Signal Validation

Market Dynamics Performance Index

A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.

United States
Latest week 10 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
483.76
Total Return
383.76%
CAGR
56.75% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+34.30%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.67 Sortino 5.20
Current Holdings
1117
Transactions
10719 Avg 3056.2/yr · 254.7/mo · 58.8/wk
Exit Mix
4801 Stop 41.3% · Warning 58.4% · Other 0.2%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.

01

Universe

Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
  • Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
  • Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

10 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
28
AKTX NASDAQ · Akari Therapeutics PLC
13.88 MD 1.03 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ALG NYSE · Alamo Group Inc
161.48 MD 0.27 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ALXO NASDAQ · Alx Oncology Holdings
2.13 MD 0.03 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
AOS NYSE · Smith AO Corporation
60.44 MD 0.00 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ARAI NASDAQ · Arrive AI Inc.
0.42 MD 0.40 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ATR NYSE · AptarGroup Inc
125.53 MD 0.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BFAM NYSE · Bright Horizons Family Solutions Inc
73.31 MD 0.11 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BUR NYSE · Burford Capital Ltd
4.19 MD 0.14 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GIB NYSE · CGI Inc
67.06 MD 0.07 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GLXG NASDAQ · Galaxy Payroll Group Limited Ordinary Shares
1.46 MD 0.15 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
HAVA NASDAQ · Harvard Ave Acquisition Corporation Class A Ordinary Share
10.12 MD 1.35 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
JLHL NASDAQ · Julong Holding Limited Class A Ordinary Shares
11.73 MD 0.44 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LAFA NASDAQ · LaFayette Acquisition Corp. Ordinary Share
10.11 MD 1.51 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MKC-V NYSE · McCormick & Company Incorporated
50.81 MD 0.15 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MMTX NASDAQ · Miluna Acquisition Corp Class A Ordinary Share
10.15 MD 2.50 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MNDO NASDAQ · MIND CTI Ltd
1.06 MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PEW NYSE · GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc.
2.96 MD 0.21 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
RPD NASDAQ · Rapid7 Inc
11.17 MD 1.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SAFX NASDAQ · XCF Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock
0.55 MD 0.24 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SKIN NASDAQ · Beauty Health Co
0.91 MD 0.21 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SKYX NASDAQ · SKYX Platforms Corp
1.27 MD 0.09 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
STIM NASDAQ · Neuronetics Inc
1.76 MD 0.50 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TTEK NASDAQ · Tetra Tech Inc
30.99 MD 0.06 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
USPH NYSE · U.S. Physical Therapy, Inc.
72.54 MD 0.07 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
VRDN NASDAQ · Viridian Therapeutics Inc
19.74 MD 0.12 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WRAP NASDAQ · Wrap Technologies Inc
2.46 MD 0.26 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WVVI NASDAQ · Willamette Valley Vineyards Inc
2.93 MD 1.08 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
XTLB NASDAQ · XTL Biopharmaceuticals Ltd ADR
2.91 MD 0.77 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
16
APWC NASDAQ · Asia Pacific Wire & Cable Corp Ltd
1.53 20% entry drawdown · -23.12%
BIRD NASDAQ · Allbirds Inc
3.13 20% entry drawdown · -33.15%
BLLN NASDAQ · BillionToOne, Inc. Class A Common Stock
126.77 Reversal Risk Warning · 28.06%
BYRN NASDAQ · Byrna Technologies Inc
3.87 20% entry drawdown · -44.55%
CE NYSE · Celanese Corporation
46.92 20% entry drawdown · -20.19%
CHGG NYSE · Chegg Inc
0.85 20% entry drawdown · -23.79%
CWH NYSE · Camping World Holdings Inc
6.22 20% entry drawdown · -22.06%
GAME NASDAQ · GameSquare Holdings Inc.
0.31 20% entry drawdown · -31.37%
GKOS NYSE · Glaukos Corp
152.72 Reversal Risk Warning · 82.11%
JEM NASDAQ · 707 Cayman Holdings Limited Ordinary Shares
0.54 20% entry drawdown · -64.86%
KELYB NASDAQ · Kelly Services B Inc
23.95 Reversal Risk Warning · 75.74%
LVO NASDAQ · LiveOne Inc
5.23 20% entry drawdown · -24.64%
NEWT NASDAQ · NewtekOne, Inc.
14.78 Reversal Risk Warning · 52.99%
OMEX NASDAQ · Odyssey Marine Exploration Inc
0.71 20% entry drawdown · -22.37%
TLPH NASDAQ · Talphera Inc.
1.46 Reversal Risk Warning · 196.33%
WATT NASDAQ · Energous Corporation
17.99 20% entry drawdown · -27.25%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 601-630 of 1117 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signal MD ROC RS
LOCL NYSE · Local Bounti Corp
26 Jun 20261.37
1.30
-5.11%
Buy
0.21
-
-
LONA NASDAQ · LeonaBio, Inc.
20 Mar 20269.92
9.60
-3.23%
Buy
0.20
-
-
LOVE NASDAQ · The Lovesac Company
10 Apr 202615.35
16.77
9.25%
Buy
0.05
-
-
LPAA NASDAQ · Launch One Acquisition Corp. Class A Ordinary shares
30 May 202510.40
10.85
4.33%
Buy
2.76
-
-
LPBB NASDAQ · Launch Two Acquisition Corp. Class A Ordinary Shares
11 Jul 202510.43
10.74
2.93%
Buy
1.07
-
-
LPL NYSE · LG Display Co Ltd
20 Jun 20253.43
3.71
8.16%
Buy
0.83
-
-
LPRO NASDAQ · Open Lending Corp
22 May 20262.11
3.12
47.87%
Buy
1.42
-
-
LRMR NASDAQ · Larimar Therapeutics Inc
11 Jul 20253.38
4.28
26.63%
Buy
1.27
-
-
LTRN NASDAQ · Lantern Pharma Inc
15 May 20263.14
3.60
14.65%
Buy
0.02
-
-
LXEO NASDAQ · Lexeo Therapeutics, Inc. Common Stock
5 Sep 20255.02
4.82
-3.98%
Buy
1.81
-
-
LXRX NASDAQ · Lexicon Pharmaceuticals Inc
27 Jun 20250.82
2.22
170.43%
Buy
1.36
-
-
LYB NYSE · LyondellBasell Industries NV
15 Aug 202549.57
56.35
13.67%
Buy
0.57
-
-
LZ NASDAQ · LegalZoom.com Inc
3 Jul 20266.92
7.25
4.77%
Buy
0.38
-
-
MAA NYSE · Mid-America Apartment Communities Inc
22 May 2026131.14
135.25
3.13%
Buy
0.12
-
-
MACI NASDAQ · Melar Acquisition Corp. I Class A Ordinary Shares
2 May 202510.31
10.89
5.67%
Buy
0.91
-
-
MAN NYSE · ManpowerGroup Inc
20 Mar 202626.05
38.71
48.60%
Buy
0.21
-
-
MANH NASDAQ · Manhattan Associates Inc
8 May 2026143.02
154.90
8.31%
Buy
0.22
-
-
MARA NASDAQ · Marathon Digital Holdings Inc
17 Apr 202611.60
12.60
8.62%
Buy
0.53
-
-
MASS NASDAQ · 908 Devices Inc
14 Mar 20254.11
8.10
97.08%
Buy
1.10
-
-
MATV NYSE · Mativ Holdings Inc.
6 Jun 20255.94
7.81
31.53%
Buy
0.67
-
-
MATW NASDAQ · Matthews International Corporation
27 Jun 202523.41
26.66
13.87%
Buy
0.33
-
-
MAX NYSE · MediaAlpha Inc.
8 May 20269.11
13.37
46.76%
Buy
0.06
-
-
MBAV NASDAQ · M3-Brigade Acquisition V Corp. Class A Ordinary shares
19 Jun 202610.80
10.85
0.46%
Buy
0.09
-
-
MBC NYSE · MasterBrand Inc.
12 Jun 20268.88
9.08
2.25%
Buy
0.25
-
-
MCFT NASDAQ · MCBC Holdings Inc
30 May 202517.01
24.15
41.98%
Buy
0.02
-
-
MCGA NASDAQ · Yorkville Acquisition Corp.
20 Feb 202610.15
10.24
0.89%
Buy
0.15
-
-
MDB NASDAQ · MongoDB
6 Jun 2025220.14
342.08
55.39%
Buy
0.04
-
-
MDCX NASDAQ · Medicus Pharma Ltd. Common Stock
19 Jun 20260.46
0.41
-10.91%
Buy
0.24
-
-
MDLZ NASDAQ · Mondelez International Inc
30 Jan 202657.97
58.83
1.49%
Buy
0.24
-
-
MDXG NASDAQ · MiMedx Group Inc
26 Jun 20263.93
4.11
4.58%
Buy
0.42
-
-

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 571-600 of 10719
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
12 Jun 2026
Exit
CTBI NASDAQ · Community Trust Bancorp Inc
70.64
Reversal Risk Warning
104.91%
Entry 28 Jul 2023 34.47
12 Jun 2026
Exit
CTO NYSE · CTO Realty Growth Inc
20.93
Reversal Risk Warning
51.23%
Entry 8 Dec 2023 13.84
12 Jun 2026
Entry
CUPR NASDAQ · Cuprina Holdings (Cayman) Limited Class A Ordinary Shares
3.97
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.11
12 Jun 2026
Exit
CURB NYSE · Curbline Properties Corp.
30.78
Reversal Risk Warning
37.87%
Entry 5 Sep 2025 22.33
12 Jun 2026
Exit
CVS NYSE · CVS Health Corp
101.96
Reversal Risk Warning
97.57%
Entry 7 Feb 2025 51.61
12 Jun 2026
Exit
CWBC NASDAQ · Community West Bancshares
25.75
Reversal Risk Warning
64.69%
Entry 28 Jul 2023 15.64
12 Jun 2026
Entry
CWH NYSE · Camping World Holdings Inc
7.98
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.03
12 Jun 2026
Exit
DCOM NYSE · Dime Community Bancshares, Inc.
40.08
Reversal Risk Warning
97.04%
Entry 28 Jul 2023 20.34
12 Jun 2026
Exit
DHC NASDAQ · Diversified Healthcare Trust
9.03
Reversal Risk Warning
201.56%
Entry 9 May 2025 2.99
12 Jun 2026
Exit
DOMO NASDAQ · Domo Inc
3.02
20% entry drawdown
-27.58%
Entry 29 May 2026 4.17
12 Jun 2026
Exit
DRH NASDAQ · Diamondrock Hospitality Company Common Stock
11.83
Reversal Risk Warning
60.17%
Entry 21 Jul 2023 7.39
12 Jun 2026
Entry
DSGR NASDAQ · Distribution Solutions Group Inc
27.72
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.15
12 Jun 2026
Entry
DTSS NASDAQ · Datasea Inc
0.99
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.63
12 Jun 2026
Exit
DUO NASDAQ · Fangdd Network Group Ltd
0.88
20% entry drawdown
-26.46%
Entry 10 Apr 2026 1.20
12 Jun 2026
Entry
DUOL NASDAQ · Duolingo Inc
122.63
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.00
12 Jun 2026
Exit
DVA NYSE · DaVita HealthCare Partners Inc
208.66
Reversal Risk Warning
93.96%
Entry 8 Dec 2023 107.58
12 Jun 2026
Exit
EC NYSE · Ecopetrol SA ADR
16.58
Reversal Risk Warning
134.17%
Entry 31 Jan 2025 7.08
12 Jun 2026
Entry
EDHL NASDAQ · Everbright Digital Holding Limited Ordinary Shares
8.64
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 2.70
12 Jun 2026
Exit
EFSC NASDAQ · Enterprise Financial Services
63.84
Reversal Risk Warning
64.21%
Entry 1 Dec 2023 38.88
12 Jun 2026
Exit
ELTX NASDAQ · Elicio Therapeutics Inc.
14.85
Reversal Risk Warning
170.99%
Entry 15 Nov 2024 5.48
12 Jun 2026
Entry
ENR NYSE · Energizer Holdings Inc
20.25
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.26
12 Jun 2026
Exit
EVEX NYSE · Eve Holding Inc
2.71
20% entry drawdown
-21.45%
Entry 29 May 2026 3.45
12 Jun 2026
Entry
EVH NYSE · Evolent Health Inc
4.80
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.27
12 Jun 2026
Exit
EXTR NASDAQ · Extreme Networks Inc
31.11
Reversal Risk Warning
131.30%
Entry 28 Jun 2024 13.45
12 Jun 2026
Exit
FBIZ NASDAQ · First Business Financial Services
60.62
Reversal Risk Warning
91.23%
Entry 28 Jul 2023 31.70
12 Jun 2026
Exit
FBP NYSE · First BanCorp.
25.50
Reversal Risk Warning
118.26%
Entry 14 Jul 2023 11.68
12 Jun 2026
Exit
FCF NYSE · First Commonwealth Financial
19.91
Reversal Risk Warning
58.68%
Entry 21 Jul 2023 12.55
12 Jun 2026
Exit
FFBC NASDAQ · First Financial Bancorp
32.30
Reversal Risk Warning
56.62%
Entry 8 Dec 2023 20.62
12 Jun 2026
Entry
FLO NYSE · Flowers Foods Inc
7.79
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.07
12 Jun 2026
Exit
FMBH NASDAQ · First Mid Illinois Bancshares Inc
46.67
Reversal Risk Warning
76.63%
Entry 21 Jul 2023 26.42