View US Trend Index

Signal Validation

Market Dynamics Performance Index

A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.

Market United States

Latest week 17 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00

Index Value

479.75

Total Return

379.75%

CAGR

56.00% Annualized from first index week

Edge vs Market

+34.22%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR

Risk Adjusted

Sharpe 2.65 Sortino 5.16

Current Holdings

1081

Transactions

10781 Avg 3057.2/yr · 254.8/mo · 58.8/wk

Exit Mix

4850 Stop 41.5% · Warning 58.0% · Other 0.5%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.

Universe

Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions

This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

17 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close

ADBE NASDAQ · Adobe Systems Incorporated

237.25 MD 0.17 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

BL NASDAQ · Blackline Inc

30.29 MD 0.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

BLKB NASDAQ · Blackbaud Inc

32.40 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

CDNL NASDAQ · Cardinal Infrastructure Group Inc. Class A Common Stock

71.23 MD 1.59 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

CURV NYSE · Torrid Holdings Inc

2.33 MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

DFIN NYSE · Donnelley Financial Solutions Inc

49.95 MD 0.06 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

EXPO NASDAQ · Exponent Inc

62.88 MD 0.09 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

FIS NYSE · Fidelity National Information Services Inc

41.91 MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

HCKT NASDAQ · The Hackett Group Inc

10.34 MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

ICFI NASDAQ · ICF International Inc

78.86 MD 0.80 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

LAW NYSE · CS Disco LLC

4.05 MD 0.26 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

NRDS NASDAQ · Nerdwallet Inc

9.26 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

ONT NYSE · Onterris

20.93 MD 0.36 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

OPRX NASDAQ · OPTIMIZERx Corp

6.69 MD 0.86 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

PODD NASDAQ · Insulet Corporation

164.06 MD 0.42 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

RCEL NASDAQ · Avita Medical Ltd

5.10 MD 0.39 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

UPWK NASDAQ · Upwork Inc

9.06 MD 0.10 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

XRAY NASDAQ · Dentsply Sirona Inc

14.05 MD 0.72 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close

ACB NASDAQ · Aurora Cannabis Inc

2.63 20% entry drawdown · -20.78%

AIFU NASDAQ · Fanhua Inc.

34.52 20% entry drawdown · -25.28%

AKTX NASDAQ · Akari Therapeutics PLC

11.01 20% entry drawdown · -20.68%

ALDX NASDAQ · Aldeyra The

1.69 20% entry drawdown · -25.55%

ARCT NASDAQ · Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings Inc

6.05 20% entry drawdown · -26.49%

AWRE NASDAQ · Aware Inc

1.11 20% entry drawdown · -26.97%

BEEM NASDAQ · Beam Global

1.03 20% entry drawdown · -24.82%

BNAI NASDAQ · Brand Engagement Network Inc

11.62 20% entry drawdown · -29.49%

BTBT NASDAQ · Bit Digital Inc

1.40 20% entry drawdown · -29.65%

EIX NYSE · Edison International

77.63 Reversal Risk Warning · 49.97%

EVGO NASDAQ · Evgo Inc

1.68 20% entry drawdown · -20.94%

EVO NASDAQ · Evotec SE ADR

1.96 20% entry drawdown · -27.94%

GENK NASDAQ · GEN Restaurant Group, Inc. Class A Common Stock

1.77 20% entry drawdown · -24.36%

GLXG NASDAQ · Galaxy Payroll Group Limited Ordinary Shares

1.05 20% entry drawdown · -28.08%

HUBG NASDAQ · Hub Group Inc

51.22 Reversal Risk Warning · 45.11%

INV NASDAQ · Innventure, Inc.

3.37 20% entry drawdown · -27.37%

JLHL NASDAQ · Julong Holding Limited Class A Ordinary Shares

9.35 20% entry drawdown · -20.29%

LEDS NASDAQ · SemiLEDS Corporation

3.01 Reversal Risk Warning · 67.22%

LONA NASDAQ · LeonaBio, Inc.

7.22 20% entry drawdown · -27.22%

MTEX NASDAQ · Mannatech Incorporated

4.25 20% entry drawdown · -21.59%

OABI NASDAQ · OmniAb Inc.

2.12 20% entry drawdown · -20.00%

OCCI NASDAQ · OFS Credit Company Inc

2.27 20% entry drawdown · -23.83%

PBF NYSE · PBF Energy Inc

62.75 Reversal Risk Warning · 219.84%

PLUG NASDAQ · Plug Power Inc

2.17 20% entry drawdown · -20.80%

PMCB NASDAQ · PharmaCyte Biotech Inc

0.63 20% entry drawdown · -21.31%

PMEC NASDAQ · Primech Holdings Ltd. Ordinary Shares

0.52 20% entry drawdown · -28.59%

QFIN NASDAQ · 360 Finance Inc

12.73 20% entry drawdown · -20.83%

RPT NYSE · Rithm Property Trust Inc.

10.89 20% entry drawdown · -27.03%

RXRX NASDAQ · Recursion Pharmaceuticals Inc

2.95 20% entry drawdown · -22.50%

SNPS NASDAQ · Synopsys Inc

384.28 20% entry drawdown · -25.60%

SORA NASDAQ · Top Win International Limited

1.73 20% entry drawdown · -23.18%

VERU NASDAQ · Veru Inc

2.38 20% entry drawdown · -30.00%

WING NASDAQ · Wingstop Inc

142.33 20% entry drawdown · -20.03%

WW NASDAQ · WW International, Inc. Common Stock

14.57 20% entry drawdown · -21.46%

ZSQR NASDAQ · Z Squared Inc.

5.06 20% entry drawdown · -45.47%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 961-990 of 1081 open

Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signal MD ROC RS

TVA NASDAQ · Texas Ventures Acquisition III Corp

12 Jun 202610.44

10.52

0.77%

Buy

0.05

TVAI NASDAQ · Thayer Ventures Acquisition Corporation II Class A Ordinary Shares

23 Jan 202610.20

10.34

1.37%

Buy

1.95

TWI NYSE · Titan International Inc

19 Dec 20257.85

7.66

-2.42%

Buy

0.14

TXG NASDAQ · 10X Genomics Inc

25 Jul 202514.11

43.74

209.99%

Buy

1.16

TXMD NASDAQ · TherapeuticsMD Inc

18 Apr 20251.01

2.06

103.96%

Buy

0.25

TXO NYSE · MorningStar Partners, L.P.

13 Feb 202611.98

12.80

6.84%

Buy

0.18

TYL NYSE · Tyler Technologies Inc

1 May 2026335.50

319.51

-4.77%

Buy

0.13

TZOO NASDAQ · Travelzoo

24 Apr 20269.70

10.94

12.78%

Buy

1.12

UA NYSE · Under Armour Inc C

2 Jan 20265.07

7.28

43.59%

Buy

0.43

UAA NYSE · Under Armour Inc A

2 Jan 20265.29

7.43

40.45%

Buy

0.54

UEIC NASDAQ · Universal Electronics Inc

16 Jan 20263.96

4.66

17.55%

Buy

0.27

UFI NYSE · Unifi Inc

23 Jan 20263.87

6.32

63.31%

Buy

0.21

UG NASDAQ · United-Guardian Inc

30 Jan 20266.96

7.55

8.45%

Buy

0.32

UHAL NYSE · U-Haul Holding Company

24 Apr 202652.59

71.30

35.58%

Buy

0.01

UIS NYSE · Unisys Corporation

1 May 20262.66

3.64

36.84%

Buy

0.41

ULBI NASDAQ · Ultralife Corporation

30 Jan 20266.38

5.51

-13.64%

Buy

0.30

UNCY NASDAQ · Unicycive Therapeutics Inc

24 Oct 20255.13

5.38

4.87%

Buy

0.28

UNH NYSE · UnitedHealth Group Incorporated

29 Aug 2025301.69

426.09

41.23%

Buy

0.23

UPBD NASDAQ · Upbound Group Inc.

19 Jun 202618.32

22.16

20.96%

Buy

0.09

UPS NYSE · United Parcel Service Inc

15 Aug 202582.73

117.72

42.29%

Buy

0.22

UPST NASDAQ · Upstart Holdings Inc

29 May 202633.79

29.51

-12.67%

Buy

0.55

UPWK NASDAQ · Upwork Inc

17 Jul 20269.06

9.06

New Entry week

Buy

0.10

USNA NYSE · USANA Health Sciences Inc

22 May 202618.74

21.82

16.44%

Buy

0.04

USPH NYSE · U.S. Physical Therapy, Inc.

10 Jul 202672.54

73.56

1.41%

Buy

0.07

UTMD NASDAQ · Utah Medical Products Inc

13 Jun 202553.78

69.80

29.78%

Buy

0.14

UTSI NASDAQ · UTStarcom Holdings Corp

9 Jan 20262.45

2.54

3.67%

Buy

0.26

UTZ NYSE · Utz Brands Inc

3 Jul 20268.27

7.21

-12.82%

Buy

0.58

UYSC NASDAQ · UY Scuti Acquisition Corp.

13 Mar 202610.37

10.78

3.95%

Buy

2.71

VAC NYSE · Marriot Vacations Worldwide

16 Jan 202658.62

99.98

70.55%

Buy

0.04

VALN NASDAQ · Valneva SE ADR

24 Jan 20254.90

5.00

2.04%

Buy

0.13

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 2761-2790 of 10781

Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers

6 Feb 2026

Exit

TVGN NASDAQ · Tevogen Bio Holdings Inc.

13.73

20% entry drawdown

-27.66%

Entry 11 Oct 2024 18.98

6 Feb 2026

Exit

TXT NYSE · Textron Inc

95.40

Reversal Risk Warning

24.56%

Entry 16 May 2025 76.59

6 Feb 2026

Exit

UBFO NASDAQ · United Security Bancshares

11.41

Reversal Risk Warning

75.13%

Entry 28 Jul 2023 6.52

6 Feb 2026

Exit

UBSI NASDAQ · United Bankshares Inc

44.71

Reversal Risk Warning

47.93%

Entry 17 Nov 2023 30.22

6 Feb 2026

Exit

UCB NYSE · United Community Banks, Inc.

35.94

Reversal Risk Warning

43.02%

Entry 8 Dec 2023 25.13

6 Feb 2026

Entry

ULH NASDAQ · Universal Logistics Holdings Inc

17.83

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.60

6 Feb 2026

Exit

USB NYSE · U.S. Bancorp

60.09

Reversal Risk Warning

76.97%

Entry 21 Jul 2023 33.95

6 Feb 2026

Entry

VHI NYSE · Valhi Inc

15.34

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.25

6 Feb 2026

Exit

WASH NASDAQ · Washington Trust Bancorp Inc

36.14

Reversal Risk Warning

51.26%

Entry 1 Dec 2023 23.90

6 Feb 2026

Exit

WBS NYSE · Webster Financial Corporation

72.33

Reversal Risk Warning

76.45%

Entry 21 Jul 2023 40.99

6 Feb 2026

Exit

WMS NYSE · Advanced Drainage Systems Inc

174.93

Reversal Risk Warning

53.30%

Entry 7 Mar 2025 114.11

6 Feb 2026

Exit

WMT NASDAQ · Walmart Inc.

130.66

Reversal Risk Warning

129.00%

Entry 23 Feb 2024 57.06

6 Feb 2026

Exit

WNEB NASDAQ · Western New England Bancorp Inc

14.17

Reversal Risk Warning

116.31%

Entry 27 Oct 2023 6.55

6 Feb 2026

Exit

WS NYSE · Worthington Steel Inc

47.29

Reversal Risk Warning

77.63%

Entry 16 May 2025 26.62

6 Feb 2026

Exit

WSBC NASDAQ · WesBanco, Inc.

37.06

Reversal Risk Warning

53.62%

Entry 21 Jul 2023 24.12

6 Feb 2026

Exit

WTBA NASDAQ · West Bancorporation

25.78

Reversal Risk Warning

55.39%

Entry 1 Dec 2023 16.59

6 Feb 2026

Exit

WTFC NASDAQ · Wintrust Financial Corporation

160.75

Reversal Risk Warning

103.37%

Entry 21 Jul 2023 79.04

6 Feb 2026

Exit

XLO NASDAQ · Xilio Development Inc

7.57

20% entry drawdown

-21.44%

Entry 20 Jun 2025 9.64

6 Feb 2026

Entry

XTLB NASDAQ · XTL Biopharmaceuticals Ltd ADR

4.28

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.47

6 Feb 2026

Exit

YUMC NYSE · Yum China Holdings Inc

57.25

Reversal Risk Warning

75.62%

Entry 30 Aug 2024 32.60

6 Feb 2026

Exit

ZWS NYSE · Zurn Elkay Water Solutions Corporation

52.55

Reversal Risk Warning

77.67%

Entry 28 Jul 2023 29.57

30 Jan 2026

Entry

AEHR NASDAQ · Aehr Test Systems

25.64

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.27

30 Jan 2026

Exit

AMTM NYSE · Amentum Holdings Inc.

35.78

Reversal Risk Warning

68.69%

Entry 9 May 2025 21.21

30 Jan 2026

Exit

ARI NYSE · Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance Inc

10.56

Reversal Risk Warning

29.67%

Entry 24 Nov 2023 8.14

30 Jan 2026

Exit

ASPS NASDAQ · Altisource Portfolio Solutions SA

5.37

20% entry drawdown

-21.95%

Entry 14 Mar 2025 6.88

30 Jan 2026

Exit

AX NYSE · Axos Financial Inc

98.99

Reversal Risk Warning

134.68%

Entry 14 Jul 2023 42.18

30 Jan 2026

Exit

BBD NYSE · Banco Bradesco SA ADR

3.97

Reversal Risk Warning

103.46%

Entry 14 Feb 2025 1.95

30 Jan 2026

Entry

BLNE NASDAQ · Beeline Holdings, Inc.

3.03

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.31

30 Jan 2026

Exit

CHRW NASDAQ · CH Robinson Worldwide Inc

193.61

Reversal Risk Warning

104.37%

Entry 2 Aug 2024 94.73

30 Jan 2026

Entry

CLX NYSE · The Clorox Company

111.36

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.57