Signal Validation

Market Dynamics Performance Index

A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.

United States
Latest week 17 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
478.70
Total Return
378.70%
CAGR
55.90% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+34.12%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.64 Sortino 5.14
Current Holdings
1077
Transactions
10779 Avg 3056.6/yr · 254.7/mo · 58.8/wk
Exit Mix
4851 Stop 41.6% · Warning 57.9% · Other 0.5%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.

01

Universe

Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
  • Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
  • Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

17 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
19
ADBE NASDAQ · Adobe Systems Incorporated
237.25 MD 0.17 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BL NASDAQ · Blackline Inc
30.29 MD 0.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BLKB NASDAQ · Blackbaud Inc
32.40 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CURV NYSE · Torrid Holdings Inc
2.33 MD 0.17 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
DFIN NYSE · Donnelley Financial Solutions Inc
49.95 MD 0.06 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
EXPO NASDAQ · Exponent Inc
62.88 MD 0.09 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
FIS NYSE · Fidelity National Information Services Inc
41.91 MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
HCKT NASDAQ · The Hackett Group Inc
10.34 MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ICFI NASDAQ · ICF International Inc
78.86 MD 0.80 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
IQ NASDAQ · iQIYI Inc
1.19 MD 0.25 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LAW NYSE · CS Disco LLC
4.05 MD 0.26 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MAT NASDAQ · Mattel Inc
14.30 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
NRDS NASDAQ · Nerdwallet Inc
9.26 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ONT NYSE · Onterris
20.93 MD 0.36 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OPRX NASDAQ · OPTIMIZERx Corp
6.69 MD 0.86 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PODD NASDAQ · Insulet Corporation
164.06 MD 0.42 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
RCEL NASDAQ · Avita Medical Ltd
5.10 MD 0.39 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
UPWK NASDAQ · Upwork Inc
9.06 MD 0.10 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
XRAY NASDAQ · Dentsply Sirona Inc
14.05 MD 0.72 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
36
ACB NASDAQ · Aurora Cannabis Inc
2.63 20% entry drawdown · -20.78%
AIFU NASDAQ · Fanhua Inc.
34.52 20% entry drawdown · -25.28%
AKTX NASDAQ · Akari Therapeutics PLC
11.01 20% entry drawdown · -20.68%
ALDX NASDAQ · Aldeyra The
1.69 20% entry drawdown · -25.55%
ARCT NASDAQ · Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings Inc
6.05 20% entry drawdown · -26.49%
AWRE NASDAQ · Aware Inc
1.11 20% entry drawdown · -26.97%
BEEM NASDAQ · Beam Global
1.03 20% entry drawdown · -24.82%
BNAI NASDAQ · Brand Engagement Network Inc
11.62 20% entry drawdown · -29.49%
BTBT NASDAQ · Bit Digital Inc
1.40 20% entry drawdown · -29.65%
EIX NYSE · Edison International
77.63 Reversal Risk Warning · 49.97%
EVGO NASDAQ · Evgo Inc
1.68 20% entry drawdown · -20.94%
EVO NASDAQ · Evotec SE ADR
1.96 20% entry drawdown · -27.94%
GENK NASDAQ · GEN Restaurant Group, Inc. Class A Common Stock
1.77 20% entry drawdown · -24.36%
GLXG NASDAQ · Galaxy Payroll Group Limited Ordinary Shares
1.05 20% entry drawdown · -28.08%
GRDX NASDAQ · GridAI Technologies Corp.
3.82 20% entry drawdown · -29.26%
HUBG NASDAQ · Hub Group Inc
51.22 Reversal Risk Warning · 45.11%
INV NASDAQ · Innventure, Inc.
3.37 20% entry drawdown · -27.37%
JLHL NASDAQ · Julong Holding Limited Class A Ordinary Shares
9.35 20% entry drawdown · -20.29%
LEDS NASDAQ · SemiLEDS Corporation
3.01 Reversal Risk Warning · 67.22%
LONA NASDAQ · LeonaBio, Inc.
7.22 20% entry drawdown · -27.22%
MTEX NASDAQ · Mannatech Incorporated
4.25 20% entry drawdown · -21.59%
OABI NASDAQ · OmniAb Inc.
2.12 20% entry drawdown · -20.00%
OCCI NASDAQ · OFS Credit Company Inc
2.27 20% entry drawdown · -23.83%
PBF NYSE · PBF Energy Inc
62.75 Reversal Risk Warning · 219.84%
PLUG NASDAQ · Plug Power Inc
2.17 20% entry drawdown · -20.80%
PMCB NASDAQ · PharmaCyte Biotech Inc
0.63 20% entry drawdown · -21.31%
PMEC NASDAQ · Primech Holdings Ltd. Ordinary Shares
0.52 20% entry drawdown · -28.59%
QFIN NASDAQ · 360 Finance Inc
12.73 20% entry drawdown · -20.83%
RPT NYSE · Rithm Property Trust Inc.
10.89 20% entry drawdown · -27.03%
RXRX NASDAQ · Recursion Pharmaceuticals Inc
2.95 20% entry drawdown · -22.50%
SNPS NASDAQ · Synopsys Inc
384.28 20% entry drawdown · -25.60%
SORA NASDAQ · Top Win International Limited
1.73 20% entry drawdown · -23.18%
VERU NASDAQ · Veru Inc
2.38 20% entry drawdown · -30.00%
WING NASDAQ · Wingstop Inc
142.33 20% entry drawdown · -20.03%
WW NASDAQ · WW International, Inc. Common Stock
14.57 20% entry drawdown · -21.46%
ZSQR NASDAQ · Z Squared Inc.
5.06 20% entry drawdown · -45.47%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 871-900 of 1077 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signal MD ROC RS
SKIL NYSE · Skillsoft Corp.
24 Apr 20266.43
6.44
0.16%
Buy
0.09
-
-
SKIN NASDAQ · Beauty Health Co
10 Jul 20260.91
0.84
-7.23%
Buy
0.21
-
-
SKK NASDAQ · SKK Holdings Limited
15 May 20264.77
4.87
1.99%
Buy
0.39
-
-
SKYX NASDAQ · SKYX Platforms Corp
10 Jul 20261.27
1.18
-7.09%
Buy
0.09
-
-
SLGN NYSE · Silgan Holdings Inc
26 Jun 202646.23
47.18
2.05%
Buy
0.38
-
-
SLN NASDAQ · Silence Therapeutics PLC
17 Apr 20267.53
10.50
39.44%
Buy
0.62
-
-
SLNG NASDAQ · Stabilis Solutions Inc
3 Jul 20264.19
3.79
-9.55%
Buy
0.43
-
-
SLVM NYSE · Sylvamo Corp
5 Sep 202544.03
38.34
-12.92%
Buy
0.17
-
-
SM NYSE · SM Energy Co
6 Feb 202620.76
31.32
50.85%
Buy
0.69
-
-
SMC NYSE · Summit Midstream Corporation
14 Nov 202523.76
29.44
23.91%
Buy
0.89
-
-
SMHI NYSE · SEACOR Marine Holdings Inc
30 May 20255.34
7.91
48.13%
Buy
0.10
-
-
SMPL NASDAQ · Simply Good Foods Co
12 Jun 202612.57
11.08
-11.85%
Buy
0.01
-
-
SMRT NYSE · SmartRent Inc
4 Jul 20251.11
0.96
-13.13%
Buy
0.68
-
-
SMTI NASDAQ · Sanara Medtech Inc
8 May 202618.40
25.00
35.87%
Buy
0.24
-
-
SMWB NYSE · SimilarWeb Ltd
19 Jun 20264.99
6.96
39.48%
Buy
1.21
-
-
SNDL NASDAQ · SNDL Inc.
1 May 20261.41
1.28
-9.22%
Buy
0.06
-
-
SOCA NASDAQ · Solarius Capital Acquisition Corp.
27 Mar 202610.14
10.28
1.38%
Buy
0.20
-
-
SOTK NASDAQ · Sono-Tek Corp
2 May 20254.01
5.50
37.33%
Buy
0.05
-
-
SPEG NASDAQ · Silver Pegasus Acquisition Corp.
24 Apr 202610.22
10.31
0.83%
Buy
2.94
-
-
SPMC NYSE · Sound Point Meridian Capital, Inc.
15 May 202610.76
10.20
-5.24%
Buy
0.30
-
-
SPPL NASDAQ · SIMPPLE LTD. Ordinary Shares
26 Jun 20263.92
3.19
-18.62%
Buy
1.23
-
-
SPRU NYSE · Spruce Power Holding Corp
19 Sep 20251.76
2.40
36.36%
Buy
0.07
-
-
SPT NASDAQ · Sprout Social Inc
8 May 20267.40
8.62
16.49%
Buy
0.05
-
-
SQFT NASDAQ · Presidio Property Trust
19 Jun 20262.68
2.32
-13.43%
Buy
0.02
-
-
SRAD NASDAQ · Sportradar Group AG
26 Jun 202614.85
14.38
-3.16%
Buy
0.23
-
-
SRG NYSE · Seritage Growth Properties
20 Jun 20252.97
2.64
-11.11%
Buy
0.22
-
-
SRI NYSE · Stoneridge Inc
6 Jun 20255.65
6.96
23.19%
Buy
1.27
-
-
SRPT NASDAQ · Sarepta Therapeutics Inc
26 Sep 202518.36
17.22
-6.21%
Buy
0.40
-
-
SSBI NASDAQ · Summit State Bank
20 Dec 20247.64
13.62
78.27%
Buy
0.06
-
-
SSEA NASDAQ · Starry Sea Acquisition Corp Ordinary Shares
24 Apr 202610.17
10.28
1.08%
Buy
1.14
-
-

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 4441-4470 of 10779
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
25 Jul 2025
Entry
IOVA NASDAQ · Iovance Biotherapeutics Inc
3.13
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.81
25 Jul 2025
Exit
ITOC NASDAQ · iTonic Holdings Ltd.
29.15
Reversal Risk Warning
425.97%
Entry 16 May 2025 5.54
25 Jul 2025
Exit
LASE NASDAQ · Laser Photonics Corporation Common Stock
3.04
20% entry drawdown
-21.65%
Entry 11 Jul 2025 3.88
25 Jul 2025
Entry
LIDR NASDAQ · Aeye Inc
4.44
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.40
25 Jul 2025
Entry
LNZA NASDAQ · LanzaTech Global Inc.
58.24
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.89
25 Jul 2025
Entry
NDLS NASDAQ · Noodles & Company
7.60
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.12
25 Jul 2025
Entry
NMRA NASDAQ · Neumora Therapeutics, Inc.
2.35
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.49
25 Jul 2025
Entry
NOTV NASDAQ · Inotiv Inc
2.22
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.19
25 Jul 2025
Entry
NTLA NASDAQ · Intellia Therapeutics Inc
13.60
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.69
25 Jul 2025
Exit
NTRB NASDAQ · Nutriband Inc
8.53
Reversal Risk Warning
280.99%
Entry 5 Jan 2024 2.24
25 Jul 2025
Entry
NUVB NYSE · Nuvation Bio Inc
2.50
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.75
25 Jul 2025
Entry
NXTC NASDAQ · NextCure  Inc
6.17
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.82
25 Jul 2025
Entry
POLA NASDAQ · Polar Power Inc
2.11
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.61
25 Jul 2025
Entry
RDZN NASDAQ · Roadzen Inc.
1.53
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.95
25 Jul 2025
Entry
REYN NASDAQ · Reynolds Consumer Products Inc
21.29
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.09
25 Jul 2025
Entry
SGML NASDAQ · Sigma Lithium Resources Corp
7.12
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.42
25 Jul 2025
Exit
SNPS NASDAQ · Synopsys Inc
601.55
Reversal Risk Warning
20.59%
Entry 23 May 2025 498.85
25 Jul 2025
Exit
SO NYSE · Southern Company
91.93
Reversal Risk Warning
44.02%
Entry 17 Nov 2023 63.83
25 Jul 2025
Entry
SPB NYSE · Spectrum Brands Holdings Inc
58.57
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.31
25 Jul 2025
Exit
STEW NYSE · SRH Total Return Fund Inc.
17.30
Reversal Risk Warning
42.69%
Entry 8 Dec 2023 12.12
25 Jul 2025
Entry
TAVI NASDAQ · Tavia Acquisition Corp. Ordinary Shares
10.28
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.24
25 Jul 2025
Entry
TFX NYSE · Teleflex Incorporated
115.85
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.19
25 Jul 2025
Entry
TLYS NYSE · Tillys Inc
1.79
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.58
25 Jul 2025
Exit
TT NYSE · Trane Technologies plc
467.66
Reversal Risk Warning
110.31%
Entry 17 Nov 2023 222.37
25 Jul 2025
Entry
TXG NASDAQ · 10X Genomics Inc
14.11
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.16
25 Jul 2025
Entry
UGRO NASDAQ · Urban-Gro Inc
11.00
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.58
25 Jul 2025
Entry
UPB NASDAQ · Upstream Bio, Inc.
13.63
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.48
25 Jul 2025
Entry
VERI NASDAQ · Veritone Inc
2.35
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.31
25 Jul 2025
Exit
VRSN NASDAQ · VeriSign Inc
302.04
Reversal Risk Warning
63.35%
Entry 2 Aug 2024 184.90
25 Jul 2025
Exit
VUZI NASDAQ · Vuzix Corp Cmn Stk
2.27
20% entry drawdown
-23.57%
Entry 6 Jun 2025 2.97