Signal Validation

Market Dynamics Performance Index

A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.

United States
Latest week 10 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
483.76
Total Return
383.76%
CAGR
56.75% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+34.30%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.67 Sortino 5.20
Current Holdings
1117
Transactions
10719 Avg 3056.2/yr · 254.7/mo · 58.8/wk
Exit Mix
4801 Stop 41.3% · Warning 58.4% · Other 0.2%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.

01

Universe

Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
  • Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
  • Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

10 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
28
AKTX NASDAQ · Akari Therapeutics PLC
13.88 MD 1.03 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ALG NYSE · Alamo Group Inc
161.48 MD 0.27 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ALXO NASDAQ · Alx Oncology Holdings
2.13 MD 0.03 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
AOS NYSE · Smith AO Corporation
60.44 MD 0.00 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ARAI NASDAQ · Arrive AI Inc.
0.42 MD 0.40 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ATR NYSE · AptarGroup Inc
125.53 MD 0.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BFAM NYSE · Bright Horizons Family Solutions Inc
73.31 MD 0.11 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BUR NYSE · Burford Capital Ltd
4.19 MD 0.14 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GIB NYSE · CGI Inc
67.06 MD 0.07 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GLXG NASDAQ · Galaxy Payroll Group Limited Ordinary Shares
1.46 MD 0.15 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
HAVA NASDAQ · Harvard Ave Acquisition Corporation Class A Ordinary Share
10.12 MD 1.35 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
JLHL NASDAQ · Julong Holding Limited Class A Ordinary Shares
11.73 MD 0.44 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LAFA NASDAQ · LaFayette Acquisition Corp. Ordinary Share
10.11 MD 1.51 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MKC-V NYSE · McCormick & Company Incorporated
50.81 MD 0.15 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MMTX NASDAQ · Miluna Acquisition Corp Class A Ordinary Share
10.15 MD 2.50 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MNDO NASDAQ · MIND CTI Ltd
1.06 MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PEW NYSE · GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc.
2.96 MD 0.21 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
RPD NASDAQ · Rapid7 Inc
11.17 MD 1.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SAFX NASDAQ · XCF Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock
0.55 MD 0.24 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SKIN NASDAQ · Beauty Health Co
0.91 MD 0.21 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SKYX NASDAQ · SKYX Platforms Corp
1.27 MD 0.09 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
STIM NASDAQ · Neuronetics Inc
1.76 MD 0.50 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TTEK NASDAQ · Tetra Tech Inc
30.99 MD 0.06 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
USPH NYSE · U.S. Physical Therapy, Inc.
72.54 MD 0.07 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
VRDN NASDAQ · Viridian Therapeutics Inc
19.74 MD 0.12 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WRAP NASDAQ · Wrap Technologies Inc
2.46 MD 0.26 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WVVI NASDAQ · Willamette Valley Vineyards Inc
2.93 MD 1.08 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
XTLB NASDAQ · XTL Biopharmaceuticals Ltd ADR
2.91 MD 0.77 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
16
APWC NASDAQ · Asia Pacific Wire & Cable Corp Ltd
1.53 20% entry drawdown · -23.12%
BIRD NASDAQ · Allbirds Inc
3.13 20% entry drawdown · -33.15%
BLLN NASDAQ · BillionToOne, Inc. Class A Common Stock
126.77 Reversal Risk Warning · 28.06%
BYRN NASDAQ · Byrna Technologies Inc
3.87 20% entry drawdown · -44.55%
CE NYSE · Celanese Corporation
46.92 20% entry drawdown · -20.19%
CHGG NYSE · Chegg Inc
0.85 20% entry drawdown · -23.79%
CWH NYSE · Camping World Holdings Inc
6.22 20% entry drawdown · -22.06%
GAME NASDAQ · GameSquare Holdings Inc.
0.31 20% entry drawdown · -31.37%
GKOS NYSE · Glaukos Corp
152.72 Reversal Risk Warning · 82.11%
JEM NASDAQ · 707 Cayman Holdings Limited Ordinary Shares
0.54 20% entry drawdown · -64.86%
KELYB NASDAQ · Kelly Services B Inc
23.95 Reversal Risk Warning · 75.74%
LVO NASDAQ · LiveOne Inc
5.23 20% entry drawdown · -24.64%
NEWT NASDAQ · NewtekOne, Inc.
14.78 Reversal Risk Warning · 52.99%
OMEX NASDAQ · Odyssey Marine Exploration Inc
0.71 20% entry drawdown · -22.37%
TLPH NASDAQ · Talphera Inc.
1.46 Reversal Risk Warning · 196.33%
WATT NASDAQ · Energous Corporation
17.99 20% entry drawdown · -27.25%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 871-900 of 1117 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signal MD ROC RS
RTO NYSE · Rentokil Initial PLC
2 May 202523.30
29.64
27.20%
Buy
0.08
-
-
RVTY NYSE · Revvity Inc.
24 Oct 202598.75
112.29
13.71%
Buy
0.22
-
-
RXO NYSE · RXO Inc.
20 Mar 202613.23
26.25
98.41%
Buy
0.13
-
-
RYAN NYSE · Ryan Specialty Group Holdings Inc
12 Jun 202635.64
40.41
13.38%
Buy
0.30
-
-
RZLT NASDAQ · Rezolute Inc
3 Apr 20263.12
4.75
52.24%
Buy
0.10
-
-
RZLV NASDAQ · Rezolve AI Limited Ordinary Shares
15 May 20262.55
2.60
1.96%
Buy
0.03
-
-
S NYSE · SentinelOne Inc
20 Mar 202614.17
17.88
26.18%
Buy
0.18
-
-
SABS NASDAQ · SAB Biotherapeutics Inc
24 Oct 20253.03
3.82
26.07%
Buy
0.14
-
-
SAFE NYSE · Safehold Inc
18 Apr 202514.56
16.11
10.61%
Buy
0.20
-
-
SAFX NASDAQ · XCF Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock
10 Jul 20260.55
0.55
New Entry week
Buy
0.24
-
-
SAIA NASDAQ · Saia Inc
11 Jul 2025303.28
420.82
38.76%
Buy
0.13
-
-
SANA NASDAQ · Sana Biotechnology Inc
6 Jun 20252.84
3.85
35.56%
Buy
0.21
-
-
SARO NYSE · StandardAero, Inc.
19 Jun 202627.75
27.93
0.65%
Buy
0.16
-
-
SBAC NASDAQ · SBA Communications Corp
3 Apr 2026202.81
190.03
-6.30%
Buy
0.20
-
-
SCL NYSE · Stepan Company
19 Dec 202546.82
56.57
20.82%
Buy
0.41
-
-
SCM NYSE · Stellus Capital Investment
12 Jun 20268.89
8.32
-6.42%
Buy
0.06
-
-
SCOR NASDAQ · Comscore Inc
11 Apr 20255.63
7.45
32.33%
Buy
0.05
-
-
SDGR NASDAQ · Schrodinger Inc
26 Jun 202616.86
16.49
-2.19%
Buy
1.10
-
-
SEDG NASDAQ · SolarEdge Technologies Inc
15 May 202661.76
55.18
-10.65%
Buy
0.67
-
-
SEED NASDAQ · Origin Agritech Ltd
22 Aug 20251.10
1.01
-8.47%
Buy
0.59
-
-
SEER NASDAQ · Seer Inc
22 Dec 20231.82
2.17
19.23%
Buy
0.27
-
-
SEG NYSE · Seaport Entertainment Group Inc.
20 Jun 202519.46
25.60
31.55%
Buy
0.21
-
-
SEM NYSE · Select Medical Holdings
17 Oct 202513.22
16.51
24.86%
Buy
0.15
-
-
SGML NASDAQ · Sigma Lithium Resources Corp
15 Aug 20256.40
11.91
86.09%
Buy
0.92
-
-
SGMT NASDAQ · Sagimet Biosciences Inc. Series A Common Stock
6 Jun 20255.56
7.37
32.55%
Buy
0.25
-
-
SGRP NASDAQ · SPAR Group Inc
22 May 20260.72
0.87
21.34%
Buy
0.46
-
-
SHEN NASDAQ · Shenandoah Telecommunications Co
21 Mar 202512.65
12.71
0.46%
Buy
0.44
-
-
SHLS NASDAQ · Shoals Technologies Group Inc
15 Aug 20255.19
10.02
93.06%
Buy
0.54
-
-
SIBN NASDAQ · Si-Bone Inc
29 May 202614.10
17.56
24.54%
Buy
0.09
-
-
SILO NASDAQ · Silo Pharma Inc
27 Feb 20265.50
5.70
3.68%
Buy
0.06
-
-

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 1951-1980 of 10719
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
3 Apr 2026
Exit
SLAB NASDAQ · Silicon Laboratories Inc
209.13
Reversal Risk Warning
51.69%
Entry 13 Jun 2025 137.87
3 Apr 2026
Entry
STAK NASDAQ · STAK Inc. Ordinary Shares
1.30
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.76
3 Apr 2026
Entry
UGRO NASDAQ · Urban-Gro Inc
19.00
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.24
3 Apr 2026
Exit
UTHR NASDAQ · United Therapeutics Corporation
564.81
Reversal Risk Warning
115.25%
Entry 3 May 2024 262.40
3 Apr 2026
Entry
VGAS NASDAQ · Verde Clean Fuels Inc.
1.52
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.16
3 Apr 2026
Entry
VOYG NYSE · Voyager Technologies, Inc.
26.82
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.19
3 Apr 2026
Entry
WETO NASDAQ · Webus International Limited Ordinary Shares
0.50
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.56
3 Apr 2026
Exit
WFF NASDAQ · WF Holding Limited Ordinary Shares
1.25
20% entry drawdown
-40.36%
Entry 13 Feb 2026 2.10
3 Apr 2026
Exit
XENE NASDAQ · Xenon Pharmaceuticals Inc
56.85
Reversal Risk Warning
70.93%
Entry 4 Jul 2025 33.26
27 Mar 2026
Entry
AFCG NASDAQ · AFC Gamma Inc
2.61
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.81
27 Mar 2026
Entry
AIFF NASDAQ · Firefly Neuroscience, Inc.
2.18
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.34
27 Mar 2026
Entry
AIRS NASDAQ · Airsculpt Technologies Inc
2.87
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.43
27 Mar 2026
Exit
AMCI NASDAQ · AMC Robotics Corporation
5.71
20% entry drawdown
-22.73%
Entry 27 Feb 2026 7.39
27 Mar 2026
Exit
AMCX NASDAQ · AMC Networks Inc
6.52
20% entry drawdown
-20.78%
Entry 12 Sep 2025 8.23
27 Mar 2026
Exit
APA NASDAQ · APA Corporation
44.10
Reversal Risk Warning
118.56%
Entry 13 Jun 2025 20.18
27 Mar 2026
Entry
ASPS NASDAQ · Altisource Portfolio Solutions SA
6.80
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.45
27 Mar 2026
Exit
AUTL NASDAQ · Autolus Therapeutics Ltd
1.21
20% entry drawdown
-24.84%
Entry 12 Dec 2025 1.61
27 Mar 2026
Entry
BAFN NASDAQ · Bayfirst Financial Corp
6.34
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.39
27 Mar 2026
Exit
BBWI NYSE · Bath & Body Works Inc.
16.61
20% entry drawdown
-23.70%
Entry 23 Jan 2026 21.77
27 Mar 2026
Entry
BRAG NASDAQ · Bragg Gaming Group Inc
1.84
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.02
27 Mar 2026
Exit
CBRL NASDAQ · Cracker Barrel Old Country Store
26.51
20% entry drawdown
-20.91%
Entry 6 Feb 2026 33.51
27 Mar 2026
Exit
CCCC NASDAQ · C4 Therapeutics Inc
2.41
20% entry drawdown
-20.72%
Entry 6 Mar 2026 3.04
27 Mar 2026
Exit
CJMB NASDAQ · Callan JMB Inc. Common Stock
1.28
20% entry drawdown
-28.89%
Entry 6 Mar 2026 1.80
27 Mar 2026
Exit
CNF NYSE · CNFinance Holdings Ltd
3.97
20% entry drawdown
-23.21%
Entry 21 Nov 2025 5.17
27 Mar 2026
Exit
CRC NYSE · California Resources Corp
68.40
Reversal Risk Warning
59.52%
Entry 30 May 2025 42.88
27 Mar 2026
Exit
CTVA NYSE · Corteva Inc
81.80
Reversal Risk Warning
77.49%
Entry 5 Jan 2024 46.09
27 Mar 2026
Exit
CVKD NASDAQ · Cadrenal Therapeutics, Inc. Common Stock
4.99
20% entry drawdown
-32.57%
Entry 13 Mar 2026 7.40
27 Mar 2026
Exit
DK NYSE · Delek US Energy Inc
47.17
Reversal Risk Warning
150.30%
Entry 23 May 2025 18.85
27 Mar 2026
Exit
DVN NYSE · Devon Energy Corporation
51.69
Reversal Risk Warning
62.28%
Entry 7 Feb 2025 31.85
27 Mar 2026
Exit
DYAI NASDAQ · Dyadic International Inc
0.68
20% entry drawdown
-26.33%
Entry 29 Aug 2025 0.92