Universe
Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.
Signal Validation
Market Dynamics Performance Index
A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.
Index Value
483.76
Total Return
383.76%
CAGR
56.75%
Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+34.30%/yr
Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.67
Sortino 5.20
Current Holdings
1117
Transactions
10719
Avg 3056.2/yr ·
254.7/mo ·
58.8/wk
Exit Mix
4801
Stop 41.3% ·
Warning 58.4%
· Other 0.2%
Method
How The Index Works
The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.
Entry Rule
A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.
Exit Rule
A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.
Return Math
Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.
Assumptions
- This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
- Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
- Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
- New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
- Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
- Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
- Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
- Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.
Weekly Index
Cumulative Value
Latest Week
Positions In And Out
New Positions In
Entries at weekly close
AKTX
NASDAQ · Akari Therapeutics PLC
13.88
MD 1.03 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ALG
NYSE · Alamo Group Inc
161.48
MD 0.27 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ALXO
NASDAQ · Alx Oncology Holdings
2.13
MD 0.03 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
AOS
NYSE · Smith AO Corporation
60.44
MD 0.00 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ARAI
NASDAQ · Arrive AI Inc.
0.42
MD 0.40 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ATR
NYSE · AptarGroup Inc
125.53
MD 0.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BFAM
NYSE · Bright Horizons Family Solutions Inc
73.31
MD 0.11 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BUR
NYSE · Burford Capital Ltd
4.19
MD 0.14 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GIB
NYSE · CGI Inc
67.06
MD 0.07 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GLXG
NASDAQ · Galaxy Payroll Group Limited Ordinary Shares
1.46
MD 0.15 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
HAVA
NASDAQ · Harvard Ave Acquisition Corporation Class A Ordinary Share
10.12
MD 1.35 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
JLHL
NASDAQ · Julong Holding Limited Class A Ordinary Shares
11.73
MD 0.44 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LAFA
NASDAQ · LaFayette Acquisition Corp. Ordinary Share
10.11
MD 1.51 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MKC-V
NYSE · McCormick & Company Incorporated
50.81
MD 0.15 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MMTX
NASDAQ · Miluna Acquisition Corp Class A Ordinary Share
10.15
MD 2.50 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MNDO
NASDAQ · MIND CTI Ltd
1.06
MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PEW
NYSE · GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc.
2.96
MD 0.21 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
RPD
NASDAQ · Rapid7 Inc
11.17
MD 1.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SAFX
NASDAQ · XCF Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock
0.55
MD 0.24 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SKIN
NASDAQ · Beauty Health Co
0.91
MD 0.21 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SKYX
NASDAQ · SKYX Platforms Corp
1.27
MD 0.09 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
STIM
NASDAQ · Neuronetics Inc
1.76
MD 0.50 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TTEK
NASDAQ · Tetra Tech Inc
30.99
MD 0.06 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
USPH
NYSE · U.S. Physical Therapy, Inc.
72.54
MD 0.07 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
VRDN
NASDAQ · Viridian Therapeutics Inc
19.74
MD 0.12 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WRAP
NASDAQ · Wrap Technologies Inc
2.46
MD 0.26 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WVVI
NASDAQ · Willamette Valley Vineyards Inc
2.93
MD 1.08 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
XTLB
NASDAQ · XTL Biopharmaceuticals Ltd ADR
2.91
MD 0.77 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
Positions Out
Closed at weekly close
APWC
NASDAQ · Asia Pacific Wire & Cable Corp Ltd
1.53
20% entry drawdown · -23.12%
BIRD
NASDAQ · Allbirds Inc
3.13
20% entry drawdown · -33.15%
BLLN
NASDAQ · BillionToOne, Inc. Class A Common Stock
126.77
Reversal Risk Warning · 28.06%
BYRN
NASDAQ · Byrna Technologies Inc
3.87
20% entry drawdown · -44.55%
CE
NYSE · Celanese Corporation
46.92
20% entry drawdown · -20.19%
CHGG
NYSE · Chegg Inc
0.85
20% entry drawdown · -23.79%
CWH
NYSE · Camping World Holdings Inc
6.22
20% entry drawdown · -22.06%
GAME
NASDAQ · GameSquare Holdings Inc.
0.31
20% entry drawdown · -31.37%
GKOS
NYSE · Glaukos Corp
152.72
Reversal Risk Warning · 82.11%
JEM
NASDAQ · 707 Cayman Holdings Limited Ordinary Shares
0.54
20% entry drawdown · -64.86%
KELYB
NASDAQ · Kelly Services B Inc
23.95
Reversal Risk Warning · 75.74%
LVO
NASDAQ · LiveOne Inc
5.23
20% entry drawdown · -24.64%
NEWT
NASDAQ · NewtekOne, Inc.
14.78
Reversal Risk Warning · 52.99%
OMEX
NASDAQ · Odyssey Marine Exploration Inc
0.71
20% entry drawdown · -22.37%
TLPH
NASDAQ · Talphera Inc.
1.46
Reversal Risk Warning · 196.33%
WATT
NASDAQ · Energous Corporation
17.99
20% entry drawdown · -27.25%
Live Book
Current Holdings
Ticker
Entry
Last Close
Return
Signal
MD
ROC
RS
AXR
NYSE · AMREP Corporation
20 Jun 202521.50
25.20
17.21%
Buy
0.18
-
-
AXTA
NYSE · Axalta Coating Systems Ltd
5 Jun 202632.18
32.51
1.03%
Buy
0.00
-
-
AYTU
NASDAQ · Aytu BioScience Inc
16 May 20252.13
2.25
5.63%
Buy
0.38
-
-
AZTA
NASDAQ · Azenta Inc
12 Jun 202622.59
25.36
12.26%
Buy
0.14
-
-
BAER
NASDAQ · Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. Common Stock
6 Jun 20251.87
1.94
4.02%
Buy
0.30
-
-
BARK
NYSE · BARK, Inc.
3 Jul 202610.93
9.60
-12.17%
Buy
0.02
-
-
BBNX
NASDAQ · Beta Bionics, Inc. Common Stock
5 Jun 202613.89
17.03
22.61%
Buy
0.22
-
-
BBY
NYSE · Best Buy Co. Inc
20 Jun 202563.97
82.80
29.43%
Buy
0.20
-
-
BCBP
NASDAQ · BCB Bancorp Inc
11 Jul 20258.37
10.35
23.67%
Buy
0.41
-
-
BCC
NYSE · Boise Cascad Llc
19 Dec 202574.33
76.06
2.33%
Buy
0.21
-
-
BCE
NYSE · BCE Inc
7 Mar 202522.54
21.38
-5.13%
Buy
0.07
-
-
BDN
NYSE · Brandywine Realty Trust
24 Apr 20263.06
3.06
0.00%
Buy
0.14
-
-
BDSX
NASDAQ · Biodesix Inc
23 Jan 202611.74
21.42
82.45%
Buy
0.43
-
-
BDTX
NASDAQ · Black Diamond Therapeutics Inc
16 May 20251.95
1.91
-2.05%
Buy
0.19
-
-
BDX
NYSE · Becton Dickinson and Company
25 Jul 2025142.21
151.94
6.84%
Buy
0.10
-
-
BEEM
NASDAQ · Beam Global
19 Jun 20261.37
1.17
-14.60%
Buy
0.01
-
-
BF-A
NYSE · Brown-Forman Corporation
17 Apr 202629.48
26.60
-9.76%
Buy
0.43
-
-
BF-B
NYSE · Brown-Forman Corporation
17 Apr 202628.90
26.17
-9.44%
Buy
0.36
-
-
BFAM
NYSE · Bright Horizons Family Solutions Inc
10 Jul 202673.31
73.31
New
Entry week
Buy
0.11
-
-
BGS
NYSE · B&G Foods Inc
17 Oct 20254.28
3.93
-8.26%
Buy
0.55
-
-
BGSF
NYSE · BG Staffing Inc
23 May 20253.13
5.63
80.12%
Buy
0.12
-
-
BHFAP
NASDAQ · Brighthouse Financial, Inc.
7 Nov 202515.72
14.77
-6.04%
Buy
0.31
-
-
BIIB
NASDAQ · Biogen Inc
28 Feb 2025140.50
199.15
41.74%
Buy
0.13
-
-
BILL
NYSE · Bill Com Holdings Inc
3 Jul 202640.48
41.36
2.17%
Buy
0.02
-
-
BIO-B
NYSE · Bio-Rad Laboratories Inc
20 Jun 2025250.08
298.50
19.36%
Buy
0.10
-
-
BLCO
NYSE · Bausch + Lomb Corp
4 Jul 202513.88
16.23
16.93%
Buy
0.31
-
-
BLIN
NASDAQ · Bridgeline Digital Inc
6 Mar 20260.93
1.24
32.72%
Buy
0.08
-
-
BLMN
NASDAQ · Bloomin Brands Inc
8 May 20268.12
8.34
2.71%
Buy
0.24
-
-
BLND
NYSE · Blend Labs Inc
29 May 20261.79
1.70
-5.03%
Buy
0.44
-
-
BMAC
NYSE · Black Mountain Acquisition Corp
15 Mar 202410.60
10.60
0.00%
Buy
0.05
-
-
Ledger
Transaction History
Date
Action
Ticker
Price
Reason
Return
Qualifiers
13 Feb 2026
Exit
UIS
NYSE · Unisys Corporation
2.24
20% entry drawdown
-22.22%
Entry 23 Jan 2026
2.88
13 Feb 2026
Exit
UNP
NYSE · Union Pacific Corporation
257.97
Reversal Risk Warning
30.73%
Entry 14 Jul 2023
197.33
13 Feb 2026
Exit
USFD
NYSE · US Foods Holding Corp
99.93
Reversal Risk Warning
131.16%
Entry 24 Nov 2023
43.23
13 Feb 2026
Exit
VOD
NASDAQ · Vodafone Group PLC ADR
15.28
Reversal Risk Warning
87.19%
Entry 15 Sep 2023
8.16
13 Feb 2026
Entry
VOR
NASDAQ · Vor Biopharma Inc
12.78
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.02
13 Feb 2026
Entry
VRA
NASDAQ · Vera Bradley Inc
2.68
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.18
13 Feb 2026
Exit
VRME
NASDAQ · VerifyMe Inc
1.01
20% entry drawdown
-20.47%
Entry 23 Jan 2026
1.27
13 Feb 2026
Exit
VTR
NYSE · Ventas Inc
84.70
Reversal Risk Warning
102.71%
Entry 24 Nov 2023
41.78
13 Feb 2026
Exit
VZ
NYSE · Verizon Communications Inc
48.27
Reversal Risk Warning
57.85%
Entry 3 Nov 2023
30.58
13 Feb 2026
Exit
WF
NYSE · Woori Financial Group Inc
80.79
Reversal Risk Warning
184.19%
Entry 23 Feb 2024
28.43
13 Feb 2026
Entry
WFF
NASDAQ · WF Holding Limited Ordinary Shares
2.10
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 1.50
13 Feb 2026
Exit
WPC
NYSE · W P Carey Inc
73.20
Reversal Risk Warning
33.31%
Entry 1 Dec 2023
54.91
13 Feb 2026
Exit
WSBK
NASDAQ · Winchester Bancorp, Inc. Common Stock
12.70
Reversal Risk Warning
21.65%
Entry 19 Dec 2025
10.44
6 Feb 2026
Exit
ACNT
NASDAQ · Synalloy Corporation
17.20
Reversal Risk Warning
79.92%
Entry 29 Dec 2023
9.56
6 Feb 2026
Exit
AFCG
NASDAQ · AFC Gamma Inc
2.13
20% entry drawdown
-23.86%
Entry 2 Jan 2026
2.80
6 Feb 2026
Entry
ALM
NASDAQ · Almonty Industries Inc. Common Shares
14.10
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 1.65
6 Feb 2026
Entry
ALXO
NASDAQ · Alx Oncology Holdings
2.05
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.07
6 Feb 2026
Exit
AMBP
NYSE · Ardagh Metal Packaging SA
4.56
Reversal Risk Warning
76.44%
Entry 10 Nov 2023
2.59
6 Feb 2026
Exit
AME
NYSE · Ametek Inc
231.20
Reversal Risk Warning
49.57%
Entry 25 Aug 2023
154.57
6 Feb 2026
Exit
AMGN
NASDAQ · Amgen Inc
378.79
Reversal Risk Warning
70.75%
Entry 4 Aug 2023
221.84
6 Feb 2026
Exit
ASR
NYSE · Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste SAB de CV ADR
361.12
Reversal Risk Warning
46.75%
Entry 15 Dec 2023
246.08
6 Feb 2026
Exit
ASRV
NASDAQ · AmeriServ Financial Inc
3.79
Reversal Risk Warning
59.71%
Entry 26 Jul 2024
2.37
6 Feb 2026
Exit
ATMU
NYSE · Atmus Filtration Technologies Inc.
61.34
Reversal Risk Warning
92.12%
Entry 29 Mar 2024
31.93
6 Feb 2026
Exit
AUB
NYSE · Atlantic Union Bankshares Corp
41.00
Reversal Risk Warning
38.91%
Entry 13 Jun 2025
29.51
6 Feb 2026
Entry
AVNS
NYSE · Avanos Medical Inc
14.59
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 2.06
6 Feb 2026
Exit
BBT
NYSE · Beacon Financial Corporation
30.88
Reversal Risk Warning
58.92%
Entry 24 Nov 2023
19.43
6 Feb 2026
Exit
BFC
NASDAQ · Bank First National Corp
150.94
Reversal Risk Warning
92.99%
Entry 24 Nov 2023
78.21
6 Feb 2026
Exit
BFST
NASDAQ · Business First Bancshares Inc
29.52
Reversal Risk Warning
51.10%
Entry 28 Jul 2023
19.54
6 Feb 2026
Exit
BIP
NYSE · Brookfield Infrastructure Partners LP
36.44
Reversal Risk Warning
40.22%
Entry 15 Dec 2023
25.98
6 Feb 2026
Exit
BKD
NYSE · Brookdale Senior Living Inc
16.12
Reversal Risk Warning
165.13%
Entry 14 Mar 2025
6.08