Signal Validation

Market Dynamics Performance Index

A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.

United States
Latest week 17 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
479.75
Total Return
379.75%
CAGR
56.00% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+34.22%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.65 Sortino 5.16
Current Holdings
1081
Transactions
10781 Avg 3057.2/yr · 254.8/mo · 58.8/wk
Exit Mix
4850 Stop 41.5% · Warning 58.0% · Other 0.5%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.

01

Universe

Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
  • Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
  • Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

17 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
18
ADBE NASDAQ · Adobe Systems Incorporated
237.25 MD 0.17 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BL NASDAQ · Blackline Inc
30.29 MD 0.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BLKB NASDAQ · Blackbaud Inc
32.40 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CDNL NASDAQ · Cardinal Infrastructure Group Inc. Class A Common Stock
71.23 MD 1.59 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CURV NYSE · Torrid Holdings Inc
2.33 MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
DFIN NYSE · Donnelley Financial Solutions Inc
49.95 MD 0.06 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
EXPO NASDAQ · Exponent Inc
62.88 MD 0.09 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
FIS NYSE · Fidelity National Information Services Inc
41.91 MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
HCKT NASDAQ · The Hackett Group Inc
10.34 MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ICFI NASDAQ · ICF International Inc
78.86 MD 0.80 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LAW NYSE · CS Disco LLC
4.05 MD 0.26 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
NRDS NASDAQ · Nerdwallet Inc
9.26 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ONT NYSE · Onterris
20.93 MD 0.36 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OPRX NASDAQ · OPTIMIZERx Corp
6.69 MD 0.86 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PODD NASDAQ · Insulet Corporation
164.06 MD 0.42 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
RCEL NASDAQ · Avita Medical Ltd
5.10 MD 0.39 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
UPWK NASDAQ · Upwork Inc
9.06 MD 0.10 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
XRAY NASDAQ · Dentsply Sirona Inc
14.05 MD 0.72 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
35
ACB NASDAQ · Aurora Cannabis Inc
2.63 20% entry drawdown · -20.78%
AIFU NASDAQ · Fanhua Inc.
34.52 20% entry drawdown · -25.28%
AKTX NASDAQ · Akari Therapeutics PLC
11.01 20% entry drawdown · -20.68%
ALDX NASDAQ · Aldeyra The
1.69 20% entry drawdown · -25.55%
ARCT NASDAQ · Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings Inc
6.05 20% entry drawdown · -26.49%
AWRE NASDAQ · Aware Inc
1.11 20% entry drawdown · -26.97%
BEEM NASDAQ · Beam Global
1.03 20% entry drawdown · -24.82%
BNAI NASDAQ · Brand Engagement Network Inc
11.62 20% entry drawdown · -29.49%
BTBT NASDAQ · Bit Digital Inc
1.40 20% entry drawdown · -29.65%
EIX NYSE · Edison International
77.63 Reversal Risk Warning · 49.97%
EVGO NASDAQ · Evgo Inc
1.68 20% entry drawdown · -20.94%
EVO NASDAQ · Evotec SE ADR
1.96 20% entry drawdown · -27.94%
GENK NASDAQ · GEN Restaurant Group, Inc. Class A Common Stock
1.77 20% entry drawdown · -24.36%
GLXG NASDAQ · Galaxy Payroll Group Limited Ordinary Shares
1.05 20% entry drawdown · -28.08%
HUBG NASDAQ · Hub Group Inc
51.22 Reversal Risk Warning · 45.11%
INV NASDAQ · Innventure, Inc.
3.37 20% entry drawdown · -27.37%
JLHL NASDAQ · Julong Holding Limited Class A Ordinary Shares
9.35 20% entry drawdown · -20.29%
LEDS NASDAQ · SemiLEDS Corporation
3.01 Reversal Risk Warning · 67.22%
LONA NASDAQ · LeonaBio, Inc.
7.22 20% entry drawdown · -27.22%
MTEX NASDAQ · Mannatech Incorporated
4.25 20% entry drawdown · -21.59%
OABI NASDAQ · OmniAb Inc.
2.12 20% entry drawdown · -20.00%
OCCI NASDAQ · OFS Credit Company Inc
2.27 20% entry drawdown · -23.83%
PBF NYSE · PBF Energy Inc
62.75 Reversal Risk Warning · 219.84%
PLUG NASDAQ · Plug Power Inc
2.17 20% entry drawdown · -20.80%
PMCB NASDAQ · PharmaCyte Biotech Inc
0.63 20% entry drawdown · -21.31%
PMEC NASDAQ · Primech Holdings Ltd. Ordinary Shares
0.52 20% entry drawdown · -28.59%
QFIN NASDAQ · 360 Finance Inc
12.73 20% entry drawdown · -20.83%
RPT NYSE · Rithm Property Trust Inc.
10.89 20% entry drawdown · -27.03%
RXRX NASDAQ · Recursion Pharmaceuticals Inc
2.95 20% entry drawdown · -22.50%
SNPS NASDAQ · Synopsys Inc
384.28 20% entry drawdown · -25.60%
SORA NASDAQ · Top Win International Limited
1.73 20% entry drawdown · -23.18%
VERU NASDAQ · Veru Inc
2.38 20% entry drawdown · -30.00%
WING NASDAQ · Wingstop Inc
142.33 20% entry drawdown · -20.03%
WW NASDAQ · WW International, Inc. Common Stock
14.57 20% entry drawdown · -21.46%
ZSQR NASDAQ · Z Squared Inc.
5.06 20% entry drawdown · -45.47%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 571-600 of 1081 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signal MD ROC RS
LITB NYSE · LightInTheBox Holding Co Ltd ARD
5 Sep 20251.86
3.18
70.97%
Buy
0.74
-
-
LITS NASDAQ · Lite Strategy, Inc.
19 Jun 20260.83
0.99
19.18%
Buy
0.07
-
-
LIVE NASDAQ · Live Ventures Inc
11 Apr 20258.55
11.20
31.00%
Buy
0.46
-
-
LKFT NASDAQ · Lakefront Biotherapeutics NV
7 Mar 202526.58
30.01
12.90%
Buy
0.16
-
-
LKQ NASDAQ · LKQ Corporation
7 Nov 202529.43
25.38
-13.76%
Buy
0.16
-
-
LKSP NASDAQ · Lake Superior Acquisition Corp. Class A Ordinary Shares
29 May 202610.14
10.16
0.20%
Buy
2.60
-
-
LMNR NASDAQ · Limoneira Co
19 Dec 202514.60
13.53
-7.34%
Buy
0.02
-
-
LND NYSE · Brasilagro Adr
14 Mar 20253.57
3.73
4.38%
Buy
0.06
-
-
LNN NYSE · Lindsay Corporation
26 Jun 2026124.85
115.54
-7.46%
Buy
0.34
-
-
LNTH NASDAQ · Lantheus Holdings Inc
5 Dec 202563.30
107.59
69.97%
Buy
0.64
-
-
LOB NYSE · Live Oak Bancshares, Inc.
6 Jun 202528.12
42.48
51.09%
Buy
0.16
-
-
LOBO NASDAQ · LOBO EV TECHNOLOGIES LTD. Ordinary shares
18 Jul 20250.54
0.69
28.33%
Buy
0.24
-
-
LOCL NYSE · Local Bounti Corp
26 Jun 20261.37
1.21
-11.68%
Buy
0.21
-
-
LOVE NASDAQ · The Lovesac Company
10 Apr 202615.35
18.21
18.60%
Buy
0.05
-
-
LPAA NASDAQ · Launch One Acquisition Corp. Class A Ordinary shares
30 May 202510.40
10.88
4.62%
Buy
2.76
-
-
LPBB NASDAQ · Launch Two Acquisition Corp. Class A Ordinary Shares
11 Jul 202510.43
10.74
2.98%
Buy
1.07
-
-
LPL NYSE · LG Display Co Ltd
20 Jun 20253.43
3.29
-4.08%
Buy
0.83
-
-
LPRO NASDAQ · Open Lending Corp
22 May 20262.11
3.14
48.82%
Buy
1.42
-
-
LRMR NASDAQ · Larimar Therapeutics Inc
11 Jul 20253.38
3.70
9.47%
Buy
1.27
-
-
LTRN NASDAQ · Lantern Pharma Inc
15 May 20263.14
2.87
-8.60%
Buy
0.02
-
-
LXEO NASDAQ · Lexeo Therapeutics, Inc. Common Stock
5 Sep 20255.02
4.69
-6.57%
Buy
1.81
-
-
LXRX NASDAQ · Lexicon Pharmaceuticals Inc
27 Jun 20250.82
2.39
191.14%
Buy
1.36
-
-
LYB NYSE · LyondellBasell Industries NV
15 Aug 202549.57
59.17
19.36%
Buy
0.57
-
-
LZ NASDAQ · LegalZoom.com Inc
10 Jul 20267.25
7.72
6.48%
Buy
0.71
-
-
MAA NYSE · Mid-America Apartment Communities Inc
22 May 2026131.14
132.96
1.39%
Buy
0.12
-
-
MACI NASDAQ · Melar Acquisition Corp. I Class A Ordinary Shares
2 May 202510.31
10.90
5.76%
Buy
0.91
-
-
MAN NYSE · ManpowerGroup Inc
20 Mar 202626.05
52.34
100.92%
Buy
0.21
-
-
MANH NASDAQ · Manhattan Associates Inc
8 May 2026143.02
163.19
14.10%
Buy
0.22
-
-
MARA NASDAQ · Marathon Digital Holdings Inc
17 Apr 202611.60
10.69
-7.84%
Buy
0.53
-
-
MASS NASDAQ · 908 Devices Inc
14 Mar 20254.11
7.35
78.83%
Buy
1.10
-
-

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 3211-3240 of 10781
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
19 Dec 2025
Entry
CZR NASDAQ · Caesars Entertainment Corporation
24.38
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.07
19 Dec 2025
Exit
DB NYSE · Deutsche Bank AG
37.28
Reversal Risk Warning
166.95%
Entry 22 Mar 2024 13.96
19 Dec 2025
Exit
EFC NYSE · Ellington Financial Inc.
13.03
Reversal Risk Warning
37.93%
Entry 1 Sep 2023 9.45
19 Dec 2025
Exit
EXPE NASDAQ · Expedia Group Inc.
288.09
Reversal Risk Warning
113.82%
Entry 17 Nov 2023 134.74
19 Dec 2025
Entry
FIP NASDAQ · FTAI Infrastructure Inc.
4.64
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.05
19 Dec 2025
Exit
GGRP NASDAQ · The Glimpse Group, Inc.
0.95
20% entry drawdown
-22.71%
Entry 13 Dec 2024 1.23
19 Dec 2025
Exit
GRRR NASDAQ · Gorilla Technology Group Inc.
12.28
20% entry drawdown
-20.72%
Entry 24 Jan 2025 15.49
19 Dec 2025
Exit
HCAT NASDAQ · Health Catalyst Inc
2.35
20% entry drawdown
-21.40%
Entry 28 Nov 2025 2.99
19 Dec 2025
Entry
HHS NASDAQ · Harte Hanks Inc
3.36
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.28
19 Dec 2025
Exit
ISBA NASDAQ · Isabella Bank Corporation
56.24
Reversal Risk Warning
142.58%
Entry 15 Nov 2024 23.18
19 Dec 2025
Entry
ISPR NASDAQ · Ispire Technology Inc. Common Stock
2.92
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.05
19 Dec 2025
Entry
KNF NYSE · Knife River Corporation
73.46
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.32
19 Dec 2025
Exit
LEXX NASDAQ · Lexaria Bioscience Corp
0.58
20% entry drawdown
-43.44%
Entry 5 Sep 2025 1.03
19 Dec 2025
Entry
LMNR NASDAQ · Limoneira Co
14.60
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.02
19 Dec 2025
Entry
LONA NASDAQ · LeonaBio, Inc.
6.97
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.62
19 Dec 2025
Exit
LOOP NASDAQ · Loop Industries Inc
0.95
20% entry drawdown
-20.83%
Entry 24 Jan 2025 1.20
19 Dec 2025
Entry
LPCN NASDAQ · Lipocine Inc
4.25
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.52
19 Dec 2025
Exit
LW NYSE · Lamb Weston Holdings Inc
43.19
20% entry drawdown
-20.23%
Entry 30 May 2025 54.14
19 Dec 2025
Exit
MGYR NASDAQ · Magyar Bancorp Inc
17.56
Reversal Risk Warning
82.63%
Entry 8 Dec 2023 9.61
19 Dec 2025
Exit
NNI NYSE · Nelnet Inc
137.89
Reversal Risk Warning
61.89%
Entry 22 Dec 2023 85.17
19 Dec 2025
Exit
NPWR NYSE · NET Power Inc.
2.32
20% entry drawdown
-23.43%
Entry 26 Sep 2025 3.03
19 Dec 2025
Exit
NUVB NYSE · Nuvation Bio Inc
9.44
Reversal Risk Warning
277.60%
Entry 25 Jul 2025 2.50
19 Dec 2025
Exit
NWG NYSE · Natwest Group PLC
16.57
Reversal Risk Warning
239.00%
Entry 5 Jan 2024 4.89
19 Dec 2025
Entry
NX NYSE · Quanex Building Products
15.30
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.25
19 Dec 2025
Exit
PACB NASDAQ · Pacific Biosciences of California
1.84
20% entry drawdown
-23.01%
Entry 5 Dec 2025 2.39
19 Dec 2025
Exit
PHAT NASDAQ · Phathom Pharmaceuticals Inc
17.53
Reversal Risk Warning
96.52%
Entry 6 Jun 2025 8.92
19 Dec 2025
Exit
PLCE NASDAQ · Children’s Place Inc
4.35
20% entry drawdown
-37.68%
Entry 12 Sep 2025 6.98
19 Dec 2025
Exit
PMCB NASDAQ · PharmaCyte Biotech Inc
0.86
20% entry drawdown
-29.70%
Entry 5 Dec 2025 1.22
19 Dec 2025
Exit
PYXS NASDAQ · Pyxis Oncology Inc
1.28
20% entry drawdown
-33.25%
Entry 5 Sep 2025 1.91
19 Dec 2025
Entry
RDW NYSE · Redwire Corp
8.00
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.08