Signal Validation

Market Dynamics Performance Index

A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.

United States
Latest week 10 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
483.76
Total Return
383.76%
CAGR
56.75% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+34.30%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.67 Sortino 5.20
Current Holdings
1117
Transactions
10719 Avg 3056.2/yr · 254.7/mo · 58.8/wk
Exit Mix
4801 Stop 41.3% · Warning 58.4% · Other 0.2%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.

01

Universe

Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
  • Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
  • Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

10 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
28
AKTX NASDAQ · Akari Therapeutics PLC
13.88 MD 1.03 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ALG NYSE · Alamo Group Inc
161.48 MD 0.27 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ALXO NASDAQ · Alx Oncology Holdings
2.13 MD 0.03 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
AOS NYSE · Smith AO Corporation
60.44 MD 0.00 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ARAI NASDAQ · Arrive AI Inc.
0.42 MD 0.40 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ATR NYSE · AptarGroup Inc
125.53 MD 0.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BFAM NYSE · Bright Horizons Family Solutions Inc
73.31 MD 0.11 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BUR NYSE · Burford Capital Ltd
4.19 MD 0.14 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GIB NYSE · CGI Inc
67.06 MD 0.07 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GLXG NASDAQ · Galaxy Payroll Group Limited Ordinary Shares
1.46 MD 0.15 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
HAVA NASDAQ · Harvard Ave Acquisition Corporation Class A Ordinary Share
10.12 MD 1.35 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
JLHL NASDAQ · Julong Holding Limited Class A Ordinary Shares
11.73 MD 0.44 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LAFA NASDAQ · LaFayette Acquisition Corp. Ordinary Share
10.11 MD 1.51 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MKC-V NYSE · McCormick & Company Incorporated
50.81 MD 0.15 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MMTX NASDAQ · Miluna Acquisition Corp Class A Ordinary Share
10.15 MD 2.50 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MNDO NASDAQ · MIND CTI Ltd
1.06 MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PEW NYSE · GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc.
2.96 MD 0.21 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
RPD NASDAQ · Rapid7 Inc
11.17 MD 1.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SAFX NASDAQ · XCF Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock
0.55 MD 0.24 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SKIN NASDAQ · Beauty Health Co
0.91 MD 0.21 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SKYX NASDAQ · SKYX Platforms Corp
1.27 MD 0.09 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
STIM NASDAQ · Neuronetics Inc
1.76 MD 0.50 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TTEK NASDAQ · Tetra Tech Inc
30.99 MD 0.06 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
USPH NYSE · U.S. Physical Therapy, Inc.
72.54 MD 0.07 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
VRDN NASDAQ · Viridian Therapeutics Inc
19.74 MD 0.12 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WRAP NASDAQ · Wrap Technologies Inc
2.46 MD 0.26 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WVVI NASDAQ · Willamette Valley Vineyards Inc
2.93 MD 1.08 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
XTLB NASDAQ · XTL Biopharmaceuticals Ltd ADR
2.91 MD 0.77 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
16
APWC NASDAQ · Asia Pacific Wire & Cable Corp Ltd
1.53 20% entry drawdown · -23.12%
BIRD NASDAQ · Allbirds Inc
3.13 20% entry drawdown · -33.15%
BLLN NASDAQ · BillionToOne, Inc. Class A Common Stock
126.77 Reversal Risk Warning · 28.06%
BYRN NASDAQ · Byrna Technologies Inc
3.87 20% entry drawdown · -44.55%
CE NYSE · Celanese Corporation
46.92 20% entry drawdown · -20.19%
CHGG NYSE · Chegg Inc
0.85 20% entry drawdown · -23.79%
CWH NYSE · Camping World Holdings Inc
6.22 20% entry drawdown · -22.06%
GAME NASDAQ · GameSquare Holdings Inc.
0.31 20% entry drawdown · -31.37%
GKOS NYSE · Glaukos Corp
152.72 Reversal Risk Warning · 82.11%
JEM NASDAQ · 707 Cayman Holdings Limited Ordinary Shares
0.54 20% entry drawdown · -64.86%
KELYB NASDAQ · Kelly Services B Inc
23.95 Reversal Risk Warning · 75.74%
LVO NASDAQ · LiveOne Inc
5.23 20% entry drawdown · -24.64%
NEWT NASDAQ · NewtekOne, Inc.
14.78 Reversal Risk Warning · 52.99%
OMEX NASDAQ · Odyssey Marine Exploration Inc
0.71 20% entry drawdown · -22.37%
TLPH NASDAQ · Talphera Inc.
1.46 Reversal Risk Warning · 196.33%
WATT NASDAQ · Energous Corporation
17.99 20% entry drawdown · -27.25%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 91-120 of 1117 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signal MD ROC RS
ARL NYSE · American Realty Investors Inc
30 May 202514.27
20.78
45.62%
Buy
0.29
-
-
ARQ NASDAQ · Arq Inc
22 May 20262.46
2.32
-5.69%
Buy
0.01
-
-
ARTV NASDAQ · Artiva Biotherapeutics, Inc. Common Stock
29 Aug 20253.15
9.64
206.03%
Buy
1.17
-
-
ASAN NYSE · Asana Inc
29 May 20267.70
7.33
-4.81%
Buy
0.48
-
-
ASC NYSE · Ardmore Shpng
22 Aug 202510.96
16.39
49.52%
Buy
1.96
-
-
ASH NYSE · Ashland Global Holdings Inc
4 Jul 202552.18
66.75
27.92%
Buy
0.63
-
-
ASIX NYSE · AdvanSix Inc
9 Jan 202618.20
20.28
11.44%
Buy
0.14
-
-
ASLE NASDAQ · AerSale Corp
15 Nov 20246.06
6.02
-0.66%
Buy
0.84
-
-
ASPS NASDAQ · Altisource Portfolio Solutions SA
27 Mar 20266.80
7.23
6.32%
Buy
0.45
-
-
ASRT NASDAQ · Assertio Therapeutics Inc
15 May 202623.32
23.50
0.77%
Buy
1.70
-
-
ASTH NASDAQ · Astrana Health Inc
20 Mar 202624.23
46.88
93.46%
Buy
0.21
-
-
ASUR NASDAQ · Asure Software Inc
5 Jan 20248.38
7.83
-6.56%
Buy
0.14
-
-
ATHM NYSE · Autohome Inc
19 Jun 202617.46
20.30
16.29%
Buy
0.21
-
-
ATKR NYSE · Atkore International Group Inc
9 May 202566.27
72.24
9.01%
Buy
0.10
-
-
ATNI NASDAQ · ATN International Inc
18 Jul 202516.90
23.91
41.51%
Buy
0.28
-
-
ATOM NASDAQ · Atomera Inc
13 Feb 20263.92
6.63
69.13%
Buy
0.89
-
-
ATR NYSE · AptarGroup Inc
10 Jul 2026125.53
125.53
New Entry week
Buy
0.18
-
-
ATRA NASDAQ · Atara Biotherapeutics Inc
15 May 20269.58
9.76
1.88%
Buy
0.58
-
-
ATRC NASDAQ · AtriCure Inc
12 Jul 202423.19
34.28
47.82%
Buy
0.45
-
-
ATS NYSE · ATS Corporation
30 May 202528.97
27.95
-3.52%
Buy
0.21
-
-
AURA NASDAQ · Aura Biosciences Inc
27 Feb 20265.89
6.84
16.13%
Buy
0.22
-
-
AUTL NASDAQ · Autolus Therapeutics Ltd
1 May 20261.47
1.61
9.52%
Buy
0.03
-
-
AVB NYSE · AvalonBay Communities Inc
1 May 2026181.74
191.84
5.56%
Buy
0.11
-
-
AVNT NYSE · Avient Corp
20 Jun 202532.40
36.03
11.20%
Buy
0.09
-
-
AVNW NASDAQ · Aviat Networks Inc
3 Jan 202518.40
21.65
17.66%
Buy
0.07
-
-
AVTR NYSE · Avantor Inc
12 Jun 20269.39
10.39
10.65%
Buy
0.99
-
-
AVTX NASDAQ · Avalo Therapeutics Inc
3 Oct 202513.40
19.21
43.36%
Buy
1.48
-
-
AVY NYSE · Avery Dennison Corp
8 Aug 2025167.03
160.71
-3.79%
Buy
0.38
-
-
AWRE NASDAQ · Aware Inc
29 May 20261.52
1.39
-8.55%
Buy
0.05
-
-
AXIN NASDAQ · Axiom Intelligence Acquisition Corp 1 Class A Ordinary Shares
6 Mar 202610.15
10.32
1.67%
Buy
0.42
-
-

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 1021-1050 of 10719
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
22 May 2026
Entry
AMPG NASDAQ · Amplitech Group Inc
5.04
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.18
22 May 2026
Entry
AMPL NASDAQ · Amplitude Inc
6.70
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.34
22 May 2026
Exit
ANGH NASDAQ · Anghami De Inc
3.16
20% entry drawdown
-21.00%
Entry 10 Apr 2026 4.00
22 May 2026
Entry
ARES NYSE · Ares Management LP
122.41
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.24
22 May 2026
Entry
ARQ NASDAQ · Arq Inc
2.46
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.01
22 May 2026
Exit
ASND NASDAQ · Ascendis Pharma AS
247.05
Reversal Risk Warning
140.65%
Entry 15 Sep 2023 102.66
22 May 2026
Exit
AVR NASDAQ · Anteris Technologies Global Corp. Common Stock
9.62
Reversal Risk Warning
196.00%
Entry 25 Jul 2025 3.25
22 May 2026
Exit
AXTI NASDAQ · AXT Inc
140.83
Reversal Risk Warning
271.58%
Entry 27 Feb 2026 37.90
22 May 2026
Exit
BEP NYSE · Brookfield Renewable Partners LP
35.15
Reversal Risk Warning
55.78%
Entry 1 Dec 2023 22.56
22 May 2026
Entry
BIYA NASDAQ · Baiya International Group Inc. Ordinary Shares
1.30
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.99
22 May 2026
Exit
BKSY NYSE · Blacksky Technology Inc
47.87
Reversal Risk Warning
339.58%
Entry 13 Jun 2025 10.89
22 May 2026
Exit
BNY NYSE · BNY
139.15
Reversal Risk Warning
143.92%
Entry 31 May 2024 57.05
22 May 2026
Entry
BOC NYSE · Boston Omaha Corp
12.53
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.04
22 May 2026
Entry
BSAA NASDAQ · BEST SPAC I Acquisition Corp. Class A Ordinary Shares
12.17
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.81
22 May 2026
Entry
BTBT NASDAQ · Bit Digital Inc
1.99
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.88
22 May 2026
Exit
BTCS NASDAQ · BTCS Inc
1.65
20% entry drawdown
-23.61%
Entry 1 May 2026 2.16
22 May 2026
Exit
BTX NYSE · BlackRock Technology and Private Equity Term Trust
8.86
Reversal Risk Warning
60.87%
Entry 8 Dec 2023 5.51
22 May 2026
Exit
BWLP NYSE · BW LPG Limited
20.80
Reversal Risk Warning
117.67%
Entry 6 Jun 2025 9.56
22 May 2026
Entry
CBK NASDAQ · Commercial Bancgroup, Inc. Common Stock
28.60
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.22
22 May 2026
Entry
CBRL NASDAQ · Cracker Barrel Old Country Store
32.39
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.75
22 May 2026
Entry
CDW NASDAQ · CDW Corp
110.82
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.13
22 May 2026
Exit
CLBK NASDAQ · Columbia Financial Inc
20.36
Reversal Risk Warning
43.38%
Entry 23 May 2025 14.20
22 May 2026
Exit
CMBT NYSE · CMB.TECH NV
16.16
Reversal Risk Warning
76.90%
Entry 2 May 2025 9.14
22 May 2026
Exit
CMPR NASDAQ · Cimpress NV
102.39
Reversal Risk Warning
92.50%
Entry 1 Aug 2025 53.19
22 May 2026
Entry
CODX NASDAQ · Co-Diagnostics, Inc. Common Stock
5.07
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.61
22 May 2026
Exit
CPBI NASDAQ · Central Plains Bancshares, Inc. Common Stock
18.71
Reversal Risk Warning
76.84%
Entry 19 Jul 2024 10.58
22 May 2026
Exit
CRE NASDAQ · Cre8 Enterprise Limited Class A Ordinary Shares
2.22
20% entry drawdown
-21.00%
Entry 8 May 2026 2.81
22 May 2026
Entry
CTEV NYSE · Claritev Corporation
21.67
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.62
22 May 2026
Exit
CTSO NASDAQ · Cytosorbents Crp
0.46
20% entry drawdown
-24.46%
Entry 10 Apr 2026 0.61
22 May 2026
Exit
D NYSE · Dominion Energy Inc
67.00
Reversal Risk Warning
62.60%
Entry 24 Nov 2023 41.21