Signal Validation

Market Dynamics Performance Index

A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.

United States
Latest week 24 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
469.57
Total Return
369.57%
CAGR
54.68% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+33.24%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.60 Sortino 5.04
Current Holdings
1070
Transactions
10830 Avg 3054.5/yr · 254.5/mo · 58.7/wk
Exit Mix
4880 Stop 41.8% · Warning 57.6% · Other 0.5%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.

01

Universe

Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
  • Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
  • Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

24 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
22
ALC NYSE · Alcon AG
67.91 MD 0.00 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BIXI NASDAQ · Bitcoin Infrastructure Acquisition Corp Ltd. Class A Ordinary Shares
10.01 MD 1.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BUR NYSE · Burford Capital Ltd
4.14 MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CAG NYSE · Conagra Brands, Inc.
14.77 MD 0.57 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CJMB NASDAQ · Callan JMB Inc. Common Stock
2.55 MD 0.41 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
FMST NASDAQ · Foremost Lithium Resource & Technology Ltd. Common stock
1.65 MD 0.05 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GCL NASDAQ · GCL Global Holdings Ltd Ordinary Shares
0.51 MD 0.67 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
KNDI NASDAQ · Kandi Technologies Group Inc
0.65 MD 0.31 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LAFA NASDAQ · LaFayette Acquisition Corp. Ordinary Share
10.11 MD 0.90 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LVLU NASDAQ · Lulu's Fashion Lounge Holdings Inc
19.20 MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LW NYSE · Lamb Weston Holdings Inc
49.58 MD 1.48 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MAMO NASDAQ · Massimo Group Common Stock
0.98 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
NBP NASDAQ · NovaBridge Biosciences
1.77 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OFIX NASDAQ · Orthofix Medical Inc
11.25 MD 0.22 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OTIS NYSE · Otis Worldwide Corp
71.93 MD 0.05 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OTLY NASDAQ · Oatly Group AB ADR
13.37 MD 0.05 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PLNT NYSE · Planet Fitness Inc
53.48 MD 0.02 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PSN NYSE · Parsons Corp
58.73 MD 0.56 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SRFM NYSE · Surf Air Mobility Inc.
0.79 MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TDWD NASDAQ · Tailwind 2.0 Acquisition Corp. Class A Ordinary Shares
10.04 MD 0.93 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WSTN NASDAQ · Westin Acquisition Corp
10.13 MD 1.67 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WVVIP NASDAQ · Willamette Valley Vineyards Inc PR
2.78 MD 0.21 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
29
AMST NASDAQ · Amesite Operating Co
0.99 20% entry drawdown · -21.44%
ATER NASDAQ · Aterian Inc
0.40 20% entry drawdown · -70.94%
BARK NYSE · BARK, Inc.
8.51 20% entry drawdown · -22.14%
BZFD NASDAQ · BuzzFeed Inc
1.11 20% entry drawdown · -25.50%
BZH NYSE · Beazer Homes USA Inc
33.19 Reversal Risk Warning · 60.11%
COOK NYSE · Traeger Inc
61.26 20% entry drawdown · -22.75%
DAR NYSE · Darling Ingredients Inc
62.50 Reversal Risk Warning · 59.93%
DFSC NASDAQ · DEFSEC Technologies Inc.
1.51 20% entry drawdown · -35.19%
GEHC NASDAQ · GE HealthCare Technologies Inc.
60.58 20% entry drawdown · -20.22%
GOOS NYSE · Canada Goose Holdings Inc
8.89 20% entry drawdown · -24.47%
GTEC NASDAQ · Greenland Acquisition Corp
0.51 20% entry drawdown · -21.19%
LFCR NASDAQ · Lifecore Biomedical Inc.
4.33 20% entry drawdown · -21.84%
LFMD NASDAQ · LifeMD Inc
3.71 20% entry drawdown · -20.04%
LOCL NYSE · Local Bounti Corp
1.06 20% entry drawdown · -22.63%
NIXX NASDAQ · Nixxy, Inc.
0.85 20% entry drawdown · -35.80%
NKTX NASDAQ · Nkarta Inc
2.27 20% entry drawdown · -25.08%
PEW NYSE · GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc.
2.33 20% entry drawdown · -21.28%
PPSI NASDAQ · Pioneer Power Solutions Inc.
2.98 20% entry drawdown · -25.13%
RC NYSE · Ready Capital Corp
1.47 20% entry drawdown · -20.97%
REAX NASDAQ · Real Brokerage Inc
1.69 20% entry drawdown · -22.12%
SAFX NASDAQ · XCF Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock
0.41 20% entry drawdown · -25.36%
SEDG NASDAQ · SolarEdge Technologies Inc
42.60 20% entry drawdown · -31.02%
SGRP NASDAQ · SPAR Group Inc
0.38 20% entry drawdown · -46.99%
SRG NYSE · Seritage Growth Properties
2.31 20% entry drawdown · -22.22%
TOMZ NASDAQ · TOMI Environmental Solutions Inc
1.54 20% entry drawdown · -33.95%
UPST NASDAQ · Upstart Holdings Inc
26.93 20% entry drawdown · -20.30%
WETO NASDAQ · Webus International Limited Ordinary Shares
0.69 Price scale break · 37.71%
WRAP NASDAQ · Wrap Technologies Inc
1.70 20% entry drawdown · -30.89%
XELB NASDAQ · Xcel Brands Inc
1.23 20% entry drawdown · -21.15%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 661-690 of 1070 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signal MD ROC RS
NABL NYSE · N-Able Inc
22 May 20263.66
4.08
11.48%
Buy
0.08
-
-
NAUT NASDAQ · Nautilus Biotechnology Inc
31 Oct 20251.33
1.69
27.07%
Buy
2.03
-
-
NAVI NASDAQ · Navient Corp
15 May 20267.62
8.23
8.03%
Buy
0.14
-
-
NBP NASDAQ · NovaBridge Biosciences
24 Jul 20261.77
1.77
New Entry week
Buy
0.13
-
-
NBR NYSE · Nabors Industries Ltd.
12 Sep 202542.36
83.37
96.81%
Buy
1.47
-
-
NCMI NASDAQ · National CineMedia Inc
22 May 20262.99
3.77
26.09%
Buy
0.41
-
-
NDLS NASDAQ · Noodles & Company
27 Mar 20269.20
15.36
66.96%
Buy
0.34
-
-
NEO NASDAQ · NeoGenomics Inc
29 Aug 20258.78
13.89
58.20%
Buy
0.47
-
-
NEOG NASDAQ · Neogen Corporation
7 Nov 20256.40
9.40
46.88%
Buy
1.27
-
-
NERV NASDAQ · Minerva Neurosciences Inc
22 Aug 20252.44
4.04
65.91%
Buy
1.33
-
-
NEXT NASDAQ · Nextdecade Corp
20 Feb 20265.48
7.01
27.83%
Buy
0.03
-
-
NGNE NASDAQ · Neurogene Inc
2 May 202516.97
34.90
105.66%
Buy
0.20
-
-
NIO NYSE · Nio Inc Class A ADR
1 Aug 20255.01
4.49
-10.38%
Buy
1.63
-
-
NKE NYSE · Nike Inc
3 Jul 202644.09
41.70
-5.42%
Buy
0.29
-
-
NMAX NYSE · Newsmax, Inc.
17 Apr 20266.95
7.50
7.91%
Buy
1.33
-
-
NMP NASDAQ · NMP Acquisition Corp.
1 May 202610.19
10.30
1.08%
Buy
2.46
-
-
NNBR NASDAQ · NN Inc
30 Jan 20261.49
3.53
136.91%
Buy
0.18
-
-
NNDM NASDAQ · Nano Dimension Ltd
11 Jul 20251.58
1.47
-6.96%
Buy
0.14
-
-
NOA NYSE · North American Construction Group Ltd
24 Oct 202514.96
13.92
-6.93%
Buy
0.03
-
-
NOG NYSE · Northern Oil & Gas Inc
12 Dec 202521.82
21.18
-2.94%
Buy
0.07
-
-
NOMA NASDAQ · NOMADAR Corp. Class A Common Stock
22 May 20263.60
2.92
-18.89%
Buy
0.33
-
-
NOMD NYSE · Nomad Foods Ltd
5 Jun 20269.91
11.72
18.26%
Buy
0.05
-
-
NOVT NASDAQ · Novanta Inc
30 May 2025123.82
141.54
14.31%
Buy
0.03
-
-
NOW NYSE · ServiceNow Inc
22 May 2026102.13
98.78
-3.28%
Buy
0.41
-
-
NRDS NASDAQ · Nerdwallet Inc
17 Jul 20269.26
8.88
-4.10%
Buy
0.13
-
-
NRT NYSE · North European Oil Royalty Trust
26 Sep 20255.25
8.89
69.31%
Buy
0.56
-
-
NRXP NASDAQ · NRX Pharmaceuticals Inc
10 Apr 20262.22
3.75
68.92%
Buy
0.03
-
-
NSIT NASDAQ · Insight Enterprises Inc
22 May 202697.73
117.65
20.38%
Buy
1.28
-
-
NSP NYSE · Insperity Inc
8 May 202632.02
48.35
51.02%
Buy
0.09
-
-
NSSC NASDAQ · NAPCO Security Technologies Inc
16 May 202527.30
35.74
30.91%
Buy
0.11
-
-

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 4321-4350 of 10830
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
15 Aug 2025
Entry
UPS NYSE · United Parcel Service Inc
82.73
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.22
15 Aug 2025
Exit
URBN NASDAQ · Urban Outfitters Inc
77.53
Reversal Risk Warning
116.38%
Entry 28 Jul 2023 35.83
15 Aug 2025
Entry
VALE NYSE · Vale SA ADR
9.74
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.20
15 Aug 2025
Exit
VATE NYSE · Innovate Corp
4.69
20% entry drawdown
-21.70%
Entry 22 Nov 2024 5.99
15 Aug 2025
Entry
VRME NASDAQ · VerifyMe Inc
0.91
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.80
15 Aug 2025
Entry
VYGR NASDAQ · Voyager Therapeutics Inc
3.73
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.97
15 Aug 2025
Entry
WULF NASDAQ · Terawulf Inc
8.97
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.22
15 Aug 2025
Entry
ZBIO NASDAQ · Zenas BioPharma, Inc. Common Stock
16.82
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.99
15 Aug 2025
Entry
ZUMZ NASDAQ · Zumiez Inc
15.49
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.13
8 Aug 2025
Entry
AEO NYSE · American Eagle Outfitters Inc
12.19
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.42
8 Aug 2025
Exit
APM NASDAQ · Aptorum Group Ltd Class A
1.26
20% entry drawdown
-21.74%
Entry 18 Jul 2025 1.61
8 Aug 2025
Entry
AVY NYSE · Avery Dennison Corp
167.03
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.38
8 Aug 2025
Exit
BBSI NASDAQ · Barrett Business Services Inc
46.71
Reversal Risk Warning
82.69%
Entry 10 Nov 2023 25.57
8 Aug 2025
Exit
BRKR NASDAQ · Bruker Corporation
30.31
20% entry drawdown
-27.20%
Entry 27 Jun 2025 41.63
8 Aug 2025
Entry
CCCC NASDAQ · C4 Therapeutics Inc
2.50
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.30
8 Aug 2025
Exit
CIFR NASDAQ · Cipher Mining Inc
4.75
20% entry drawdown
-21.49%
Entry 4 Jul 2025 6.05
8 Aug 2025
Exit
CLB NYSE · Core Laboratories NV
10.20
20% entry drawdown
-20.02%
Entry 4 Jul 2025 12.75
8 Aug 2025
Exit
COOK NYSE · Traeger Inc
70.50
20% entry drawdown
-21.67%
Entry 13 Jun 2025 90.00
8 Aug 2025
Entry
CSTL NASDAQ · Castle Biosciences Inc
19.36
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.04
8 Aug 2025
Exit
DAR NYSE · Darling Ingredients Inc
30.63
20% entry drawdown
-20.69%
Entry 20 Jun 2025 38.62
8 Aug 2025
Exit
DASH NASDAQ · DoorDash, Inc. Class A Common Stock
259.19
Reversal Risk Warning
117.24%
Entry 9 Feb 2024 119.31
8 Aug 2025
Entry
DSGN NASDAQ · Design Therapeutics Inc
4.28
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.53
8 Aug 2025
Exit
DTCX NASDAQ · Datacentrex, Inc.
15.46
Reversal Risk Warning
264.62%
Entry 28 Mar 2025 4.24
8 Aug 2025
Exit
ECOR NASDAQ · Electrocore LLC
4.62
20% entry drawdown
-32.85%
Entry 11 Jul 2025 6.88
8 Aug 2025
Exit
FAST NASDAQ · Fastenal Company
47.22
Reversal Risk Warning
65.15%
Entry 17 Nov 2023 28.59
8 Aug 2025
Entry
FET NYSE · Forum Energy Technologies Inc
22.17
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.93
8 Aug 2025
Exit
GLMD NASDAQ · Galmed Pharmaceuticals Ltd
1.45
20% entry drawdown
-25.06%
Entry 11 Jul 2025 1.94
8 Aug 2025
Entry
HLLY NYSE · Holley Inc
3.14
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.05
8 Aug 2025
Exit
HNRG NASDAQ · Hallador Energy Company
21.22
Reversal Risk Warning
100.38%
Entry 4 Oct 2024 10.59
8 Aug 2025
Entry
HP NYSE · Helmerich and Payne Inc
16.66
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.44