Universe
Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.
Signal Validation
Market Dynamics Performance Index
A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.
Index Value
470.81
Total Return
370.81%
CAGR
54.44%
Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+32.75%/yr
Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.59
Sortino 5.03
Current Holdings
1067
Transactions
10881
Avg 3052.4/yr ·
254.4/mo ·
58.7/wk
Exit Mix
4907
Stop 42.0% ·
Warning 57.4%
· Other 0.6%
Method
How The Index Works
The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.
Entry Rule
A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.
Exit Rule
A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.
Return Math
Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.
Assumptions
- This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
- Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
- Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
- New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
- Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
- Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
- Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
- Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.
Weekly Index
Cumulative Value
Latest Week
Positions In And Out
New Positions In
Entries at weekly close
BR
NYSE · Broadridge Financial Solutions Inc
153.95
MD 0.49 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BZFD
NASDAQ · BuzzFeed Inc
1.19
MD 0.22 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CMCO
NASDAQ · Columbus McKinnon Corporation
19.17
MD 0.48 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CNET
NASDAQ · ZW Data Action Technologies Inc
1.60
MD 1.12 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CRM
NYSE · Salesforce.com Inc
184.02
MD 0.35 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
DPZ
NASDAQ · Domino's Pizza Inc Common Stock
347.44
MD 0.32 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
DXC
NYSE · DXC Technology Co
11.24
MD 0.02 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
EFOR
NYSE · Everforth, Inc.
28.44
MD 0.09 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GEHC
NASDAQ · GE HealthCare Technologies Inc.
68.02
MD 0.24 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GOGO
NASDAQ · Gogo Inc
4.18
MD 0.11 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
HLNE
NASDAQ · Hamilton Lane Inc
88.91
MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
HUBS
NYSE · HubSpot Inc
237.36
MD 1.24 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
HURN
NASDAQ · Huron Consulting Group Inc
151.77
MD 0.52 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
INFY
NYSE · Infosys Ltd ADR
12.03
MD 0.30 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
INTA
NASDAQ · Intapp Inc
32.69
MD 1.29 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LVWR
NYSE · LiveWire Group Inc.
1.81
MD 0.42 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
NICE
NASDAQ · Nice Ltd ADR
98.79
MD 0.36 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PEW
NYSE · GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc.
2.48
MD 0.20 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PTC
NASDAQ · PTC Inc
137.20
MD 0.02 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SGRP
NASDAQ · SPAR Group Inc
0.60
MD 0.30 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SPOK
NASDAQ · Spok Holdings Inc
10.90
MD 0.50 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TAP
NYSE · Molson Coors Brewing Co Class B
41.56
MD 0.07 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TME
NYSE · Tencent Music Entertainment Group
9.45
MD 0.50 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TRI
NASDAQ · Thomson Reuters Corporation Common Shares
98.13
MD 1.47 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WK
NYSE · Workiva Inc
59.80
MD 0.70 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
Positions Out
Closed at weekly close
ACDC
NASDAQ · ProFrac Holding Corp.
4.04
20% entry drawdown · -20.00%
ADXN
NASDAQ · Addex Therapeutics Ltd
5.20
20% entry drawdown · -23.64%
AVD
NYSE · American Vanguard Corporation
2.39
20% entry drawdown · -24.37%
BLDR
NYSE · Builders FirstSource Inc
66.44
20% entry drawdown · -25.47%
CJMB
NASDAQ · Callan JMB Inc. Common Stock
1.35
20% entry drawdown · -47.06%
CLRO
NASDAQ · ClearOne Inc
4.08
20% entry drawdown · -37.04%
CUPR
NASDAQ · Cuprina Holdings (Cayman) Limited Class A Ordinary Shares
2.92
20% entry drawdown · -26.45%
DBX
NASDAQ · Dropbox Inc
32.56
Reversal Risk Warning · 12.66%
DFH
NYSE · Dream Finders Homes Inc
12.79
20% entry drawdown · -25.64%
EVH
NYSE · Evolent Health Inc
3.09
20% entry drawdown · -35.63%
JMSB
NASDAQ · John Marshall Bancorp Inc
23.20
Reversal Risk Warning · 36.35%
KFFB
NASDAQ · Kentucky First Federal Bancorp
5.48
Reversal Risk Warning · 113.87%
KPTI
NASDAQ · Karyopharm Therapeutics Inc
1.92
20% entry drawdown · -67.57%
KRRO
NASDAQ · Korro Bio, Inc.
10.37
20% entry drawdown · -20.17%
LKQ
NASDAQ · LKQ Corporation
22.45
20% entry drawdown · -23.71%
MRDN
NASDAQ · Meridian Holdings Inc
11.27
20% entry drawdown · -21.33%
MYGN
NASDAQ · Myriad Genetics Inc
2.86
20% entry drawdown · -51.36%
NAUT
NASDAQ · Nautilus Biotechnology Inc
0.98
20% entry drawdown · -26.54%
NXL
NASDAQ · Nexalin Technology Inc.
0.34
20% entry drawdown · -29.80%
OI
NYSE · O-I Glass Inc
7.15
20% entry drawdown · -26.97%
PDCC
NYSE · Pearl Diver Credit Company Inc.
8.60
20% entry drawdown · -22.67%
PSN
NYSE · Parsons Corp
44.21
20% entry drawdown · -21.46%
RADX
NASDAQ · Radiopharm Theranostics Limited American Depositary Shares
3.15
20% entry drawdown · -28.89%
SILO
NASDAQ · Silo Pharma Inc
4.19
20% entry drawdown · -23.78%
SKIN
NASDAQ · Beauty Health Co
0.69
20% entry drawdown · -24.64%
TULP
NASDAQ · Bloomia Holdings, Inc.
3.27
20% entry drawdown · -20.82%
TZOO
NASDAQ · Travelzoo
7.23
20% entry drawdown · -25.46%
WHD
NYSE · Cactus Inc
65.01
Reversal Risk Warning · 52.94%
XHLD
NASDAQ · TEN Holdings, Inc. Common Stock
1.00
20% entry drawdown · -52.04%
Live Book
Current Holdings
Ticker
Entry
Last Close
Return
Signal
MD
ROC
RS
STTK
NASDAQ · Shattuck Labs Inc
5 Dec 20253.10
7.07
128.06%
Buy
0.51
-
-
STUB
NYSE · StubHub Holdings, Inc.
22 May 20269.98
8.44
-15.43%
Buy
0.18
-
-
STVN
NYSE · Stevanato Group SpA
8 May 202618.16
19.85
9.28%
Buy
0.61
-
-
STZ
NYSE · Constellation Brands Inc Class A
12 Dec 2025145.46
130.23
-10.47%
Buy
0.17
-
-
SUNS
NASDAQ · Sunrise Realty Trust, Inc.
12 Jun 20268.23
7.84
-4.71%
Buy
0.12
-
-
SUZ
NYSE · Suzano Papel e Celulose SA ADR
13 Jun 20259.55
8.52
-10.76%
Buy
0.06
-
-
SVC
NASDAQ · Service Properties Trust
26 Jun 20268.55
8.03
-6.08%
Buy
0.08
-
-
SVCO
NASDAQ · Silvaco Group, Inc. Common Stock
20 Mar 20266.34
7.78
22.71%
Buy
0.31
-
-
SVV
NYSE · Savers Value Village, Inc.
5 Jun 20268.99
10.26
14.13%
Buy
0.01
-
-
SWK
NYSE · Stanley Black & Decker Inc
4 Jul 202567.98
94.58
39.13%
Buy
0.13
-
-
SWKS
NASDAQ · Skyworks Solutions Inc
24 Apr 202663.11
62.28
-1.32%
Buy
0.14
-
-
SXC
NYSE · SunCoke Energy Inc
6 Mar 20265.83
8.48
45.50%
Buy
0.26
-
-
TACO
NASDAQ · Berto Acquisition Corp. Ordinary Shares
13 Feb 202610.19
10.43
2.36%
Buy
0.05
-
-
TACT
NASDAQ · TransAct Technologies Incorporated
29 May 20264.47
5.18
15.88%
Buy
1.20
-
-
TAP
NYSE · Molson Coors Brewing Co Class B
31 Jul 202641.56
41.56
New
Entry week
Buy
0.07
-
-
TAVI
NASDAQ · Tavia Acquisition Corp. Ordinary Shares
25 Jul 202510.28
10.70
4.14%
Buy
1.24
-
-
TDC
NYSE · Teradata Corp
7 Nov 202527.60
30.99
12.28%
Buy
1.11
-
-
TDOC
NYSE · Teladoc Inc
1 May 20266.46
6.71
3.87%
Buy
0.31
-
-
TDW
NYSE · Tidewater Inc
6 Jun 202543.43
75.06
72.83%
Buy
0.18
-
-
TDWD
NASDAQ · Tailwind 2.0 Acquisition Corp. Class A Ordinary Shares
24 Jul 202610.04
10.04
0.00%
Buy
0.88
-
-
TEAM
NASDAQ · Atlassian Corp Plc
8 May 202691.60
101.02
10.28%
Buy
0.36
-
-
TECH
NASDAQ · Bio-Techne Corp
19 Jun 202657.94
72.09
24.42%
Buy
0.11
-
-
TECX
NASDAQ · Tectonic Therapeutic, Inc.
21 Nov 202519.18
28.03
46.14%
Buy
0.02
-
-
TENB
NASDAQ · Tenable Holdings Inc
1 May 202621.23
32.64
53.74%
Buy
0.34
-
-
TENX
NASDAQ · Tenax Therapeutics Inc
26 Sep 20257.26
13.70
88.71%
Buy
1.03
-
-
TFIN
NYSE · Triumph Financial, Inc.
7 Nov 202553.86
75.93
40.98%
Buy
0.08
-
-
TFX
NYSE · Teleflex Incorporated
25 Jul 2025115.85
136.71
18.01%
Buy
0.19
-
-
TGE
NYSE · The Generation Essentials Group
12 Jun 20261.04
0.96
-7.88%
Buy
0.05
-
-
TGHL
NASDAQ · The GrowHub Limited Class A Ordinary Shares
10 Apr 20260.36
1.13
214.68%
Buy
0.59
-
-
TGT
NYSE · Target Corporation
27 Jun 202595.12
144.49
51.91%
Buy
0.27
-
-
Ledger
Transaction History
Date
Action
Ticker
Price
Reason
Return
Qualifiers
1 Mar 2024
Exit
PK
NYSE · Park Hotels & Resorts Inc
14.02
Reversal Risk Warning
34.45%
Entry 17 Nov 2023
10.43
1 Mar 2024
Entry
PRAX
NASDAQ · Praxis Precision Medicines Inc
49.54
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 1.19
1 Mar 2024
Entry
PTGX
NASDAQ · Protagonist Therapeutics Inc
32.15
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 1.49
1 Mar 2024
Exit
PYXS
NASDAQ · Pyxis Oncology Inc
6.59
Reversal Risk Warning
212.32%
Entry 5 Jan 2024
2.11
1 Mar 2024
Entry
ROOT
NASDAQ · Root Inc
39.11
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.14
1 Mar 2024
Entry
SFM
NASDAQ · Sprouts Farmers Market LLC
63.39
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 1.79
1 Mar 2024
Exit
SLN
NASDAQ · Silence Therapeutics PLC
25.78
Reversal Risk Warning
268.81%
Entry 18 Aug 2023
6.99
1 Mar 2024
Entry
SOUN
NASDAQ · SoundHound AI Inc
6.04
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 1.93
1 Mar 2024
Entry
SPHR
NYSE · Sphere Entertainment Co.
44.29
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 1.47
1 Mar 2024
Exit
SSD
NYSE · Simpson Manufacturing Company Inc
206.15
Reversal Risk Warning
44.71%
Entry 14 Jul 2023
142.46
1 Mar 2024
Entry
TAOX
NASDAQ · TAO Synergies Inc.
5.11
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.71
1 Mar 2024
Entry
VERI
NASDAQ · Veritone Inc
2.25
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 1.18
1 Mar 2024
Exit
VKTX
NASDAQ · Viking Therapeutics Inc
85.22
Reversal Risk Warning
361.15%
Entry 8 Dec 2023
18.48
1 Mar 2024
Exit
VNT
NYSE · Vontier Corp
42.82
Reversal Risk Warning
29.35%
Entry 24 Nov 2023
33.11
1 Mar 2024
Entry
VSEC
NASDAQ · VSE Corporation
74.87
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 1.51
1 Mar 2024
Entry
VTOL
NYSE · Bristow Group Inc
27.11
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.04
1 Mar 2024
Entry
VTVT
NASDAQ · vTv Therapeutics Inc
16.55
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.75
1 Mar 2024
Entry
WT
NYSE · WisdomTree Inc.
7.85
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 1.01
1 Mar 2024
Exit
XMTR
NASDAQ · Xometry Inc
18.00
20% entry drawdown
-29.77%
Entry 1 Dec 2023
25.63
23 Feb 2024
Entry
ACGL
NASDAQ · Arch Capital Group Ltd.
83.01
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.13
23 Feb 2024
Exit
ACIC
NASDAQ · American Coastal Insurance Corp
12.28
Reversal Risk Warning
73.69%
Entry 11 Aug 2023
7.07
23 Feb 2024
Exit
ALHC
NASDAQ · Alignment Healthcare LLC
6.28
20% entry drawdown
-21.50%
Entry 8 Dec 2023
8.00
23 Feb 2024
Entry
ANAB
NASDAQ · AnaptysBio Inc
17.25
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 1.19
23 Feb 2024
Entry
ANIP
NASDAQ · ANI Pharmaceuticals Inc
59.13
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.10
23 Feb 2024
Entry
BBVA
NYSE · Banco Bilbao Viscaya Argentaria SA ADR
8.80
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.79
23 Feb 2024
Exit
BELFB
NASDAQ · Bel Fuse B Inc
49.91
20% entry drawdown
-32.01%
Entry 16 Feb 2024
73.41
23 Feb 2024
Entry
BWXT
NYSE · BWX Technologies Inc
88.07
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 1.36
23 Feb 2024
Entry
BZFD
NASDAQ · BuzzFeed Inc
1.32
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.62
23 Feb 2024
Entry
DNOW
NYSE · Now Inc
13.29
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.21
23 Feb 2024
Entry
DOGZ
NASDAQ · Dogness International Corp Class A
7.40
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.79