Signal Validation

Market Dynamics Performance Index

A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.

United States
Latest week 24 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
469.57
Total Return
369.57%
CAGR
54.68% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+33.24%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.60 Sortino 5.04
Current Holdings
1070
Transactions
10830 Avg 3054.5/yr · 254.5/mo · 58.7/wk
Exit Mix
4880 Stop 41.8% · Warning 57.6% · Other 0.5%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.

01

Universe

Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
  • Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
  • Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

24 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
22
ALC NYSE · Alcon AG
67.91 MD 0.00 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BIXI NASDAQ · Bitcoin Infrastructure Acquisition Corp Ltd. Class A Ordinary Shares
10.01 MD 1.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BUR NYSE · Burford Capital Ltd
4.14 MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CAG NYSE · Conagra Brands, Inc.
14.77 MD 0.57 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CJMB NASDAQ · Callan JMB Inc. Common Stock
2.55 MD 0.41 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
FMST NASDAQ · Foremost Lithium Resource & Technology Ltd. Common stock
1.65 MD 0.05 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GCL NASDAQ · GCL Global Holdings Ltd Ordinary Shares
0.51 MD 0.67 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
KNDI NASDAQ · Kandi Technologies Group Inc
0.65 MD 0.31 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LAFA NASDAQ · LaFayette Acquisition Corp. Ordinary Share
10.11 MD 0.90 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LVLU NASDAQ · Lulu's Fashion Lounge Holdings Inc
19.20 MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LW NYSE · Lamb Weston Holdings Inc
49.58 MD 1.48 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MAMO NASDAQ · Massimo Group Common Stock
0.98 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
NBP NASDAQ · NovaBridge Biosciences
1.77 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OFIX NASDAQ · Orthofix Medical Inc
11.25 MD 0.22 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OTIS NYSE · Otis Worldwide Corp
71.93 MD 0.05 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OTLY NASDAQ · Oatly Group AB ADR
13.37 MD 0.05 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PLNT NYSE · Planet Fitness Inc
53.48 MD 0.02 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PSN NYSE · Parsons Corp
58.73 MD 0.56 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SRFM NYSE · Surf Air Mobility Inc.
0.79 MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TDWD NASDAQ · Tailwind 2.0 Acquisition Corp. Class A Ordinary Shares
10.04 MD 0.93 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WSTN NASDAQ · Westin Acquisition Corp
10.13 MD 1.67 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WVVIP NASDAQ · Willamette Valley Vineyards Inc PR
2.78 MD 0.21 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
29
AMST NASDAQ · Amesite Operating Co
0.99 20% entry drawdown · -21.44%
ATER NASDAQ · Aterian Inc
0.40 20% entry drawdown · -70.94%
BARK NYSE · BARK, Inc.
8.51 20% entry drawdown · -22.14%
BZFD NASDAQ · BuzzFeed Inc
1.11 20% entry drawdown · -25.50%
BZH NYSE · Beazer Homes USA Inc
33.19 Reversal Risk Warning · 60.11%
COOK NYSE · Traeger Inc
61.26 20% entry drawdown · -22.75%
DAR NYSE · Darling Ingredients Inc
62.50 Reversal Risk Warning · 59.93%
DFSC NASDAQ · DEFSEC Technologies Inc.
1.51 20% entry drawdown · -35.19%
GEHC NASDAQ · GE HealthCare Technologies Inc.
60.58 20% entry drawdown · -20.22%
GOOS NYSE · Canada Goose Holdings Inc
8.89 20% entry drawdown · -24.47%
GTEC NASDAQ · Greenland Acquisition Corp
0.51 20% entry drawdown · -21.19%
LFCR NASDAQ · Lifecore Biomedical Inc.
4.33 20% entry drawdown · -21.84%
LFMD NASDAQ · LifeMD Inc
3.71 20% entry drawdown · -20.04%
LOCL NYSE · Local Bounti Corp
1.06 20% entry drawdown · -22.63%
NIXX NASDAQ · Nixxy, Inc.
0.85 20% entry drawdown · -35.80%
NKTX NASDAQ · Nkarta Inc
2.27 20% entry drawdown · -25.08%
PEW NYSE · GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc.
2.33 20% entry drawdown · -21.28%
PPSI NASDAQ · Pioneer Power Solutions Inc.
2.98 20% entry drawdown · -25.13%
RC NYSE · Ready Capital Corp
1.47 20% entry drawdown · -20.97%
REAX NASDAQ · Real Brokerage Inc
1.69 20% entry drawdown · -22.12%
SAFX NASDAQ · XCF Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock
0.41 20% entry drawdown · -25.36%
SEDG NASDAQ · SolarEdge Technologies Inc
42.60 20% entry drawdown · -31.02%
SGRP NASDAQ · SPAR Group Inc
0.38 20% entry drawdown · -46.99%
SRG NYSE · Seritage Growth Properties
2.31 20% entry drawdown · -22.22%
TOMZ NASDAQ · TOMI Environmental Solutions Inc
1.54 20% entry drawdown · -33.95%
UPST NASDAQ · Upstart Holdings Inc
26.93 20% entry drawdown · -20.30%
WETO NASDAQ · Webus International Limited Ordinary Shares
0.69 Price scale break · 37.71%
WRAP NASDAQ · Wrap Technologies Inc
1.70 20% entry drawdown · -30.89%
XELB NASDAQ · Xcel Brands Inc
1.23 20% entry drawdown · -21.15%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 871-900 of 1070 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signal MD ROC RS
SLN NASDAQ · Silence Therapeutics PLC
17 Apr 20267.53
11.02
46.35%
Buy
0.62
-
-
SLNG NASDAQ · Stabilis Solutions Inc
3 Jul 20264.19
4.60
9.79%
Buy
0.43
-
-
SLVM NYSE · Sylvamo Corp
5 Sep 202544.03
38.27
-13.08%
Buy
0.17
-
-
SM NYSE · SM Energy Co
6 Feb 202620.76
33.19
59.86%
Buy
0.69
-
-
SMC NYSE · Summit Midstream Corporation
14 Nov 202523.76
30.50
28.37%
Buy
0.89
-
-
SMHI NYSE · SEACOR Marine Holdings Inc
30 May 20255.34
8.00
49.81%
Buy
0.10
-
-
SMPL NASDAQ · Simply Good Foods Co
12 Jun 202612.57
10.22
-18.70%
Buy
0.01
-
-
SMRT NYSE · SmartRent Inc
4 Jul 20251.11
0.95
-14.64%
Buy
0.68
-
-
SMTI NASDAQ · Sanara Medtech Inc
8 May 202618.40
25.56
38.91%
Buy
0.24
-
-
SMWB NYSE · SimilarWeb Ltd
19 Jun 20264.99
6.29
26.05%
Buy
1.21
-
-
SNDL NASDAQ · SNDL Inc.
1 May 20261.41
1.25
-11.70%
Buy
0.06
-
-
SOCA NASDAQ · Solarius Capital Acquisition Corp.
27 Mar 202610.14
10.30
1.58%
Buy
0.20
-
-
SOTK NASDAQ · Sono-Tek Corp
2 May 20254.01
5.19
29.59%
Buy
0.05
-
-
SPEG NASDAQ · Silver Pegasus Acquisition Corp.
24 Apr 202610.22
10.30
0.78%
Buy
2.94
-
-
SPMC NYSE · Sound Point Meridian Capital, Inc.
15 May 202610.76
10.10
-6.17%
Buy
0.30
-
-
SPPL NASDAQ · SIMPPLE LTD. Ordinary Shares
26 Jun 20263.92
3.15
-19.64%
Buy
1.23
-
-
SPRU NYSE · Spruce Power Holding Corp
19 Sep 20251.76
2.17
23.30%
Buy
0.07
-
-
SPT NASDAQ · Sprout Social Inc
8 May 20267.40
7.57
2.30%
Buy
0.05
-
-
SQFT NASDAQ · Presidio Property Trust
19 Jun 20262.68
2.30
-14.18%
Buy
0.02
-
-
SRAD NASDAQ · Sportradar Group AG
26 Jun 202614.85
14.29
-3.77%
Buy
0.23
-
-
SRFM NYSE · Surf Air Mobility Inc.
24 Jul 20260.79
0.79
New Entry week
Buy
0.16
-
-
SRI NYSE · Stoneridge Inc
6 Jun 20255.65
7.39
30.80%
Buy
1.27
-
-
SRPT NASDAQ · Sarepta Therapeutics Inc
26 Sep 202518.36
15.68
-14.60%
Buy
0.40
-
-
SSBI NASDAQ · Summit State Bank
20 Dec 20247.64
13.11
71.60%
Buy
0.06
-
-
SSEA NASDAQ · Starry Sea Acquisition Corp Ordinary Shares
24 Apr 202610.17
10.30
1.28%
Buy
1.14
-
-
SSTI NASDAQ · Shotspotter Inc
12 Jun 20268.03
8.27
2.99%
Buy
1.17
-
-
SSYS NASDAQ · Stratasys Ltd
27 Sep 20248.14
8.03
-1.35%
Buy
0.15
-
-
STAA NASDAQ · STAAR Surgical Company
17 Apr 202625.08
23.38
-6.78%
Buy
0.32
-
-
STG NYSE · Sunlands Technology Group
5 Jun 20263.47
3.81
9.80%
Buy
0.04
-
-
STHO NASDAQ · Star Holdings
20 Jun 20257.72
9.27
20.08%
Buy
0.31
-
-

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 4741-4770 of 10830
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
4 Jul 2025
Entry
RMCO NASDAQ · Royalty Management Holding Corporation
1.59
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.19
4 Jul 2025
Entry
RPT NYSE · Rithm Property Trust Inc.
14.92
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.03
4 Jul 2025
Exit
SAH NYSE · Sonic Automotive Inc
85.68
Reversal Risk Warning
73.34%
Entry 17 Nov 2023 49.43
4 Jul 2025
Exit
SAR NYSE · Saratoga Investment Corp
21.50
Reversal Risk Warning
17.35%
Entry 8 Dec 2023 18.32
4 Jul 2025
Entry
SATS NASDAQ · EchoStar Corporation
31.36
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.25
4 Jul 2025
Entry
SCNX NASDAQ · Scienture Holdings, Inc.
1.45
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.55
4 Jul 2025
Entry
SEPN NASDAQ · Septerna, Inc. Common Stock
11.37
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.75
4 Jul 2025
Entry
SERA NASDAQ · Sera Prognostics Inc
2.49
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.28
4 Jul 2025
Exit
SEZL NASDAQ · Sezzle Inc.
182.16
Reversal Risk Warning
279.74%
Entry 25 Apr 2025 47.97
4 Jul 2025
Entry
SHLS NASDAQ · Shoals Technologies Group Inc
5.98
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.02
4 Jul 2025
Entry
SIRI NASDAQ · Sirius XM Holding Inc
23.18
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.57
4 Jul 2025
Entry
SMRT NYSE · SmartRent Inc
1.11
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.68
4 Jul 2025
Exit
SNT NASDAQ · Senstar Technologies Ltd
5.04
Reversal Risk Warning
200.00%
Entry 14 Jun 2024 1.68
4 Jul 2025
Entry
SOHU NASDAQ · Sohu.Com Inc
13.78
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.29
4 Jul 2025
Exit
SPOK NASDAQ · Spok Holdings Inc
16.18
Reversal Risk Warning
39.32%
Entry 15 Sep 2023 11.62
4 Jul 2025
Entry
SWK NYSE · Stanley Black & Decker Inc
67.98
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.13
4 Jul 2025
Entry
TCRX NASDAQ · Tscan Therapeutics Inc
1.51
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.01
4 Jul 2025
Exit
TDG NYSE · Transdigm Group Incorporated
1424.71
Reversal Risk Warning
67.84%
Entry 17 Nov 2023 848.87
4 Jul 2025
Entry
TKR NYSE · Timken Company
75.50
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.55
4 Jul 2025
Entry
TRIB NASDAQ · Trinity Biotech plc
22.50
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.06
4 Jul 2025
Exit
UAMY NYSE · United States Antimony Corporation
2.22
20% entry drawdown
-20.43%
Entry 11 Apr 2025 2.79
4 Jul 2025
Exit
UBER NYSE · Uber Technologies Inc
93.63
Reversal Risk Warning
109.23%
Entry 14 Jul 2023 44.75
4 Jul 2025
Entry
VOR NASDAQ · Vor Biopharma Inc
38.20
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.07
4 Jul 2025
Exit
WBX NYSE · Wallbox NV
5.83
20% entry drawdown
-20.57%
Entry 2 May 2025 7.34
4 Jul 2025
Entry
WKSP NASDAQ · Worksport Ltd
3.45
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.19
4 Jul 2025
Entry
XENE NASDAQ · Xenon Pharmaceuticals Inc
33.26
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.12
27 Jun 2025
Entry
AAL NASDAQ · American Airlines Group
11.28
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.10
27 Jun 2025
Exit
ACHV NASDAQ · Achieve Life Sciences Inc
2.23
20% entry drawdown
-26.64%
Entry 23 May 2025 3.04
27 Jun 2025
Exit
AEVA NASDAQ · Aeva Technologies, Inc. Common Stock
36.43
Reversal Risk Warning
374.35%
Entry 2 May 2025 7.68
27 Jun 2025
Entry
ALAR NASDAQ · Alarum Technologies Ltd.
12.85
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.71