversal Risk Warning
101.37%
Entry 30 May 2025 125.67
27 Mar 2026
Exit
WETO NASDAQ · Webus International Limited Ordinary Shares
0.45
20% entry drawdown
-42.90%
Entry 20 Mar 2026 0.79
27 Mar 2026
Exit
XOM NYSE · Exxon Mobil Corp
169.88
Reversal Risk Warning
64.08%
Entry 1 Sep 2023 103.54
20 Mar 2026
Entry
ADV NASDAQ · Advantage Solutions Inc
19.23
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.17
20 Mar 2026
Exit
AIFF NASDAQ · Firefly Neuroscience, Inc.
1.53
20% entry drawdown
-44.36%
Entry 13 Mar 2026 2.75
20 Mar 2026
Exit
AISP NASDAQ · Airship AI Holdings Inc
2.28
20% entry drawdown
-20.00%
Entry 15 Nov 2024 2.85
20 Mar 2026
Entry
ANNA NASDAQ · AleAnna, Inc. Class A Common Stock
7.07
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 2.12
20 Mar 2026
Exit
ARLP NASDAQ · Alliance Resource Partners LP
27.29
Reversal Risk Warning
71.04%
Entry 22 Sep 2023 15.96
20 Mar 2026
Entry
ASTH NASDAQ · Astrana Health Inc
24.23
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.21
20 Mar 2026
Exit
BLNE NASDAQ · Beeline Holdings, Inc.
2.30
20% entry drawdown
-24.09%
Entry 30 Jan 2026 3.03
20 Mar 2026
Exit
BP NYSE · BP PLC ADR
44.28
Reversal Risk Warning
53.65%
Entry 10 Jan 2025 28.82
20 Mar 2026
Exit
CLIR NASDAQ · ClearSign Combustion Corporation
3.46
20% entry drawdown
-35.93%
Entry 11 Jul 2025 5.40
20 Mar 2026
Exit
CMTL NASDAQ · Comtech Telecommunications Corp
3.62
20% entry drawdown
-23.47%
Entry 26 Dec 2025 4.73
20 Mar 2026
Exit
CMTV NASDAQ · Community Bancorp. Common Stock
41.83
Reversal Risk Warning
140.42%
Entry 30 May 2025 17.40
20 Mar 2026
Exit
CNTN NASDAQ · Canton Strategic Holdings, Inc.
3.33
20% entry drawdown
-32.00%
Entry 30 Jan 2026 4.89
20 Mar 2026
Exit
COP NYSE · ConocoPhillips
126.00
Reversal Risk Warning
28.82%
Entry 21 Mar 2025 97.82
20 Mar 2026
Exit
CRE NASDAQ · Cre8 Enterprise Limited Class A Ordinary Shares
2.82
20% entry drawdown
-37.75%
Entry 6 Mar 2026 4.53
20 Mar 2026
Exit
CVX NYSE · Chevron Corp
199.93
Reversal Risk Warning
47.16%
Entry 9 Feb 2024 135.85
20 Mar 2026
Entry
DTIL NASDAQ · Precision BioSciences Inc
6.52
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.48
20 Mar 2026
Entry
EDIT NASDAQ · Editas Medicine Inc
2.34
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.27
20 Mar 2026
Exit
EGY NYSE · Vaalco Energy Inc
6.18
Reversal Risk Warning
70.31%
Entry 13 Jun 2025 3.63
20 Mar 2026
Exit
EQNR NYSE · Equinor ASA ADR
41.19
Reversal Risk Warning
73.97%
Entry 4 Aug 2023 23.68
20 Mar 2026
Exit
EVEX NYSE · Eve Holding Inc
2.40
20% entry drawdown
-30.03%
Entry 18 Oct 2024 3.43
20 Mar 2026
Entry
GTERA NASDAQ · Globa Terra Acquisition Corporation Class A Ordinary Shares
10.26
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 2.66
20 Mar 2026
Exit
HELE NASDAQ · Helen of Troy Ltd
14.85
20% entry drawdown
-23.45%
Entry 7 Nov 2025 19.40
20 Mar 2026
Exit
HHS NASDAQ · Harte Hanks Inc
2.58
20% entry drawdown
-23.21%
Entry 19 Dec 2025 3.36
20 Mar 2026
Exit
HRI NYSE · Herc Holdings Inc
99.89
20% entry drawdown
-22.51%
Entry 27 Jun 2025 128.91
20 Mar 2026
Exit
HUMA NASDAQ · Humacyte Inc
0.78
20% entry drawdown
-32.51%
Entry 13 Mar 2026 1.16