Signal Validation

Market Dynamics Performance Index

A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.

United States
Latest week 24 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
469.57
Total Return
369.57%
CAGR
54.68% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+33.24%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.60 Sortino 5.04
Current Holdings
1070
Transactions
10830 Avg 3054.5/yr · 254.5/mo · 58.7/wk
Exit Mix
4880 Stop 41.8% · Warning 57.6% · Other 0.5%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.

01

Universe

Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
  • Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
  • Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

24 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
22
ALC NYSE · Alcon AG
67.91 MD 0.00 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BIXI NASDAQ · Bitcoin Infrastructure Acquisition Corp Ltd. Class A Ordinary Shares
10.01 MD 1.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BUR NYSE · Burford Capital Ltd
4.14 MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CAG NYSE · Conagra Brands, Inc.
14.77 MD 0.57 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CJMB NASDAQ · Callan JMB Inc. Common Stock
2.55 MD 0.41 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
FMST NASDAQ · Foremost Lithium Resource & Technology Ltd. Common stock
1.65 MD 0.05 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GCL NASDAQ · GCL Global Holdings Ltd Ordinary Shares
0.51 MD 0.67 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
KNDI NASDAQ · Kandi Technologies Group Inc
0.65 MD 0.31 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LAFA NASDAQ · LaFayette Acquisition Corp. Ordinary Share
10.11 MD 0.90 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LVLU NASDAQ · Lulu's Fashion Lounge Holdings Inc
19.20 MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LW NYSE · Lamb Weston Holdings Inc
49.58 MD 1.48 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MAMO NASDAQ · Massimo Group Common Stock
0.98 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
NBP NASDAQ · NovaBridge Biosciences
1.77 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OFIX NASDAQ · Orthofix Medical Inc
11.25 MD 0.22 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OTIS NYSE · Otis Worldwide Corp
71.93 MD 0.05 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OTLY NASDAQ · Oatly Group AB ADR
13.37 MD 0.05 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PLNT NYSE · Planet Fitness Inc
53.48 MD 0.02 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PSN NYSE · Parsons Corp
58.73 MD 0.56 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SRFM NYSE · Surf Air Mobility Inc.
0.79 MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TDWD NASDAQ · Tailwind 2.0 Acquisition Corp. Class A Ordinary Shares
10.04 MD 0.93 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WSTN NASDAQ · Westin Acquisition Corp
10.13 MD 1.67 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WVVIP NASDAQ · Willamette Valley Vineyards Inc PR
2.78 MD 0.21 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
29
AMST NASDAQ · Amesite Operating Co
0.99 20% entry drawdown · -21.44%
ATER NASDAQ · Aterian Inc
0.40 20% entry drawdown · -70.94%
BARK NYSE · BARK, Inc.
8.51 20% entry drawdown · -22.14%
BZFD NASDAQ · BuzzFeed Inc
1.11 20% entry drawdown · -25.50%
BZH NYSE · Beazer Homes USA Inc
33.19 Reversal Risk Warning · 60.11%
COOK NYSE · Traeger Inc
61.26 20% entry drawdown · -22.75%
DAR NYSE · Darling Ingredients Inc
62.50 Reversal Risk Warning · 59.93%
DFSC NASDAQ · DEFSEC Technologies Inc.
1.51 20% entry drawdown · -35.19%
GEHC NASDAQ · GE HealthCare Technologies Inc.
60.58 20% entry drawdown · -20.22%
GOOS NYSE · Canada Goose Holdings Inc
8.89 20% entry drawdown · -24.47%
GTEC NASDAQ · Greenland Acquisition Corp
0.51 20% entry drawdown · -21.19%
LFCR NASDAQ · Lifecore Biomedical Inc.
4.33 20% entry drawdown · -21.84%
LFMD NASDAQ · LifeMD Inc
3.71 20% entry drawdown · -20.04%
LOCL NYSE · Local Bounti Corp
1.06 20% entry drawdown · -22.63%
NIXX NASDAQ · Nixxy, Inc.
0.85 20% entry drawdown · -35.80%
NKTX NASDAQ · Nkarta Inc
2.27 20% entry drawdown · -25.08%
PEW NYSE · GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc.
2.33 20% entry drawdown · -21.28%
PPSI NASDAQ · Pioneer Power Solutions Inc.
2.98 20% entry drawdown · -25.13%
RC NYSE · Ready Capital Corp
1.47 20% entry drawdown · -20.97%
REAX NASDAQ · Real Brokerage Inc
1.69 20% entry drawdown · -22.12%
SAFX NASDAQ · XCF Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock
0.41 20% entry drawdown · -25.36%
SEDG NASDAQ · SolarEdge Technologies Inc
42.60 20% entry drawdown · -31.02%
SGRP NASDAQ · SPAR Group Inc
0.38 20% entry drawdown · -46.99%
SRG NYSE · Seritage Growth Properties
2.31 20% entry drawdown · -22.22%
TOMZ NASDAQ · TOMI Environmental Solutions Inc
1.54 20% entry drawdown · -33.95%
UPST NASDAQ · Upstart Holdings Inc
26.93 20% entry drawdown · -20.30%
WETO NASDAQ · Webus International Limited Ordinary Shares
0.69 Price scale break · 37.71%
WRAP NASDAQ · Wrap Technologies Inc
1.70 20% entry drawdown · -30.89%
XELB NASDAQ · Xcel Brands Inc
1.23 20% entry drawdown · -21.15%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 631-660 of 1070 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signal MD ROC RS
MNKD NASDAQ · MannKind Corp
29 May 20263.77
4.13
9.55%
Buy
0.06
-
-
MNOV NASDAQ · MediciNova Inc
11 Jul 20251.27
1.32
3.95%
Buy
0.02
-
-
MNRO NASDAQ · Monro Muffler Brake Inc
6 Jun 202515.25
16.79
10.11%
Buy
0.14
-
-
MNTK NASDAQ · Montauk Renewables Inc
22 May 20261.55
1.87
20.65%
Buy
0.36
-
-
MNTN NYSE · MNTN, Inc.
13 Mar 20269.57
8.58
-10.34%
Buy
0.08
-
-
MOH NYSE · Molina Healthcare Inc
20 Feb 2026151.00
197.55
30.83%
Buy
0.72
-
-
MOLN NASDAQ · Molecular Partners AG ADR
19 Sep 20253.77
3.89
3.18%
Buy
0.95
-
-
MORN NASDAQ · Morningstar Inc
22 May 2026179.64
172.61
-3.91%
Buy
0.80
-
-
MPT NYSE · Medical Properties Trust, Inc.
26 Jan 20242.67
4.84
81.11%
Buy
0.04
-
-
MQ NASDAQ · Marqeta Inc
28 Feb 202516.72
17.07
2.09%
Buy
0.29
-
-
MRDN NASDAQ · Meridian Holdings Inc
12 Jun 202614.33
13.26
-7.43%
Buy
1.34
-
-
MRKR NASDAQ · Marker Therapeutics Inc
28 Nov 20251.24
1.22
-1.61%
Buy
0.31
-
-
MRM NASDAQ · Medirom Healthcare Technologies Inc
29 May 20261.14
0.99
-13.51%
Buy
0.10
-
-
MRNA NASDAQ · Moderna Inc
23 Jan 202648.71
54.07
11.00%
Buy
1.83
-
-
MRP NYSE · Millrose Properties, Inc.
3 Jul 202628.98
28.52
-1.60%
Buy
0.13
-
-
MRSH NYSE · Marsh & McLennan Companies, Inc.
3 Jul 2026177.54
180.74
1.80%
Buy
0.26
-
-
MRTN NASDAQ · Marten Transport Ltd
12 Dec 202511.67
16.30
39.68%
Buy
0.21
-
-
MRVI NASDAQ · Maravai Lifesciences Holdings Inc
3 Oct 20253.09
6.76
118.77%
Buy
1.31
-
-
MSGM NASDAQ · Motorsport Gaming Us LLC
25 Apr 20252.40
4.37
82.08%
Buy
0.28
-
-
MSTR NASDAQ · MicroStrategy Incorporated
3 Jul 2026100.77
91.67
-9.03%
Buy
0.00
-
-
MTAL NYSE · Metals Acquisition Corp. II
30 May 202512.16
10.21
-16.04%
Buy
0.50
-
-
MTCH NASDAQ · Match Group Inc
20 Jun 202529.88
37.91
26.86%
Buy
0.24
-
-
MTLS NASDAQ · Materialise NV
20 Jun 20255.39
6.55
21.52%
Buy
0.15
-
-
MTN NYSE · Vail Resorts Inc
12 Jun 2026131.13
145.72
11.13%
Buy
0.19
-
-
MTUS NYSE · Metallus, Inc
6 Jun 202514.06
20.97
49.15%
Buy
0.14
-
-
MTW NYSE · Manitowoc Company Inc
23 May 202510.33
14.37
39.11%
Buy
0.33
-
-
MUR NYSE · Murphy Oil Corporation
20 Jun 202523.74
38.95
64.07%
Buy
0.27
-
-
MWYN NASDAQ · Marwynn Holdings, Inc. Common stock
8 May 20260.79
0.75
-4.80%
Buy
0.06
-
-
MX NYSE · MagnaChip Semiconductor
16 Jan 20263.03
3.50
15.51%
Buy
0.21
-
-
MYSE NASDAQ · Myseum, Inc.
26 Jun 20262.47
2.47
0.00%
Buy
0.07
-
-

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 4951-4980 of 10830
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
20 Jun 2025
Entry
QRHC NASDAQ · Quest Resource Holding Corp
2.18
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.08
20 Jun 2025
Entry
REXR NYSE · Rexford Industrial Realty Inc
34.88
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.12
20 Jun 2025
Entry
RFIL NASDAQ · RF Industries Ltd
4.86
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.02
20 Jun 2025
Entry
RMBS NASDAQ · Rambus Inc
59.38
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.25
20 Jun 2025
Entry
ROKU NASDAQ · Roku Inc
80.99
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.33
20 Jun 2025
Entry
SD NYSE · SandRidge Energy Inc
11.36
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.52
20 Jun 2025
Entry
SEG NYSE · Seaport Entertainment Group Inc.
19.46
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.21
20 Jun 2025
Exit
SLSN NASDAQ · Solesence, Inc. Common Stock
5.21
Reversal Risk Warning
280.29%
Entry 26 Apr 2024 1.37
20 Jun 2025
Entry
SMTC NASDAQ · Semtech Corporation
41.88
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.32
20 Jun 2025
Exit
SPRO NASDAQ · Spero Therapeutics Inc
3.02
Reversal Risk Warning
20.80%
Entry 30 May 2025 2.50
20 Jun 2025
Entry
SRG NYSE · Seritage Growth Properties
2.97
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.22
20 Jun 2025
Entry
STHO NASDAQ · Star Holdings
7.72
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.31
20 Jun 2025
Exit
TCRX NASDAQ · Tscan Therapeutics Inc
1.44
20% entry drawdown
-20.00%
Entry 6 Jun 2025 1.80
20 Jun 2025
Entry
TECX NASDAQ · Tectonic Therapeutic, Inc.
19.81
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.07
20 Jun 2025
Entry
TNGX NASDAQ · Tango Therapeutics Inc
5.16
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.72
20 Jun 2025
Entry
TORO NASDAQ · Toro Ltd
1.39
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.21
20 Jun 2025
Entry
TROW NASDAQ · T. Rowe Price Group Inc
88.58
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.15
20 Jun 2025
Entry
TWI NYSE · Titan International Inc
9.21
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.06
20 Jun 2025
Entry
TWIN NASDAQ · Twin Disc Incorporated
8.14
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.77
20 Jun 2025
Entry
USAR NASDAQ · USA Rare Earth, Inc.
12.14
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.09
20 Jun 2025
Entry
USEA NASDAQ · United Maritime Corporation
1.29
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.27
20 Jun 2025
Entry
WEX NYSE · Wex Inc
140.67
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.12
20 Jun 2025
Entry
WHD NYSE · Cactus Inc
44.54
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.26
20 Jun 2025
Entry
XAIR NASDAQ · Beyond Air Inc
92.72
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.32
20 Jun 2025
Entry
XLO NASDAQ · Xilio Development Inc
9.64
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.12
20 Jun 2025
Entry
XPRO NYSE · Expro Group Holdings NV
9.17
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.09
20 Jun 2025
Entry
ZETA NYSE · Zeta Global Holdings Corp
14.18
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.11
13 Jun 2025
Entry
A NYSE · Agilent Technologies Inc
116.15
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.04
13 Jun 2025
Entry
ADM NYSE · Archer-Daniels-Midland Company
50.40
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.15
13 Jun 2025
Exit
AGEN NASDAQ · Agenus Inc
4.70
20% entry drawdown
-21.01%
Entry 6 Jun 2025 5.95