Signal Validation

Market Dynamics Performance Index

A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.

United States
Latest week 10 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
483.76
Total Return
383.76%
CAGR
56.75% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+34.30%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.67 Sortino 5.20
Current Holdings
1117
Transactions
10719 Avg 3056.2/yr · 254.7/mo · 58.8/wk
Exit Mix
4801 Stop 41.3% · Warning 58.4% · Other 0.2%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.

01

Universe

Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
  • Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
  • Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

10 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
28
AKTX NASDAQ · Akari Therapeutics PLC
13.88 MD 1.03 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ALG NYSE · Alamo Group Inc
161.48 MD 0.27 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ALXO NASDAQ · Alx Oncology Holdings
2.13 MD 0.03 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
AOS NYSE · Smith AO Corporation
60.44 MD 0.00 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ARAI NASDAQ · Arrive AI Inc.
0.42 MD 0.40 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ATR NYSE · AptarGroup Inc
125.53 MD 0.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BFAM NYSE · Bright Horizons Family Solutions Inc
73.31 MD 0.11 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BUR NYSE · Burford Capital Ltd
4.19 MD 0.14 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GIB NYSE · CGI Inc
67.06 MD 0.07 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GLXG NASDAQ · Galaxy Payroll Group Limited Ordinary Shares
1.46 MD 0.15 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
HAVA NASDAQ · Harvard Ave Acquisition Corporation Class A Ordinary Share
10.12 MD 1.35 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
JLHL NASDAQ · Julong Holding Limited Class A Ordinary Shares
11.73 MD 0.44 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LAFA NASDAQ · LaFayette Acquisition Corp. Ordinary Share
10.11 MD 1.51 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MKC-V NYSE · McCormick & Company Incorporated
50.81 MD 0.15 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MMTX NASDAQ · Miluna Acquisition Corp Class A Ordinary Share
10.15 MD 2.50 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MNDO NASDAQ · MIND CTI Ltd
1.06 MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PEW NYSE · GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc.
2.96 MD 0.21 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
RPD NASDAQ · Rapid7 Inc
11.17 MD 1.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SAFX NASDAQ · XCF Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock
0.55 MD 0.24 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SKIN NASDAQ · Beauty Health Co
0.91 MD 0.21 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SKYX NASDAQ · SKYX Platforms Corp
1.27 MD 0.09 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
STIM NASDAQ · Neuronetics Inc
1.76 MD 0.50 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TTEK NASDAQ · Tetra Tech Inc
30.99 MD 0.06 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
USPH NYSE · U.S. Physical Therapy, Inc.
72.54 MD 0.07 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
VRDN NASDAQ · Viridian Therapeutics Inc
19.74 MD 0.12 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WRAP NASDAQ · Wrap Technologies Inc
2.46 MD 0.26 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WVVI NASDAQ · Willamette Valley Vineyards Inc
2.93 MD 1.08 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
XTLB NASDAQ · XTL Biopharmaceuticals Ltd ADR
2.91 MD 0.77 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
16
APWC NASDAQ · Asia Pacific Wire & Cable Corp Ltd
1.53 20% entry drawdown · -23.12%
BIRD NASDAQ · Allbirds Inc
3.13 20% entry drawdown · -33.15%
BLLN NASDAQ · BillionToOne, Inc. Class A Common Stock
126.77 Reversal Risk Warning · 28.06%
BYRN NASDAQ · Byrna Technologies Inc
3.87 20% entry drawdown · -44.55%
CE NYSE · Celanese Corporation
46.92 20% entry drawdown · -20.19%
CHGG NYSE · Chegg Inc
0.85 20% entry drawdown · -23.79%
CWH NYSE · Camping World Holdings Inc
6.22 20% entry drawdown · -22.06%
GAME NASDAQ · GameSquare Holdings Inc.
0.31 20% entry drawdown · -31.37%
GKOS NYSE · Glaukos Corp
152.72 Reversal Risk Warning · 82.11%
JEM NASDAQ · 707 Cayman Holdings Limited Ordinary Shares
0.54 20% entry drawdown · -64.86%
KELYB NASDAQ · Kelly Services B Inc
23.95 Reversal Risk Warning · 75.74%
LVO NASDAQ · LiveOne Inc
5.23 20% entry drawdown · -24.64%
NEWT NASDAQ · NewtekOne, Inc.
14.78 Reversal Risk Warning · 52.99%
OMEX NASDAQ · Odyssey Marine Exploration Inc
0.71 20% entry drawdown · -22.37%
TLPH NASDAQ · Talphera Inc.
1.46 Reversal Risk Warning · 196.33%
WATT NASDAQ · Energous Corporation
17.99 20% entry drawdown · -27.25%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 961-990 of 1117 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signal MD ROC RS
TDC NYSE · Teradata Corp
7 Nov 202527.60
33.74
22.25%
Buy
1.11
-
-
TDOC NYSE · Teladoc Inc
1 May 20266.46
9.28
43.65%
Buy
0.31
-
-
TDW NYSE · Tidewater Inc
6 Jun 202543.43
73.37
68.94%
Buy
0.18
-
-
TDWD NASDAQ · Tailwind 2.0 Acquisition Corp. Class A Ordinary Shares
3 Jul 202610.06
10.04
-0.20%
Buy
1.63
-
-
TEAM NASDAQ · Atlassian Corp Plc
8 May 202691.60
88.86
-2.99%
Buy
0.36
-
-
TECH NASDAQ · Bio-Techne Corp
19 Jun 202657.94
71.30
23.06%
Buy
0.11
-
-
TECX NASDAQ · Tectonic Therapeutic, Inc.
21 Nov 202519.18
34.37
79.20%
Buy
0.02
-
-
TENB NASDAQ · Tenable Holdings Inc
1 May 202621.23
39.78
87.38%
Buy
0.34
-
-
TENX NASDAQ · Tenax Therapeutics Inc
26 Sep 20257.26
17.55
141.74%
Buy
1.03
-
-
TFIN NYSE · Triumph Financial, Inc.
7 Nov 202553.86
78.44
45.64%
Buy
0.08
-
-
TFX NYSE · Teleflex Incorporated
25 Jul 2025115.85
135.73
17.16%
Buy
0.19
-
-
TGE NYSE · The Generation Essentials Group
12 Jun 20261.04
1.05
0.96%
Buy
0.05
-
-
TGHL NASDAQ · The GrowHub Limited Class A Ordinary Shares
10 Apr 20260.36
0.63
74.52%
Buy
0.59
-
-
TGT NYSE · Target Corporation
27 Jun 202595.12
135.14
42.08%
Buy
0.27
-
-
THRD NASDAQ · Third Harmonic Bio Inc.
2 May 20255.17
5.38
4.06%
Buy
0.21
-
-
THRM NASDAQ · Gentherm Inc
6 Jun 202527.05
35.83
32.46%
Buy
0.10
-
-
TITN NASDAQ · Titan Machinery Inc
28 Mar 202517.27
18.27
5.79%
Buy
0.63
-
-
TJGC NASDAQ · TJGC Group Limited
10 Apr 20262.82
4.67
65.60%
Buy
0.67
-
-
TLF NASDAQ · Tandy Leather Factory Inc
6 Feb 20262.41
2.39
-0.86%
Buy
0.51
-
-
TLIH NASDAQ · Ten-League International Holdings Limited Ordinary Shares
1 May 20263.66
5.00
36.61%
Buy
0.29
-
-
TLSI NASDAQ · TriSalus Life Sciences Inc.
26 Jun 20264.73
4.14
-12.47%
Buy
0.10
-
-
TLX NASDAQ · Telix Pharmaceuticals Limited
6 Mar 20267.52
11.14
48.14%
Buy
0.31
-
-
TLYS NYSE · Tillys Inc
13 Mar 20262.69
4.12
53.16%
Buy
0.32
-
-
TMCI NASDAQ · Treace Medical Concepts Inc
15 May 20262.66
4.32
62.41%
Buy
0.92
-
-
TNC NYSE · Tennant Company
24 Apr 202681.23
85.55
5.32%
Buy
0.11
-
-
TOMZ NASDAQ · TOMI Environmental Solutions Inc
15 May 20260.78
0.81
3.60%
Buy
0.53
-
-
TREX NYSE · Trex Company Inc
23 Jan 202642.55
47.16
10.83%
Buy
0.12
-
-
TRIP NASDAQ · TripAdvisor Inc
1 May 202611.56
13.98
20.93%
Buy
0.05
-
-
TRNS NASDAQ · Transcat Inc
6 Feb 202676.33
88.41
15.83%
Buy
0.59
-
-
TROX NYSE · Tronox Holdings PLC
23 Jan 20266.21
6.14
-1.15%
Buy
1.79
-
-

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 91-120 of 10719
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
3 Jul 2026
Entry
MRSH NYSE · Marsh & McLennan Companies, Inc.
178.54
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.32
3 Jul 2026
Entry
MSTR NASDAQ · MicroStrategy Incorporated
100.77
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.01
3 Jul 2026
Exit
NEUP NASDAQ · Neuphoria Therapeutics Inc
3.38
20% entry drawdown
-32.94%
Entry 24 Apr 2026 5.04
3 Jul 2026
Entry
NKE NYSE · Nike Inc
44.09
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.29
3 Jul 2026
Entry
OI NYSE · O-I Glass Inc
9.79
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.11
3 Jul 2026
Exit
OPTU NYSE · Optimum Communications, Inc.
1.16
20% entry drawdown
-30.12%
Entry 26 Jun 2026 1.66
3 Jul 2026
Entry
OXBR NASDAQ · Oxbridge Re Holdings Ltd
1.28
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.07
3 Jul 2026
Entry
PGY NASDAQ · Pagaya Technologies Ltd.
17.79
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.04
3 Jul 2026
Exit
RDZN NASDAQ · Roadzen Inc.
1.34
20% entry drawdown
-25.56%
Entry 8 May 2026 1.80
3 Jul 2026
Entry
REAX NASDAQ · Real Brokerage Inc
2.17
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.08
3 Jul 2026
Entry
SLNG NASDAQ · Stabilis Solutions Inc
4.19
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.43
3 Jul 2026
Exit
SMCI NASDAQ · Super Micro Computer Inc
27.22
20% entry drawdown
-23.04%
Entry 8 May 2026 35.37
3 Jul 2026
Exit
SONM NASDAQ · Sonim Technologies Inc
3.75
20% entry drawdown
-21.05%
Entry 5 Jun 2026 4.75
3 Jul 2026
Entry
SRFM NYSE · Surf Air Mobility Inc.
1.04
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.50
3 Jul 2026
Entry
TDWD NASDAQ · Tailwind 2.0 Acquisition Corp. Class A Ordinary Shares
10.06
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.63
3 Jul 2026
Exit
TTRX NASDAQ · Turn Therapeutics Inc. Common Stock
7.12
Reversal Risk Warning
38.79%
Entry 22 May 2026 5.13
3 Jul 2026
Exit
USIO NASDAQ · Usio Inc
2.48
Reversal Risk Warning
63.16%
Entry 15 May 2026 1.52
3 Jul 2026
Entry
UTZ NYSE · Utz Brands Inc
8.27
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.58
3 Jul 2026
Exit
VGAS NASDAQ · Verde Clean Fuels Inc.
1.00
20% entry drawdown
-34.21%
Entry 3 Apr 2026 1.52
3 Jul 2026
Entry
WAY NASDAQ · Waystar Holding Corp. Common Stock
23.46
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.10
3 Jul 2026
Entry
WING NASDAQ · Wingstop Inc
177.99
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.22
3 Jul 2026
Exit
WXM NASDAQ · WF International Limited Ordinary Shares
4.29
20% entry drawdown
-23.38%
Entry 8 May 2026 5.60
3 Jul 2026
Entry
YSG NYSE · Yatsen Holding
3.47
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.35
3 Jul 2026
Entry
ZBH NYSE · Zimmer Biomet Holdings Inc
87.47
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.13
3 Jul 2026
Entry
ZS NASDAQ · Zscaler Inc
147.33
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.40
26 Jun 2026
Exit
AAL NASDAQ · American Airlines Group
17.87
Reversal Risk Warning
58.42%
Entry 27 Jun 2025 11.28
26 Jun 2026
Exit
ABBV NYSE · AbbVie Inc
253.35
Reversal Risk Warning
83.48%
Entry 11 Aug 2023 138.08
26 Jun 2026
Exit
ABSI NASDAQ · Absci Corp
10.89
Reversal Risk Warning
373.48%
Entry 8 Dec 2023 2.30
26 Jun 2026
Exit
ACA NYSE · Arcosa Inc
144.50
Reversal Risk Warning
86.44%
Entry 4 Aug 2023 77.51
26 Jun 2026
Exit
ADAM NASDAQ · New York Mortgage Trust, Inc.
9.51
Reversal Risk Warning
130.07%
Entry 19 Jul 2024 4.13