Signal Validation

Market Dynamics Performance Index

A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.

United States
Latest week 24 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
469.45
Total Return
369.45%
CAGR
54.67% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+33.23%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.60 Sortino 5.04
Current Holdings
1071
Transactions
10827 Avg 3053.7/yr · 254.5/mo · 58.7/wk
Exit Mix
4878 Stop 41.8% · Warning 57.6% · Other 0.6%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.

01

Universe

Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
  • Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
  • Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

24 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
20
ALC NYSE · Alcon AG
67.91 MD 0.00 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BIXI NASDAQ · Bitcoin Infrastructure Acquisition Corp Ltd. Class A Ordinary Shares
10.01 MD 1.17 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BUR NYSE · Burford Capital Ltd
4.14 MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CAG NYSE · Conagra Brands, Inc.
14.60 MD 0.51 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CJMB NASDAQ · Callan JMB Inc. Common Stock
2.55 MD 0.44 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GCL NASDAQ · GCL Global Holdings Ltd Ordinary Shares
0.51 MD 0.69 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
KNDI NASDAQ · Kandi Technologies Group Inc
0.65 MD 0.31 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LAFA NASDAQ · LaFayette Acquisition Corp. Ordinary Share
10.11 MD 0.90 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LVLU NASDAQ · Lulu's Fashion Lounge Holdings Inc
19.20 MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LW NYSE · Lamb Weston Holdings Inc
49.58 MD 1.48 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MAMO NASDAQ · Massimo Group Common Stock
0.98 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
NBP NASDAQ · NovaBridge Biosciences
1.77 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
NXL NASDAQ · Nexalin Technology Inc.
0.48 MD 1.00 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OFIX NASDAQ · Orthofix Medical Inc
11.25 MD 0.22 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OTIS NYSE · Otis Worldwide Corp
71.93 MD 0.05 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OTLY NASDAQ · Oatly Group AB ADR
13.37 MD 0.06 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PLNT NYSE · Planet Fitness Inc
53.48 MD 0.02 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TDWD NASDAQ · Tailwind 2.0 Acquisition Corp. Class A Ordinary Shares
10.04 MD 0.88 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WSTN NASDAQ · Westin Acquisition Corp
10.13 MD 1.79 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WVVIP NASDAQ · Willamette Valley Vineyards Inc PR
2.78 MD 0.21 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
30
AMST NASDAQ · Amesite Operating Co
0.99 20% entry drawdown · -21.44%
ATER NASDAQ · Aterian Inc
0.40 20% entry drawdown · -70.94%
BARK NYSE · BARK, Inc.
8.51 20% entry drawdown · -22.14%
BZFD NASDAQ · BuzzFeed Inc
1.11 20% entry drawdown · -25.50%
BZH NYSE · Beazer Homes USA Inc
33.19 Reversal Risk Warning · 60.11%
DFSC NASDAQ · DEFSEC Technologies Inc.
1.51 20% entry drawdown · -35.19%
GEHC NASDAQ · GE HealthCare Technologies Inc.
60.58 20% entry drawdown · -20.22%
GOOS NYSE · Canada Goose Holdings Inc
8.89 20% entry drawdown · -24.47%
GTEC NASDAQ · Greenland Acquisition Corp
0.51 20% entry drawdown · -21.19%
LFCR NASDAQ · Lifecore Biomedical Inc.
4.33 20% entry drawdown · -21.84%
LFMD NASDAQ · LifeMD Inc
3.71 20% entry drawdown · -20.04%
LOCL NYSE · Local Bounti Corp
1.06 20% entry drawdown · -22.63%
NIXX NASDAQ · Nixxy, Inc.
0.85 20% entry drawdown · -35.80%
NKTX NASDAQ · Nkarta Inc
2.27 20% entry drawdown · -25.08%
NXGL NASDAQ · Nexgel Inc
0.44 20% entry drawdown · -22.25%
PEW NYSE · GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc.
2.33 20% entry drawdown · -21.28%
PPSI NASDAQ · Pioneer Power Solutions Inc.
2.98 20% entry drawdown · -25.13%
RC NYSE · Ready Capital Corp
1.47 20% entry drawdown · -20.97%
REAX NASDAQ · Real Brokerage Inc
1.69 20% entry drawdown · -22.12%
SAFX NASDAQ · XCF Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock
0.41 20% entry drawdown · -25.36%
SEDG NASDAQ · SolarEdge Technologies Inc
42.60 20% entry drawdown · -31.02%
SEGG NASDAQ · Lottery.com Inc.
0.63 20% entry drawdown · -24.97%
SGRP NASDAQ · SPAR Group Inc
0.38 20% entry drawdown · -46.99%
SRG NYSE · Seritage Growth Properties
2.31 20% entry drawdown · -22.22%
SUIG NASDAQ · SUI Group Holdings Limited
0.99 20% entry drawdown · -20.16%
TOMZ NASDAQ · TOMI Environmental Solutions Inc
1.54 20% entry drawdown · -33.95%
UPST NASDAQ · Upstart Holdings Inc
26.93 20% entry drawdown · -20.30%
WETO NASDAQ · Webus International Limited Ordinary Shares
0.69 Price scale break · 37.71%
WRAP NASDAQ · Wrap Technologies Inc
1.70 20% entry drawdown · -30.89%
XELB NASDAQ · Xcel Brands Inc
1.23 20% entry drawdown · -21.15%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 121-150 of 1071 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signal MD ROC RS
BBNX NASDAQ · Beta Bionics, Inc. Common Stock
5 Jun 202613.89
15.85
14.11%
Buy
0.22
-
-
BBOT NASDAQ · BridgeBio Oncology Therapeutics, Inc.
10 Jul 20268.32
8.82
6.01%
Buy
0.01
-
-
BBY NYSE · Best Buy Co. Inc
20 Jun 202563.97
85.43
33.55%
Buy
0.20
-
-
BCBP NASDAQ · BCB Bancorp Inc
11 Jul 20258.37
10.14
21.16%
Buy
0.41
-
-
BCC NYSE · Boise Cascad Llc
19 Dec 202574.33
77.84
4.73%
Buy
0.21
-
-
BCE NYSE · BCE Inc
7 Mar 202522.54
21.30
-5.48%
Buy
0.07
-
-
BDN NYSE · Brandywine Realty Trust
24 Apr 20263.06
3.17
3.59%
Buy
0.14
-
-
BDSX NASDAQ · Biodesix Inc
23 Jan 202611.74
22.00
87.39%
Buy
0.43
-
-
BDTX NASDAQ · Black Diamond Therapeutics Inc
16 May 20251.95
1.76
-9.74%
Buy
0.19
-
-
BDX NYSE · Becton Dickinson and Company
25 Jul 2025142.21
156.36
9.95%
Buy
0.10
-
-
BF-A NYSE · Brown-Forman Corporation
17 Apr 202629.48
26.71
-9.39%
Buy
0.43
-
-
BF-B NYSE · Brown-Forman Corporation
17 Apr 202628.90
26.08
-9.75%
Buy
0.36
-
-
BFAM NYSE · Bright Horizons Family Solutions Inc
10 Jul 202673.31
75.77
3.36%
Buy
0.11
-
-
BGS NYSE · B&G Foods Inc
17 Oct 20254.28
3.51
-18.07%
Buy
0.55
-
-
BGSF NYSE · BG Staffing Inc
23 May 20253.13
5.51
76.28%
Buy
0.12
-
-
BHFAP NASDAQ · Brighthouse Financial, Inc.
7 Nov 202515.72
13.82
-12.09%
Buy
0.31
-
-
BIIB NASDAQ · Biogen Inc
28 Feb 2025140.50
202.19
43.91%
Buy
0.13
-
-
BILL NYSE · Bill Com Holdings Inc
3 Jul 202640.48
43.51
7.49%
Buy
0.03
-
-
BIO-B NYSE · Bio-Rad Laboratories Inc
20 Jun 2025250.08
309.37
23.71%
Buy
0.10
-
-
BIXI NASDAQ · Bitcoin Infrastructure Acquisition Corp Ltd. Class A Ordinary Shares
24 Jul 202610.01
10.01
New Entry week
Buy
1.17
-
-
BL NASDAQ · Blackline Inc
17 Jul 202630.29
28.74
-5.12%
Buy
0.18
-
-
BLCO NYSE · Bausch + Lomb Corp
4 Jul 202513.88
16.17
16.50%
Buy
0.31
-
-
BLDR NYSE · Builders FirstSource Inc
26 Jun 202689.14
72.86
-18.26%
Buy
0.13
-
-
BLIN NASDAQ · Bridgeline Digital Inc
6 Mar 20260.93
1.18
26.30%
Buy
0.08
-
-
BLKB NASDAQ · Blackbaud Inc
17 Jul 202632.40
32.71
0.96%
Buy
0.13
-
-
BLMN NASDAQ · Bloomin Brands Inc
8 May 20268.12
7.94
-2.22%
Buy
0.24
-
-
BLND NYSE · Blend Labs Inc
29 May 20261.79
1.69
-5.59%
Buy
0.44
-
-
BMI NYSE · Badger Meter Inc
26 Jun 2026140.88
126.32
-10.34%
Buy
0.35
-
-
BOC NYSE · Boston Omaha Corp
22 May 202612.53
14.21
13.41%
Buy
0.04
-
-
BOLD NASDAQ · Boundless Bio, Inc. Common Stock
26 Jun 20262.56
2.57
0.39%
Buy
0.97
-
-

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 8941-8970 of 10827
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
5 Jan 2024
Entry
REAX NASDAQ · Real Brokerage Inc
1.77
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.47
5 Jan 2024
Entry
SEM NYSE · Select Medical Holdings
14.05
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.46
5 Jan 2024
Exit
SLQT NYSE · Selectquote Inc
1.21
20% entry drawdown
-20.39%
Entry 22 Dec 2023 1.52
5 Jan 2024
Entry
SNDR NYSE · Schneider National Inc
23.47
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.02
5 Jan 2024
Entry
SRTS NASDAQ · Sensus Healthcare Inc
2.63
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.05
5 Jan 2024
Entry
TAC NYSE · TransAlta Corp
7.68
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.02
5 Jan 2024
Entry
TARA NASDAQ · Protara Therapeutics Inc
2.08
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.23
5 Jan 2024
Entry
TOST NYSE · Toast Inc
17.74
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.17
5 Jan 2024
Entry
TRU NYSE · TransUnion
64.12
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.15
5 Jan 2024
Entry
UL NYSE · Unilever PLC ADR
50.48
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.24
5 Jan 2024
Exit
VERI NASDAQ · Veritone Inc
1.66
20% entry drawdown
-24.20%
Entry 24 Nov 2023 2.19
5 Jan 2024
Exit
VHC NASDAQ · VirnetX Holding Corp Common Stock
6.08
20% entry drawdown
-28.39%
Entry 24 Nov 2023 8.49
5 Jan 2024
Entry
VSH NYSE · Vishay Intertechnology Inc
21.33
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.05
5 Jan 2024
Entry
WRBY NYSE · Warby Parker Inc
13.79
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.21
29 Dec 2023
Entry
ACNT NASDAQ · Synalloy Corporation
9.56
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.03
29 Dec 2023
Entry
ADUR NASDAQ · Aduro Clean Technologies Inc. Common Stock
3.28
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.55
29 Dec 2023
Entry
ALKS NASDAQ · Alkermes Plc
27.74
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.19
29 Dec 2023
Entry
ALNT NASDAQ · Allient Inc.
29.93
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.36
29 Dec 2023
Entry
AMPX NYSE · Amprius Technologies Inc.
5.29
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.68
29 Dec 2023
Entry
ARR NYSE · ARMOUR Residential REIT Inc
12.91
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.20
29 Dec 2023
Entry
ATLC NASDAQ · Atlanticus Holdings Corporation
38.67
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.94
29 Dec 2023
Exit
AVTX NASDAQ · Avalo Therapeutics Inc
9.10
20% entry drawdown
-36.81%
Entry 15 Dec 2023 14.40
29 Dec 2023
Exit
BGDE NASDAQ · Big Digital Energy, Inc.
64.00
Reversal Risk Warning
240.43%
Entry 1 Dec 2023 18.80
29 Dec 2023
Entry
BTCT NASDAQ · BTC Digital Ltd.
4.82
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 2.11
29 Dec 2023
Entry
BWIN NASDAQ · The Baldwin Insurance Group, Inc.
24.02
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.11
29 Dec 2023
Exit
CDIO NASDAQ · Cardio Diagnostics Holdings Inc
74.70
Reversal Risk Warning
565.06%
Entry 3 Nov 2023 11.23
29 Dec 2023
Entry
CGEM NASDAQ · Cullinan Oncology LLC
10.19
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.07
29 Dec 2023
Entry
CGEN NASDAQ · Compugen
1.98
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.54
29 Dec 2023
Entry
CMC NYSE · Commercial Metals Company
48.43
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.04
29 Dec 2023
Exit
CRD-B NYSE · Crawford & Company
12.19
Reversal Risk Warning
41.38%
Entry 15 Sep 2023 8.62