Universe
Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.
Signal Validation
Market Dynamics Performance Index
A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.
Index Value
479.75
Total Return
379.75%
CAGR
56.00%
Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+34.22%/yr
Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.65
Sortino 5.16
Current Holdings
1081
Transactions
10781
Avg 3057.2/yr ·
254.8/mo ·
58.8/wk
Exit Mix
4850
Stop 41.5% ·
Warning 58.0%
· Other 0.5%
Method
How The Index Works
The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.
Entry Rule
A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.
Exit Rule
A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.
Return Math
Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.
Assumptions
- This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
- Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
- Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
- New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
- Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
- Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
- Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
- Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.
Weekly Index
Cumulative Value
Latest Week
Positions In And Out
New Positions In
Entries at weekly close
ADBE
NASDAQ · Adobe Systems Incorporated
237.25
MD 0.17 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BL
NASDAQ · Blackline Inc
30.29
MD 0.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BLKB
NASDAQ · Blackbaud Inc
32.40
MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CDNL
NASDAQ · Cardinal Infrastructure Group Inc. Class A Common Stock
71.23
MD 1.59 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CURV
NYSE · Torrid Holdings Inc
2.33
MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
DFIN
NYSE · Donnelley Financial Solutions Inc
49.95
MD 0.06 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
EXPO
NASDAQ · Exponent Inc
62.88
MD 0.09 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
FIS
NYSE · Fidelity National Information Services Inc
41.91
MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
HCKT
NASDAQ · The Hackett Group Inc
10.34
MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ICFI
NASDAQ · ICF International Inc
78.86
MD 0.80 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LAW
NYSE · CS Disco LLC
4.05
MD 0.26 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
NRDS
NASDAQ · Nerdwallet Inc
9.26
MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ONT
NYSE · Onterris
20.93
MD 0.36 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OPRX
NASDAQ · OPTIMIZERx Corp
6.69
MD 0.86 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PODD
NASDAQ · Insulet Corporation
164.06
MD 0.42 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
RCEL
NASDAQ · Avita Medical Ltd
5.10
MD 0.39 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
UPWK
NASDAQ · Upwork Inc
9.06
MD 0.10 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
XRAY
NASDAQ · Dentsply Sirona Inc
14.05
MD 0.72 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
Positions Out
Closed at weekly close
ACB
NASDAQ · Aurora Cannabis Inc
2.63
20% entry drawdown · -20.78%
AIFU
NASDAQ · Fanhua Inc.
34.52
20% entry drawdown · -25.28%
AKTX
NASDAQ · Akari Therapeutics PLC
11.01
20% entry drawdown · -20.68%
ALDX
NASDAQ · Aldeyra The
1.69
20% entry drawdown · -25.55%
ARCT
NASDAQ · Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings Inc
6.05
20% entry drawdown · -26.49%
AWRE
NASDAQ · Aware Inc
1.11
20% entry drawdown · -26.97%
BEEM
NASDAQ · Beam Global
1.03
20% entry drawdown · -24.82%
BNAI
NASDAQ · Brand Engagement Network Inc
11.62
20% entry drawdown · -29.49%
BTBT
NASDAQ · Bit Digital Inc
1.40
20% entry drawdown · -29.65%
EIX
NYSE · Edison International
77.63
Reversal Risk Warning · 49.97%
EVGO
NASDAQ · Evgo Inc
1.68
20% entry drawdown · -20.94%
EVO
NASDAQ · Evotec SE ADR
1.96
20% entry drawdown · -27.94%
GENK
NASDAQ · GEN Restaurant Group, Inc. Class A Common Stock
1.77
20% entry drawdown · -24.36%
GLXG
NASDAQ · Galaxy Payroll Group Limited Ordinary Shares
1.05
20% entry drawdown · -28.08%
HUBG
NASDAQ · Hub Group Inc
51.22
Reversal Risk Warning · 45.11%
INV
NASDAQ · Innventure, Inc.
3.37
20% entry drawdown · -27.37%
JLHL
NASDAQ · Julong Holding Limited Class A Ordinary Shares
9.35
20% entry drawdown · -20.29%
LEDS
NASDAQ · SemiLEDS Corporation
3.01
Reversal Risk Warning · 67.22%
LONA
NASDAQ · LeonaBio, Inc.
7.22
20% entry drawdown · -27.22%
MTEX
NASDAQ · Mannatech Incorporated
4.25
20% entry drawdown · -21.59%
OABI
NASDAQ · OmniAb Inc.
2.12
20% entry drawdown · -20.00%
OCCI
NASDAQ · OFS Credit Company Inc
2.27
20% entry drawdown · -23.83%
PBF
NYSE · PBF Energy Inc
62.75
Reversal Risk Warning · 219.84%
PLUG
NASDAQ · Plug Power Inc
2.17
20% entry drawdown · -20.80%
PMCB
NASDAQ · PharmaCyte Biotech Inc
0.63
20% entry drawdown · -21.31%
PMEC
NASDAQ · Primech Holdings Ltd. Ordinary Shares
0.52
20% entry drawdown · -28.59%
QFIN
NASDAQ · 360 Finance Inc
12.73
20% entry drawdown · -20.83%
RPT
NYSE · Rithm Property Trust Inc.
10.89
20% entry drawdown · -27.03%
RXRX
NASDAQ · Recursion Pharmaceuticals Inc
2.95
20% entry drawdown · -22.50%
SNPS
NASDAQ · Synopsys Inc
384.28
20% entry drawdown · -25.60%
SORA
NASDAQ · Top Win International Limited
1.73
20% entry drawdown · -23.18%
VERU
NASDAQ · Veru Inc
2.38
20% entry drawdown · -30.00%
WING
NASDAQ · Wingstop Inc
142.33
20% entry drawdown · -20.03%
WW
NASDAQ · WW International, Inc. Common Stock
14.57
20% entry drawdown · -21.46%
ZSQR
NASDAQ · Z Squared Inc.
5.06
20% entry drawdown · -45.47%
Live Book
Current Holdings
Ticker
Entry
Last Close
Return
Signal
MD
ROC
RS
MNDO
NASDAQ · MIND CTI Ltd
10 Jul 20261.06
1.03
-2.83%
Buy
0.16
-
-
MNDY
NASDAQ · Monday.Com Ltd
8 May 202672.07
78.69
9.19%
Buy
0.01
-
-
MNKD
NASDAQ · MannKind Corp
29 May 20263.77
4.03
6.90%
Buy
0.06
-
-
MNOV
NASDAQ · MediciNova Inc
11 Jul 20251.27
1.35
6.32%
Buy
0.02
-
-
MNRO
NASDAQ · Monro Muffler Brake Inc
6 Jun 202515.25
16.96
11.23%
Buy
0.14
-
-
MNTK
NASDAQ · Montauk Renewables Inc
22 May 20261.55
1.57
1.29%
Buy
0.36
-
-
MNTN
NYSE · MNTN, Inc.
13 Mar 20269.57
8.94
-6.58%
Buy
0.08
-
-
MOH
NYSE · Molina Healthcare Inc
20 Feb 2026151.00
225.37
49.25%
Buy
0.72
-
-
MOLN
NASDAQ · Molecular Partners AG ADR
19 Sep 20253.77
3.90
3.45%
Buy
0.95
-
-
MORN
NASDAQ · Morningstar Inc
22 May 2026179.64
172.48
-3.99%
Buy
0.80
-
-
MPT
NYSE · Medical Properties Trust, Inc.
26 Jan 20242.67
4.75
77.74%
Buy
0.04
-
-
MQ
NASDAQ · Marqeta Inc
28 Feb 202516.72
17.49
4.61%
Buy
0.29
-
-
MRDN
NASDAQ · Meridian Holdings Inc
12 Jun 202614.33
13.52
-5.62%
Buy
1.34
-
-
MRKR
NASDAQ · Marker Therapeutics Inc
28 Nov 20251.24
1.31
5.65%
Buy
0.31
-
-
MRM
NASDAQ · Medirom Healthcare Technologies Inc
29 May 20261.14
0.93
-18.41%
Buy
0.10
-
-
MRNA
NASDAQ · Moderna Inc
23 Jan 202648.71
61.82
26.91%
Buy
1.83
-
-
MRP
NYSE · Millrose Properties, Inc.
3 Jul 202628.98
29.42
1.51%
Buy
0.13
-
-
MRSH
NYSE · Marsh & McLennan Companies, Inc.
3 Jul 2026178.54
182.18
2.04%
Buy
0.33
-
-
MRTN
NASDAQ · Marten Transport Ltd
12 Dec 202511.67
17.65
51.25%
Buy
0.21
-
-
MRVI
NASDAQ · Maravai Lifesciences Holdings Inc
3 Oct 20253.09
7.24
134.30%
Buy
1.31
-
-
MSGM
NASDAQ · Motorsport Gaming Us LLC
25 Apr 20252.40
4.64
93.33%
Buy
0.28
-
-
MSTR
NASDAQ · MicroStrategy Incorporated
3 Jul 2026100.77
94.85
-5.87%
Buy
0.01
-
-
MTAL
NYSE · Metals Acquisition Corp. II
30 May 202512.16
10.20
-16.12%
Buy
0.50
-
-
MTCH
NASDAQ · Match Group Inc
20 Jun 202529.88
39.15
31.01%
Buy
0.24
-
-
MTLS
NASDAQ · Materialise NV
20 Jun 20255.39
6.54
21.34%
Buy
0.15
-
-
MTN
NYSE · Vail Resorts Inc
12 Jun 2026131.13
147.86
12.76%
Buy
0.19
-
-
MTUS
NYSE · Metallus, Inc
6 Jun 202514.06
19.38
37.84%
Buy
0.14
-
-
MTW
NYSE · Manitowoc Company Inc
23 May 202510.33
13.03
26.14%
Buy
0.33
-
-
MUR
NYSE · Murphy Oil Corporation
20 Jun 202523.74
36.83
55.14%
Buy
0.27
-
-
MWYN
NASDAQ · Marwynn Holdings, Inc. Common stock
8 May 20260.79
0.78
-1.20%
Buy
0.06
-
-
Ledger
Transaction History
Date
Action
Ticker
Price
Reason
Return
Qualifiers
12 Dec 2025
Exit
FCAP
NASDAQ · First Capital Inc
64.55
Reversal Risk Warning
125.98%
Entry 24 May 2024
28.56
12 Dec 2025
Exit
FOX
NASDAQ · Fox Corp Class B
62.75
Reversal Risk Warning
100.18%
Entry 21 Jun 2024
31.35
12 Dec 2025
Exit
FOXA
NASDAQ · Fox Corp Class A
70.76
Reversal Risk Warning
95.84%
Entry 19 Jul 2024
36.13
12 Dec 2025
Entry
FRPT
NASDAQ · Freshpet Inc
63.42
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 1.21
12 Dec 2025
Exit
FULC
NASDAQ · Fulcrum Therapeutics Inc
13.00
Reversal Risk Warning
131.32%
Entry 2 May 2025
5.62
12 Dec 2025
Exit
GALT
NASDAQ · Galectin Therapeutics Inc
6.25
Reversal Risk Warning
293.08%
Entry 21 Mar 2025
1.59
12 Dec 2025
Exit
GM
NYSE · General Motors Company
80.52
Reversal Risk Warning
112.21%
Entry 2 Feb 2024
37.94
12 Dec 2025
Exit
HKD
NYSE · AMTD Digital Inc.
1.45
20% entry drawdown
-20.33%
Entry 12 Sep 2025
1.82
12 Dec 2025
Exit
HUHU
NASDAQ · HUHUTECH International Group Inc. Ordinary Shares
11.70
Reversal Risk Warning
122.86%
Entry 16 May 2025
5.25
12 Dec 2025
Entry
HUN
NYSE · Huntsman Corporation
10.39
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.67
12 Dec 2025
Exit
HURN
NASDAQ · Huron Consulting Group Inc
179.51
Reversal Risk Warning
80.47%
Entry 4 Aug 2023
99.47
12 Dec 2025
Entry
IBRX
NASDAQ · Immunitybio Inc
2.36
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.09
12 Dec 2025
Entry
IMMR
NASDAQ · Immersion Corporation
6.75
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.13
12 Dec 2025
Exit
JFU
NASDAQ · 9F Inc
7.37
Reversal Risk Warning
302.73%
Entry 15 Aug 2025
1.83
12 Dec 2025
Entry
JHX
NYSE · James Hardie Industries PLC ADR
20.62
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.05
12 Dec 2025
Entry
KIDS
NASDAQ · Orthopediatrics Corp
17.60
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.06
12 Dec 2025
Exit
LC
NYSE · LendingClub Corp
19.90
Reversal Risk Warning
139.76%
Entry 15 Dec 2023
8.30
12 Dec 2025
Exit
LNC
NYSE · Lincoln National Corporation
44.00
Reversal Risk Warning
81.56%
Entry 15 Dec 2023
24.23
12 Dec 2025
Entry
MKZR
NASDAQ · MacKenzie Realty Capital, Inc. Common Stock
4.39
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.30
12 Dec 2025
Entry
MRTN
NASDAQ · Marten Transport Ltd
11.67
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.21
12 Dec 2025
Entry
MTVA
NASDAQ · MetaVia Inc.
9.31
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.01
12 Dec 2025
Exit
MVBF
NASDAQ · MVB Financial Corp
27.49
Reversal Risk Warning
50.00%
Entry 23 May 2025
18.33
12 Dec 2025
Exit
NBIX
NASDAQ · Neurocrine Biosciences Inc
152.80
Reversal Risk Warning
27.14%
Entry 23 May 2025
120.18
12 Dec 2025
Exit
NDLS
NASDAQ · Noodles & Company
5.84
20% entry drawdown
-25.37%
Entry 5 Dec 2025
7.83
12 Dec 2025
Exit
NMRA
NASDAQ · Neumora Therapeutics, Inc.
2.09
20% entry drawdown
-20.53%
Entry 24 Oct 2025
2.63
12 Dec 2025
Entry
NOG
NYSE · Northern Oil & Gas Inc
21.82
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.07
12 Dec 2025
Entry
NRDY
NYSE · Nerdy Inc
1.35
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.52
12 Dec 2025
Exit
NRIM
NASDAQ · Northrim BanCorp Inc
27.13
Reversal Risk Warning
139.19%
Entry 24 Nov 2023
11.34
12 Dec 2025
Exit
NRXP
NASDAQ · NRX Pharmaceuticals Inc
2.07
20% entry drawdown
-21.59%
Entry 30 May 2025
2.64
12 Dec 2025
Exit
NUTX
NASDAQ · Nutex Health Inc
184.89
Reversal Risk Warning
461.80%
Entry 22 Nov 2024
32.91