Signal Validation

Market Dynamics Performance Index

A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.

United States
Latest week 10 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
483.76
Total Return
383.76%
CAGR
56.75% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+34.30%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.67 Sortino 5.20
Current Holdings
1122
Transactions
10714 Avg 3054.8/yr · 254.6/mo · 58.7/wk
Exit Mix
4796 Stop 41.3% · Warning 58.4% · Other 0.3%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.

01

Universe

Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
  • Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
  • Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

10 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
28
AKTX NASDAQ · Akari Therapeutics PLC
13.88 MD 1.03 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ALG NYSE · Alamo Group Inc
161.48 MD 0.27 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ALXO NASDAQ · Alx Oncology Holdings
2.13 MD 0.03 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
AOS NYSE · Smith AO Corporation
60.44 MD 0.00 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ARAI NASDAQ · Arrive AI Inc.
0.42 MD 0.40 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ATR NYSE · AptarGroup Inc
125.53 MD 0.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BFAM NYSE · Bright Horizons Family Solutions Inc
73.31 MD 0.11 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BUR NYSE · Burford Capital Ltd
4.19 MD 0.14 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GIB NYSE · CGI Inc
67.06 MD 0.07 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GLXG NASDAQ · Galaxy Payroll Group Limited Ordinary Shares
1.46 MD 0.15 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
HAVA NASDAQ · Harvard Ave Acquisition Corporation Class A Ordinary Share
10.12 MD 1.35 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
JLHL NASDAQ · Julong Holding Limited Class A Ordinary Shares
11.73 MD 0.44 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LAFA NASDAQ · LaFayette Acquisition Corp. Ordinary Share
10.11 MD 1.51 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MKC-V NYSE · McCormick & Company Incorporated
50.81 MD 0.15 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MMTX NASDAQ · Miluna Acquisition Corp Class A Ordinary Share
10.15 MD 2.50 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MNDO NASDAQ · MIND CTI Ltd
1.06 MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PEW NYSE · GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc.
2.96 MD 0.21 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
RPD NASDAQ · Rapid7 Inc
11.17 MD 1.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SAFX NASDAQ · XCF Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock
0.55 MD 0.24 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SKIN NASDAQ · Beauty Health Co
0.91 MD 0.21 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SKYX NASDAQ · SKYX Platforms Corp
1.27 MD 0.09 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
STIM NASDAQ · Neuronetics Inc
1.76 MD 0.50 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TTEK NASDAQ · Tetra Tech Inc
30.99 MD 0.06 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
USPH NYSE · U.S. Physical Therapy, Inc.
72.54 MD 0.07 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
VRDN NASDAQ · Viridian Therapeutics Inc
19.74 MD 0.12 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WRAP NASDAQ · Wrap Technologies Inc
2.46 MD 0.26 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WVVI NASDAQ · Willamette Valley Vineyards Inc
2.93 MD 1.08 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
XTLB NASDAQ · XTL Biopharmaceuticals Ltd ADR
2.91 MD 0.77 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
11
APWC NASDAQ · Asia Pacific Wire & Cable Corp Ltd
1.53 20% entry drawdown · -23.12%
BIRD NASDAQ · Allbirds Inc
3.13 20% entry drawdown · -33.15%
BYRN NASDAQ · Byrna Technologies Inc
3.87 20% entry drawdown · -44.55%
CE NYSE · Celanese Corporation
46.92 20% entry drawdown · -20.19%
CHGG NYSE · Chegg Inc
0.85 20% entry drawdown · -23.79%
CWH NYSE · Camping World Holdings Inc
6.22 20% entry drawdown · -22.06%
GAME NASDAQ · GameSquare Holdings Inc.
0.31 20% entry drawdown · -31.37%
JEM NASDAQ · 707 Cayman Holdings Limited Ordinary Shares
0.54 20% entry drawdown · -64.86%
LVO NASDAQ · LiveOne Inc
5.23 20% entry drawdown · -24.64%
OMEX NASDAQ · Odyssey Marine Exploration Inc
0.71 20% entry drawdown · -22.37%
WATT NASDAQ · Energous Corporation
17.99 20% entry drawdown · -27.25%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 91-120 of 1122 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signal MD ROC RS
ARL NYSE · American Realty Investors Inc
30 May 202514.27
20.78
45.62%
Buy
0.29
-
-
ARQ NASDAQ · Arq Inc
22 May 20262.46
2.32
-5.69%
Buy
0.01
-
-
ARTV NASDAQ · Artiva Biotherapeutics, Inc. Common Stock
29 Aug 20253.15
9.64
206.03%
Buy
1.17
-
-
ASAN NYSE · Asana Inc
29 May 20267.70
7.33
-4.81%
Buy
0.48
-
-
ASC NYSE · Ardmore Shpng
22 Aug 202510.96
16.39
49.52%
Buy
1.96
-
-
ASH NYSE · Ashland Global Holdings Inc
4 Jul 202552.18
66.75
27.92%
Buy
0.63
-
-
ASIX NYSE · AdvanSix Inc
9 Jan 202618.20
20.28
11.44%
Buy
0.14
-
-
ASLE NASDAQ · AerSale Corp
15 Nov 20246.06
6.02
-0.66%
Buy
0.84
-
-
ASPS NASDAQ · Altisource Portfolio Solutions SA
27 Mar 20266.80
7.23
6.32%
Buy
0.45
-
-
ASRT NASDAQ · Assertio Therapeutics Inc
15 May 202623.32
23.50
0.77%
Buy
1.70
-
-
ASTH NASDAQ · Astrana Health Inc
20 Mar 202624.23
46.88
93.46%
Buy
0.21
-
-
ASUR NASDAQ · Asure Software Inc
5 Jan 20248.38
7.83
-6.56%
Buy
0.14
-
-
ATHM NYSE · Autohome Inc
19 Jun 202617.46
20.30
16.29%
Buy
0.21
-
-
ATKR NYSE · Atkore International Group Inc
9 May 202566.27
72.24
9.01%
Buy
0.10
-
-
ATNI NASDAQ · ATN International Inc
18 Jul 202516.90
23.91
41.51%
Buy
0.28
-
-
ATOM NASDAQ · Atomera Inc
13 Feb 20263.92
6.63
69.13%
Buy
0.89
-
-
ATR NYSE · AptarGroup Inc
10 Jul 2026125.53
125.53
New Entry week
Buy
0.18
-
-
ATRA NASDAQ · Atara Biotherapeutics Inc
15 May 20269.58
9.76
1.88%
Buy
0.58
-
-
ATRC NASDAQ · AtriCure Inc
12 Jul 202423.19
34.28
47.82%
Buy
0.45
-
-
ATS NYSE · ATS Corporation
30 May 202528.97
27.95
-3.52%
Buy
0.21
-
-
AURA NASDAQ · Aura Biosciences Inc
27 Feb 20265.89
6.84
16.13%
Buy
0.22
-
-
AUTL NASDAQ · Autolus Therapeutics Ltd
1 May 20261.47
1.61
9.52%
Buy
0.03
-
-
AVB NYSE · AvalonBay Communities Inc
1 May 2026181.74
191.84
5.56%
Buy
0.11
-
-
AVNT NYSE · Avient Corp
20 Jun 202532.40
36.03
11.20%
Buy
0.09
-
-
AVNW NASDAQ · Aviat Networks Inc
3 Jan 202518.40
21.65
17.66%
Buy
0.07
-
-
AVTR NYSE · Avantor Inc
12 Jun 20269.39
10.39
10.65%
Buy
0.99
-
-
AVTX NASDAQ · Avalo Therapeutics Inc
3 Oct 202513.40
19.21
43.36%
Buy
1.48
-
-
AVY NYSE · Avery Dennison Corp
8 Aug 2025167.03
160.71
-3.79%
Buy
0.38
-
-
AWRE NASDAQ · Aware Inc
29 May 20261.52
1.39
-8.55%
Buy
0.05
-
-
AXIN NASDAQ · Axiom Intelligence Acquisition Corp 1 Class A Ordinary Shares
6 Mar 202610.15
10.32
1.67%
Buy
0.42
-
-

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 481-510 of 10714
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
19 Jun 2026
Exit
STX NASDAQ · Seagate Technology PLC
1069.43
Reversal Risk Warning
387.01%
Entry 19 Sep 2025 219.59
19 Jun 2026
Exit
SYRE NASDAQ · Spyre Therapeutics Inc.
88.34
Reversal Risk Warning
293.15%
Entry 17 Oct 2025 22.47
19 Jun 2026
Entry
TECH NASDAQ · Bio-Techne Corp
57.94
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.11
19 Jun 2026
Exit
TGTX NASDAQ · TG Therapeutics Inc
53.22
Reversal Risk Warning
340.93%
Entry 17 Nov 2023 12.07
19 Jun 2026
Exit
TH NASDAQ · Target Hospitality Corp
20.16
Reversal Risk Warning
143.48%
Entry 9 Jan 2026 8.28
19 Jun 2026
Exit
TRIN NASDAQ · Trinity Capital Inc
16.83
Reversal Risk Warning
86.09%
Entry 7 Jul 2023 9.04
19 Jun 2026
Entry
TRUP NASDAQ · Trupanion Inc
23.54
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.11
19 Jun 2026
Exit
TRVI NASDAQ · Trevi Therapeutics Inc
17.21
Reversal Risk Warning
530.40%
Entry 16 Feb 2024 2.73
19 Jun 2026
Exit
TSM NYSE · Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing
462.12
Reversal Risk Warning
226.05%
Entry 8 Mar 2024 141.73
19 Jun 2026
Exit
TTMI NASDAQ · TTM Technologies Inc
216.44
Reversal Risk Warning
437.74%
Entry 27 Jun 2025 40.25
19 Jun 2026
Exit
UCTT NASDAQ · Ultra Clean Holdings Inc
121.28
Reversal Risk Warning
177.21%
Entry 16 Jan 2026 43.75
19 Jun 2026
Exit
VERX NASDAQ · Vertex
11.12
20% entry drawdown
-25.52%
Entry 8 May 2026 14.93
19 Jun 2026
Exit
VIRT NYSE · Virtu Financial, Inc.
63.07
Reversal Risk Warning
124.83%
Entry 19 Jul 2024 28.05
19 Jun 2026
Exit
VSH NYSE · Vishay Intertechnology Inc
64.90
Reversal Risk Warning
189.27%
Entry 10 Apr 2026 22.44
19 Jun 2026
Exit
WDC NASDAQ · Western Digital Corporation
746.23
Reversal Risk Warning
397.56%
Entry 31 Oct 2025 149.98
19 Jun 2026
Entry
WNC NYSE · Wabash National Corporation
11.29
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.10
19 Jun 2026
Exit
WSM NYSE · Williams-Sonoma Inc
226.92
Reversal Risk Warning
228.15%
Entry 1 Sep 2023 69.15
19 Jun 2026
Exit
WTS NYSE · Watts Water Technologies Inc
343.89
Reversal Risk Warning
79.19%
Entry 24 Nov 2023 191.91
19 Jun 2026
Exit
WULF NASDAQ · Terawulf Inc
28.98
Reversal Risk Warning
223.08%
Entry 15 Aug 2025 8.97
19 Jun 2026
Exit
WWD NASDAQ · Woodward Inc
430.08
Reversal Risk Warning
174.84%
Entry 5 Apr 2024 156.49
19 Jun 2026
Exit
WYFI NASDAQ · WhiteFiber, Inc. Ordinary Shares
38.49
Reversal Risk Warning
81.13%
Entry 8 May 2026 21.25
19 Jun 2026
Exit
XHR NYSE · Xenia Hotels & Resorts Inc
19.88
Reversal Risk Warning
78.26%
Entry 15 Sep 2023 11.15
19 Jun 2026
Exit
ZS NASDAQ · Zscaler Inc
124.85
20% entry drawdown
-22.48%
Entry 15 May 2026 161.05
19 Jun 2026
Exit
ZVRA NASDAQ · Zevra Therapeutics Inc.
12.90
Reversal Risk Warning
153.94%
Entry 8 Dec 2023 5.08
12 Jun 2026
Exit
AAMI NYSE · Acadian Asset Management Inc
78.54
Reversal Risk Warning
203.63%
Entry 26 Jul 2024 25.87
12 Jun 2026
Entry
ABM NYSE · ABM Industries Incorporated
45.63
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.32
12 Jun 2026
Exit
ACNB NASDAQ · ACNB Corporation
57.50
Reversal Risk Warning
62.94%
Entry 17 Nov 2023 35.29
12 Jun 2026
Exit
AIT NYSE · Applied Industrial Technologies
320.11
Reversal Risk Warning
99.23%
Entry 24 Nov 2023 160.67
12 Jun 2026
Entry
ALAR NASDAQ · Alarum Technologies Ltd.
9.63
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.38
12 Jun 2026
Entry
ALIS NASDAQ · Calisa Acquisition Corp Ordinary shares
10.13
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.57