Universe
Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.
Signal Validation
Market Dynamics Performance Index
A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.
Index Value
479.75
Total Return
379.75%
CAGR
56.00%
Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+34.22%/yr
Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.65
Sortino 5.16
Current Holdings
1081
Transactions
10781
Avg 3057.2/yr ·
254.8/mo ·
58.8/wk
Exit Mix
4850
Stop 41.5% ·
Warning 58.0%
· Other 0.5%
Method
How The Index Works
The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.
Entry Rule
A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.
Exit Rule
A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.
Return Math
Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.
Assumptions
- This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
- Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
- Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
- New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
- Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
- Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
- Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
- Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.
Weekly Index
Cumulative Value
Latest Week
Positions In And Out
New Positions In
Entries at weekly close
ADBE
NASDAQ · Adobe Systems Incorporated
237.25
MD 0.17 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BL
NASDAQ · Blackline Inc
30.29
MD 0.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BLKB
NASDAQ · Blackbaud Inc
32.40
MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CDNL
NASDAQ · Cardinal Infrastructure Group Inc. Class A Common Stock
71.23
MD 1.59 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CURV
NYSE · Torrid Holdings Inc
2.33
MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
DFIN
NYSE · Donnelley Financial Solutions Inc
49.95
MD 0.06 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
EXPO
NASDAQ · Exponent Inc
62.88
MD 0.09 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
FIS
NYSE · Fidelity National Information Services Inc
41.91
MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
HCKT
NASDAQ · The Hackett Group Inc
10.34
MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ICFI
NASDAQ · ICF International Inc
78.86
MD 0.80 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LAW
NYSE · CS Disco LLC
4.05
MD 0.26 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
NRDS
NASDAQ · Nerdwallet Inc
9.26
MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ONT
NYSE · Onterris
20.93
MD 0.36 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OPRX
NASDAQ · OPTIMIZERx Corp
6.69
MD 0.86 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PODD
NASDAQ · Insulet Corporation
164.06
MD 0.42 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
RCEL
NASDAQ · Avita Medical Ltd
5.10
MD 0.39 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
UPWK
NASDAQ · Upwork Inc
9.06
MD 0.10 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
XRAY
NASDAQ · Dentsply Sirona Inc
14.05
MD 0.72 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
Positions Out
Closed at weekly close
ACB
NASDAQ · Aurora Cannabis Inc
2.63
20% entry drawdown · -20.78%
AIFU
NASDAQ · Fanhua Inc.
34.52
20% entry drawdown · -25.28%
AKTX
NASDAQ · Akari Therapeutics PLC
11.01
20% entry drawdown · -20.68%
ALDX
NASDAQ · Aldeyra The
1.69
20% entry drawdown · -25.55%
ARCT
NASDAQ · Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings Inc
6.05
20% entry drawdown · -26.49%
AWRE
NASDAQ · Aware Inc
1.11
20% entry drawdown · -26.97%
BEEM
NASDAQ · Beam Global
1.03
20% entry drawdown · -24.82%
BNAI
NASDAQ · Brand Engagement Network Inc
11.62
20% entry drawdown · -29.49%
BTBT
NASDAQ · Bit Digital Inc
1.40
20% entry drawdown · -29.65%
EIX
NYSE · Edison International
77.63
Reversal Risk Warning · 49.97%
EVGO
NASDAQ · Evgo Inc
1.68
20% entry drawdown · -20.94%
EVO
NASDAQ · Evotec SE ADR
1.96
20% entry drawdown · -27.94%
GENK
NASDAQ · GEN Restaurant Group, Inc. Class A Common Stock
1.77
20% entry drawdown · -24.36%
GLXG
NASDAQ · Galaxy Payroll Group Limited Ordinary Shares
1.05
20% entry drawdown · -28.08%
HUBG
NASDAQ · Hub Group Inc
51.22
Reversal Risk Warning · 45.11%
INV
NASDAQ · Innventure, Inc.
3.37
20% entry drawdown · -27.37%
JLHL
NASDAQ · Julong Holding Limited Class A Ordinary Shares
9.35
20% entry drawdown · -20.29%
LEDS
NASDAQ · SemiLEDS Corporation
3.01
Reversal Risk Warning · 67.22%
LONA
NASDAQ · LeonaBio, Inc.
7.22
20% entry drawdown · -27.22%
MTEX
NASDAQ · Mannatech Incorporated
4.25
20% entry drawdown · -21.59%
OABI
NASDAQ · OmniAb Inc.
2.12
20% entry drawdown · -20.00%
OCCI
NASDAQ · OFS Credit Company Inc
2.27
20% entry drawdown · -23.83%
PBF
NYSE · PBF Energy Inc
62.75
Reversal Risk Warning · 219.84%
PLUG
NASDAQ · Plug Power Inc
2.17
20% entry drawdown · -20.80%
PMCB
NASDAQ · PharmaCyte Biotech Inc
0.63
20% entry drawdown · -21.31%
PMEC
NASDAQ · Primech Holdings Ltd. Ordinary Shares
0.52
20% entry drawdown · -28.59%
QFIN
NASDAQ · 360 Finance Inc
12.73
20% entry drawdown · -20.83%
RPT
NYSE · Rithm Property Trust Inc.
10.89
20% entry drawdown · -27.03%
RXRX
NASDAQ · Recursion Pharmaceuticals Inc
2.95
20% entry drawdown · -22.50%
SNPS
NASDAQ · Synopsys Inc
384.28
20% entry drawdown · -25.60%
SORA
NASDAQ · Top Win International Limited
1.73
20% entry drawdown · -23.18%
VERU
NASDAQ · Veru Inc
2.38
20% entry drawdown · -30.00%
WING
NASDAQ · Wingstop Inc
142.33
20% entry drawdown · -20.03%
WW
NASDAQ · WW International, Inc. Common Stock
14.57
20% entry drawdown · -21.46%
ZSQR
NASDAQ · Z Squared Inc.
5.06
20% entry drawdown · -45.47%
Live Book
Current Holdings
Ticker
Entry
Last Close
Return
Signal
MD
ROC
RS
TVA
NASDAQ · Texas Ventures Acquisition III Corp
12 Jun 202610.44
10.52
0.77%
Buy
0.05
-
-
TVAI
NASDAQ · Thayer Ventures Acquisition Corporation II Class A Ordinary Shares
23 Jan 202610.20
10.34
1.37%
Buy
1.95
-
-
TWI
NYSE · Titan International Inc
19 Dec 20257.85
7.66
-2.42%
Buy
0.14
-
-
TXG
NASDAQ · 10X Genomics Inc
25 Jul 202514.11
43.74
209.99%
Buy
1.16
-
-
TXMD
NASDAQ · TherapeuticsMD Inc
18 Apr 20251.01
2.06
103.96%
Buy
0.25
-
-
TXO
NYSE · MorningStar Partners, L.P.
13 Feb 202611.98
12.80
6.84%
Buy
0.18
-
-
TYL
NYSE · Tyler Technologies Inc
1 May 2026335.50
319.51
-4.77%
Buy
0.13
-
-
TZOO
NASDAQ · Travelzoo
24 Apr 20269.70
10.94
12.78%
Buy
1.12
-
-
UA
NYSE · Under Armour Inc C
2 Jan 20265.07
7.28
43.59%
Buy
0.43
-
-
UAA
NYSE · Under Armour Inc A
2 Jan 20265.29
7.43
40.45%
Buy
0.54
-
-
UEIC
NASDAQ · Universal Electronics Inc
16 Jan 20263.96
4.66
17.55%
Buy
0.27
-
-
UFI
NYSE · Unifi Inc
23 Jan 20263.87
6.32
63.31%
Buy
0.21
-
-
UG
NASDAQ · United-Guardian Inc
30 Jan 20266.96
7.55
8.45%
Buy
0.32
-
-
UHAL
NYSE · U-Haul Holding Company
24 Apr 202652.59
71.30
35.58%
Buy
0.01
-
-
UIS
NYSE · Unisys Corporation
1 May 20262.66
3.64
36.84%
Buy
0.41
-
-
ULBI
NASDAQ · Ultralife Corporation
30 Jan 20266.38
5.51
-13.64%
Buy
0.30
-
-
UNCY
NASDAQ · Unicycive Therapeutics Inc
24 Oct 20255.13
5.38
4.87%
Buy
0.28
-
-
UNH
NYSE · UnitedHealth Group Incorporated
29 Aug 2025301.69
426.09
41.23%
Buy
0.23
-
-
UPBD
NASDAQ · Upbound Group Inc.
19 Jun 202618.32
22.16
20.96%
Buy
0.09
-
-
UPS
NYSE · United Parcel Service Inc
15 Aug 202582.73
117.72
42.29%
Buy
0.22
-
-
UPST
NASDAQ · Upstart Holdings Inc
29 May 202633.79
29.51
-12.67%
Buy
0.55
-
-
UPWK
NASDAQ · Upwork Inc
17 Jul 20269.06
9.06
New
Entry week
Buy
0.10
-
-
USNA
NYSE · USANA Health Sciences Inc
22 May 202618.74
21.82
16.44%
Buy
0.04
-
-
USPH
NYSE · U.S. Physical Therapy, Inc.
10 Jul 202672.54
73.56
1.41%
Buy
0.07
-
-
UTMD
NASDAQ · Utah Medical Products Inc
13 Jun 202553.78
69.80
29.78%
Buy
0.14
-
-
UTSI
NASDAQ · UTStarcom Holdings Corp
9 Jan 20262.45
2.54
3.67%
Buy
0.26
-
-
UTZ
NYSE · Utz Brands Inc
3 Jul 20268.27
7.21
-12.82%
Buy
0.58
-
-
UYSC
NASDAQ · UY Scuti Acquisition Corp.
13 Mar 202610.37
10.78
3.95%
Buy
2.71
-
-
VAC
NYSE · Marriot Vacations Worldwide
16 Jan 202658.62
99.98
70.55%
Buy
0.04
-
-
VALN
NASDAQ · Valneva SE ADR
24 Jan 20254.90
5.00
2.04%
Buy
0.13
-
-
Ledger
Transaction History
Date
Action
Ticker
Price
Reason
Return
Qualifiers
24 Oct 2025
Exit
TEL
NYSE · TE Connectivity Ltd
233.28
Reversal Risk Warning
82.85%
Entry 1 Sep 2023
127.58
24 Oct 2025
Exit
TLS
NASDAQ · Telos Corp
7.41
Reversal Risk Warning
169.45%
Entry 6 Jun 2025
2.75
24 Oct 2025
Exit
TNYA
NASDAQ · Tenaya Therapeutics Inc
1.66
20% entry drawdown
-20.95%
Entry 10 Oct 2025
2.10
24 Oct 2025
Entry
UNCY
NASDAQ · Unicycive Therapeutics Inc
5.13
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.28
24 Oct 2025
Exit
VERI
NASDAQ · Veritone Inc
7.18
Reversal Risk Warning
205.53%
Entry 25 Jul 2025
2.35
24 Oct 2025
Entry
VICR
NASDAQ · Vicor Corporation
90.44
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 1.04
24 Oct 2025
Entry
VIR
NASDAQ · Vir Biotechnology Inc
5.98
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 1.41
24 Oct 2025
Exit
YQ
NASDAQ · 17 Education Technology Group Inc
6.20
Reversal Risk Warning
262.57%
Entry 18 Apr 2025
1.71
17 Oct 2025
Exit
ABVE
NASDAQ · Above Food Ingredients Inc. Common Stock
5.28
Reversal Risk Warning
803.95%
Entry 28 Mar 2025
0.58
17 Oct 2025
Entry
AFYA
NASDAQ · Afya Ltd
14.28
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.12
17 Oct 2025
Entry
AIMD
NASDAQ · Ainos Inc
3.97
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 1.10
17 Oct 2025
Exit
AQST
NASDAQ · Aquestive Therapeutics Inc
7.08
Reversal Risk Warning
196.23%
Entry 1 Dec 2023
2.39
17 Oct 2025
Entry
ASX
NYSE · ASE Industrial Holding Co Ltd ADR
12.72
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.81
17 Oct 2025
Exit
ATAI
NASDAQ · ATAI Life Sciences BV
6.45
Reversal Risk Warning
179.22%
Entry 30 May 2025
2.31
17 Oct 2025
Exit
AVAH
NASDAQ · Aveanna Healthcare Holdings Inc
9.86
Reversal Risk Warning
346.15%
Entry 17 Nov 2023
2.21
17 Oct 2025
Exit
AYI
NYSE · Acuity Brands Inc
356.13
Reversal Risk Warning
76.27%
Entry 15 Dec 2023
202.04
17 Oct 2025
Entry
BGS
NYSE · B&G Foods Inc
4.28
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.55
17 Oct 2025
Entry
BRLS
NASDAQ · Borealis Foods Inc.
3.28
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.44
17 Oct 2025
Entry
CAPN
NASDAQ · Cayson Acquisition Corp Ordinary shares
10.46
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.74
17 Oct 2025
Entry
CIIT
NASDAQ · Tianci International, Inc. Common Stock
6.18
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.39
17 Oct 2025
Entry
COOT
NASDAQ · Australian Oilseeds Holdings Limited Ordinary Shares
2.08
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.93
17 Oct 2025
Exit
CRML
NASDAQ · Critical Metals Corp. Ordinary Shares
20.86
Reversal Risk Warning
499.43%
Entry 4 Jul 2025
3.48
17 Oct 2025
Entry
CVRX
NASDAQ · CVRx Inc
9.95
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 1.29
17 Oct 2025
Entry
DECK
NYSE · Deckers Outdoor Corporation
99.82
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.27
17 Oct 2025
Exit
DMRA
NASDAQ · Damora Therapeutics, Inc.
9.58
20% entry drawdown
-24.33%
Entry 10 Oct 2025
12.66
17 Oct 2025
Exit
DUK
NYSE · Duke Energy Corporation
124.92
Reversal Risk Warning
52.32%
Entry 18 Aug 2023
82.01
17 Oct 2025
Entry
FDMT
NASDAQ · 4D Molecular Therapeutics Inc
9.84
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 1.95
17 Oct 2025
Entry
FGMC
NASDAQ · FG Merger II Corp. Common stock
10.04
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.28
17 Oct 2025
Entry
FORM
NASDAQ · FormFactor Inc
42.05
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 1.02
17 Oct 2025
Exit
IDCC
NASDAQ · InterDigital Inc
365.29
Reversal Risk Warning
172.79%
Entry 2 Aug 2024
133.91