View US Trend Index

Signal Validation

Market Dynamics Performance Index

A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.

United States
Latest week 24 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
469.57
Total Return
369.57%
CAGR
54.68% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+33.24%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.60 Sortino 5.04
Current Holdings
1070
Transactions
10830 Avg 3054.5/yr · 254.5/mo · 58.7/wk
Exit Mix
4880 Stop 41.8% · Warning 57.6% · Other 0.5%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.

01

Universe

Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
  • Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
  • Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

24 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
22
ALC NYSE · Alcon AG
67.91 MD 0.00 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BIXI NASDAQ · Bitcoin Infrastructure Acquisition Corp Ltd. Class A Ordinary Shares
10.01 MD 1.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BUR NYSE · Burford Capital Ltd
4.14 MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CAG NYSE · Conagra Brands, Inc.
14.77 MD 0.57 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CJMB NASDAQ · Callan JMB Inc. Common Stock
2.55 MD 0.41 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
FMST NASDAQ · Foremost Lithium Resource & Technology Ltd. Common stock
1.65 MD 0.05 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GCL NASDAQ · GCL Global Holdings Ltd Ordinary Shares
0.51 MD 0.67 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
KNDI NASDAQ · Kandi Technologies Group Inc
0.65 MD 0.31 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LAFA NASDAQ · LaFayette Acquisition Corp. Ordinary Share
10.11 MD 0.90 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LVLU NASDAQ · Lulu's Fashion Lounge Holdings Inc
19.20 MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LW NYSE · Lamb Weston Holdings Inc
49.58 MD 1.48 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MAMO NASDAQ · Massimo Group Common Stock
0.98 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
NBP NASDAQ · NovaBridge Biosciences
1.77 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OFIX NASDAQ · Orthofix Medical Inc
11.25 MD 0.22 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OTIS NYSE · Otis Worldwide Corp
71.93 MD 0.05 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OTLY NASDAQ · Oatly Group AB ADR
13.37 MD 0.05 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PLNT NYSE · Planet Fitness Inc
53.48 MD 0.02 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PSN NYSE · Parsons Corp
58.73 MD 0.56 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SRFM NYSE · Surf Air Mobility Inc.
0.79 MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TDWD NASDAQ · Tailwind 2.0 Acquisition Corp. Class A Ordinary Shares
10.04 MD 0.93 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WSTN NASDAQ · Westin Acquisition Corp
10.13 MD 1.67 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WVVIP NASDAQ · Willamette Valley Vineyards Inc PR
2.78 MD 0.21 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
29
AMST NASDAQ · Amesite Operating Co
0.99 20% entry drawdown · -21.44%
ATER NASDAQ · Aterian Inc
0.40 20% entry drawdown · -70.94%
BARK NYSE · BARK, Inc.
8.51 20% entry drawdown · -22.14%
BZFD NASDAQ · BuzzFeed Inc
1.11 20% entry drawdown · -25.50%
BZH NYSE · Beazer Homes USA Inc
33.19 Reversal Risk Warning · 60.11%
COOK NYSE · Traeger Inc
61.26 20% entry drawdown · -22.75%
DAR NYSE · Darling Ingredients Inc
62.50 Reversal Risk Warning · 59.93%
DFSC NASDAQ · DEFSEC Technologies Inc.
1.51 20% entry drawdown · -35.19%
GEHC NASDAQ · GE HealthCare Technologies Inc.
60.58 20% entry drawdown · -20.22%
GOOS NYSE · Canada Goose Holdings Inc
8.89 20% entry drawdown · -24.47%
GTEC NASDAQ · Greenland Acquisition Corp
0.51 20% entry drawdown · -21.19%
LFCR NASDAQ · Lifecore Biomedical Inc.
4.33 20% entry drawdown · -21.84%
LFMD NASDAQ · LifeMD Inc
3.71 20% entry drawdown · -20.04%
LOCL NYSE · Local Bounti Corp
1.06 20% entry drawdown · -22.63%
NIXX NASDAQ · Nixxy, Inc.
0.85 20% entry drawdown · -35.80%
NKTX NASDAQ · Nkarta Inc
2.27 20% entry drawdown · -25.08%
PEW NYSE · GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc.
2.33 20% entry drawdown · -21.28%
PPSI NASDAQ · Pioneer Power Solutions Inc.
2.98 20% entry drawdown · -25.13%
RC NYSE · Ready Capital Corp
1.47 20% entry drawdown · -20.97%
REAX NASDAQ · Real Brokerage Inc
1.69 20% entry drawdown · -22.12%
SAFX NASDAQ · XCF Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock
0.41 20% entry drawdown · -25.36%
SEDG NASDAQ · SolarEdge Technologies Inc
42.60 20% entry drawdown · -31.02%
SGRP NASDAQ · SPAR Group Inc
0.38 20% entry drawdown · -46.99%
SRG NYSE · Seritage Growth Properties
2.31 20% entry drawdown · -22.22%
TOMZ NASDAQ · TOMI Environmental Solutions Inc
1.54 20% entry drawdown · -33.95%
UPST NASDAQ · Upstart Holdings Inc
26.93 20% entry drawdown · -20.30%
WETO NASDAQ · Webus International Limited Ordinary Shares
0.69 Price scale break · 37.71%
WRAP NASDAQ · Wrap Technologies Inc
1.70 20% entry drawdown · -30.89%
XELB NASDAQ · Xcel Brands Inc
1.23 20% entry drawdown · -21.15%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 151-180 of 1070 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signal MD ROC RS
BOW NYSE · Bowhead Specialty Holdings Inc.
1 May 202624.32
31.11
27.92%
Buy
0.29
-
-
BOX NYSE · Box Inc
8 May 202625.72
29.01
12.79%
Buy
0.36
-
-
BPAC NASDAQ · Bullpen Parlay Acquisition Co
12 Jun 202610.12
10.15
0.30%
Buy
0.59
-
-
BRAG NASDAQ · Bragg Gaming Group Inc
27 Mar 20261.84
1.63
-11.42%
Buy
0.02
-
-
BRCC NYSE · BRC Inc.
24 Apr 20261.16
1.08
-6.90%
Buy
0.62
-
-
BRKR NASDAQ · Bruker Corporation
7 Nov 202539.83
60.45
51.77%
Buy
0.75
-
-
BRO NYSE · Brown & Brown Inc
26 Jun 202664.22
67.66
5.36%
Buy
0.24
-
-
BRSL NYSE · Brightstar Lottery PLC
18 Apr 202512.34
10.41
-15.61%
Buy
0.03
-
-
BSY NASDAQ · Bentley Systems Inc
8 May 202632.69
31.40
-3.95%
Buy
0.01
-
-
BTMD NASDAQ · biote Corp
3 Jul 20262.17
2.28
5.07%
Buy
0.94
-
-
BUR NYSE · Burford Capital Ltd
24 Jul 20264.14
4.14
New Entry week
Buy
0.19
-
-
BWIN NASDAQ · The Baldwin Insurance Group, Inc.
3 Apr 202622.35
26.47
18.43%
Buy
0.40
-
-
BZ NASDAQ · Kanzhun Ltd ADR
5 Jun 202614.03
15.42
9.91%
Buy
0.15
-
-
BZUN NASDAQ · Baozun Inc
1 Mar 20242.36
2.48
5.08%
Buy
0.08
-
-
CAG NYSE · Conagra Brands, Inc.
24 Jul 202614.77
14.77
New Entry week
Buy
0.57
-
-
CAL NYSE · Caleres Inc
24 Apr 202613.48
11.78
-12.59%
Buy
0.10
-
-
CAPN NASDAQ · Cayson Acquisition Corp Ordinary shares
17 Oct 202510.46
11.10
6.12%
Buy
0.74
-
-
CATO NYSE · Cato Corporation
13 Jun 20253.01
3.30
9.63%
Buy
0.32
-
-
CAVA NYSE · CAVA Group, Inc.
26 Dec 202560.15
62.01
3.09%
Buy
0.07
-
-
CBLL NASDAQ · CeriBell, Inc
7 Nov 202511.98
16.91
41.15%
Buy
0.35
-
-
CBRL NASDAQ · Cracker Barrel Old Country Store
22 May 202632.39
53.71
65.82%
Buy
0.75
-
-
CBT NYSE · Cabot Corporation
9 Jan 202672.01
90.15
25.19%
Buy
0.01
-
-
CBZ NYSE · CBIZ Inc
29 May 202633.20
42.63
28.40%
Buy
0.50
-
-
CC NYSE · Chemours Co
27 Jun 202511.47
17.22
50.18%
Buy
0.27
-
-
CCRN NASDAQ · Cross Country Healthcare Inc
8 May 202613.18
13.25
0.53%
Buy
1.13
-
-
CCXI NASDAQ · Churchill Capital Corp XI
26 Jun 202613.86
13.68
-1.30%
Buy
0.47
-
-
CDW NASDAQ · CDW Corp
22 May 2026110.82
133.82
20.75%
Buy
0.13
-
-
CDXS NASDAQ · Codexis Inc
13 Mar 20261.61
1.48
-8.07%
Buy
0.08
-
-
CELH NASDAQ · Celsius Holdings Inc
21 Mar 202532.93
27.12
-17.64%
Buy
1.29
-
-
CERT NASDAQ · Certara Inc
19 Jun 20265.54
7.51
35.56%
Buy
0.37
-
-

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 7291-7320 of 10830
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
20 Sep 2024
Exit
LMNR NASDAQ · Limoneira Co
26.91
Reversal Risk Warning
52.64%
Entry 1 Dec 2023 17.63
20 Sep 2024
Exit
LOB NYSE · Live Oak Bancshares, Inc.
48.60
Reversal Risk Warning
75.48%
Entry 14 Jul 2023 27.69
20 Sep 2024
Exit
MAS NYSE · Masco Corporation
79.59
Reversal Risk Warning
40.40%
Entry 24 Nov 2023 56.69
20 Sep 2024
Entry
MP NYSE · MP Materials Corp
13.89
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.17
20 Sep 2024
Exit
NSA NYSE · National Storage Affiliates Trust
43.31
Reversal Risk Warning
55.44%
Entry 24 Nov 2023 27.87
20 Sep 2024
Exit
NVR NYSE · NVR Inc
9473.01
Reversal Risk Warning
37.67%
Entry 15 Dec 2023 6880.73
20 Sep 2024
Entry
OR NYSE · Osisko Gold Ro
18.21
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.04
20 Sep 2024
Exit
OTLK NASDAQ · OUTLOOK THERAPEUTICS INC
6.00
20% entry drawdown
-21.81%
Entry 15 Dec 2023 7.67
20 Sep 2024
Exit
PHM NYSE · PulteGroup Inc
139.86
Reversal Risk Warning
73.50%
Entry 14 Jul 2023 80.61
20 Sep 2024
Entry
PLCE NASDAQ · Children’s Place Inc
15.17
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.53
20 Sep 2024
Entry
PMEC NASDAQ · Primech Holdings Ltd. Ordinary Shares
0.73
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.43
20 Sep 2024
Entry
PODC NASDAQ · Courtside Group, Inc. Common Stock
1.88
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.59
20 Sep 2024
Entry
POWL NASDAQ · Powell Industries Inc
68.32
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.06
20 Sep 2024
Exit
SHW NYSE · Sherwin-Williams Co
372.65
Reversal Risk Warning
31.46%
Entry 8 Dec 2023 283.47
20 Sep 2024
Entry
SIEB NASDAQ · Siebert Financial Corp
2.25
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.24
20 Sep 2024
Entry
SITM NASDAQ · Sitime Corporation
163.57
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.19
20 Sep 2024
Entry
SNWV NASDAQ · SANUWAVE Health, Inc. Common Stock
9.27
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.20
20 Sep 2024
Entry
SRBK NASDAQ · SR Bancorp, Inc. Common stock
10.83
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.78
20 Sep 2024
Entry
TCMD NASDAQ · Tactile Systems Technology Inc
14.17
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.61
20 Sep 2024
Exit
TMHC NYSE · Taylor Morn Home
69.87
Reversal Risk Warning
45.35%
Entry 8 Dec 2023 48.07
20 Sep 2024
Exit
TNON NASDAQ · Tenon Medical Inc
5.47
20% entry drawdown
-27.55%
Entry 13 Sep 2024 7.55
20 Sep 2024
Entry
TPB NYSE · Turning Point Brands Inc
41.64
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.58
20 Sep 2024
Exit
TRU NYSE · TransUnion
104.13
Reversal Risk Warning
62.38%
Entry 5 Jan 2024 64.12
20 Sep 2024
Entry
TSSI NASDAQ · TSS, Inc. Common Stock
6.00
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.56
20 Sep 2024
Exit
UG NASDAQ · United-Guardian Inc
13.33
Reversal Risk Warning
99.12%
Entry 24 Nov 2023 6.70
20 Sep 2024
Exit
VS NASDAQ · Versus Systems Inc
1.19
20% entry drawdown
-30.41%
Entry 30 Aug 2024 1.71
20 Sep 2024
Entry
WLDN NASDAQ · Willdan Group Inc
40.26
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.96
20 Sep 2024
Entry
XCUR NASDAQ · Exicure Inc
4.23
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.45
20 Sep 2024
Entry
ZEO NASDAQ · Zeo Energy Corp.
2.79
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.09
13 Sep 2024
Entry
APGE NASDAQ · Apogee Therapeutics, Inc. Common Stock
51.38
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.19