View US Trend Index

Signal Validation

Market Dynamics Performance Index

A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.

United States
Latest week 17 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
478.70
Total Return
378.70%
CAGR
55.90% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+34.12%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.64 Sortino 5.14
Current Holdings
1077
Transactions
10779 Avg 3056.6/yr · 254.7/mo · 58.8/wk
Exit Mix
4851 Stop 41.6% · Warning 57.9% · Other 0.5%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.

01

Universe

Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
  • Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
  • Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

17 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
19
ADBE NASDAQ · Adobe Systems Incorporated
237.25 MD 0.17 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BL NASDAQ · Blackline Inc
30.29 MD 0.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BLKB NASDAQ · Blackbaud Inc
32.40 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CURV NYSE · Torrid Holdings Inc
2.33 MD 0.17 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
DFIN NYSE · Donnelley Financial Solutions Inc
49.95 MD 0.06 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
EXPO NASDAQ · Exponent Inc
62.88 MD 0.09 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
FIS NYSE · Fidelity National Information Services Inc
41.91 MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
HCKT NASDAQ · The Hackett Group Inc
10.34 MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ICFI NASDAQ · ICF International Inc
78.86 MD 0.80 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
IQ NASDAQ · iQIYI Inc
1.19 MD 0.25 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LAW NYSE · CS Disco LLC
4.05 MD 0.26 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MAT NASDAQ · Mattel Inc
14.30 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
NRDS NASDAQ · Nerdwallet Inc
9.26 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ONT NYSE · Onterris
20.93 MD 0.36 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OPRX NASDAQ · OPTIMIZERx Corp
6.69 MD 0.86 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PODD NASDAQ · Insulet Corporation
164.06 MD 0.42 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
RCEL NASDAQ · Avita Medical Ltd
5.10 MD 0.39 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
UPWK NASDAQ · Upwork Inc
9.06 MD 0.10 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
XRAY NASDAQ · Dentsply Sirona Inc
14.05 MD 0.72 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
36
ACB NASDAQ · Aurora Cannabis Inc
2.63 20% entry drawdown · -20.78%
AIFU NASDAQ · Fanhua Inc.
34.52 20% entry drawdown · -25.28%
AKTX NASDAQ · Akari Therapeutics PLC
11.01 20% entry drawdown · -20.68%
ALDX NASDAQ · Aldeyra The
1.69 20% entry drawdown · -25.55%
ARCT NASDAQ · Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings Inc
6.05 20% entry drawdown · -26.49%
AWRE NASDAQ · Aware Inc
1.11 20% entry drawdown · -26.97%
BEEM NASDAQ · Beam Global
1.03 20% entry drawdown · -24.82%
BNAI NASDAQ · Brand Engagement Network Inc
11.62 20% entry drawdown · -29.49%
BTBT NASDAQ · Bit Digital Inc
1.40 20% entry drawdown · -29.65%
EIX NYSE · Edison International
77.63 Reversal Risk Warning · 49.97%
EVGO NASDAQ · Evgo Inc
1.68 20% entry drawdown · -20.94%
EVO NASDAQ · Evotec SE ADR
1.96 20% entry drawdown · -27.94%
GENK NASDAQ · GEN Restaurant Group, Inc. Class A Common Stock
1.77 20% entry drawdown · -24.36%
GLXG NASDAQ · Galaxy Payroll Group Limited Ordinary Shares
1.05 20% entry drawdown · -28.08%
GRDX NASDAQ · GridAI Technologies Corp.
3.82 20% entry drawdown · -29.26%
HUBG NASDAQ · Hub Group Inc
51.22 Reversal Risk Warning · 45.11%
INV NASDAQ · Innventure, Inc.
3.37 20% entry drawdown · -27.37%
JLHL NASDAQ · Julong Holding Limited Class A Ordinary Shares
9.35 20% entry drawdown · -20.29%
LEDS NASDAQ · SemiLEDS Corporation
3.01 Reversal Risk Warning · 67.22%
LONA NASDAQ · LeonaBio, Inc.
7.22 20% entry drawdown · -27.22%
MTEX NASDAQ · Mannatech Incorporated
4.25 20% entry drawdown · -21.59%
OABI NASDAQ · OmniAb Inc.
2.12 20% entry drawdown · -20.00%
OCCI NASDAQ · OFS Credit Company Inc
2.27 20% entry drawdown · -23.83%
PBF NYSE · PBF Energy Inc
62.75 Reversal Risk Warning · 219.84%
PLUG NASDAQ · Plug Power Inc
2.17 20% entry drawdown · -20.80%
PMCB NASDAQ · PharmaCyte Biotech Inc
0.63 20% entry drawdown · -21.31%
PMEC NASDAQ · Primech Holdings Ltd. Ordinary Shares
0.52 20% entry drawdown · -28.59%
QFIN NASDAQ · 360 Finance Inc
12.73 20% entry drawdown · -20.83%
RPT NYSE · Rithm Property Trust Inc.
10.89 20% entry drawdown · -27.03%
RXRX NASDAQ · Recursion Pharmaceuticals Inc
2.95 20% entry drawdown · -22.50%
SNPS NASDAQ · Synopsys Inc
384.28 20% entry drawdown · -25.60%
SORA NASDAQ · Top Win International Limited
1.73 20% entry drawdown · -23.18%
VERU NASDAQ · Veru Inc
2.38 20% entry drawdown · -30.00%
WING NASDAQ · Wingstop Inc
142.33 20% entry drawdown · -20.03%
WW NASDAQ · WW International, Inc. Common Stock
14.57 20% entry drawdown · -21.46%
ZSQR NASDAQ · Z Squared Inc.
5.06 20% entry drawdown · -45.47%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 631-660 of 1077 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signal MD ROC RS
MNDO NASDAQ · MIND CTI Ltd
10 Jul 20261.06
1.03
-2.83%
Buy
0.16
-
-
MNDY NASDAQ · Monday.Com Ltd
8 May 202672.07
78.69
9.19%
Buy
0.01
-
-
MNKD NASDAQ · MannKind Corp
29 May 20263.77
4.03
6.90%
Buy
0.06
-
-
MNOV NASDAQ · MediciNova Inc
11 Jul 20251.27
1.35
6.32%
Buy
0.02
-
-
MNRO NASDAQ · Monro Muffler Brake Inc
6 Jun 202515.25
16.96
11.23%
Buy
0.14
-
-
MNTK NASDAQ · Montauk Renewables Inc
22 May 20261.55
1.57
1.29%
Buy
0.36
-
-
MNTN NYSE · MNTN, Inc.
13 Mar 20269.57
8.94
-6.58%
Buy
0.08
-
-
MOH NYSE · Molina Healthcare Inc
20 Feb 2026151.00
225.37
49.25%
Buy
0.72
-
-
MOLN NASDAQ · Molecular Partners AG ADR
19 Sep 20253.77
3.90
3.45%
Buy
0.95
-
-
MORN NASDAQ · Morningstar Inc
22 May 2026179.64
172.48
-3.99%
Buy
0.80
-
-
MPT NYSE · Medical Properties Trust, Inc.
26 Jan 20242.67
4.75
77.74%
Buy
0.04
-
-
MQ NASDAQ · Marqeta Inc
28 Feb 202516.72
17.49
4.61%
Buy
0.29
-
-
MRDN NASDAQ · Meridian Holdings Inc
12 Jun 202614.33
13.52
-5.62%
Buy
1.34
-
-
MRKR NASDAQ · Marker Therapeutics Inc
28 Nov 20251.24
1.31
5.65%
Buy
0.31
-
-
MRM NASDAQ · Medirom Healthcare Technologies Inc
29 May 20261.14
0.93
-18.41%
Buy
0.10
-
-
MRNA NASDAQ · Moderna Inc
23 Jan 202648.71
61.82
26.91%
Buy
1.83
-
-
MRP NYSE · Millrose Properties, Inc.
3 Jul 202628.98
29.42
1.51%
Buy
0.13
-
-
MRSH NYSE · Marsh & McLennan Companies, Inc.
3 Jul 2026177.54
181.16
2.04%
Buy
0.26
-
-
MRTN NASDAQ · Marten Transport Ltd
12 Dec 202511.67
17.65
51.25%
Buy
0.21
-
-
MRVI NASDAQ · Maravai Lifesciences Holdings Inc
3 Oct 20253.09
7.24
134.30%
Buy
1.31
-
-
MSGM NASDAQ · Motorsport Gaming Us LLC
25 Apr 20252.40
4.64
93.33%
Buy
0.28
-
-
MSTR NASDAQ · MicroStrategy Incorporated
3 Jul 2026100.77
94.85
-5.87%
Buy
0.00
-
-
MTAL NYSE · Metals Acquisition Corp. II
30 May 202512.16
10.20
-16.12%
Buy
0.50
-
-
MTCH NASDAQ · Match Group Inc
20 Jun 202529.88
39.15
31.01%
Buy
0.24
-
-
MTLS NASDAQ · Materialise NV
20 Jun 20255.39
6.54
21.34%
Buy
0.15
-
-
MTN NYSE · Vail Resorts Inc
12 Jun 2026131.13
147.86
12.76%
Buy
0.19
-
-
MTUS NYSE · Metallus, Inc
6 Jun 202514.06
19.38
37.84%
Buy
0.14
-
-
MTW NYSE · Manitowoc Company Inc
23 May 202510.33
13.03
26.14%
Buy
0.33
-
-
MUR NYSE · Murphy Oil Corporation
20 Jun 202523.74
36.83
55.14%
Buy
0.27
-
-
MWYN NASDAQ · Marwynn Holdings, Inc. Common stock
8 May 20260.79
0.78
-1.20%
Buy
0.06
-
-

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 4501-4530 of 10779
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
18 Jul 2025
Entry
IPDN NASDAQ · Professional Diversity Network Inc
2.51
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.15
18 Jul 2025
Entry
IXHL NASDAQ · Incannex Healthcare Ltd ADR
18.30
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.33
18 Jul 2025
Entry
JBLU NASDAQ · JetBlue Airways Corp
4.41
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.09
18 Jul 2025
Exit
JOBY NYSE · Joby Aviation
17.78
Reversal Risk Warning
198.82%
Entry 4 Oct 2024 5.95
18 Jul 2025
Entry
LDI NYSE · Loandepot Inc
1.88
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.19
18 Jul 2025
Entry
LOBO NASDAQ · LOBO EV TECHNOLOGIES LTD. Ordinary shares
0.54
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.24
18 Jul 2025
Entry
LUNR NASDAQ · Intuitive Machines Inc.
12.41
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.51
18 Jul 2025
Exit
MAIN NYSE · Main Street Capital Corporation
60.47
Reversal Risk Warning
69.90%
Entry 22 Dec 2023 35.59
18 Jul 2025
Entry
NBIS NASDAQ · Nebius Group N.V.
52.79
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.95
18 Jul 2025
Exit
NEXT NASDAQ · Nextdecade Corp
12.00
Reversal Risk Warning
117.00%
Entry 22 Mar 2024 5.53
18 Jul 2025
Entry
NXDR NYSE · NXDR
1.88
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.81
18 Jul 2025
Entry
ONDS NASDAQ · Ondas Holdings Inc.
2.23
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.23
18 Jul 2025
Entry
OPEN NASDAQ · Opendoor Technologies Inc
2.18
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.53
18 Jul 2025
Entry
OVID NASDAQ · Ovid Therapeutics Inc
0.55
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.34
18 Jul 2025
Entry
PACK NYSE · Ranpak Holdings Corp
3.54
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.12
18 Jul 2025
Exit
PASG NASDAQ · Passage Bio Inc
5.56
20% entry drawdown
-39.72%
Entry 4 Jul 2025 9.22
18 Jul 2025
Exit
PCT NASDAQ · Purecycle Technologies Holdings Corp
16.92
Reversal Risk Warning
255.46%
Entry 9 Feb 2024 4.76
18 Jul 2025
Entry
PEP NASDAQ · PepsiCo Inc
137.59
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.39
18 Jul 2025
Exit
PJT NYSE · PJT Partners Inc
181.82
Reversal Risk Warning
115.54%
Entry 24 Nov 2023 84.35
18 Jul 2025
Entry
PPSI NASDAQ · Pioneer Power Solutions Inc.
3.14
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.61
18 Jul 2025
Exit
RCL NYSE · Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd
344.14
Reversal Risk Warning
219.66%
Entry 1 Dec 2023 107.66
18 Jul 2025
Exit
RITM NYSE · Rithm Capital Corp.
11.13
Reversal Risk Warning
51.54%
Entry 14 Jul 2023 7.34
18 Jul 2025
Exit
SLNH NASDAQ · Soluna Holdings Inc
0.63
20% entry drawdown
-58.28%
Entry 11 Jul 2025 1.51
18 Jul 2025
Exit
SMR NYSE · Nuscale Power Corp
50.25
Reversal Risk Warning
545.89%
Entry 24 May 2024 7.78
18 Jul 2025
Entry
SNDL NASDAQ · SNDL Inc.
1.54
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.59
18 Jul 2025
Exit
SRAD NASDAQ · Sportradar Group AG
30.26
Reversal Risk Warning
90.76%
Entry 8 Nov 2024 15.86
18 Jul 2025
Exit
SY NASDAQ · So-Young International Inc
5.87
Reversal Risk Warning
147.68%
Entry 27 Jun 2025 2.37
18 Jul 2025
Entry
TMO NYSE · Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc
413.24
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.29
18 Jul 2025
Exit
TOST NYSE · Toast Inc
46.52
Reversal Risk Warning
162.23%
Entry 5 Jan 2024 17.74
18 Jul 2025
Exit
TRMB NASDAQ · Trimble Inc
82.04
Reversal Risk Warning
56.45%
Entry 22 Dec 2023 52.44