Universe
Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.
Signal Validation
Market Dynamics Performance Index
A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.
Index Value
479.75
Total Return
379.75%
CAGR
56.00%
Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+34.22%/yr
Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.65
Sortino 5.16
Current Holdings
1081
Transactions
10781
Avg 3057.2/yr ·
254.8/mo ·
58.8/wk
Exit Mix
4850
Stop 41.5% ·
Warning 58.0%
· Other 0.5%
Method
How The Index Works
The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.
Entry Rule
A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.
Exit Rule
A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.
Return Math
Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.
Assumptions
- This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
- Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
- Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
- New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
- Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
- Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
- Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
- Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.
Weekly Index
Cumulative Value
Latest Week
Positions In And Out
New Positions In
Entries at weekly close
ADBE
NASDAQ · Adobe Systems Incorporated
237.25
MD 0.17 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BL
NASDAQ · Blackline Inc
30.29
MD 0.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BLKB
NASDAQ · Blackbaud Inc
32.40
MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CDNL
NASDAQ · Cardinal Infrastructure Group Inc. Class A Common Stock
71.23
MD 1.59 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CURV
NYSE · Torrid Holdings Inc
2.33
MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
DFIN
NYSE · Donnelley Financial Solutions Inc
49.95
MD 0.06 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
EXPO
NASDAQ · Exponent Inc
62.88
MD 0.09 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
FIS
NYSE · Fidelity National Information Services Inc
41.91
MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
HCKT
NASDAQ · The Hackett Group Inc
10.34
MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ICFI
NASDAQ · ICF International Inc
78.86
MD 0.80 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LAW
NYSE · CS Disco LLC
4.05
MD 0.26 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
NRDS
NASDAQ · Nerdwallet Inc
9.26
MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ONT
NYSE · Onterris
20.93
MD 0.36 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OPRX
NASDAQ · OPTIMIZERx Corp
6.69
MD 0.86 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PODD
NASDAQ · Insulet Corporation
164.06
MD 0.42 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
RCEL
NASDAQ · Avita Medical Ltd
5.10
MD 0.39 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
UPWK
NASDAQ · Upwork Inc
9.06
MD 0.10 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
XRAY
NASDAQ · Dentsply Sirona Inc
14.05
MD 0.72 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
Positions Out
Closed at weekly close
ACB
NASDAQ · Aurora Cannabis Inc
2.63
20% entry drawdown · -20.78%
AIFU
NASDAQ · Fanhua Inc.
34.52
20% entry drawdown · -25.28%
AKTX
NASDAQ · Akari Therapeutics PLC
11.01
20% entry drawdown · -20.68%
ALDX
NASDAQ · Aldeyra The
1.69
20% entry drawdown · -25.55%
ARCT
NASDAQ · Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings Inc
6.05
20% entry drawdown · -26.49%
AWRE
NASDAQ · Aware Inc
1.11
20% entry drawdown · -26.97%
BEEM
NASDAQ · Beam Global
1.03
20% entry drawdown · -24.82%
BNAI
NASDAQ · Brand Engagement Network Inc
11.62
20% entry drawdown · -29.49%
BTBT
NASDAQ · Bit Digital Inc
1.40
20% entry drawdown · -29.65%
EIX
NYSE · Edison International
77.63
Reversal Risk Warning · 49.97%
EVGO
NASDAQ · Evgo Inc
1.68
20% entry drawdown · -20.94%
EVO
NASDAQ · Evotec SE ADR
1.96
20% entry drawdown · -27.94%
GENK
NASDAQ · GEN Restaurant Group, Inc. Class A Common Stock
1.77
20% entry drawdown · -24.36%
GLXG
NASDAQ · Galaxy Payroll Group Limited Ordinary Shares
1.05
20% entry drawdown · -28.08%
HUBG
NASDAQ · Hub Group Inc
51.22
Reversal Risk Warning · 45.11%
INV
NASDAQ · Innventure, Inc.
3.37
20% entry drawdown · -27.37%
JLHL
NASDAQ · Julong Holding Limited Class A Ordinary Shares
9.35
20% entry drawdown · -20.29%
LEDS
NASDAQ · SemiLEDS Corporation
3.01
Reversal Risk Warning · 67.22%
LONA
NASDAQ · LeonaBio, Inc.
7.22
20% entry drawdown · -27.22%
MTEX
NASDAQ · Mannatech Incorporated
4.25
20% entry drawdown · -21.59%
OABI
NASDAQ · OmniAb Inc.
2.12
20% entry drawdown · -20.00%
OCCI
NASDAQ · OFS Credit Company Inc
2.27
20% entry drawdown · -23.83%
PBF
NYSE · PBF Energy Inc
62.75
Reversal Risk Warning · 219.84%
PLUG
NASDAQ · Plug Power Inc
2.17
20% entry drawdown · -20.80%
PMCB
NASDAQ · PharmaCyte Biotech Inc
0.63
20% entry drawdown · -21.31%
PMEC
NASDAQ · Primech Holdings Ltd. Ordinary Shares
0.52
20% entry drawdown · -28.59%
QFIN
NASDAQ · 360 Finance Inc
12.73
20% entry drawdown · -20.83%
RPT
NYSE · Rithm Property Trust Inc.
10.89
20% entry drawdown · -27.03%
RXRX
NASDAQ · Recursion Pharmaceuticals Inc
2.95
20% entry drawdown · -22.50%
SNPS
NASDAQ · Synopsys Inc
384.28
20% entry drawdown · -25.60%
SORA
NASDAQ · Top Win International Limited
1.73
20% entry drawdown · -23.18%
VERU
NASDAQ · Veru Inc
2.38
20% entry drawdown · -30.00%
WING
NASDAQ · Wingstop Inc
142.33
20% entry drawdown · -20.03%
WW
NASDAQ · WW International, Inc. Common Stock
14.57
20% entry drawdown · -21.46%
ZSQR
NASDAQ · Z Squared Inc.
5.06
20% entry drawdown · -45.47%
Live Book
Current Holdings
Ticker
Entry
Last Close
Return
Signal
MD
ROC
RS
BBOT
NASDAQ · BridgeBio Oncology Therapeutics, Inc.
10 Jul 20268.32
8.56
2.88%
Buy
0.00
-
-
BBY
NYSE · Best Buy Co. Inc
20 Jun 202563.97
85.41
33.51%
Buy
0.20
-
-
BCBP
NASDAQ · BCB Bancorp Inc
11 Jul 20258.37
10.29
22.96%
Buy
0.41
-
-
BCC
NYSE · Boise Cascad Llc
19 Dec 202574.33
77.19
3.85%
Buy
0.21
-
-
BCE
NYSE · BCE Inc
7 Mar 202522.54
21.84
-3.09%
Buy
0.07
-
-
BDN
NYSE · Brandywine Realty Trust
24 Apr 20263.06
3.14
2.61%
Buy
0.14
-
-
BDSX
NASDAQ · Biodesix Inc
23 Jan 202611.74
20.19
71.98%
Buy
0.43
-
-
BDTX
NASDAQ · Black Diamond Therapeutics Inc
16 May 20251.95
1.79
-8.21%
Buy
0.19
-
-
BDX
NYSE · Becton Dickinson and Company
25 Jul 2025142.21
158.17
11.23%
Buy
0.10
-
-
BF-A
NYSE · Brown-Forman Corporation
17 Apr 202629.48
26.13
-11.35%
Buy
0.43
-
-
BF-B
NYSE · Brown-Forman Corporation
17 Apr 202628.90
25.58
-11.48%
Buy
0.36
-
-
BFAM
NYSE · Bright Horizons Family Solutions Inc
10 Jul 202673.31
76.58
4.46%
Buy
0.11
-
-
BGS
NYSE · B&G Foods Inc
17 Oct 20254.28
3.71
-13.40%
Buy
0.55
-
-
BGSF
NYSE · BG Staffing Inc
23 May 20253.13
5.74
83.64%
Buy
0.12
-
-
BHFAP
NASDAQ · Brighthouse Financial, Inc.
7 Nov 202515.72
14.57
-7.32%
Buy
0.31
-
-
BIIB
NASDAQ · Biogen Inc
28 Feb 2025140.50
205.99
46.61%
Buy
0.13
-
-
BILL
NYSE · Bill Com Holdings Inc
3 Jul 202640.48
44.71
10.45%
Buy
0.02
-
-
BIO-B
NYSE · Bio-Rad Laboratories Inc
20 Jun 2025250.08
309.37
23.71%
Buy
0.10
-
-
BL
NASDAQ · Blackline Inc
17 Jul 202630.29
30.29
New
Entry week
Buy
0.18
-
-
BLCO
NYSE · Bausch + Lomb Corp
4 Jul 202513.88
16.26
17.15%
Buy
0.31
-
-
BLIN
NASDAQ · Bridgeline Digital Inc
6 Mar 20260.93
1.22
30.58%
Buy
0.08
-
-
BLKB
NASDAQ · Blackbaud Inc
17 Jul 202632.40
32.40
New
Entry week
Buy
0.13
-
-
BLMN
NASDAQ · Bloomin Brands Inc
8 May 20268.12
8.54
5.17%
Buy
0.24
-
-
BLND
NYSE · Blend Labs Inc
29 May 20261.79
1.81
1.12%
Buy
0.44
-
-
BMI
NYSE · Badger Meter Inc
26 Jun 2026140.88
149.48
6.10%
Buy
0.35
-
-
BOC
NYSE · Boston Omaha Corp
22 May 202612.53
14.14
12.85%
Buy
0.04
-
-
BOLD
NASDAQ · Boundless Bio, Inc. Common Stock
26 Jun 20262.56
2.48
-3.13%
Buy
0.96
-
-
BON
NASDAQ · Bon Natural Life Ltd
5 Jun 20261.25
1.16
-7.20%
Buy
0.02
-
-
BORR
NYSE · Borr Drilling Ltd
5 Sep 20253.04
4.16
36.84%
Buy
1.85
-
-
BOW
NYSE · Bowhead Specialty Holdings Inc.
1 May 202624.32
30.70
26.23%
Buy
0.29
-
-
Ledger
Transaction History
Date
Action
Ticker
Price
Reason
Return
Qualifiers
22 Aug 2025
Exit
VRAX
NASDAQ · Virax Biolabs Group Limited Ordinary Shares
19.13
20% entry drawdown
-20.36%
Entry 18 Jul 2025
24.02
22 Aug 2025
Entry
WFRD
NASDAQ · Weatherford International plc
60.30
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 1.03
22 Aug 2025
Exit
WWW
NYSE · Wolverine World Wide Inc
30.25
Reversal Risk Warning
134.70%
Entry 10 May 2024
12.89
22 Aug 2025
Entry
XBIT
NASDAQ · XBiotech Inc
3.20
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 1.43
22 Aug 2025
Exit
XYL
NYSE · Xylem Inc
141.90
Reversal Risk Warning
41.62%
Entry 24 Nov 2023
100.20
15 Aug 2025
Exit
ANAB
NASDAQ · AnaptysBio Inc
13.43
20% entry drawdown
-23.13%
Entry 11 Jul 2025
17.47
15 Aug 2025
Entry
APM
NASDAQ · Aptorum Group Ltd Class A
1.39
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 1.35
15 Aug 2025
Exit
ARTW
NASDAQ · Arts-Way Manufacturing Co Inc
4.25
Reversal Risk Warning
138.76%
Entry 16 May 2025
1.78
15 Aug 2025
Entry
ARWR
NASDAQ · Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals Inc
20.51
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 1.01
15 Aug 2025
Entry
ASTH
NASDAQ · Astrana Health Inc
29.33
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.59
15 Aug 2025
Exit
AWI
NYSE · Armstrong World Industries Inc
192.99
Reversal Risk Warning
113.55%
Entry 8 Dec 2023
90.37
15 Aug 2025
Entry
BCAX
NASDAQ · Bicara Therapeutics Inc. Common Stock
11.64
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.12
15 Aug 2025
Entry
BE
NYSE · Bloom Energy Corp
45.28
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 1.65
15 Aug 2025
Exit
BLNE
NASDAQ · Beeline Holdings, Inc.
1.63
20% entry drawdown
-23.11%
Entry 1 Aug 2025
2.12
15 Aug 2025
Exit
BSBK
NASDAQ · Bogota Financial Corp
9.09
Reversal Risk Warning
31.17%
Entry 12 Jul 2024
6.93
15 Aug 2025
Exit
CALM
NASDAQ · Cal-Maine Foods Inc
107.47
Reversal Risk Warning
118.77%
Entry 22 Dec 2023
49.12
15 Aug 2025
Exit
CE
NYSE · Celanese Corporation
42.41
20% entry drawdown
-23.36%
Entry 6 Jun 2025
55.33
15 Aug 2025
Exit
CIGI
NASDAQ · Colliers International Group Inc Bats
162.63
Reversal Risk Warning
37.81%
Entry 15 Dec 2023
118.02
15 Aug 2025
Entry
CTNM
NASDAQ · Contineum Therapeutics, Inc. Class A Common Stock
7.38
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 1.36
15 Aug 2025
Entry
CYTK
NASDAQ · Cytokinetics Inc
38.67
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.65
15 Aug 2025
Exit
DGXX
NASDAQ · Digi Power X Inc.
2.24
20% entry drawdown
-27.04%
Entry 4 Jul 2025
3.07
15 Aug 2025
Exit
DPRO
NASDAQ · Draganfly Inc
4.26
20% entry drawdown
-21.83%
Entry 18 Jul 2025
5.45
15 Aug 2025
Entry
EFXT
NYSE · Enerflex Ltd.
9.52
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 1.18
15 Aug 2025
Entry
EGBN
NASDAQ · Eagle Bancorp Inc
18.01
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.40
15 Aug 2025
Exit
FIP
NASDAQ · FTAI Infrastructure Inc.
4.58
20% entry drawdown
-23.08%
Entry 30 May 2025
5.96
15 Aug 2025
Entry
FRMM
NASDAQ · Forum Markets, Incorporated
70.40
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 2.09
15 Aug 2025
Entry
FSHP
NASDAQ · Flag Ship Acquisition Corp. Ordinary Shares
10.50
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.01
15 Aug 2025
Entry
FTRE
NASDAQ · Fortrea Holdings Inc.
8.04
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.90
15 Aug 2025
Entry
GIII
NASDAQ · G-III Apparel Group Ltd
25.70
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.12
15 Aug 2025
Entry
GRWG
NASDAQ · GrowGeneration Corp
1.45
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.87