Signal Validation

Market Dynamics Performance Index

A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.

United States
Latest week 17 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
479.75
Total Return
379.75%
CAGR
56.00% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+34.22%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.65 Sortino 5.16
Current Holdings
1081
Transactions
10781 Avg 3057.2/yr · 254.8/mo · 58.8/wk
Exit Mix
4850 Stop 41.5% · Warning 58.0% · Other 0.5%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.

01

Universe

Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
  • Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
  • Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

17 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
18
ADBE NASDAQ · Adobe Systems Incorporated
237.25 MD 0.17 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BL NASDAQ · Blackline Inc
30.29 MD 0.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BLKB NASDAQ · Blackbaud Inc
32.40 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CDNL NASDAQ · Cardinal Infrastructure Group Inc. Class A Common Stock
71.23 MD 1.59 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CURV NYSE · Torrid Holdings Inc
2.33 MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
DFIN NYSE · Donnelley Financial Solutions Inc
49.95 MD 0.06 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
EXPO NASDAQ · Exponent Inc
62.88 MD 0.09 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
FIS NYSE · Fidelity National Information Services Inc
41.91 MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
HCKT NASDAQ · The Hackett Group Inc
10.34 MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ICFI NASDAQ · ICF International Inc
78.86 MD 0.80 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LAW NYSE · CS Disco LLC
4.05 MD 0.26 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
NRDS NASDAQ · Nerdwallet Inc
9.26 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ONT NYSE · Onterris
20.93 MD 0.36 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OPRX NASDAQ · OPTIMIZERx Corp
6.69 MD 0.86 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PODD NASDAQ · Insulet Corporation
164.06 MD 0.42 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
RCEL NASDAQ · Avita Medical Ltd
5.10 MD 0.39 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
UPWK NASDAQ · Upwork Inc
9.06 MD 0.10 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
XRAY NASDAQ · Dentsply Sirona Inc
14.05 MD 0.72 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
35
ACB NASDAQ · Aurora Cannabis Inc
2.63 20% entry drawdown · -20.78%
AIFU NASDAQ · Fanhua Inc.
34.52 20% entry drawdown · -25.28%
AKTX NASDAQ · Akari Therapeutics PLC
11.01 20% entry drawdown · -20.68%
ALDX NASDAQ · Aldeyra The
1.69 20% entry drawdown · -25.55%
ARCT NASDAQ · Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings Inc
6.05 20% entry drawdown · -26.49%
AWRE NASDAQ · Aware Inc
1.11 20% entry drawdown · -26.97%
BEEM NASDAQ · Beam Global
1.03 20% entry drawdown · -24.82%
BNAI NASDAQ · Brand Engagement Network Inc
11.62 20% entry drawdown · -29.49%
BTBT NASDAQ · Bit Digital Inc
1.40 20% entry drawdown · -29.65%
EIX NYSE · Edison International
77.63 Reversal Risk Warning · 49.97%
EVGO NASDAQ · Evgo Inc
1.68 20% entry drawdown · -20.94%
EVO NASDAQ · Evotec SE ADR
1.96 20% entry drawdown · -27.94%
GENK NASDAQ · GEN Restaurant Group, Inc. Class A Common Stock
1.77 20% entry drawdown · -24.36%
GLXG NASDAQ · Galaxy Payroll Group Limited Ordinary Shares
1.05 20% entry drawdown · -28.08%
HUBG NASDAQ · Hub Group Inc
51.22 Reversal Risk Warning · 45.11%
INV NASDAQ · Innventure, Inc.
3.37 20% entry drawdown · -27.37%
JLHL NASDAQ · Julong Holding Limited Class A Ordinary Shares
9.35 20% entry drawdown · -20.29%
LEDS NASDAQ · SemiLEDS Corporation
3.01 Reversal Risk Warning · 67.22%
LONA NASDAQ · LeonaBio, Inc.
7.22 20% entry drawdown · -27.22%
MTEX NASDAQ · Mannatech Incorporated
4.25 20% entry drawdown · -21.59%
OABI NASDAQ · OmniAb Inc.
2.12 20% entry drawdown · -20.00%
OCCI NASDAQ · OFS Credit Company Inc
2.27 20% entry drawdown · -23.83%
PBF NYSE · PBF Energy Inc
62.75 Reversal Risk Warning · 219.84%
PLUG NASDAQ · Plug Power Inc
2.17 20% entry drawdown · -20.80%
PMCB NASDAQ · PharmaCyte Biotech Inc
0.63 20% entry drawdown · -21.31%
PMEC NASDAQ · Primech Holdings Ltd. Ordinary Shares
0.52 20% entry drawdown · -28.59%
QFIN NASDAQ · 360 Finance Inc
12.73 20% entry drawdown · -20.83%
RPT NYSE · Rithm Property Trust Inc.
10.89 20% entry drawdown · -27.03%
RXRX NASDAQ · Recursion Pharmaceuticals Inc
2.95 20% entry drawdown · -22.50%
SNPS NASDAQ · Synopsys Inc
384.28 20% entry drawdown · -25.60%
SORA NASDAQ · Top Win International Limited
1.73 20% entry drawdown · -23.18%
VERU NASDAQ · Veru Inc
2.38 20% entry drawdown · -30.00%
WING NASDAQ · Wingstop Inc
142.33 20% entry drawdown · -20.03%
WW NASDAQ · WW International, Inc. Common Stock
14.57 20% entry drawdown · -21.46%
ZSQR NASDAQ · Z Squared Inc.
5.06 20% entry drawdown · -45.47%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 961-990 of 1081 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signal MD ROC RS
TVA NASDAQ · Texas Ventures Acquisition III Corp
12 Jun 202610.44
10.52
0.77%
Buy
0.05
-
-
TVAI NASDAQ · Thayer Ventures Acquisition Corporation II Class A Ordinary Shares
23 Jan 202610.20
10.34
1.37%
Buy
1.95
-
-
TWI NYSE · Titan International Inc
19 Dec 20257.85
7.66
-2.42%
Buy
0.14
-
-
TXG NASDAQ · 10X Genomics Inc
25 Jul 202514.11
43.74
209.99%
Buy
1.16
-
-
TXMD NASDAQ · TherapeuticsMD Inc
18 Apr 20251.01
2.06
103.96%
Buy
0.25
-
-
TXO NYSE · MorningStar Partners, L.P.
13 Feb 202611.98
12.80
6.84%
Buy
0.18
-
-
TYL NYSE · Tyler Technologies Inc
1 May 2026335.50
319.51
-4.77%
Buy
0.13
-
-
TZOO NASDAQ · Travelzoo
24 Apr 20269.70
10.94
12.78%
Buy
1.12
-
-
UA NYSE · Under Armour Inc C
2 Jan 20265.07
7.28
43.59%
Buy
0.43
-
-
UAA NYSE · Under Armour Inc A
2 Jan 20265.29
7.43
40.45%
Buy
0.54
-
-
UEIC NASDAQ · Universal Electronics Inc
16 Jan 20263.96
4.66
17.55%
Buy
0.27
-
-
UFI NYSE · Unifi Inc
23 Jan 20263.87
6.32
63.31%
Buy
0.21
-
-
UG NASDAQ · United-Guardian Inc
30 Jan 20266.96
7.55
8.45%
Buy
0.32
-
-
UHAL NYSE · U-Haul Holding Company
24 Apr 202652.59
71.30
35.58%
Buy
0.01
-
-
UIS NYSE · Unisys Corporation
1 May 20262.66
3.64
36.84%
Buy
0.41
-
-
ULBI NASDAQ · Ultralife Corporation
30 Jan 20266.38
5.51
-13.64%
Buy
0.30
-
-
UNCY NASDAQ · Unicycive Therapeutics Inc
24 Oct 20255.13
5.38
4.87%
Buy
0.28
-
-
UNH NYSE · UnitedHealth Group Incorporated
29 Aug 2025301.69
426.09
41.23%
Buy
0.23
-
-
UPBD NASDAQ · Upbound Group Inc.
19 Jun 202618.32
22.16
20.96%
Buy
0.09
-
-
UPS NYSE · United Parcel Service Inc
15 Aug 202582.73
117.72
42.29%
Buy
0.22
-
-
UPST NASDAQ · Upstart Holdings Inc
29 May 202633.79
29.51
-12.67%
Buy
0.55
-
-
UPWK NASDAQ · Upwork Inc
17 Jul 20269.06
9.06
New Entry week
Buy
0.10
-
-
USNA NYSE · USANA Health Sciences Inc
22 May 202618.74
21.82
16.44%
Buy
0.04
-
-
USPH NYSE · U.S. Physical Therapy, Inc.
10 Jul 202672.54
73.56
1.41%
Buy
0.07
-
-
UTMD NASDAQ · Utah Medical Products Inc
13 Jun 202553.78
69.80
29.78%
Buy
0.14
-
-
UTSI NASDAQ · UTStarcom Holdings Corp
9 Jan 20262.45
2.54
3.67%
Buy
0.26
-
-
UTZ NYSE · Utz Brands Inc
3 Jul 20268.27
7.21
-12.82%
Buy
0.58
-
-
UYSC NASDAQ · UY Scuti Acquisition Corp.
13 Mar 202610.37
10.78
3.95%
Buy
2.71
-
-
VAC NYSE · Marriot Vacations Worldwide
16 Jan 202658.62
99.98
70.55%
Buy
0.04
-
-
VALN NASDAQ · Valneva SE ADR
24 Jan 20254.90
5.00
2.04%
Buy
0.13
-
-

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 3061-3090 of 10781
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
9 Jan 2026
Entry
FBIO NASDAQ · Fortress Biotech Inc
4.30
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.54
9 Jan 2026
Entry
GBLI NASDAQ · Global Indemnity Group, LLC Class A Common Stock
27.90
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.01
9 Jan 2026
Exit
GLUE NASDAQ · Monte Rosa Therapeutics Inc
24.28
Reversal Risk Warning
370.54%
Entry 11 Jul 2025 5.16
9 Jan 2026
Exit
HBAN NASDAQ · Huntington Bancshares Incorporated
17.89
Reversal Risk Warning
80.78%
Entry 14 Jul 2023 9.90
9 Jan 2026
Exit
HCC NYSE · Warrior Met Coal Inc
96.79
Reversal Risk Warning
93.84%
Entry 29 Sep 2023 49.93
9 Jan 2026
Entry
HMR NASDAQ · Heidmar Maritime Holdings Corp. Common Stock
0.91
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.10
9 Jan 2026
Entry
IBIO NASDAQ · iBio, Inc. Common Stock
2.70
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.70
9 Jan 2026
Entry
IMNN NASDAQ · Imunon Inc
3.69
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.02
9 Jan 2026
Exit
IRMD NASDAQ · Iradimed Co
98.53
Reversal Risk Warning
105.12%
Entry 27 Sep 2024 48.03
9 Jan 2026
Entry
ITGR NYSE · Integer Holdings Corp
84.31
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.12
9 Jan 2026
Exit
IVZ NYSE · Invesco Plc
28.12
Reversal Risk Warning
109.69%
Entry 8 Dec 2023 13.41
9 Jan 2026
Exit
JCSE NASDAQ · JE Cleantech Holdings Ltd
1.87
Reversal Risk Warning
178.20%
Entry 5 Jul 2024 0.67
9 Jan 2026
Exit
JMIA NYSE · Jumia Technologies AG
14.26
Reversal Risk Warning
221.90%
Entry 4 Jul 2025 4.43
9 Jan 2026
Exit
JOYY NASDAQ · JOYY Inc
64.89
Reversal Risk Warning
109.98%
Entry 14 Jul 2023 30.90
9 Jan 2026
Exit
JXN NYSE · Jackson Financial Inc
115.39
Reversal Risk Warning
191.05%
Entry 10 Nov 2023 39.65
9 Jan 2026
Entry
KMX NYSE · CarMax Inc
45.23
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.25
9 Jan 2026
Entry
KRO NYSE · Kronos Worldwide Inc
5.24
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.26
9 Jan 2026
Entry
KRUS NASDAQ · Kura Sushi USA Inc
69.18
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.19
9 Jan 2026
Exit
LAUR NASDAQ · Laureate Education Inc
35.47
Reversal Risk Warning
151.56%
Entry 22 Mar 2024 14.10
9 Jan 2026
Entry
MASK NASDAQ · 3 E Network Technology Group Ltd Class A Ordinary Shares
9.32
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.45
9 Jan 2026
Entry
MERC NASDAQ · Mercer International Inc
2.55
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.48
9 Jan 2026
Exit
MITT NYSE · AG Mortgage Investment Trust Inc
8.51
Reversal Risk Warning
79.59%
Entry 15 Dec 2023 4.74
9 Jan 2026
Exit
MLM NYSE · Martin Marietta Materials Inc
664.87
Reversal Risk Warning
47.83%
Entry 14 Jul 2023 449.76
9 Jan 2026
Exit
NLY NYSE · Annaly Capital Management, Inc.
22.55
Reversal Risk Warning
57.76%
Entry 15 Dec 2023 14.30
9 Jan 2026
Exit
NMR NYSE · Nomura Holdings Inc ADR
8.92
Reversal Risk Warning
114.88%
Entry 5 Jan 2024 4.15
9 Jan 2026
Exit
ONDS NASDAQ · Ondas Holdings Inc.
13.69
Reversal Risk Warning
513.90%
Entry 18 Jul 2025 2.23
9 Jan 2026
Exit
ONIT NYSE · Onity Group Inc.
49.98
Reversal Risk Warning
101.05%
Entry 19 Jul 2024 24.86
9 Jan 2026
Exit
PACS NYSE · PACS Group, Inc.
41.27
Reversal Risk Warning
50.07%
Entry 21 Nov 2025 27.50
9 Jan 2026
Exit
PMVP NASDAQ · Pmv Pharmaceuticals Inc
1.18
20% entry drawdown
-20.27%
Entry 8 Aug 2025 1.48
9 Jan 2026
Exit
PZZA NASDAQ · Papa John's International Inc
36.30
20% entry drawdown
-23.67%
Entry 6 Jun 2025 47.56