View US Trend Index

Signal Validation

Market Dynamics Performance Index

A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.

United States
Latest week 24 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
469.57
Total Return
369.57%
CAGR
54.68% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+33.24%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.60 Sortino 5.04
Current Holdings
1070
Transactions
10830 Avg 3054.5/yr · 254.5/mo · 58.7/wk
Exit Mix
4880 Stop 41.8% · Warning 57.6% · Other 0.5%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.

01

Universe

Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
  • Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
  • Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

24 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
22
ALC NYSE · Alcon AG
67.91 MD 0.00 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BIXI NASDAQ · Bitcoin Infrastructure Acquisition Corp Ltd. Class A Ordinary Shares
10.01 MD 1.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BUR NYSE · Burford Capital Ltd
4.14 MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CAG NYSE · Conagra Brands, Inc.
14.77 MD 0.57 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CJMB NASDAQ · Callan JMB Inc. Common Stock
2.55 MD 0.41 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
FMST NASDAQ · Foremost Lithium Resource & Technology Ltd. Common stock
1.65 MD 0.05 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GCL NASDAQ · GCL Global Holdings Ltd Ordinary Shares
0.51 MD 0.67 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
KNDI NASDAQ · Kandi Technologies Group Inc
0.65 MD 0.31 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LAFA NASDAQ · LaFayette Acquisition Corp. Ordinary Share
10.11 MD 0.90 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LVLU NASDAQ · Lulu's Fashion Lounge Holdings Inc
19.20 MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LW NYSE · Lamb Weston Holdings Inc
49.58 MD 1.48 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MAMO NASDAQ · Massimo Group Common Stock
0.98 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
NBP NASDAQ · NovaBridge Biosciences
1.77 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OFIX NASDAQ · Orthofix Medical Inc
11.25 MD 0.22 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OTIS NYSE · Otis Worldwide Corp
71.93 MD 0.05 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OTLY NASDAQ · Oatly Group AB ADR
13.37 MD 0.05 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PLNT NYSE · Planet Fitness Inc
53.48 MD 0.02 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PSN NYSE · Parsons Corp
58.73 MD 0.56 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SRFM NYSE · Surf Air Mobility Inc.
0.79 MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TDWD NASDAQ · Tailwind 2.0 Acquisition Corp. Class A Ordinary Shares
10.04 MD 0.93 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WSTN NASDAQ · Westin Acquisition Corp
10.13 MD 1.67 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WVVIP NASDAQ · Willamette Valley Vineyards Inc PR
2.78 MD 0.21 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
29
AMST NASDAQ · Amesite Operating Co
0.99 20% entry drawdown · -21.44%
ATER NASDAQ · Aterian Inc
0.40 20% entry drawdown · -70.94%
BARK NYSE · BARK, Inc.
8.51 20% entry drawdown · -22.14%
BZFD NASDAQ · BuzzFeed Inc
1.11 20% entry drawdown · -25.50%
BZH NYSE · Beazer Homes USA Inc
33.19 Reversal Risk Warning · 60.11%
COOK NYSE · Traeger Inc
61.26 20% entry drawdown · -22.75%
DAR NYSE · Darling Ingredients Inc
62.50 Reversal Risk Warning · 59.93%
DFSC NASDAQ · DEFSEC Technologies Inc.
1.51 20% entry drawdown · -35.19%
GEHC NASDAQ · GE HealthCare Technologies Inc.
60.58 20% entry drawdown · -20.22%
GOOS NYSE · Canada Goose Holdings Inc
8.89 20% entry drawdown · -24.47%
GTEC NASDAQ · Greenland Acquisition Corp
0.51 20% entry drawdown · -21.19%
LFCR NASDAQ · Lifecore Biomedical Inc.
4.33 20% entry drawdown · -21.84%
LFMD NASDAQ · LifeMD Inc
3.71 20% entry drawdown · -20.04%
LOCL NYSE · Local Bounti Corp
1.06 20% entry drawdown · -22.63%
NIXX NASDAQ · Nixxy, Inc.
0.85 20% entry drawdown · -35.80%
NKTX NASDAQ · Nkarta Inc
2.27 20% entry drawdown · -25.08%
PEW NYSE · GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc.
2.33 20% entry drawdown · -21.28%
PPSI NASDAQ · Pioneer Power Solutions Inc.
2.98 20% entry drawdown · -25.13%
RC NYSE · Ready Capital Corp
1.47 20% entry drawdown · -20.97%
REAX NASDAQ · Real Brokerage Inc
1.69 20% entry drawdown · -22.12%
SAFX NASDAQ · XCF Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock
0.41 20% entry drawdown · -25.36%
SEDG NASDAQ · SolarEdge Technologies Inc
42.60 20% entry drawdown · -31.02%
SGRP NASDAQ · SPAR Group Inc
0.38 20% entry drawdown · -46.99%
SRG NYSE · Seritage Growth Properties
2.31 20% entry drawdown · -22.22%
TOMZ NASDAQ · TOMI Environmental Solutions Inc
1.54 20% entry drawdown · -33.95%
UPST NASDAQ · Upstart Holdings Inc
26.93 20% entry drawdown · -20.30%
WETO NASDAQ · Webus International Limited Ordinary Shares
0.69 Price scale break · 37.71%
WRAP NASDAQ · Wrap Technologies Inc
1.70 20% entry drawdown · -30.89%
XELB NASDAQ · Xcel Brands Inc
1.23 20% entry drawdown · -21.15%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 691-720 of 1070 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signal MD ROC RS
NTIC NASDAQ · Northern Technologies
4 Jul 20258.25
8.04
-2.54%
Buy
0.03
-
-
NTLA NASDAQ · Intellia Therapeutics Inc
20 Feb 202612.64
10.73
-15.11%
Buy
0.15
-
-
NTNX NASDAQ · Nutanix Inc
24 Apr 202640.56
55.04
35.70%
Buy
0.02
-
-
NVAX NASDAQ · Novavax Inc
30 May 20257.34
7.46
1.63%
Buy
0.03
-
-
NVCR NASDAQ · Novocure Ltd
1 May 202616.62
17.65
6.20%
Buy
0.19
-
-
NVO NYSE · Novo Nordisk A/S
22 May 202644.96
48.77
8.47%
Buy
0.26
-
-
NVR NYSE · NVR Inc
26 Jun 20266828.62
6414.67
-6.06%
Buy
0.38
-
-
NVST NYSE · Envista Holdings Corp
16 Aug 202417.91
26.33
47.01%
Buy
0.28
-
-
NWL NASDAQ · Newell Brands Inc
12 Jun 20264.92
5.08
3.25%
Buy
0.17
-
-
NX NYSE · Quanex Building Products
19 Dec 202515.30
18.60
21.59%
Buy
0.25
-
-
NXDR NYSE · NXDR
15 May 20262.03
2.19
7.88%
Buy
0.30
-
-
NXPL NASDAQ · Nextplat Corp
1 May 20266.34
5.87
-7.41%
Buy
0.10
-
-
NXRT NYSE · Nexpoint Residential Trust Inc
8 May 202629.38
26.07
-11.27%
Buy
0.03
-
-
OBA NASDAQ · Oxley Bridge Acquisition Limited Class A Ordinary Shares
6 Mar 202610.12
10.26
1.33%
Buy
0.75
-
-
OBIO NASDAQ · Orchestra BioMed Holdings Inc.
17 Oct 20253.32
3.74
12.65%
Buy
0.99
-
-
OC NYSE · Owens Corning Inc
23 Jan 2026123.48
142.34
15.27%
Buy
0.19
-
-
OCSL NASDAQ · Oaktree Specialty Lending Corp
17 Apr 202612.75
11.68
-8.40%
Buy
0.09
-
-
ODD NASDAQ · ODDITY Tech Ltd. Class A Ordinary Shares
12 Jun 202611.72
15.34
30.89%
Buy
0.38
-
-
OEC NYSE · Orion Engineered Carbons SA
27 Mar 20266.04
6.99
15.68%
Buy
0.37
-
-
OFIX NASDAQ · Orthofix Medical Inc
24 Jul 202611.25
11.25
New Entry week
Buy
0.22
-
-
OFS NASDAQ · OFS Capital Corp
17 Apr 20263.96
3.27
-17.33%
Buy
0.09
-
-
OGCP NYSE · Empire State Realty OP LP
15 May 20265.69
5.40
-5.02%
Buy
0.04
-
-
OGN NYSE · Organon & Co
17 Apr 20269.75
13.52
38.73%
Buy
0.23
-
-
OI NYSE · O-I Glass Inc
3 Jul 20269.79
9.08
-7.25%
Buy
0.11
-
-
OKUR NASDAQ · OnKure Therapeutics, Inc.
22 Aug 20252.83
4.12
45.58%
Buy
1.52
-
-
OLED NASDAQ · Universal Display
19 Jun 202688.94
79.27
-10.87%
Buy
0.08
-
-
OLN NYSE · Olin Corporation
22 Aug 202522.41
23.20
3.54%
Buy
1.14
-
-
OLPX NASDAQ · Olaplex Holdings Inc
26 Dec 20251.35
2.07
53.33%
Buy
0.38
-
-
OMC NYSE · Omnicom Group Inc
4 Jul 202571.80
79.66
10.94%
Buy
0.02
-
-
OMCL NASDAQ · Omnicell Inc
21 Nov 202536.00
41.00
13.89%
Buy
1.53
-
-

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 6781-6810 of 10830
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
22 Nov 2024
Exit
SNFCA NASDAQ · Security National Financial
11.61
Reversal Risk Warning
74.77%
Entry 25 Aug 2023 6.64
22 Nov 2024
Entry
SNSE NASDAQ · Sensei Biotherapeutics Inc
10.42
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.09
22 Nov 2024
Exit
SRTS NASDAQ · Sensus Healthcare Inc
8.89
Reversal Risk Warning
238.02%
Entry 5 Jan 2024 2.63
22 Nov 2024
Entry
SSP NASDAQ · E. W. Scripps Co Class A
2.10
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.98
22 Nov 2024
Entry
SWVL NASDAQ · Swvl Holdings Corp
6.16
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.00
22 Nov 2024
Exit
TPL NYSE · Texas Pacific Land Corporation
570.92
Reversal Risk Warning
134.18%
Entry 14 Jun 2024 243.79
22 Nov 2024
Entry
TULP NASDAQ · Bloomia Holdings, Inc.
4.13
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.21
22 Nov 2024
Exit
TV NYSE · Grupo Televisa SAB ADR
1.98
20% entry drawdown
-20.38%
Entry 4 Oct 2024 2.48
22 Nov 2024
Entry
UNCY NASDAQ · Unicycive Therapeutics Inc
5.30
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.92
22 Nov 2024
Exit
USCB NASDAQ · US Century Bank
19.81
Reversal Risk Warning
78.20%
Entry 21 Jul 2023 11.11
22 Nov 2024
Exit
USLM NASDAQ · United States Lime & Minerals Inc
149.23
Reversal Risk Warning
157.44%
Entry 15 Mar 2024 57.97
22 Nov 2024
Entry
VATE NYSE · Innovate Corp
5.99
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.87
22 Nov 2024
Exit
VCEL NASDAQ · Vericel Corp Ord
59.11
Reversal Risk Warning
61.59%
Entry 17 Nov 2023 36.58
22 Nov 2024
Entry
VUZI NASDAQ · Vuzix Corp Cmn Stk
1.71
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.95
22 Nov 2024
Exit
WAL NYSE · Western Alliance Bancorporation
90.97
Reversal Risk Warning
100.66%
Entry 21 Jul 2023 45.34
22 Nov 2024
Exit
XCUR NASDAQ · Exicure Inc
2.90
Price scale break
-8.23%
Entry 1 Nov 2024 3.16
22 Nov 2024
Exit
ZG NASDAQ · Zillow Group Inc
80.79
Reversal Risk Warning
80.94%
Entry 5 Jul 2024 44.65
15 Nov 2024
Entry
ACHR NYSE · Archer Aviation Inc
4.11
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.57
15 Nov 2024
Exit
ACRS NASDAQ · Aclaris Therapeutics Inc
2.05
20% entry drawdown
-22.35%
Entry 8 Nov 2024 2.64
15 Nov 2024
Entry
AISP NASDAQ · Airship AI Holdings Inc
2.85
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.03
15 Nov 2024
Entry
ALGS NASDAQ · Aligos Therapeutics Inc
19.17
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.13
15 Nov 2024
Exit
AMLX NASDAQ · Amylyx Pharmaceuticals Inc
4.76
20% entry drawdown
-28.96%
Entry 8 Nov 2024 6.70
15 Nov 2024
Exit
AMTD NYSE · AMTD IDEA Group
1.13
20% entry drawdown
-26.14%
Entry 4 Oct 2024 1.53
15 Nov 2024
Exit
ANAB NASDAQ · AnaptysBio Inc
12.67
20% entry drawdown
-24.18%
Entry 28 Jun 2024 16.71
15 Nov 2024
Entry
ASLE NASDAQ · AerSale Corp
6.06
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.84
15 Nov 2024
Exit
AUB NYSE · Atlantic Union Bankshares Corp
39.93
Reversal Risk Warning
44.04%
Entry 28 Jul 2023 27.72
15 Nov 2024
Exit
BNAI NASDAQ · Brand Engagement Network Inc
8.00
20% entry drawdown
-27.93%
Entry 8 Nov 2024 11.10
15 Nov 2024
Entry
BTCS NASDAQ · BTCS Inc
4.30
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.32
15 Nov 2024
Exit
BZ NASDAQ · Kanzhun Ltd ADR
13.35
20% entry drawdown
-20.94%
Entry 11 Oct 2024 16.88
15 Nov 2024
Exit
CBSH NASDAQ · Commerce Bancshares Inc
62.79
Reversal Risk Warning
51.94%
Entry 24 Nov 2023 41.33