Signal Validation

Market Dynamics Performance Index

A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.

United States
Latest week 17 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
479.75
Total Return
379.75%
CAGR
56.00% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+34.22%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.65 Sortino 5.16
Current Holdings
1081
Transactions
10781 Avg 3057.2/yr · 254.8/mo · 58.8/wk
Exit Mix
4850 Stop 41.5% · Warning 58.0% · Other 0.5%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.

01

Universe

Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
  • Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
  • Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

17 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
18
ADBE NASDAQ · Adobe Systems Incorporated
237.25 MD 0.17 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BL NASDAQ · Blackline Inc
30.29 MD 0.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BLKB NASDAQ · Blackbaud Inc
32.40 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CDNL NASDAQ · Cardinal Infrastructure Group Inc. Class A Common Stock
71.23 MD 1.59 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CURV NYSE · Torrid Holdings Inc
2.33 MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
DFIN NYSE · Donnelley Financial Solutions Inc
49.95 MD 0.06 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
EXPO NASDAQ · Exponent Inc
62.88 MD 0.09 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
FIS NYSE · Fidelity National Information Services Inc
41.91 MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
HCKT NASDAQ · The Hackett Group Inc
10.34 MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ICFI NASDAQ · ICF International Inc
78.86 MD 0.80 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LAW NYSE · CS Disco LLC
4.05 MD 0.26 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
NRDS NASDAQ · Nerdwallet Inc
9.26 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ONT NYSE · Onterris
20.93 MD 0.36 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OPRX NASDAQ · OPTIMIZERx Corp
6.69 MD 0.86 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PODD NASDAQ · Insulet Corporation
164.06 MD 0.42 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
RCEL NASDAQ · Avita Medical Ltd
5.10 MD 0.39 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
UPWK NASDAQ · Upwork Inc
9.06 MD 0.10 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
XRAY NASDAQ · Dentsply Sirona Inc
14.05 MD 0.72 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
35
ACB NASDAQ · Aurora Cannabis Inc
2.63 20% entry drawdown · -20.78%
AIFU NASDAQ · Fanhua Inc.
34.52 20% entry drawdown · -25.28%
AKTX NASDAQ · Akari Therapeutics PLC
11.01 20% entry drawdown · -20.68%
ALDX NASDAQ · Aldeyra The
1.69 20% entry drawdown · -25.55%
ARCT NASDAQ · Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings Inc
6.05 20% entry drawdown · -26.49%
AWRE NASDAQ · Aware Inc
1.11 20% entry drawdown · -26.97%
BEEM NASDAQ · Beam Global
1.03 20% entry drawdown · -24.82%
BNAI NASDAQ · Brand Engagement Network Inc
11.62 20% entry drawdown · -29.49%
BTBT NASDAQ · Bit Digital Inc
1.40 20% entry drawdown · -29.65%
EIX NYSE · Edison International
77.63 Reversal Risk Warning · 49.97%
EVGO NASDAQ · Evgo Inc
1.68 20% entry drawdown · -20.94%
EVO NASDAQ · Evotec SE ADR
1.96 20% entry drawdown · -27.94%
GENK NASDAQ · GEN Restaurant Group, Inc. Class A Common Stock
1.77 20% entry drawdown · -24.36%
GLXG NASDAQ · Galaxy Payroll Group Limited Ordinary Shares
1.05 20% entry drawdown · -28.08%
HUBG NASDAQ · Hub Group Inc
51.22 Reversal Risk Warning · 45.11%
INV NASDAQ · Innventure, Inc.
3.37 20% entry drawdown · -27.37%
JLHL NASDAQ · Julong Holding Limited Class A Ordinary Shares
9.35 20% entry drawdown · -20.29%
LEDS NASDAQ · SemiLEDS Corporation
3.01 Reversal Risk Warning · 67.22%
LONA NASDAQ · LeonaBio, Inc.
7.22 20% entry drawdown · -27.22%
MTEX NASDAQ · Mannatech Incorporated
4.25 20% entry drawdown · -21.59%
OABI NASDAQ · OmniAb Inc.
2.12 20% entry drawdown · -20.00%
OCCI NASDAQ · OFS Credit Company Inc
2.27 20% entry drawdown · -23.83%
PBF NYSE · PBF Energy Inc
62.75 Reversal Risk Warning · 219.84%
PLUG NASDAQ · Plug Power Inc
2.17 20% entry drawdown · -20.80%
PMCB NASDAQ · PharmaCyte Biotech Inc
0.63 20% entry drawdown · -21.31%
PMEC NASDAQ · Primech Holdings Ltd. Ordinary Shares
0.52 20% entry drawdown · -28.59%
QFIN NASDAQ · 360 Finance Inc
12.73 20% entry drawdown · -20.83%
RPT NYSE · Rithm Property Trust Inc.
10.89 20% entry drawdown · -27.03%
RXRX NASDAQ · Recursion Pharmaceuticals Inc
2.95 20% entry drawdown · -22.50%
SNPS NASDAQ · Synopsys Inc
384.28 20% entry drawdown · -25.60%
SORA NASDAQ · Top Win International Limited
1.73 20% entry drawdown · -23.18%
VERU NASDAQ · Veru Inc
2.38 20% entry drawdown · -30.00%
WING NASDAQ · Wingstop Inc
142.33 20% entry drawdown · -20.03%
WW NASDAQ · WW International, Inc. Common Stock
14.57 20% entry drawdown · -21.46%
ZSQR NASDAQ · Z Squared Inc.
5.06 20% entry drawdown · -45.47%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 691-720 of 1081 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signal MD ROC RS
NSIT NASDAQ · Insight Enterprises Inc
22 May 202697.73
115.33
18.00%
Buy
1.28
-
-
NSP NYSE · Insperity Inc
8 May 202632.02
49.55
54.77%
Buy
0.09
-
-
NSSC NASDAQ · NAPCO Security Technologies Inc
16 May 202527.30
36.12
32.30%
Buy
0.11
-
-
NTIC NASDAQ · Northern Technologies
4 Jul 20258.25
8.09
-1.93%
Buy
0.03
-
-
NTLA NASDAQ · Intellia Therapeutics Inc
20 Feb 202612.64
11.38
-10.01%
Buy
0.15
-
-
NTNX NASDAQ · Nutanix Inc
24 Apr 202640.56
55.08
35.80%
Buy
0.02
-
-
NVAX NASDAQ · Novavax Inc
30 May 20257.34
8.21
11.85%
Buy
0.03
-
-
NVCR NASDAQ · Novocure Ltd
1 May 202616.62
15.92
-4.21%
Buy
0.19
-
-
NVO NYSE · Novo Nordisk A/S
22 May 202644.96
50.32
11.92%
Buy
0.26
-
-
NVR NYSE · NVR Inc
26 Jun 20266828.62
6490.04
-4.96%
Buy
0.38
-
-
NVST NYSE · Envista Holdings Corp
16 Aug 202417.91
26.74
49.30%
Buy
0.28
-
-
NWL NASDAQ · Newell Brands Inc
12 Jun 20264.92
5.23
6.30%
Buy
0.17
-
-
NX NYSE · Quanex Building Products
19 Dec 202515.30
18.17
18.78%
Buy
0.25
-
-
NXDR NYSE · NXDR
15 May 20262.03
2.39
17.73%
Buy
0.30
-
-
NXPL NASDAQ · Nextplat Corp
1 May 20266.34
5.81
-8.36%
Buy
0.10
-
-
NXRT NYSE · Nexpoint Residential Trust Inc
8 May 202629.38
26.59
-9.50%
Buy
0.03
-
-
OBA NASDAQ · Oxley Bridge Acquisition Limited Class A Ordinary Shares
6 Mar 202610.12
10.26
1.38%
Buy
0.75
-
-
OBIO NASDAQ · Orchestra BioMed Holdings Inc.
17 Oct 20253.32
3.68
10.84%
Buy
0.99
-
-
OC NYSE · Owens Corning Inc
23 Jan 2026123.48
143.91
16.54%
Buy
0.19
-
-
OCSL NASDAQ · Oaktree Specialty Lending Corp
17 Apr 202612.75
12.15
-4.71%
Buy
0.09
-
-
ODD NASDAQ · ODDITY Tech Ltd. Class A Ordinary Shares
12 Jun 202611.72
16.33
39.29%
Buy
0.38
-
-
OEC NYSE · Orion Engineered Carbons SA
27 Mar 20266.04
6.85
13.36%
Buy
0.37
-
-
OFS NASDAQ · OFS Capital Corp
17 Apr 20263.96
3.50
-11.51%
Buy
0.09
-
-
OGCP NYSE · Empire State Realty OP LP
15 May 20265.69
5.55
-2.38%
Buy
0.04
-
-
OGN NYSE · Organon & Co
17 Apr 20269.75
13.52
38.73%
Buy
0.23
-
-
OI NYSE · O-I Glass Inc
3 Jul 20269.79
9.10
-7.05%
Buy
0.11
-
-
OKUR NASDAQ · OnKure Therapeutics, Inc.
22 Aug 20252.83
4.20
48.41%
Buy
1.52
-
-
OLED NASDAQ · Universal Display
19 Jun 202688.94
80.18
-9.85%
Buy
0.08
-
-
OLN NYSE · Olin Corporation
22 Aug 202522.41
21.99
-1.86%
Buy
1.14
-
-
OLPX NASDAQ · Olaplex Holdings Inc
26 Dec 20251.35
2.07
53.33%
Buy
0.38
-
-

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 2881-2910 of 10781
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
23 Jan 2026
Exit
EVAX NASDAQ · Evaxion Biotech AS
4.04
20% entry drawdown
-25.60%
Entry 3 Oct 2025 5.43
23 Jan 2026
Entry
EVTV NASDAQ · Envirotech Vehicles Inc
1.94
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.24
23 Jan 2026
Exit
EXK NYSE · Endeavour Silver Corp.
14.12
Reversal Risk Warning
325.30%
Entry 10 May 2024 3.32
23 Jan 2026
Exit
FBIO NASDAQ · Fortress Biotech Inc
3.40
20% entry drawdown
-20.93%
Entry 9 Jan 2026 4.30
23 Jan 2026
Exit
FTAI NASDAQ · FTAI Aviation Ltd.
291.08
Reversal Risk Warning
250.83%
Entry 24 May 2024 82.97
23 Jan 2026
Exit
GILT NASDAQ · Gilat Satellite Networks Ltd
18.65
Reversal Risk Warning
179.61%
Entry 17 Jan 2025 6.67
23 Jan 2026
Entry
HGBL NASDAQ · Heritage Global Inc
1.37
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.23
23 Jan 2026
Exit
HL NYSE · Hecla Mining Company
31.80
Reversal Risk Warning
273.89%
Entry 29 Aug 2025 8.50
23 Jan 2026
Exit
HMY NYSE · Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited
23.02
Reversal Risk Warning
395.10%
Entry 13 Oct 2023 4.65
23 Jan 2026
Exit
HYMC NASDAQ · Hycroft Mining Holding Corporation
50.65
Reversal Risk Warning
332.91%
Entry 28 Nov 2025 11.70
23 Jan 2026
Exit
IMNM NASDAQ · Immunome Inc
25.87
Reversal Risk Warning
144.52%
Entry 18 Jul 2025 10.58
23 Jan 2026
Exit
IVA NASDAQ · Inventiva Sa
7.15
Reversal Risk Warning
168.80%
Entry 25 Oct 2024 2.66
23 Jan 2026
Exit
KEP NYSE · Korea Electric Power Corp ADR
21.60
Reversal Risk Warning
167.84%
Entry 13 Sep 2024 8.06
23 Jan 2026
Exit
KGC NYSE · Kinross Gold Corporation
37.06
Reversal Risk Warning
368.62%
Entry 24 May 2024 7.91
23 Jan 2026
Exit
LHX NYSE · L3Harris Technologies Inc
352.09
Reversal Risk Warning
99.94%
Entry 3 Nov 2023 176.10
23 Jan 2026
Exit
LMND NYSE · Lemonade Inc
93.25
Reversal Risk Warning
227.88%
Entry 8 Nov 2024 28.44
23 Jan 2026
Exit
LTM NYSE · LATAM Airlines Group S.A.
63.46
Reversal Risk Warning
144.36%
Entry 25 Oct 2024 25.97
23 Jan 2026
Entry
MRNA NASDAQ · Moderna Inc
48.71
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.83
23 Jan 2026
Entry
NAMM NASDAQ · Namib Minerals Ordinary Shares
3.10
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.35
23 Jan 2026
Entry
NCEW NASDAQ · New Century Logistics (BVI) Limited Ordinary Shares
8.40
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 2.00
23 Jan 2026
Exit
NEM NYSE · Newmont Goldcorp Corp
123.74
Reversal Risk Warning
165.34%
Entry 21 Mar 2025 46.63
23 Jan 2026
Entry
NRDY NYSE · Nerdy Inc
1.12
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.12
23 Jan 2026
Exit
NUAI NASDAQ · New Era Energy & Digital, Inc.
7.30
Reversal Risk Warning
296.47%
Entry 26 Sep 2025 1.84
23 Jan 2026
Entry
NWL NASDAQ · Newell Brands Inc
4.17
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.12
23 Jan 2026
Exit
NXE NYSE · NexGen Energy Ltd.
12.58
Reversal Risk Warning
101.60%
Entry 23 May 2025 6.24
23 Jan 2026
Entry
OC NYSE · Owens Corning Inc
123.48
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.19
23 Jan 2026
Exit
OR NYSE · Osisko Gold Ro
45.13
Reversal Risk Warning
147.88%
Entry 20 Sep 2024 18.21
23 Jan 2026
Entry
PACB NASDAQ · Pacific Biosciences of California
2.58
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.14
23 Jan 2026
Exit
PCAR NASDAQ · PACCAR Inc
121.31
Reversal Risk Warning
46.23%
Entry 24 Nov 2023 82.96
23 Jan 2026
Exit
PH NYSE · Parker-Hannifin Corporation
924.18
Reversal Risk Warning
101.39%
Entry 19 Jan 2024 458.90