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Weekly closes ยท USD
Market context
Stage
3 ยท Stage 3C ยท Breakdown watch, as of 11 Sep 2026
Sentiment
58 ยท As of 20 Sep 2026
RS
-11.99
Dynamics
-1.07
Fair value gap
+11.7%
Week range
66.15โ69.84
Weekly Chart PackCompleted weekly market data ยท Independent research
NYSE ยท Equity ยท United States
WPC
W P Carey Inc
Real EstateReit - Diversified
WP Carey is among the largest net-lease REITs with an enterprise value of approximately $ 18 billion and a diversified portfolio of operationally critical commercial real estate that includes 1,215 net-lease properties covering approximately 142 million square feet as of March 30. September 2020.
Last updated
18 Sep 2026
Exchange
NYSE ยท NYSE
Sector
Real Estate
Industry
Reit - Diversified
Currency
USD
Market capitalisation
16,074,079,074
Fair value reference
59.31
Next-week expectancy
Undecided ยท 54.70%
Executive chart read
Over the latest 12 completed weeks ending 2026-09-18, WPC fell 7.09%, moving from 71.32 to 66.26. The latest weekly close is below the Trend Line and above Fair Value. Trend Signal is inactive on the latest week and was active in 8 of the last 12 weeks. Relative Strength is -11.99 and has softened across the 12-week window. Market Dynamics is -1.07 on the latest week. Next-week expectancy is undecided at 54.70% based on similar historical setup states.
Week Ending
18 Sep 2026
Latest Close
66.26
12-Week Change
-7.09%
Trend Signal
Inactive
Next-Week Expectancy
Undecided 54.70%
Signal Weeks
8 of 12
Weekly Chart Terminal
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Weekly Trend
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Weekly Close
Trend Line
Fair Value
Activity LinesDirection Line
Analysis panels
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Price Sponsorship Indicator
What it is
Price Sponsorship Indicator PSI
PSI compares the weekly price move with the market activity behind it. It shows whether price has broad support or whether that support is weakening.
Current completed-week read ยท 2026-09-18
Selling pressure
Activity is accompanying falling prices. An improvement in the bars would be the first sign of recovery.
PSI score
19/100
1 completed week
Recent support
-16
Limited
Readings pointing the same way
100%
Activity is weighing on price
What it shows
Price and the support behind it
The navy line is price. Green and red bars show support. The coloured trend lines show positive, negative or possible change.
01Support buildsGreen bars rise above zero.
02Price confirmsPrice rises with positive bars.
03Support holdsPositive bars remain with price.
04WarningBars weaken before or with price.
PricePositive trendNegative trendPossible changeStrong supportPositive supportWeak support
What it shows
Is this move specific to the ticker or shared by the market?
This compares the ticker's PSI reading with how widely stocks on its exchange are moving together. It does not change PSI.
Stocks moving together63/100
Broad pressure high ยท more together
Ticker and market
Ticker weakness matches broad market weakness
PSI is weak and the wider market is moving together under pressure.
PSI
-62.0
Market togetherness
63/100
Ticker supported, market mixed
Positive PSI without a strong shared market move.
Ticker supported, market moving together
Positive PSI within a strong shared market move.
Ticker weak, market mixed
Weak PSI without matching broad market weakness.
Ticker weak, broad market weak
Weak PSI within a strong shared market decline.
Current context
Second check
Does Market Dynamics agree?
PSI shows support for the price move. Market Dynamics provides a separate check on whether conditions beneath price point the same way.
What it shows
Both readings are weak
PSI and Market Dynamics point in the same weak direction.
Current reading
-1.07
Four-week change
-0.20
Adaptive Price Envelope
Price, volatility and confirmation
Adaptive Price Envelope APE
See where price sits inside boundaries that adjust to completed-week direction and volatility, then check whether the wider evidence confirms the move.
Current completed-week read ยท 2026-09-18
Price is below the adaptive centre
The completed weekly close is on the lower side of the envelope. A centre recovery and improving confirmation would be the first signs of repair.
The negative weekly move attracted clearly elevated participation.
Price, structure and participation
Where price advanced, failed, reclaimed or lost important ground
Candles preserve the completed weekly tape. Selected annotations identify meaningful finished events and point directly to the week concerned.
Up weekDown weekTrend referenceCompleted supportCompleted resistanceVolumeTypical volumePublished event
What happened this week?
The latest completed candle
The latest week is separated into price change, candle character, closing position and path quality.
Weekly move-4.14%
Latest close versus the preceding completed close.
Candle characterWeak close
Price declined and finished in the lower part of the completed weekly range.
Where the week closedNear the weekly low
The close finished at 3% of the completed weekly range.
Path qualityOrderly and confirmed
Recent swings and the longer trend relationship agree with comparatively steady follow-through.
Current evaluation
What the weekly tape says now
The interpretation combines completed price structure, trend relationship, participation and path quality.
What supports it
The latest close finished below the recent completed price structure.
What would improve it
A sustained close above the nearest completed resistance, supported by firmer participation, would improve confirmation.
What could weaken it
A sustained loss of the nearest completed support would materially weaken the current price structure.
What to watch next
Trend relationship is below a falling trend; participation is strong negative participation, and path quality is orderly and confirmed.
Statistical perspective
Where the latest close sits in its own completed history
These observations describe the available record. They are market context, not predictions of the next move.
Position in completed history76% of range
The latest close's location between the lowest and highest completed closes available for this market.
Distance from completed high-13.6%
How far the latest close sits below the highest completed close in the available history.
Recovery from completed low+101.6%
How far the latest close has advanced from the lowest completed close in the available history.
Latest move versus typical2.1ร typical
The absolute latest weekly move compared with completed weekly moves available before it.
Completed event history
What changed, and when
Only selected completed events are shown. Each annotation is descriptive, not a standalone instruction.
Support structure lost
The weekly close moved below the preceding completed price structure.
Latest week
Trend lost
The weekly close moved below the completed trend reference.
6 weeks ago
Upside structure cleared
The weekly close moved above the preceding completed price structure.
14 weeks ago
Trend reclaimed
The weekly close moved back above the completed trend reference.
24 weeks ago
High-participation reversal
Price changed weekly direction with elevated participation.
30 weeks ago
Range
Sharemaestro Range
Where price is trading
The fitted range, accepted trading area and strongest price levels are calculated automatically from completed weekly market data.
Current stateBelow the trend range
52-week position
27.5%
Low to high
Accepted price
71.71
Latest versus accepted: -7.60%
Fitted direction
Rising
0.23% per week
Range pressure
12/100
Lower pressure
Range condition
Normal
0.87ร normal range
Range pressureCurrent range pressure ยท 50 is balanced
Weekly closeFitted rangeActivity ribbonEstimated activity at priceAutomatic level
Automatic structure
Strongest price levels
Support64.16
From price
-3.2%
Evidence
75/100
Touches
3
Support65.88
From price
-0.6%
Evidence
78/100
Touches
3
Resistance67.08
From price
1.2%
Evidence
30/100
Touches
1
Resistance71.71
From price
8.2%
Evidence
96/100
Touches
4
Resistance74.47
From price
12.4%
Evidence
73/100
Touches
4
Current reading
What the range shows
Current positionBelow the trend range
Price is at 27.5% of its latest 52-week range.
Fitted directionRising
The fitted centre line is moving +0.23% per week.
Range pressureLower pressure
The current pressure reading is 12/100; 50 is balanced.
Next structural level65.88
Support is 0.6% from the latest close with 78/100 evidence strength.
Point & Figure
Price structure ยท volume at price
Point & Figure market structure
Each X marks a rising price box and each O marks a falling price box. Time is removed from the horizontal scale so reversals, breakouts and areas of heavy trading stand out.
MethodAdaptive scale
Smart Money
Completed-week positioning evidence
Smart Money
See whether the support beneath price is strengthening, weakening, confirming the trend or warning of increased risk.
Current Smart Money readSmart Money support is weak
The current completed-week evidence is not providing dependable confirmation for price.
Momentum 0.62 ยท Weakening
Trend qualityWeak alignment
The current trend state has persisted for 4 completed weeks; visible confirmation is weak alignment.
Momentum pathConstructive ยท Weakening
The latest completed-week level and direction.
Latest positive signalNo recent positive signal
The chart is carrying context rather than a fresh positive event marker.
Risk and warningsWatch
The latest reversal warning was 11 completed weeks ago; it is no longer immediate but remains relevant context.
Price, support and published events
Where confirmation strengthened or risk increased
Selected annotations highlight meaningful completed-week events; every existing chart series and marker remains visible.
Close Price
Trend Line
Demand Threshold Line
Reversal Risk Level
Current evaluation
What the Smart Money chart means now
The reading combines the finished chart state, its direction and the timing of published signals.
What supports it
There is limited positive confirmation; the chart should be read cautiously until support improves.
What would improve it
A turn higher in the momentum path, followed by steadier trend confirmation, would strengthen the reading.
What could weaken it
The latest reversal warning was 11 completed weeks ago; it is no longer immediate but remains relevant context.
Published signal history
What changed, and when
Event markers are observations, not standalone instructions to buy or sell.
Reversal danger
The chart registered its strongest reversal warning.
11 weeks ago
Reversal risk
The chart registered elevated reversal risk.
12 weeks ago
Reversal danger
The chart registered its strongest reversal warning.
13 weeks ago
Reversal risk
The chart registered elevated reversal risk.
22 weeks ago
Reversal danger
The chart registered its strongest reversal warning.
30 weeks ago
Market Dynamics
Price and underlying support
Market Dynamics
See whether the support beneath price is strengthening, weakening, confirming the move or beginning to diverge from it.
Zero lineMarket Dynamics Rate of ChangePrice ActionVolume ActionFlip UpFlip Down
Price and support relationship ยท 12 completed weeks
Price is running ahead of Market Dynamics
Price is -7.1% across this view and is in the upper part of its stored price range, while Market Dynamics is -1.07 after a -0.20 change over the latest 4 completed weeks. The price move has less underlying support than its location suggests.
Latest 4 weeks in focus
Price change from 2026-07-03Market DynamicsLatest 4 completed weeks
Zone-to-zone journey model
25% across the current zone span
The model estimates a 13% chance of confirming accumulation within 52 completed weeks and a 70% chance of returning to the source zone first.
Current journey
Distribution to accumulation ยท Progressing
Activated
2026-08-07
Model data
Through 2026-08-21
What Market Dynamics shows
Yes. Market Dynamics follows the completed-week transition between the two sides of a market cycle. Accumulation is the lower zone where selling pressure may be absorbed and support may be forming; distribution is the upper zone where earlier demand may be tiring and supply can begin to take control. The model measures both accumulation to distribution and the reverse journey, and waits for a deeper close or repeated closes before treating a new zone as confirmed. WPC is 25% across its current move from distribution back toward accumulation. The journey remains open because neither the target nor a return to the source has been confirmed. For an investor, the value is in separating an apparent price move from a completed change in market character: target confirmation can strengthen the case that a new phase is taking hold, while a confirmed source return warns that the attempted change did not persist and the risk/reward should be reassessed. The completed journeys below show how 1 transitions in this ticker's stored history reached and confirmed the opposite zone.
Current zone-span position 25%
Distribution to Accumulation ยท 6 completed weeks since exit
Complete within 26 weeks 6%
Confirm the current accumulation zone first
Complete within 52 weeks 13%
Confirm the target zone using completed weeks
Invalidate within 52 weeks 70%
Confirm a return to the source zone first
Question 1 ยท Where has price travelled?
Current journey through the zone span
Zero is the confirmed starting zone; 100% is the opposite target zone.
Observed zone-span positionStarting-zone sideTarget-zone side
Question 2 ยท What does the model estimate?
Current 52-week outcome probability
These are competing model outcomes for the active journey, not next-week forecasts.
Confirm target within 52 weeksReturn to source within 52 weeks
12 weeks1%
26 weeks6%
52 weeks13%
Accumulation zone
48.12 / deep 44.10
Current close
66.26
Distribution zone
72.24 / deep 76.26
Source-zone dwell
4 completed weeks
Market Dynamics -1.07Latest causal completed-week reading12-week change -1.37Change in underlying supportTrend position -8%Close relative to the Trend LineVolume ratio 1.02รRecent activity versus its baseline
What actually happened before?
Successful zone transitions
Target-confirmed opposite-zone transitions from the latest 156 charted weeks.
Most recent successful journeyAccumulation to Distribution ยท Confirmed distribution
2023-11-17โ2026-04-24 ยท 128 completed weeks ยท price move +49.3%. Across this chart, 1 journey confirmed an opposite zone: 1 reached distribution and 0 reached accumulation.
0% ยท confirmed source exit100% ยท confirmed opposite zone
Accumulation to DistributionConfirmed distribution
2023-11-17โ2026-04-24 ยท journey 128w ยท source dwell 7w
Source exit50%Target confirmed
Furthest point
100%
Price move
+49.3%
Time to confirm
128w
Reached and confirmed distribution after 128 completed weeks. Price moved +49.3% from the confirmed source-zone exit.
Earnings and Price Index
Earnings and Price Index
A three-year index of the relationship between earnings power and market price.
Current stateFundamental fracture
Market price is leading earnings power; the spread is closing and has persisted through 11 updates.
Spread
Closing
Persistence
11 quarters
Confirmation
Mixed support
Repricing pressure
Moderate โ price-led
Market move47.4%
Three-year change
Earnings move-5.3%
Three-year change
Repricing spread-52.7 pts
closing
Current valuation19.6ร
Price relative to earnings power
Market price is leading earnings power; the spread is closing and has persisted through 11 updates.
Market price
Earnings power
Repricing spread
Earnings update
Fundamental fracture
Earnings have weakened while price has not adjusted to the same degree.
Supporting evidence
Attribution, business confirmation and horizon robustness
The components behind the repricing relationship and the independent evidence that supports or challenges it.
What drove the move?
Earnings and relative valuation contributions
Shows how the earnings move and relative valuation combine into the total market move.
What supports the earnings picture?
Business confirmation
4 of 6 available business-quality checks are supportive.
EarningsRevenue
Cash conversionWhether reported profit is supported by free cash generation.Supportive
Revenue directionWhether top-line progress supports the earnings direction.Supportive
Free-cash-flow directionWhether free cash flow is improving with earnings.Caution
Accrual pressureLower accrual pressure is a cleaner confirmation of earnings.Supportive
Control backgroundBuyer controlContestedSeller control
Seller control50 ยท contestedBuyer control
Current VWAP signals
Control, agreement and concentration
Seller control, but extended
Seller control, but extended
The VWAP structure is weak, but price is stretched far enough below the core level for snap-back risk to matter.
Price and VWAP pressure broadly agree
No material six-week disagreement is present between price direction and VWAP control.
VWAP cluster present
6 references converge near 70.85: 52-week VWAP, Swing low, Latest earnings VWAP, Year VWAP, 13-week VWAP, 26-week VWAP.
Confirmation and failure levels
Levels that change the current reading
Confirmation67.42
A completed close above High-activity anchor with pressure holding above 60 would strengthen buyer control.
Decision area67.42
High-activity anchor at 67.42, 1.7% above the latest close.
Weakening level71.94
A completed loss of the core VWAP with pressure below 40 would strengthen seller control.
Current VWAP stack
Volume-weighted price levels
High-activity anchor67.42
+1.75% from close
52-week VWAP69.62
+5.08% from close
Swing low69.78
+5.31% from close
Latest earnings VWAP70.83
+6.90% from close
Year VWAP71.20
+7.45% from close
13-week VWAP71.71
+8.23% from close
26-week VWAP71.94
+8.57% from close
Estimated activity position
Activity above and below price
Below price 26%Above price 74%
27%near price
A notable share of recent weighted activity remains above price and may act as overhead supply.
Estimated from completed weekly typical prices and reported activity; it is not holder-level cost-basis data.
Benchmark, sector and industry
VWAP control comparison
Sector and industry comparisons require at least ten constituents with aligned completed history.
Benchmark ยท SPYWeaker control than reference
Weaker control than reference; control-score gap -57.2 points.
Buyers firmly in control ยท 81/100
Sector ยท Real EstateBroadly aligned with reference
Broadly aligned with reference; control-score gap -3.3 points.
Seller control developing ยท 28/100
Industry ยท Reit - DiversifiedStronger control than reference
Stronger control than reference; control-score gap +10.8 points.
Sellers firmly in control ยท 13/100
Historical VWAP outcomes
Reclaims, losses and similar states
Descriptive outcomes from this ticker's visible historyโnot a forecast.
Weekly reclaim80% favourable
Events
5
Median 4w
+2.00%
Median 13w
+3.99%
Typical best
+8.49%
Typical worst
-0.01%
Completed occasions when price moved back above the core VWAP.
Weekly loss20% favourable
Events
5
Median 4w
+3.75%
Median 13w
+5.49%
Typical best
+9.10%
Typical worst
-1.58%
Completed occasions when price moved below the core VWAP.
Comparable control states14 matched weeks
Positive after 4w
86%
Median 4w
+3.58%
Positive after 13w
93%
Median 13w
+11.47%
Best / worst 13w
+17.7% / -0.9%
Outcomes after completed weeks with a similar control score and the same side of the core VWAP.
VWAP control history
Completed changes
VWAP structure turned lower
The fast VWAP crossed below the core VWAP.
Seller pressure established
The completed control reading moved into negative territory.
VWAP reclaim rejected
Price tested above the core VWAP but completed the week back below it.
Core VWAP lost
Price completed the week below the core VWAP.
Core VWAP test held
Price traded through the core VWAP but recovered above it by the completed close.
Core VWAP test held
Price traded through the core VWAP but recovered above it by the completed close.
Core VWAP reclaimed
Price completed the week back above the core VWAP.
Core VWAP lost
Price completed the week below the core VWAP.
Next-State Map
Next-State Map
Historical one-week transition paths from similar completed-week states.
SMI
Proprietary completed-week evidence
SMI
See whether the underlying conditions beneath price are strengthening, weakening or holding firm.
Current SMI readUnderlying support is mixed and losing ground
Price and SMI are not presenting a decisive combined message. The latest reading is based on completed weekly evidence.
0.51 ยท Mixed
Current stateMixed ยท 0.51
Latest completed-week SMI reading
DirectionWeakening
How the completed SMI path is changing
PersistenceNew
3 completed weeks in the current state
Price relationshipMixed relationship
Price and SMI are not presenting a decisive combined message.
Price and SMI transitions
Where underlying support changed
Annotations identify selected completed SMI state changes.
Weekly CloseTrend LineFair ValueActivity Lines
SMI pathDirection, persistence and turning points
SMI 0.51 ยท Mixed
ImprovingHolding steadyWeakening
SMI in context
Comparable SMI states have carried a positive historical bias
Across 19 comparable completed observations, 68.4% closed higher after 13 weeks. The median move was +1.9%.
Comparable observations
19
Completed historical readings
Positive outcomes
68.4%
After 13 completed weeks
Median move
+1.9%
Over the following 13 weeks
Versus normal baseline
+5.5 pts
Difference in positive outcome rate
Chart Summary
Key Points
Week Ending
18 Sep 2026
Latest Close
66.26
12-Week Change
-7.09%
Trend Signal
Inactive
Next-Week Expectancy
Undecided 54.70%
Signal Weeks
8 of 12
Vs Trend Line
Below
Vs Fair Value
Above
Relative Strength
-11.99
Market Dynamics
-1.07
Over the latest 12 completed weeks ending 2026-09-18, WPC fell 7.09%, moving from 71.32 to 66.26. The latest weekly close is below the Trend Line and above Fair Value. Trend Signal is inactive on the latest week and was active in 8 of the last 12 weeks. Relative Strength is -11.99 and has softened across the 12-week window. Market Dynamics is -1.07 on the latest week. Next-week expectancy is undecided at 54.70% based on similar historical setup states.
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