View US Trend Index

Signal Validation

Market Dynamics Performance Index

A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.

Market United States

Latest week 10 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00

Index Value

484.55

Total Return

384.55%

CAGR

56.82% Annualized from first index week

Edge vs Market

+34.37%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR

Risk Adjusted

Sharpe 2.68 Sortino 5.21

Current Holdings

1108

Transactions

10720 Avg 3056.5/yr · 254.7/mo · 58.8/wk

Exit Mix

4806 Stop 41.2% · Warning 58.2% · Other 0.5%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.

Universe

Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions

This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

10 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close

ABT NYSE · Abbott Laboratories

93.27 MD 0.37 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

AKTX NASDAQ · Akari Therapeutics PLC

13.88 MD 1.04 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

ALG NYSE · Alamo Group Inc

161.15 MD 0.25 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

ALXO NASDAQ · Alx Oncology Holdings

2.13 MD 0.02 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

AOS NYSE · Smith AO Corporation

60.44 MD 0.00 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

ATR NYSE · AptarGroup Inc

125.53 MD 0.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

BBOT NASDAQ · BridgeBio Oncology Therapeutics, Inc.

8.32 MD 0.00 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

BFAM NYSE · Bright Horizons Family Solutions Inc

73.31 MD 0.11 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

GIB NYSE · CGI Inc

67.06 MD 0.07 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

GLXG NASDAQ · Galaxy Payroll Group Limited Ordinary Shares

1.46 MD 0.15 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

HAVA NASDAQ · Harvard Ave Acquisition Corporation Class A Ordinary Share

10.12 MD 1.40 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

JLHL NASDAQ · Julong Holding Limited Class A Ordinary Shares

11.73 MD 0.37 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

LZ NASDAQ · LegalZoom.com Inc

7.25 MD 0.71 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

MKC-V NYSE · McCormick & Company Incorporated

50.81 MD 0.15 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

MMTX NASDAQ · Miluna Acquisition Corp Class A Ordinary Share

10.15 MD 2.48 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

MNDO NASDAQ · MIND CTI Ltd

1.06 MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

PEW NYSE · GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc.

2.96 MD 0.21 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Q NYSE · Qnity Electronics, Inc

143.80 MD 0.79 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

RPD NASDAQ · Rapid7 Inc

11.17 MD 1.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

SAFX NASDAQ · XCF Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock

0.55 MD 0.24 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

SKIN NASDAQ · Beauty Health Co

0.91 MD 0.21 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

SKYX NASDAQ · SKYX Platforms Corp

1.27 MD 0.09 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

STIM NASDAQ · Neuronetics Inc

1.76 MD 0.50 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

TTEK NASDAQ · Tetra Tech Inc

30.99 MD 0.06 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

USPH NYSE · U.S. Physical Therapy, Inc.

72.54 MD 0.07 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

VRDN NASDAQ · Viridian Therapeutics Inc

19.74 MD 0.12 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

WRAP NASDAQ · Wrap Technologies Inc

2.46 MD 0.26 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

WVVI NASDAQ · Willamette Valley Vineyards Inc

2.93 MD 1.08 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

XTLB NASDAQ · XTL Biopharmaceuticals Ltd ADR

2.91 MD 0.77 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close

APWC NASDAQ · Asia Pacific Wire & Cable Corp Ltd

1.53 20% entry drawdown · -23.12%

BCDA NASDAQ · Biocardia Inc

0.91 20% entry drawdown · -23.77%

BIRD NASDAQ · Allbirds Inc

3.13 20% entry drawdown · -33.15%

BLLN NASDAQ · BillionToOne, Inc. Class A Common Stock

126.77 Reversal Risk Warning · 28.06%

BLZE NASDAQ · Backblaze Inc

17.60 Reversal Risk Warning · 135.29%

BMAC NYSE · Black Mountain Acquisition Corp

10.60 Ticker inactive / final available close · 0.00%

BYRN NASDAQ · Byrna Technologies Inc

3.87 20% entry drawdown · -44.55%

CE NYSE · Celanese Corporation

46.92 20% entry drawdown · -20.19%

CHGG NYSE · Chegg Inc

0.85 20% entry drawdown · -23.79%

CLYM NASDAQ · Climb Bio Inc

14.00 Reversal Risk Warning · 227.10%

CVAC NASDAQ · CureVac NV

4.66 Ticker inactive / final available close · 47.47%

CWH NYSE · Camping World Holdings Inc

6.22 20% entry drawdown · -22.06%

DENN NASDAQ · Dennys Corp

6.25 Ticker inactive / final available close · 51.33%

DWSN NASDAQ · Dawson Geophysical Company

7.57 Reversal Risk Warning · 394.77%

EWTX NASDAQ · Edgewise Therapeutics Inc

45.41 Reversal Risk Warning · 315.08%

GAME NASDAQ · GameSquare Holdings Inc.

0.31 20% entry drawdown · -31.37%

GKOS NYSE · Glaukos Corp

152.72 Reversal Risk Warning · 82.11%

GRCL NASDAQ · Gracell Biotechnologies Inc.

10.25 Ticker inactive / final available close · 107.49%

IRDM NASDAQ · Iridium Communications Inc

50.06 Reversal Risk Warning · 118.07%

KELYB NASDAQ · Kelly Services B Inc

23.95 Reversal Risk Warning · 75.74%

LVO NASDAQ · LiveOne Inc

5.23 20% entry drawdown · -24.64%

MBX NASDAQ · MBX Biosciences, Inc. Common Stock

61.05 Reversal Risk Warning · 408.75%

MPLT NASDAQ · MapLight Therapeutics, Inc. Common Stock

39.32 Reversal Risk Warning · 36.43%

ODP NASDAQ · ODP Corp

28.00 Ticker inactive / final available close · 57.57%

OMEX NASDAQ · Odyssey Marine Exploration Inc

0.71 20% entry drawdown · -22.37%

PC NASDAQ · Premium Catering (Holdings) Limited

9.40 Ticker inactive / final available close · 41.10%

PTRN NASDAQ · Pattern Group Inc. Series A Common Stock

28.95 Reversal Risk Warning · 81.85%

RCM NASDAQ · R1 RCM Inc

14.31 Ticker inactive / final available close · 28.92%

RLAY NASDAQ · Relay Therapeutics Inc

20.01 Reversal Risk Warning · 566.83%

ROSS NYSE · Ross Acquisition II Corp

11.08 Ticker inactive / final available close · 3.84%

SBFG NASDAQ · SB Financial Group Inc

26.27 Reversal Risk Warning · 94.76%

SLRN NASDAQ · ACELYRIN, INC. Common Stock

2.27 Ticker inactive / final available close · -11.67%

THRD NASDAQ · Third Harmonic Bio Inc.

5.38 Ticker inactive / final available close · 4.06%

TLPH NASDAQ · Talphera Inc.

1.46 Reversal Risk Warning · 196.33%

TTRX NASDAQ · Turn Therapeutics Inc. Common Stock

9.44 Reversal Risk Warning · 84.02%

WATT NASDAQ · Energous Corporation

17.99 20% entry drawdown · -27.25%

WKC NYSE · World Kinect Corporation

35.32 Reversal Risk Warning · 71.05%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 901-930 of 1108 open

Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signal MD ROC RS

SLN NASDAQ · Silence Therapeutics PLC

17 Apr 20267.53

9.09

20.72%

Buy

0.62

SLNG NASDAQ · Stabilis Solutions Inc

3 Jul 20264.19

3.97

-5.25%

Buy

0.43

SLVM NYSE · Sylvamo Corp

5 Sep 202544.03

39.18

-11.01%

Buy

0.17

SM NYSE · SM Energy Co

6 Feb 202620.76

27.81

33.95%

Buy

0.69

SMC NYSE · Summit Midstream Corporation

14 Nov 202523.76

30.41

27.99%

Buy

0.89

SMHI NYSE · SEACOR Marine Holdings Inc

30 May 20255.34

7.80

46.07%

Buy

0.10

SMPL NASDAQ · Simply Good Foods Co

12 Jun 202612.57

12.77

1.59%

Buy

0.01

SMRT NYSE · SmartRent Inc

4 Jul 20251.11

1.03

-7.21%

Buy

0.68

SMTI NASDAQ · Sanara Medtech Inc

8 May 202618.40

23.82

29.46%

Buy

0.24

SMWB NYSE · SimilarWeb Ltd

19 Jun 20264.99

6.66

33.47%

Buy

1.21

SNDL NASDAQ · SNDL Inc.

1 May 20261.41

1.31

-7.09%

Buy

0.06

SNPS NASDAQ · Synopsys Inc

8 May 2026516.48

445.50

-13.74%

Buy

0.37

SOCA NASDAQ · Solarius Capital Acquisition Corp.

27 Mar 202610.14

10.28

1.38%

Buy

0.20

SORA NASDAQ · Top Win International Limited

17 Apr 20262.25

1.90

-15.63%

Buy

0.35

SOTK NASDAQ · Sono-Tek Corp

2 May 20254.01

5.54

38.33%

Buy

0.05

SPEG NASDAQ · Silver Pegasus Acquisition Corp.

24 Apr 202610.22

10.29

0.68%

Buy

2.94

SPMC NYSE · Sound Point Meridian Capital, Inc.

15 May 202610.76

10.14

-5.81%

Buy

0.30

SPPL NASDAQ · SIMPPLE LTD. Ordinary Shares

26 Jun 20263.92

3.64

-7.14%

Buy

1.23

SPRU NYSE · Spruce Power Holding Corp

19 Sep 20251.76

2.40

36.36%

Buy

0.07

SPT NASDAQ · Sprout Social Inc

8 May 20267.40

8.28

11.89%

Buy

0.05

SQFT NASDAQ · Presidio Property Trust

19 Jun 20262.68

2.27

-15.30%

Buy

0.02

SRAD NASDAQ · Sportradar Group AG

26 Jun 202614.85

15.45

4.04%

Buy

0.23

SRG NYSE · Seritage Growth Properties

20 Jun 20252.97

2.61

-12.12%

Buy

0.22

SRI NYSE · Stoneridge Inc

6 Jun 20255.65

7.16

26.73%

Buy

1.27

SRPT NASDAQ · Sarepta Therapeutics Inc

26 Sep 202518.36

18.95

3.21%

Buy

0.40

SSBI NASDAQ · Summit State Bank

20 Dec 20247.64

13.44

75.85%

Buy

0.06

SSEA NASDAQ · Starry Sea Acquisition Corp Ordinary Shares

24 Apr 202610.17

10.28

1.08%

Buy

1.14

SSTI NASDAQ · Shotspotter Inc

12 Jun 20268.03

8.65

7.72%

Buy

1.17

SSYS NASDAQ · Stratasys Ltd

27 Sep 20248.14

8.55

5.04%

Buy

0.15

STAA NASDAQ · STAAR Surgical Company

17 Apr 202625.08

27.76

10.69%

Buy

0.32

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 2611-2640 of 10720

Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers

6 Feb 2026

Exit

HTH NYSE · Hilltop Holdings Inc

39.42

Reversal Risk Warning

40.39%

Entry 24 Nov 2023 28.08

6 Feb 2026

Exit

HUYA NYSE · HUYA Inc

4.40

Reversal Risk Warning

257.83%

Entry 27 Oct 2023 1.23

6 Feb 2026

Exit

HWC NASDAQ · Hancock Whitney Corp

73.31

Reversal Risk Warning

83.51%

Entry 1 Dec 2023 39.95

6 Feb 2026

Entry

IBIO NASDAQ · iBio, Inc. Common Stock

2.42

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.33

6 Feb 2026

Exit

IBOC NASDAQ · International Bancshares Corporation

73.83

Reversal Risk Warning

76.96%

Entry 7 Jul 2023 41.72

6 Feb 2026

Exit

IBP NYSE · Installed Building Products Inc

325.80

Reversal Risk Warning

119.85%

Entry 1 Dec 2023 148.19

6 Feb 2026

Exit

INDB NASDAQ · Independent Bank

85.27

Reversal Risk Warning

64.05%

Entry 17 Nov 2023 51.98

6 Feb 2026

Entry

IPWR NASDAQ · Ideal Power Inc

4.01

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.12

6 Feb 2026

Exit

ISTR NASDAQ · Investar Holding Corp

29.99

Reversal Risk Warning

123.06%

Entry 15 Dec 2023 13.44

6 Feb 2026

Exit

ITUB NYSE · Itau Unibanco Banco Holding SA

8.82

Reversal Risk Warning

94.62%

Entry 1 Dec 2023 4.53

6 Feb 2026

Exit

ITW NYSE · Illinois Tool Works Inc

291.77

Reversal Risk Warning

23.99%

Entry 8 Dec 2023 235.32

6 Feb 2026

Exit

JBTM NYSE · JBTMarel Corp

168.31

Reversal Risk Warning

64.33%

Entry 9 Feb 2024 102.42

6 Feb 2026

Exit

JCI NYSE · Johnson Controls International PLC

136.86

Reversal Risk Warning

125.72%

Entry 15 Mar 2024 60.63

6 Feb 2026

Entry

JELD NYSE · Jeld-Wen Holding Inc

2.93

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.15

6 Feb 2026

Exit

JOE NYSE · St Joe Company

68.24

Reversal Risk Warning

44.57%

Entry 28 Feb 2025 47.20

6 Feb 2026

Exit

KEY NYSE · KeyCorp

22.76

Reversal Risk Warning

132.48%

Entry 21 Jul 2023 9.79

6 Feb 2026

Exit

KMT NYSE · Kennametal Inc

39.90

Reversal Risk Warning

90.49%

Entry 30 May 2025 20.95

6 Feb 2026

Exit

KOF NYSE · Coca-Cola Femsa SAB de CV ADR

109.73

Reversal Risk Warning

39.88%

Entry 24 Nov 2023 78.45

6 Feb 2026

Exit

LCII NYSE · LCI Industries

151.62

Reversal Risk Warning

78.26%

Entry 20 Jun 2025 85.06

6 Feb 2026

Exit

LE NASDAQ · Lands’ End Inc

17.99

Reversal Risk Warning

107.98%

Entry 15 Dec 2023 8.65

6 Feb 2026

Exit

LEA NYSE · Lear Corporation

139.33

Reversal Risk Warning

59.47%

Entry 30 May 2025 87.37

6 Feb 2026

Exit

LECO NASDAQ · Lincoln Electric Holdings Inc

297.94

Reversal Risk Warning

52.86%

Entry 1 Dec 2023 194.90

6 Feb 2026

Exit

LUV NYSE · Southwest Airlines Company

53.79

Reversal Risk Warning

96.76%

Entry 15 Dec 2023 27.34

6 Feb 2026

Exit

MCB NYSE · Metropolitan Bank Holding

96.12

Reversal Risk Warning

117.05%

Entry 17 May 2024 44.29

6 Feb 2026

Exit

MCD NYSE · McDonald’s Corporation

323.16

Reversal Risk Warning

19.93%

Entry 1 Dec 2023 269.47

6 Feb 2026

Exit

MCK NYSE · McKesson Corporation

946.84

Reversal Risk Warning

97.52%

Entry 19 Jan 2024 479.37

6 Feb 2026

Exit

MEGL NASDAQ · Magic Empire Global Limited

0.89

20% entry drawdown

-29.12%

Entry 30 May 2025 1.26

6 Feb 2026

Exit

MPB NASDAQ · Mid Penn Bancorp

34.38

Reversal Risk Warning

72.46%

Entry 24 Nov 2023 19.93

6 Feb 2026

Exit

MRBK NASDAQ · Meridian Bank

20.41

Reversal Risk Warning

107.90%

Entry 28 Jun 2024 9.82

6 Feb 2026

Exit

MSA NYSE · MSA Safety

192.02

Reversal Risk Warning

21.88%

Entry 16 May 2025 157.54